6CW- TNV •/4'.3 / i j

LabourLabour InformationInformation SysteinSystem

()(Egypt) PhasePhase 1I

ProjectProject No.No. 86-0186-0182 82 ISN:ISN: 1287212872

IinpactImpact AssessmentAssessment RepoflReport

GomiaGouda ,4bdci-Khafek,Abdel-Khafek, Ph.D.Ph. D.

CairoCairo University, Egypt

Final Version

November, 1997

tr. AS Tabletale of Goutents:Contents: !!a!? .. ListList of Acronyms ji11

1. Background 1

II.11. ObjecfivesObjectives 2

III.Ill. Inputs/ActivitiesInputsIActivities 3

IV. Outputsoutputs 7

V.y. Outputs-unintendedOutputs-unintended 13

VI Reach 14

Annexes 17

1 IistList of Acronvms:

CAPMAS : Central Agency for PubliePublic Mobilization and Statistics.

CIDSC : Cabinet Information and Decision Support Center.

ILO International Labour Office.

LFSS Labour Force Sample Survey.

LIS Labour Information System.

UNDPUNDP United Nations DevelopmentDevelopment Programme.Programme. 1.I. Background: The originorigm of this project may be traced traced back to an ILO/UNIDPLO/UNDP employment strategy mission to Egypt inin 1980. The mission's mission’s reportreport stressed the urgent need for development. By revealmgrevealing strong malad- justment in various labour markets in the face of socio-econornic socio-economic changes, the report report called for more policy formation and planning. Deeper understanding of the working workmg of various labour markets (rural public private and foreign) became more urgent in thethe light of the domestic and regional developments which followed 1980.

In particular, a growing need was felt for:

* Identifying the sources, determinants, composition audand impactimpact of outward and retanreturn migration;

* understanding the lmkageslinkages between the educational systernsystem and thethe supply of labour.

* Mapping changes iiiin thethe earning structarestructure and differentials therein.

* * analyzing deterrninantsdeterminants of productivity.productivity

Consequently, an urgent need was felt for the establishrnentestablishment of a labour informationinformation system to guide policy formulation and decision makingmakmg regardingregardmg employment and related policy areas such as wages and incomes, subsidies, and training. The Labour Information System project was to address sornesome of of these concenisconcerns by providing an operational tool for aiding the employment-policy choices.

1 Ii.11. Objcctives:Objectives:

Against tbishs background,backgound, the overalioverall objective of thethe Labour InforrnationInformation System project was toto build an informationmformation system for the collection, storage and analysis of information and data on the labourlabour markets in Egypt, and to conduct associated research.

According to thethe project proposal document.document, the specific objectives were: (a) To conduct a number of studies toto bridge existing information gaps regarding various labour markets, markets, taking takmg into consideration recent developments, conditions and problems in different labour markets.

(b) To organize existing and newly collected data hitointo an efficient inforniationinformation system that will give easy access to thethe data necessarynecessaq for policy-oriented research and for decision inaking,malung, and which allows identification of basic interactionsinteractions underlying the funetioning functioning of labour labour markets.

(c) To undertake sornesome preliminary modeling work aiming at identifyingidentifying employment modeismodels most appropriate for the needs of Egyptian policy makers, and eventually leading to the construction of a prototype experimental computerized model on labour. Information obtained by the evaluator through interviewsinterviews (see Annex 4) indicated that the project project was originallyorigmally a modeling exercise only, but itit was soon later decided to focus on thethe data-collection aM and specific studies to fuifill thethe inforrnationinformation gap before modeling. But eventually the model-building part of the project had to be dropped. This may be an indication thatthat an overly

2 arnbitiousambitious aid and perhapsperhaps unrealistieunrealistic research proposal proposal was approved,approved, onlyonly toto discoverdiscover af'terafter work hadhad begun that it cannotcannot be implemented. 111.Ill. lnputs/Activitics:Inputs/Activities:

(1)(I) InputsInputs ofof different types and of various various sources werewere mobilizedmobilized for the projects.projects. There were inputsinputs inin rnoneymoney terrnsterms andand inputsinputs inin kind.kmd. There were inputsinputs fromfrom IDRCIDRC from CAPMAS, and sorne some expected from thethe ILO.ILO. UJRCIDRC contributedcontributed a grantgrant ofof 340 000 CAD. According toto thethe Project Completion Report-PCR (dated 08/31/1993),0813 1/1993), CAPMAS was granted $ 340 000 CAD for the initialinitial duration of 36 rnonths.months. An additional amount of $ 1400 CAD was later granted along with a six- rnonthmonth extensionextension in 1990,1990. The project officially started SeptemberSeptember 1, 1987,987, and the cornpletioncompletion date was extended toto March 3 1, 19911991. Actual disbursernentdisbursement was $ 296889.10 only, as per PCR.

(2) QnOn its part, CAPMAS as the deliveiydelivery agent contributed the equivalent of 306000 CAD inin kind. Its contribution covered the costs of al!all five special surveys and add-on modules to on-going surveys, for which a total of 240 000 CAD was budgeted. In addition, CAPMAS contributed in kindlund the equivalent of 66 000 CAD for publications and support services.

