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5G Today: Trends and Insights 5G today: Trends and Insights — Vanesa Čačković - Ericsson Nikola Tesla d.d. — 17. Međunarodna konferencija "Regulatorna djelatnost u sektoru elektronskih komunikacija“ — Budva, 30.09.2019 – 01.10.2019. 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 1 Mobile telephony evolution -ETSI markets 3GPP Rel. 99 Rel. 4 .... Rel. 8 .. Rel. 10 .... Rel. 15 1st generation 2nd generation 3rd generation 4th generation 5th generation High speed data, Higher speed Ultra High speed Analogue speech Digital speech + data, PS only data, low latency medium-rate data Multiple services, Multiple services, New use cases Quality Quality 1G 2G GSM (voice) 3G 4G 5G NMT450, NMT900, GPRS (packet) LTE AMPS, TACS EDGE (packet +) WCDMA (UMTS) NR 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 GSM – Global System for Mobile communication GPRS – General Packet Radio Services EDGE – Enhanced Data rates in GSM Evolution LTE – Long Term Evolution 3GPP – 3rd Generation Partnership Program NR – New Radio WCDMA2019-09-18 – | 5GWideband Today: Trends Code and Insights Division | | Page Multiple 2 Access UMTS – Universal Mobile Telephony System 5G - A platform serving four major use case categories - and more… Massive IoT Critical IoT Enhanced Fixed Mobile Broadband Wireless Access 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 3 Performance boost in 8 dimensions 20 Gbps < 1 ms 500 km/h 1 M/km2 Peak rate Latency Mobility Device connection downstream to users density 10 Gbps 1 m 99.999% >10 years Peak rate Position accuracy Availability and Battery life upstream from users reliability Source: Ericsson This is 5G, February 2018 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 4 Multi-standard and multi-band sites Example 5G – mmWave (28 / 39 GHz) B42/43 - 3.5 GHz B7/B38/B41 - 2.6 GHz Multi B40 - 2300 MHz - band standard B1 - 2100 MHz - CA / DC Multi B3 - 1800 MHz B8 - 900 MHz NR LTE B20 - 800 MHz WCDMA B28 - 700 MHz GSM Time 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 5 Spectrum trade-offs between capacity, coverage and latency Coverage Capacity Latency High capacity High bands dense urban / localized (24 GHz – 40 GHz) High Ultra- deployments New Urban Low Mid bands II (3.5 GHz – 6 GHz) New Mid bands I (1 GHz – 2.6 GHz) Moderate capacity Legacy Moderate wide area/ outside-in coverage Low bands Wide Area Low (Sub – 1 GHz) Regional New/legacy 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 6 3GPP 5G timeplan IMT-2020 Evaluation ITU Requirements Proposals Specifications 3GPP NR Study Item NR Work Item NR evo LTE evo LTE evo LTE evo Rel-14 Rel-15 Rel-16 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 NR NSA NR SA (non-standalone) (standalone) 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 7 Initial 5G Architectures NSA SA Option 3x 5G Enabled Option 2 New 5G EPC Core LTE NR NR NR Tight interworking with LTE. Evolved EPC “Independent” overlay. New CN architecture → Fastest TTM → Highest potential for further evolution › Standardization : Dec 2017 › Standardization : Jun 2018 › Ericsson Support: LA Q4 2018, GA Q2 2019 › Ericsson Support: LA Q2 2019, GA Q4 2019 › Supporting Use Case in 2019/2020: › Supporting Use Case in 2019/2020: – eMBB + FWA – eMBB + FWA 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 8 NSA (option 3x) connectivity Dual connectivity UL/DL decoupling LTE + NR aggregation 5G EPC 5G EPC Mid-Band UL/DL MME SGW 5G TDD decoupling RRC PDCP S1-C S1-U 4G FDD LTE NR RRC PDCP f1 f1 X2 Extend 3.5GHz coverage f2 f2 . LTE NR . fn fn — Control plane through LTE — S1-U terminates on NR — Use Low-Band LTE spectrum for — Aggregate all 4G and 5G spectrum — UE attached to LTE and NR UL traffic and DL on NR spectrum — NR L1 control on low NR band simultaneously — Maximize usage of Mid-Band 5G — Maximize user experience — X2 i/f between LTE and NR — Increase Network capacity — Driver for same vendor on both 4G and 5G 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 9 5G architecture evolution EPC 5G EPC 5G EPC + 5GC Dual mode core Option 1 Option 1 Option 3 Option 1 Option 3 Option 2 LTE LTE LTE LTE NR LTE LTE/NR NR 1 1 1 3 3 2 — Option 1 = LTE — Introduce NR air interface to offer peak data — Introduce 5GC and next generation services, without rates early (NR NSA/Option 3) disturbing existing deployment (NR SA/Option 2) — Fully leverage VoLTE or CSFB for voice while NR — Fully leverage VoLTE for voice while NR/5GC matures matures — EPC-5GC interworking supporting migration 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 10 5G network and spectrum evolution Baseline 5G on mid-band Add 5G coverage Add 5G core Add 5G capacity High bands (24 GHz – 40 GHz) 3. Mid bands (3.5 GHz – 6 GHz) 1. Mid bands (1 GHz – 2.6 GHz) Low bands (sub –1 GHz) 2. 