YouGov 2014 Final Pre-election Poll

Sample 1137 Likely Voters Conducted October 25-31, 2014 Margin of Error ±4.8%

1. Are you registered to vote in Kansas?

Yes ...... 100% No ...... 0% Notsure ...... 0%

2. Which political party are you registered as?

Registered as a Republican ...... 50% Registered as a Democrat ...... 22% Not registered with a party ...... 23% Registered as other party ...... 2% Notsure ...... 2% Not registered to vote ...... 0%

3. Which candidate did you vote for in the 2012 Presidential election?

Barack Obama (Democrat) ...... 33% (Republican) ...... 49% Other candidate ...... 2% I did not vote ...... 16%

4. Which candidate did you vote for in the election for U.S. Senator from Kansas in 2010?

Lisa Johnston (Democrat) ...... 22% Jerry Moran (Republican) ...... 53% Other candidate ...... 1% Voted in a different state ...... 8% I did not vote ...... 16%

5. Which candidate did you vote for in the election for Governor of Kansas in 2010?

Tom Holland (Democrat) ...... 27% Sam Brownback (Republican) ...... 50% Other candidate ...... 1% Voted in a different state ...... 8% I did not vote ...... 14%

1 YouGov 2014 Final Kansas Pre-election Poll

6. As you may know, there will be an election held in Kansas in about a week. How likely is it that you will vote in the election on November 4, 2014?

Definitely will vote ...... 81% Probably will vote ...... 19% Maybe will vote ...... 0% Probably will not vote ...... 0% Definitely will not vote ...... 0% Notsure ...... 0%

7. How do you plan to vote in the elections to be held on November 4?

In person on election day ...... 68% In person before election day ...... 16% Votebymail ...... 14% Notsure ...... 2%

8. Have you already cast your vote or returned your ballot? Asked if respondent has already voted in person or by mail

Yes ...... 66% No ...... 34% Notsure ...... 0%

9. In the election for U.S. Senator from Kansas, which candidate are you voting for? Undecided voters were asked which candidate they were more likely to vote for and coded as leaners where possible

Greg Orman (independent) ...... 34% Lean Greg Orman (independent) ...... 3% (Republican) ...... 35% Lean Pat Roberts (Republican) ...... 3% Randall Batson (Libertarian) ...... 2% Other ...... 2% Notsure ...... 22%

2 YouGov 2014 Final Kansas Pre-election Poll

10. In the election for Governor of Kansas, which candidate are you voting for? Undecided voters were asked which candidate they were more likely to vote for and coded as leaners where possible

Paul Davis (Democrat) ...... 36% Lean Paul Davis (Democrat) ...... 2% Sam Brownback (Republican) ...... 35% Lean Sam Brownback (Republican) ...... 4% Keen A. Umbehr (Libertarian) ...... 2% Other ...... 1% Notsure ...... 21%

11. In the election for U.S. Congress in the district where you live, which candidate are you voting for?

The Democratic Party candidate ...... 27% The Republican Party candidate ...... 42% Other ...... 1% Notsure ...... 29% Iwillnotvote ...... 0%

12. How would you describe your political views?

Veryliberal ...... 3% Liberal ...... 10% Moderate ...... 39% Conservative ...... 28% Very conservative ...... 17% Notsure ...... 3%

13. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?

Democrat ...... 19% Republican ...... 41% Independent ...... 31% Other ...... 4% Notsure ...... 4%

3 YouGov 2014 Final Kansas Pre-election Poll

14. Would you call yourself a strong [Democrat/Republican] or a not very strong [Democrat/Republican]? / Do you think of yourself as closer to the Democratic or the Republican Party?

Strong Democrat ...... 12% Weak Democrat ...... 7% Lean Democrat ...... 8% Independent ...... 19% Lean Republican ...... 10% Weak Republican ...... 16% Strong Republican ...... 24% Notsure ...... 4%

15. Are you male or female?

Weighted Unweighted Male 48% 46% Female 52% 54%

16. In what year were you born? Recoded into age categories from birth year

Weighted Unweighted 18-29 11% 10% 30-44 20% 18% 45-64 39% 44% 65+ 29% 28%

17. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

Weighted Unweighted White 91% 92% Black 2% 2% Hispanic 2% 2% Other 5% 4%

18. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Weighted Unweighted High school or less 36% 13% Some college 33% 33% College graduate 20% 32% Postgraduate degree 11% 23%

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