(3) In the early stages of the project, the ILOLO was expected to be involved in helping get the rnodelingmodeling work started. LOILO contribution was to be in kind, not in money, by providing the requisite expertise in the area of modelingrnodeling labour markets and in labour surveys and database design to CAPMAS. As the specific objectives of the project were changed not too long after its start, the targettaiget of constructing the prototype experimental computerized rnodelmodel on labour was dropped. The contribution and

3 involvement of ILO as a collaborating agent in this project therefore therefore never materialized.

(4) In addition to the aboyeabove inputs in money and iiiin kind, IDRCIDRC processed a consultancy contract for Dr. Nader Fergany, the technicaltechnical director of the project. That was inin April 1991, after the actual completion of thethe project. According loto the PCR, dicthe consultancy was intendedintended loto finance the preparation and publication of a repofireport on the methodologymethodology and main findirigsfindings of the the October 1988 Round of the LFSS in both Arabic and English.English. the reportreport was tilled:titled: "Design,“Design, Implementation, and Appraisal of thethe October 1988 Round of the LFSS."LFSS.”

(5) The main activities of the LIS project are two: the labour force and employrnentemployment informationmformation system, and special studies:

(a) The Labour Force Information System involves twotwo activities: buildingbuildmg the tools and institutionalizing thethe process.

First,- building system tools covers several activities :

- trilingual (Arabic/EnglisblFrench)(ArabicEnglisldFrench) thesaurus for labour force and employment terniinology, terminology, in collaboration with the Arab Employmeut Employment Agency in TangierTanger (CAPMAS had loto abandon jIsits effort ínin this area, and loto adopt the output of the Arab Employment Agency);

- an organized bibliographic store of documents, studies anci and research material on labour force and employment in Egypt;

- a set of statistical databases on labour force and employment in Egypt. The main variables in the statistical databases are: employmentemployment by sector/segmentlage/sex/skill/worksector/segment/agelsex/skill/work status-location; labour productivity by a similar breakdown; wages oror labour income income by aa similar breakdown, labour supp]y supply and unemployinent unemployment by age / sex / skill / location:location; under-

4 employiiienteiiiploymcril ineasures;ineastires; househo~dliousehold iiicoinesineomes aid theirIheir distributioii.distribution. A number of additional variables were loto be incorporated.incorporaled. DataDala to be

obtained fromfroin on-going surveys andaiid add on modulesinodules Loto these surveys. But five special surveys were conducted especially for lhisthis project: for job vacancies, multiplernultiple jobs, productivity, iiifonnalinformal sector, and construction.constructíon

The central tool of the labour force informalioninfonnation system is obviously the statisticalstatisticai databases. They also acconntedaccounted for the largest share of the project budget (54% of the total).

Second, institutionalizinginstitutionaliziiig a dynarnicdynamic process of infonnationinfonnatioii use andaiid analysis iniii policy formulation and decision making based on these tools.

The labour force information infonnation systeinsysteiii is the core of the LIS project. TlieThe concept introduced iiiin tliethe PPD is a very interesting and promising one. According toto that concept, the structure ofof thethe labour forceforce infonnationinfonnatioii

system as suggested jain Ihethe LIS projectproject niaymay be scheniatically illustraledillustrated as

foliows:follows: (Fergany,(Fergany, PreliminarvPreliminan, ReportReport Gil.Gil, Dec. 1990, 1990, P. 8):

StructureStructure ofof ErnployrnetEinployinet InformationIiifonnation System

Literature Jssues & Po!icy Review Analysis

Determination of Research Problems and Needed Data

riformation Securing Data system frorn from from Development Available Specia Statisticai & Updating Sources Surveys Operations

TL Analysis Theoreticat 1 Applied 1 Modelting 4' palpolicy icy RecommendatRecommendations jons 55 (b)(b) TheThe SpecialSDecial StudiesStudies represent represent thethe otherother mainmain activityactivity underunder thethe LISLIS project.project. Nine Nine specialspecial studiesstudies werewere undertakenundertaken inin thethe coursecourse of the the project:

-- OpenOpen unemployment,

- Emigration forfor work,

- LabourLabour mobility andand disequilibriumdisequilibrium inin thethe labour market,

- EarningEarning structures and costcost of living, living,

- Productivity leveislevels & determinants in manufacturing,manufacturing,

- Structure and performance of informal sector,

- Recent developments inin employment in construction,construction;

-Women,- Women, and

- Children.

One of the interesting organizational iimovationsinnovations iniii this project was the extensive use of the concept of networlung.networking. The resources required for carrying out the project were mobilized in cluster formations

(see Annex 1).

Steering Committee

Project Manger Group

Databases and InformationIiiformation System Group

Research GroupGroup 1

6 ResearchResearch GroupGroup 22

ResearchResearch GroupGroup 33

ConsultantConsultant NetworkNetwork

DataData CollectionCollection Team

InputsInputs into into the the project project includeinclude PC-computer, PC-computer, 8080 hours ofof host computercomputer time, photocopying photocopying and printing ofof questionnairesquestionnaires andand publications, lvw. Outputs:outputs:

TheThe outputsoutputs ofof thethe project were were identified in the Project Proposal Document (PPD) as foliows:follows: * * Labour force/employment informationinfomation system, which included a trilingual (Arabic, English and French) thesaurusthesaurus of labour and employment and database.

* Prototype experimental computerized model on labour;

* Mechanisms to ensure the flow of mformationinformation to and fiomfrom the users, Part of the mechanisms was to set up a Steering ConunitteeCommittee (with weekly meetings).