2G +3G 4G 5G 4G+5G Dual connectivity 5G coverage Option 2 Key enablers — Option 3 — 5G in new / existing — 5G mobility on low band — Maximal coverage, — NSA dual connectivity FDD bands — Improved control-plane capacity and cell edge — Increased peak rate, — Extends range of mid- latency performance, ultra-low capacity and low latency band with DL CA — Target architecture for latency new use cases — Pure Standalone Option 2 Cell edge performance Cell edge performance Cell edge performance Cell edge performance Cell edge performance Capacity/Speed Capacity/Speed Capacity/Speed Capacity/Speed Capacity/Speed Latency Latency Latency Latency Latency Characteristics & capabilities 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 11 5G and backhaul spectrum 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 12 W- & D-band — Total amount of spectrum for W- and D-band is ~50 GHz – 5x more spectrum than E-band — No significant use until 2025 — Approx 10 years for D-band to mature — W-band will have a shorter journey due to its closeness to E-band 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 13 The 5G journey New use cases Evolved use cases Existing use cases Secure robust 4G Launch 5G 5G 5G is network with 5G with 4G standalone densification main stream Gigabit LTE and interworking deployments seamless VoLTE coverage 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 14 5G Deployment Experiences July 2019 5G market insights Global 5G market insights by 2024 Almost 20% 2billion 5G subscriptions for eMBB 20% mobile traffic via Up to 65% of world’s 5G networks population covered by 5G 63% Global Internet of Things (IoT) 5G expected to contribute $2.2 connections will be more trillion to the global economy over 63% 5G mobile the next 15 years subscriptions in North America than 22 billion 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 16 Ericsson Mobility Report; Mobile Economy report 2019, GSMA 5G market insights The value of 5G for consumers and industry Industry digitalization potential Consumer Industry 5G investment by 2026 Retail Agriculture Public safety Manufacturing Media and USD Automotive entertainment 619bn by 2026 In the near term, Consumers see Consumers Finance consumers value in 5G use predict 10x data Public expect 5G will cases and are usage increase transport offer benefits willing to pay on 5G by 2025 Healthcare Energy and utilities Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab report, 5G consumer potential , May 2019 Source: Ericsson and Arthur D. Little, The guide to capturing the 5G industry digitalization business potential, 2018 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 17 5G market insights The strong momentum for 5G continues 1.9bn 5G subscriptions in 2024 Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 18 5G market insights Live 5G networks with smartphones Both mmWave/mid-band spectrum 2 Gbps 5G, Denver June 27th Sprint 5G coverage Atlanta May 30th AT&T achieves 1.3 Gbps @ 600 feet Verizon launches 5G in 2 markets Sprint launches in 4 markets AT&T 5G Mobility live in 12 cities — Moto Z3, Z4 & S10 5G; LG V50 to follow — LG V50 & HTC 5G Hub — Launched Dec 2018 in 39 GHz — Chicago , Minneapolis & Denver — Consistent 100Mbps with 700 Mbps peaks — Performance improved to 1 Gbps and — 19 more markets during 2019 — Covering more than 1,115 sq miles in 4 cities then 2 Gbps — 450 Mbps DL typical — Using 2.5 GHz spectrum with 64T M-MIMO — Using NETGEAR® Nighthawk 5G Ericsson radios Mobile Hotspot (pictured) & S10 5G 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 19 5G market insights Live 5G networks with smartphones Both mmWave/mid-band spectrum SKT 5G coverage map – May 29th 5G 1.2 Gbps, Bern – Jul 4th 5G 1.9 Gbps, Sydney – May28th All Korean operators launch 5G Swisscom first 5G in Europe Telstra launches in 10 cities — Samsung S10 5G & LG V50 — Oppo Reno 5G smartphone in Europe on — Samsung S10 5G & HTC 5G Hub — More than 1M subscribers 1st May — Using 3.5 GHz band — Large scale mid-band launch with — Initial deployment of 100 sites in 54 cities — 5G available in premium price plan Nationwide by H2 2020 — Mid-band 3.5GHz band (100 MHz) — 64T, 32T and classic 4T radios in mix — Nationwide coverge H2 2019 enabled by — 5G traffic per user 3x LTE Ericsson Spectrum Sharing 2019-09-18 | 5G Today: Trends and Insights | | Page 20 5G market insights 5G phones - First line-up Mid-band/3.5GHz and/or High-band/28GHz support first out Motorola MOTO X Oppo Reno 5G Samsung Galaxy S10 LG V50 ThinQ 5G Xiaomi Mi Mix 3 5G — Launched in April 2019 — Launched in EU — Launched in Korea — Launched in Korea — Launched in EU — Clip-on with Qualcomm — Qualcomm Snapdragon — Qualcomm Snapdragon 855 — Qualcomm — Qualcomm Snapdragon 855 855 chipset chipset - USA/LATAM, China Snapdragon 855 Snapdragon 855 — 5G: high-band module for Moto — 5G: mid-band 3.5GHz — Exynos 9820 – EMEA chipset chipset Z3 and Moto Z2 phones — 5G: mid-band 3.5GHz and — 5G: mid-band 3.5GHz — 5G: mid-band 3.5GHz — LTE: Cat 16 1Gbps high-band 28GHz depending — LTE Advanced — U.S.
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