These were the initial / intended outputs. The eventual / actual outputs differed significantly. It included neither the therausus, nor the prototype experimental capaterized needed on labour. As already mentioned the prototype experimental computerized model on labour had toto be droped, but only after somesorne time and effort went intointo that venture. As work progress, it was felt that establishmgestablishing a solid and more reliable database shouldshould be assignedassigned hgherbigher priority, and should come first.first, The magnitude and variety of changes impactingiinpacting on labour

7 rnarketlemploymentmarket/employment situation since since the the mid-seventies mid-seventies called for aa majormajor effort for stock-takingstock-taking and and understanding, before venturing into building anyany modeis. models. This may actuallyactually pomtpoint out oneone ofof thethe lessonslessons toto be learut: learnt: careful,careful. attentionattention itin defmingdefining researchresearch priorityprioritv is essential itin order to avoid wastingwasting valuable resources resources and toto ensure that that projectsuroiects develop systernaticallysvsteinatically and and toto fruitfullyfimitfullv deliver the outputsournuts stipulatedstiuulated itin thethe projecturoiect proposalproposal documentdocument (PPD).(PPD).

WithWith regard toto the thesaurus thesaurus of labourlabour and employment, employment, ititwas was decided to collaborate with the Arab Employment Agency in Tangier which hadbad already made progress itin preparing such a thesaurus. CAPMAS throughthrough the LIS project, was content toto rely on the Arab ErnployrnentEmployment Agency for the task of preparing a thesaurus of labour and employment, and adopted that thesaurus.thesaurus.

liiIn fact, the inainmain intended outpuls outputs of thethe project which did materialize eventually are the labour/employment labouriemployment database and the 9 specific studies.

IV.A.1V.A. The Database:

With the adoption of the labour and employment thesaurus produced by the Arab Employment Agency, CAPMAS centered its labour information system around a number of statistical databases. In particular, there were two databases on the leve!level of individuals audand four on the levelleve! of economic units.

On the tevellevel of individuals, two databases were constructed during the project - one from the survey of construction workers, and the other from the October 1988 LFSS. In addition, four databases at the levelleve! of

8 the establishmentleconomic unit were created; one for each of the specific studies on thethe construction sector, productivity in manufacturing, informal economic activity, and earnings pattems.patterns.

A number of statistical databases for employment issues or employment uin certamcertain sectors, inin addition toto the database for the construction sector, were developed on PC in order to serve thethe needs of specialized users. An attempt was made to link them in an integrated system. But the database on the mainframe computer was meant to be the main employment database.

Perhaps the most important component of the the information system under the LIS project was the October 1988 roundround of the Labour Force Sample Survey (LFSS). CAPIvIASCAPMAS used to conduct the LFSS arinuallyannually prior to 1987. Starting that year, the survey was takentaken onoua a quarterly basis. The October 1988 round of the LFSS was significantlysigmficantly modified to provide thethe needed databases as part ofof the LIS. Add-on modules were introduced and modifications were made such that that thethe October October 1988 round ofofthethe LFSS was the main vehicle for collecting data for al!all but one of the studies undertaken within thethe project. The LFSS was designed toto estimate inter- census data on the total total population, working-age workmg-age population and labour force, and their distribution byby region, socio-demographicsocio-demographc characteristics, economic sector and industry.

This survey was considered by thethe delivery agent (CAPMAS) to be the key vehicle for monitoring unemp!oyment unemployment leve!s.levels. Therefore, the October 1988 round of the LFSS was redesigned to broaden and deepen the measurement of employment attributes at a high level of quality. For this purpose, a a section on labour migrants was added to a slightly reduced version of the standard household (HH)(m schedule. On toptop of thethe HH

9 schedule, thethe followingfoliowing set of 9 add-on individual modules (administered( administered only toto person concemed)concerned) were introduced:

lA.1A. basic characteristics,

lB.1B. employment characteristics,

1. labour mobility,

3. agricultura!agncultural labour occasionally employed in construction,

4. employment of women,

5. employment of children,

b. characteristic of the economic unit ofof employment,

7. eamings,earnings,

8.8 return migrantmigrant.

Before datadata collection.collection; thethe survey survey instruments were pre-tested in in August 1988 inin both rural rural andand urban urban !ocations, locations, andand thethe results ofofthe the pretest were thenthen usedused to refine the fie!dfield instrumentsinstruments inin September. In October, thethe surveysurvey was conducted using a multi-stage stratified random sample ofof 10 000 dwe!!ingdwelling units drawn from 150 prirnaryprimary sampling units (PSUs). The samplesample was designeddesigned on thethe basis of the the samples ofof twotwo earlier rounds ofof CAPMAS LFSS master sample. Extreme carecare and attention waswas takentaken inin training fleidfield enumerators.enumerators. (For details onon thethe design and implementation implementation of the the October 1988 roundround of the the LFSS, see Fergany, Pre!irninaryPreliminary Report G12, DecemberDecember 1990). As a result, thethe October 1988 roundround liadhad many advantages; notably the improved sample spreadspread ovarover thethe country.country, special attention toto capture participation of wornenwomen andand children iiiin econoniiceconomic activity moremore accurate!y,accurately, and careflul careful deflnitions definitions and and measurementsmeasurements of employment and and unemployment. ButBut thisthis carnecame atat a not

lo10 insignificantinsiguficant cost; its resultsresults may not be strictly comparable to thosethose of other rounds.

According to thethe technical director of the project, itit is probably inin the area of institutionalizing the use of thethe information system that the project had achieved the the least (Fergany, PreliminaryPreliminani ReportReuort Gil,G/1, Dec. 1990, P. 14). He seems toto base thisjudgmentthis judgment on a number of factors. factors. First,- the fact that the Steering Committee of the project met only twice over thethe entire project life,life, thusthus missing a valuable opportunity to guide the research activity for policy formulation and analysis on a more systematic basis. Second, project team did not givegve enoughenough attention to the institutionalization of the infonnationinformation system üin the process of policy analysis. So only one eomponentcomponent of the infonnationinformation system viz, databases emerged importantimportant as that may be. But the task of building a true information system, asas illustratedillustrated on P.P. 5 aboyeabove remains toto bebe accomplished.

But itit isis perhaps more disconcerting to discover that that even thethe databases thatthat resulted resulted fromfrom thethe project were atat best not accessible toto researchers, eveneven toto somesome researchersresearchers who werewere involvedinvolved inin thethe project.project. In interviewsinterviews with Dr.Dr. Awad M. Hallouda,Hallouda, thethe ProjectProject Leader andand formerformer president ofof CAPMAS, Dr. Nader Fergany, thethe TechnicalTechnical Director,Director, and Dr.Dr. Abdel-Latif Abdel-Latf El-Heneidy (a(a former CAPMAS high offlcialofficial who waswas heavilyheavily involvedinvolved iiiin the Project), they mentioned mentioned thatthat some formerformer teamteam members (Dr. Ragui Assaad andand Dr. SoadSoad Kamel) were denied access toto thethe databasesdatabases on the construction sector andand the informallnformal sector.sector. ItIt seems thatthat the the chaiige change inin Ieadershipleadership at CAPMAS has negatively affectedaffected thethe LIS project. Our effort toto trace thethe databases that resulted from from the project were furstrated; thethe new Ieadership leadership of CAPMAS was not reallyreally

JI forthcomingforthcoming inin makingmaking availableavailable toto thethe evaluatorevaluator 11wthe materialmaterial hehe requestedrequested toto completecomplete hishis assessment, despite repeated atteinpts.attempts (see Annex 3 for officialofficial correspondence).correspondence)

LV.B.1V.B. TheThe SpccialSpecial Studies:Studies:

The project proposal documentdocument identifiedidentified 99 specificspecific studies.studies. It It waswas laterlater decided toto conductconduct another study to analyze employment iiiin the governmentgovernment and public sector, whichwhich was then dropped because no qualifiedqualified researcherresearcher was available inin timetime for thethe study. In addition sornesome ofof the studies originally envisaged at thethe beginningbeginning ofof the the project (such as studies on agriculture, choice choice of technology and employment in joint ventares)ventures) has to be dropped because of difficulties encountereclencountered in carrying them out. The frnalfuial set of speciaspecial studies was thus:

1. employrnentemployment and unemployment,

2. labour mobility,

3. earnings,

4. return migration,migration;

5. conconstruction; struction,

6. informal economic activity,activitv,

7. productivity in manufacturing,

8. women, and

9. children.children

12 The evaluator liadhad a chance toto seesee onlyonly thethe preliminarypreliminary reports of sornesome of these studies which were distributeddistributed inin thethe conferenceconference of January January 19911991. Repeated attempts attempts toto secure these studies fromfrom CAPMASCAPMAS werewere stifled, thanksthanks to the attitudedattituded of the the newnew leadership.leaderslnp.

According to to infonnationinformation from Dr.Dr. Fergany andand Dr.Dr. Hal!ouda,Hallouda, the final reports of of al!all thethe studiesstudles have been prepared -. WeWe have really takentaken pains toto obtainobtain a fiI!full setset of what is avai!able.available. Initia!Initial contactscontacts with CAPMAS indicate that getting copies of a!Iall thethe studiesstudies maymay bebe too difficult. Our investigation revealedrevealed that such valuable documents are not part ofof the co!lectioncollection of sornesome ofof the rnainmain !ibrarieslibraries iiiin Cairo.Cairo. (Dr.or. Abdel- Latif Heneidy personal!y personally has copies of # 3.4.8,9).3.4.8,9). Written request request addressed toto CAPMAS, phone cal!s,calls, rneetingsmeetings withwith CAPMAS staffturnedstaff turned out to be unrewarding. unrewarding. WeWe did notnot get required rnaterial material in order to complete our assessrnent.assessment. The intervention of IDRC/MEROIDRC/MERO regional director diddd not helphelp (see(see Annex 33 forfor entensive correspondence).

Y.V. Outputs-unintended:

1. The project proved inadvertent!y inadvertently usefliluseful on such an irnportantimportant occasion as thethe baqiIraqi invasion of in August 1990.1990. That event was foto trigger large-scale and sudden retur» return migration of Egyptian !abourlabour from Iraq and the Gu!fGulf countries. To cope with massive popu!ationpopulation rnovement movement during a short period, a reliable infonnationinformation base was needed. NereHere is where the LIS project proved inva!uab!e. invaluable. According to Dr. Ha!loudaHallouda (interview, Wed. 15/5/87), data co!!ectedcollected under the LIS project served as the basis of estirnate estimate of the number of return migrants inin the neighborhood of 180 000, which carnecame quite close to thethe actual number. llisThis proved of invaluabieinvaluable help for the strategic p!anningplanning and mobi!izationmobilization operation set in

13 motion to cope with transport, shelter, etc,etc. of Egyptian returnees fromfiom the Gulf and Iraq.

2. IheThe project created, at least for a while, more and better awareness of thethe labour/employmentlabouriemployment situationsituation in Egypt. Results' of work under the project werewere disserninateddisseminated in the Jan. 1991 conference in Cairo. In addition, Dr. Hallouda presented a policy-oriented paper based on work under the project in Argentina. Dr. Fergany published an abridged version of thethe study on the general features of employment inin thetbe domestic economy. (Fergany(Fergany 1991 and 1992-3). Dr. Hallouda and Dr. Heneidy Co- authored a paper based partly on work under the project. (see Annex 2).

33. The TILOLO is now interested to follow up the data-coflectiondata-collection effort undertaken within thethe project.

%T1\'I. Reach:

1. The first beneficiary of this th~s project is the delivervdelivery agency itself-itself- CAPMAS. It has had a chance throughthrough thethe project to upgrade its capacity as a data-producing agency. CAPMAS vaswas also able to interact with outside professionals and other agencies (TLO(ILO and the Arab EmployrnentEmployment Agency). The physical infrastructure at CAPMAS has also been augmented Uyby the equipment procured under lEethe project.

2. Egyptian decision makers also are among the beneficiaries, since the databases established established under the project provided them with extremelyextrernely valuable, and timely, information upon which to base their decisiorisdecisions and to cope with sudden crises.

3. StaifStaff at CAPMAS and elsewhere also had the opportunity to benefit inin many ways. SorneSome 20-25 CAPMAS staifstaff have undergone

14 technical training and gained experience through being involved in the project. SorneSome of theni them even found market for their newly-acquired slullsskills at rnuch much higher compensation outside CAPMAS, both in Egypt and abroad. This is a good example of externalities; for those people, the project sponsored by IDRC and implementedimplernented by CAPMAS enhanced their professional career opportunities and availed them of the opportunity to eamearn bigherhgher incornes.incomes. Unfortunately, we were unable to quantify this aspect of the benefits of the project because of the lacklack of information; many of thosethose people have already left CAPMAS and they could not be traced.

4. Researchers are also among the users //beneficiaries beneficiaries of the the fruitshits of this project. A largolarge number of researchers drawn from the Institute of National Planning, , A1-AzharAl-Mar University, the MinistryMmistry of Planning,Planning, the Ministry of Education, and thethe MinistryWstry of Labour andand Migration, tooktook panpart in thethe Project in variousvarious capacities,capacities, andand hence were able toto advanceadvance their careerscareers andand alsoalso augrnentaugment their incomes.incomes. But research workers at at large areare also potentialpotential beneficiaries andand users of the databases and special studies, whichwhch definitely fihled filled anan irnportant important information gapgap inin such a critical areaarea as socio-econornicsocio-economic datadata // information.information.

5.5. DecisionDecision makers makers usedused thethe resultsresults of of thethe Project andand benefittedbenefitted frornfrom Ihethe resources resources itit helped helped create. create. They were thusthus betterbetter able toto cope with sornesome emergenciesemergencies -- such asas the circumstancescircumstances resultingresultmg from the IraqiIraqi invasioninvasion of of Kuwait, Kuwait, which triggeredtriggered rnassivemassive movernentmovement ofof Egyptians backback ftornfrom Iraq Iraq and the the GuIfGulf overover a veryvery shortshort period.period. TheThe ProjectProject providedprovided tirnelytimely datadata and inforrnationmformation thatthat helpedhelped inin estimatingestimating thethe probableprobable size andand

1515 determining characteristies characteristics of the mass returnees in the last last quarter of 1990.

6. Caution should be expressed, however,, in drawing conclusions. There isis a real problem of accessibility of the databases established under the project. As already mentioned, the evaluator, on lishis own and with the support of IDRC, made an mtensiveintensive effort to get access to the products of the project. This involved telephone calis, calls, visits to CAPMAS and protracted correspondence. (see Annex 3). Despite tIcthe effort, he was denied access to the main outputs of the project. ThisThs may be explained by a number of factor& factors. First, the change in leadershipleadershp at CAPMAS. The former President (Dr. Hallouda)Hallouda) had a much stronger commitment to thethe LIS project, which uníortunatelyunfortunately was lotnot shared by his successor (General Ehab Aloui). Second.Second, the changes iTain the socio-economic environment within which CAPTVIASCAPMAS operates (deregulation, privatization, etc.) may have forced re-orientation of that organization. Finaily,Finally, the establishment of a somewhat competing outfjt,outfit, the Cabinet InforaintionInforamtion and Decision Support Center (CIDSC), with more resources and inuchmuch more visibility, musimust have reduced CAPMAS'CAPMAS’ role and stature.

16 Annexes:

Annex 1: Research Team Groups, Committees, etc.

Annex 2: Publications Based on Project.

AimexAnnex 3: Correspondence.

Annex 4: Meetings, Meetings.

17 AnnexAnnex 1:1: Research Team

1. SteerinESteering Committee:

The membershipmembershp ofof thethe steeringsteering committeecommittee comprises govemmentgovernment functionariesfunctionaries atat thethe po!icypolicy formulation leve! level inin ministries and agenciesagencies reiatedrelated toto employment asas wel!well as specialistsspecialists inin thethe studystudy of emp!oyment.employment. The cornmitteecommittee isis responsibleresponsible forfor thethe assessmentassessment of policy policy analysisanalysis andand researchresearch outputs and isis toto meetmeet periodica!ly.periodically. ItIt consists ofof

1 •.I. L PresidentPresident of of CAPMASCAPMAS

1 .2.2. Representative of Ministry of Planning

1 .3.3. Representative of Ministry Mmistry of Labour Force and Training

1.4. Representative of Ministr Mmistry of Migration

11.5. .5. Representative of Ministry Mmistry of Education

Thefle project manager and four group leaders,!eaders, mentioned in items no. 2,3,4,5, and 6, are members of the steering committee.

2. ProjeetProiect ManaperManager Group:

IheThe project manager group is respondible for developing and follow-upfo!low-up of executive plans,p!ans, setting project standards, conducting policy analysis at the national level,leve!, and performing interrelated and administrative activities. The group consists of

2.1. Project manager, Ph.D.

2.2. Vice-Project ManagerManager of the project, Ph.DPh.D.

18 2.3. Secretary, B.Sc.

2.4. Typist, Diploma.Diploma

3. Databses andami Information Systems Grow:Group:

This group is responsible for developing research databases and thethe labour-force informationinformation system. It consists of

3.1. Leader,Ph.D.Leader, Ph.D.

3.2.3.2. Systems analyst, M.Sc.

3.3. Programnier, Programmer, M.Sc.MSc.

3.4. Statistical Analyst, MS.M.S.

35.3.5. Documentalists, B.Sc.BSc.

3.6. IwoTwo information specialists to develop and up-date thethe thesaurus,thesaurus, B.Sc.

4. Research Group No. 1:

TIiisThis group isis responsibleresponsible for conduetingconducting researchresearch topicstopics number 1,2, and 3. It consists of

4.1.4.1. Leader,Ph.D. Leader. Ph.D.

4.24.2. AssistantAssistant onon researchresearch topietopic numbernumber 1,M.Sc.1,M.Sc.

4.3.4.3. AssistantAssistant on research topictopic numbernumber 2,2, M.Sc.M.Sc

4.4.4.4. Assistant onon researchresearch topictopic numbernumber 3,3, M.Sc.M.Sc

1919 5. Research GroupGrow No. 2:

This group is responsible for conducting research topiestopics number 4,5, and 6.6 It consists of

5.1. Leader,Ph.D.Leader. Ph.D.

5.2. Assistant on researchresearch topietopic number 4, M.Sc.

5.3. Assistant on research topic number 5, M.Sc.M.Sc

5.4. Assistant mion research topic number 6. M.Sc.M.Sc

6. Research GroupGrow No. 3:

This group isis responsibleresponsible for conducting research topiestopics number 7,8, and 9. It consists of

6.1.6.1. Leader,Leader, Ph.D.

6.2.6.2 AssistantAssistant onon researchresearch topic number 7, M.Sc.

6.3. AssistantAssistant onon researchresearch topictopic number 8, M.Sc.

6.4.6.4. Assistant on research topictopic number 9, M.Sc.

7. AA Network of Consultants:Consultants:

7.1.7.1. Local Consultant on ,Economics, Ph.D.

7.2.7.2. LocalLocal ConsultantConsultant onon hiformationInformation Systems, Ph.D.Ph.D

7.3.7.3. ForeignForeign ConsultantConsultant onon LaborLabor Force, Ph.D.

7.4.7.4. Foreign ConsultantConsultant onon DatabaseDatabase Design, Ph.D.Ph.D.

2020 •. Ad-hoc flataData Collection Team (See(See RAP BudgetBudget Line Item Y:V: SpecialSpecial Surveys).Surveys)

8.1.8.1 Supervisor,Supervisor, M.Sc/B.Sc.

8.2. Five Researchers, B.Sc.

8.3.8.3. Twenty Research TnterviewersInterviewers 9. EguiymentEquipment andand Services:Services:

9.1. PC-CornputerPC-Computer

9.2. Host Computer time (80 Bis)Hrs)

9.3. Printing of Publications

9.4. Photocopying

9.5. Stationery

9.6. Office rents (ineluding(including services and ftirniture)furniture) 9.7. Travel

9.7.1.9,7.1. Local

9.7.2. International

9.8. Research librarylibraiy and Communications with other bibliographic databses. 9.9. Maintenance and Insurance

9.109.10. Miscellaneous (Hospitality, Workshop services, 'Visitors,Visitors, ...). . .)

21 Annex 2: Publications Based on Project:

1. CAPMAS, LIS Project, "Results“Results of the Labour Force Sample Survey FourtbFourth Quarter 1988",1988”, December, 1990.

2. Nader Fergany, "Overview“Overview of the informationInformation System, Design and Achievement "December“December 1990.

3. Nader Ferganv,Fergany, "Design,“Design, implementationImplementation and Appraisal of the October 1988 Round of the LFSS",LFSS”, DecemberDecember 1990.

4.4 Nader Fergany, "Measurement“Measurement of employrnent, employment, unernployrnentunemployment anciand under-ernploymentunder-employment from the October 1988, Labour Force SampleSample Survey inm Egypt",Egypt”, Bulletin of Labour Statistics 1992-3. 1992-3

5. Awad M. Hallouda and Abdel-LatifAbdel-LatifEl-Heneidy, El-Heneidy, "Policies“Policies of Egyptian Labour MigTationMigration for Work"Work” JanuazyJanuary 1I992 992 (Arabie).(Arabic)

22 AnnnexAunnex 3:3: Correspondence

23, AnnexAnnex 4:4: MeetingsMeetings

- MayMay 5,5, 1997, withDr.withDr. NaderNader Fergany, TechnicalTechcal DirectorDirector ofof thethe Project.Project.

- MayMay 14,14, 1997,1997, with Dr. Awad M. Hallouda former Predsisent ofof CAPMAS audand Dr. Abdel-LatifEl-Heneidy,Abdel-Latif El-Heneidy, adviser toto CAPMAS President.

- July 2, 1997, with Mr. IbrahimIbralum ElEl Herrawy head of Public Mobilization Sector, CAPMAS and Dr. Abdel-Latif EI-HeneidyEl-Heneidy

24 IDRC CRDICADI (b;C) L1JS ,fl Uj.$>a International Development Research Centre

I Centre de Recherches Pour le A~ ~ ~ u a Centre de Recherche Pour le DéveloppementDBveloppement IntematioDalIntematioraI . -. Dr. Ehab Oulwy June 1O,10,'1997 1997 PresidentF'resident Central Agency for Public Mobilization —- Agency and Statistics (CAPMAS) Nasr, City, Cairo, EgypiEgypt

Dear Dr. Oulwy: -

Over the past twenty-five years, IleThe International Development Research CeAtreCedtre of Canada (TDRC)(IDRC) has supportedsuppor~eda large number of ofresearchresearch projects in EgyptEgypt. While the Centre has invested considerable resources iiiin evaluating the activities it has fiinded,funded, there is a need now for IDRC loto expand its knowledge of the resultsresults and inipactimpact that its supported research have had on the development agenda amiand thethe research capacity of the recípientrecipient insituüonsinsitutions in Egypt. This exercise is a part of a largerlarger study that aims at examining whetherrnwhethem development research contributes to to the overall social and in the TbirdThird World.

InIn lightlight ofofthethe aboye.above, thethe Evaluation Unit of IDRC inin cooperation with the MiddlleMiddle East East and NorthNorth Áh4biAfrica fejinalregonal officoffic iiiin CairoCairo is conducting a surveysurvey of a seictedselcted numbernumber ofof IDRC CornpletedCompleted Projects in in Egypt to leamlearn whether IDRC's supportsupport has made a difference, forfor whom,whom, and how fórfor the purpose ofof improving fúturefuture efforts. .. purpose improving

CAPMAS hashas been selected fromhm arnongamong [DRC IDRC partnerspartuen toto participateparticipate inin thisthis survey,survey, speciflcallyspecifically toto surveysurvey thethe projectproject entitiedentitled "Labour InformationInformation System" whichwhich waswas carried-outcarried-out byby CAPMAS inin 19861986 with with IDRCIDRC supportsupport andand funding.fimding. Dr.Dr. GeudaGouda Abdel-Khalek,Abdel-Khalek, whowho isis oneone of thethe priniciplepriniciple coordinatorscoordinators contractedcontracted by IDRCIDRC forfor thithis evaluationevaluation study, will bebe contactingcontacting you shortlyshortly to to seekseek moremore informationinformation onon thisthis project.project. %ø'wouldWwouldappreciate appreciate your cooperationcooperation inin providingproviding Dr.Dr. Abdel-Abdel- KhalekKhalek with thethe informationinformationrequired required to to completecomplete thisthis survey.survey. YourYour timetime spentspent withwith him Qnon thisthis issueissue willwill bebe highlyhighly appreciatedappreciated byby IDRC.IDRC.

. [wouldI would likelike toto thankthank youyou forfor cooperatingcooperatingwith with usus inin thisthis efforteffort ix'inthe the hopehope thatthat it it willwill contribule contribute toto thethe improvementimprovement ofof IDRC'sIDRC's capacitycapacity toto serveserve itsits nationalnational partners.partners.

Dr.Dr. FawzyFawzy KishkKishk RegionalRegional DirectorDirector

cc.cc. Dr.Dr. G.G. Abdel-KhalekAbdel-Khalek

MiddleEast aral Nonh AfijaRegional Office, 3 AmmanSqun 5tb Floor.DokkL Cairo, Eg3% PO. Box 14.Onnia, Giza. Fax: 336.1056. CABLE: IDRICMERO Tel. 336-7031,336-7052,336.7053,- 336-7054 ,bM, iJI jaJI, r Jk4, Ja..&I JM,,aJ)'I ,..SI etc,¡pUM, IjOI -,$.r it litad Office/SiégtSocial: 250 Albat Sfre&me Albert,?.O. foxIB? t500. Otan Canada K1G 3H Tel/Té!:(613) 2364163Cable: RECENTRE Telex ITMer 053-3733,FaxI Té!écopie:(613) 238-7230 At J)r. Cj-ou4ck /bd.oJ-KhQUJ. ARAR ItEPUBUC OF EGYfl

CENTIAL &$€EV FN PUIUC MUBILISATiON ANO $IAUSTIcZ CITY. 04110 tos. pose Cas,. 1,øWl t.Á% h.1e .onu tsl.pltoa* 1 - 23U CAPItAl UN Teisa 9ssn caus un - cfliaa óAP4.kW CAZ$o. ..w...i Fax (202) 4024099

Rd csiro 23 June 1997

Dear I Dear Dr.Dr, Xiahk,Kirhk, I r WicbWich referencreferencq to your fax dated lO10 June 1997 concerning Chethe Labour InformaionInforzaqion SyktemSyntem Project. 1I youldwould like 'jo ittorminform you that Dr. Gouda Abdel—KhalekAbdel-Khalek Laia wetcomedwelcomed tuto visitvisLt CARMASCAPHAS on Tueeday,Tueaday, lar1st uiof July 1997,at 10.00 a.m.a,m. tp ineec1themeet the ,ReadHead of the Public Habilisation)fobiLisat jan Sector tuto discuasdiscua8 CPethe rcqdeated info.riatlonfniormetfon unon thlsthis pruject.profect. reqÜeatedI FicasePlease confir Confir.'9.' SenBeet rt$ards.regards. I Youts I Youts sinearely,sincerely,

EL—SayedEl-Sayed A. MonafaMoacafa LindarUnder Secretary of CAPMAS ! PresidenPreaident Office Dr. FawzyPawzy Kishk,Kirhk, 1 Regional Ditattor,Director, 1 MidUleMiddle East and NothNorth Africa RegionalResional Office. ! . JDRC—CRIROIDRC-CFIIRO OFFICE 10:20—2—336—7055ID:20-2-336-7056 03 JUL'97 15:0115:Ol No.003 P.ejP.01 .. '. . 1DRClDRC CADICRDl ( id) ;i?,di L.+liLl &dl39 _____ (k t<) _ajail _- iiss.» International DevelopiiieiitDevelopnwt it flesearchResearch Centre Centre de Rechercht.sRecherchaa F3ourPour lele Ddveloppement International çc A1" A uI). A Oéveloppement

July 3, 1997

Mr. EbabEhab Aloui President CentralCentrul Agency forfor PubliePublic MohilizatiouMobilizatiou and StaüstiçtStatistics (CAPMAS) Nasr City, Cairo

Fax: (20-2) 402 4099 _c_-

DearDcar Mr:MK Aloui:

FurihorFurther to my JqteofJune1 Le of June 10 and ycuryoiir rep)yrcpJy ofaf June 23, Dr. GondaGouda Abdel-lChalekAbdel-Khrtlek mclmet with Mr.hfr. lbrabirnIbrahini ElEf % $j4rawirawi and Dr. EJEl Ht:nc;sclyHc:irr;rtly of CAPMAS mi on Wednesday July 2nd, 1997,1997. liiIn thatlhat mectingmeeting it was agreed to asicask CAPMCAYMASAS lo makemakc available to Dr. Abdel-Khalek the followrngfollowing material:

1.1. 'I'he'The finalfinal main reportreport ofofthcdic LabuL,LLabooi isttóvmationwlunnation System (LIS)(US) projeciprojwt dateddated May 1991,1991.

2. Copies ofof 99 topical studies en:on:

2.1. Enip!oymentBmployment aud and unemploymçiiiunemployrirr~~i 2.2. Labour mobility 2.3. LarningEarning StructurcStruclurc 2.4. Informal economioeconomic activity 2.5. Construction 2.6. Productivity inin manufaeturiiimanufacturiny 2.7. Retun'Return niigrationmigration 2.8. WonienWomen 2.9.2~9. Children

HualOffice / Sitgc Social: 250 Albert Street/ini Albert, PO. Box/ 8?8500 • Ottawa, Cana6a XIG 3119 Te! ITél : (613)236-6163 ah1c/CabIe: RBCflNlRI' lclcx /Télex :053-3753 Fax/T&copie : (613 ) 238.7230 Middkliagaiwtflunh AfricaRcior1OtflceP.0. llo* 14 Orinan - Gizu,3 AmmanSquarc, 5th Floor,Dokki, Caim,Egypt. SL. 1,1 I41JL SI il—L,»9I - ,L ,Ur% t Telephonc:3367051 -3367052 33471)S4- 1167054 Fax : 3367056 flbfe IDRIC?wffi_RQ TDRC—CAIROIDRC-CRIRO OFFICE ID:20—2—336—7056ID:20-2-336-7056 03 JUL'97JUL’97 15:0115:Ol No.003 P.02

22-

3. The rullyfWy dotailcddetaíkd rcsults ofthc OCWIICImind of LJSS which was conducted ~fias panpart of thethc IdsLIS project -

4. TheThc lists of CAPMAS &iffwho haw I wived training 1»in the LiSL1S project

5. JdS database. atab.Y

I take this opportunity to tbaaktbank you for ccai}Icralingccqualing with IDRC iiiin this endeavourmdcavoux and looking forward teto fütwefuture ecoperationcooperation with your niwiiiizaiion.iwpifiwAon.

Yours sinecrely,sinccrcly,

Fawzy Kishk Regional Director

cc. Dr, Dr, Gouda Abdel-Khalek ... ,;I, 4,,, 4WIWJG,tl'IUN& - N4SR Gil? II Ñ.I• C.

CAiRO: / /1996

1

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/7 I-

AnnnexAiinnex 3: CorrcspondeneeCorrespondence

2323