Annual Report
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2018 ANNUAL PROPERTY MARKET REPORT 2018 A MESSAGE FROM THE CEO 2018 has been a year of uncertainty when it comes an answer to the state of the real estate market. to the Dubai Property Market. There have been so Many people and businesses across Dubai were many contrasting reports either saying the prices are overleveraged with no ability to pay back what they dropping further, the prices are rising, or that they had borrowed, and I personally saw this first hand are staying the same. In my opinion, these reports with our clients. Clients who purchased off plan villas are based on speculation - no one can accurately with finance saw the value of their non-existent predict the future of the Dubai real estate market. property drop by 70% and they had no way to pay Some of the world’s largest investment banks back the loan or even guarantee that their property declared Dubai as 'recession proof' in 2008, which is would get built. 2008 makes 2018 look like a breeze! why I personally take it all with a pinch of salt. I gauge my opinion of the market by taking into For the Dubai property market to grow to a healthy, consideration the cold hard facts that can be stable state more focus must be put on first-time measured. Figures and data are taken from; sales buyers. We conducted a survey with tenants in and leases agreed, applicants registered, viewings Dubai and 78% said they would buy if they could attended and, of course, turnover of the business as afford to, thus showing us the sentiment is there. a whole and show a substantial increase compared Therefore, the focus should lie with those who are to 2017. waiting to take their first step onto the property ladder. When relief is given, we will see a dramatic When people ask me about the property market, I uplift in new sales which will lead to the tightening tell everyone that it’s healthy. I think when you take up of the supply in the market. New residents to the an overview of the 2018 Dubai Property market as a city will occupy the properties previously rented by whole, you have to look past the prices which will those first-time buyers who have moved into their inevitably go up and down - you must consider the new homes creating a healthy cycle. I firmly believe economy and the population. The Dubai population the Dubai real estate cycle is clogged up with many has seen an increase of 6.2% in 2018 and within this tenants with the desire to purchase a property but population are future tenants and buyers. This shows not having the funds available to do so. the pulling power and attraction of Dubai is growing as expats are looking at Dubai with longevity which To sign off on this compelling year of real estate, I will stimulate the economy and real estate market will say this - Dubai is going to progress and become further. an even better place to live and work over the years to come. We continue to invest heavily in Dubai with Moving onto the hot topic - why the prices are going a strong belief in the success of the city. As a down and how they will increase again. Before I company, we have expanded into Jumeirah Golf answer that, it is imperative for anyone who has an Estates, The Springs Souk Mall and Palm Jumeirah interest in the property market to understand that in Galleria Mall. Dubai may not be the place it was in 2013 we were in a booming market and prices were terms of becoming a millionaire overnight like in going up at a very fast pace. The Dubai Government 2006 – 2008, but, you can make a very successful introduced cooling measures which were put in career and change your life for the better as long as place to add more stability to the market. The prices you are willing to work hard. Dubai is an incredible have steadily declined after the government limited place to live and is the reason for the increase in the Loan to Value (LTV). A buyer can borrow up to families and individuals relocating to the city or 75% of the property value, therefore, eliminating a visiting regularly on holiday. Dubai is now one of the lot of potential buyers from purchasing their first most popular luxury destinations of the world and I property in the city. think we will have a great few years ahead of us in the property market. When the world recession hit, in 2008, no one had ALLSOPP & ALLSOPP 2018 REPORT 01 2018 AT A GLANCE SALES: LETTINGS: MOST POPULAR AREA DUBAI MOST POPULAR AREA SPRINGS BASED ON MARINA BASED ON TRANSACTIONS TRANSACTIONS 6.2% 3,174,376 16,605 43,603 541,819 9,207 DUBAI POPULATION* TOTAL CLIENT TOTAL VIEWINGS TOTAL CLIENT TOTAL NEW PROPERTIES REGISTRATIONS ATTENDED CONVERSATIONS REGISTERED FIGURES FROM ALLSOPP & ALLSOPP DATA *DUBAI STATISTICS CENTER ALLSOPP & ALLSOPP 2018 REPORT 02 2018 AT A GLANCE BUYERS SUMMARY TENANTS SUMMARY TOP 3 NATIONALITIES OF BUYERS: TOP 3 NATIONALITIES OF TENANTS: 1ST BRITISH 2 ND INDIAN 3 RD LEBANESE 1ST BRITISH 2 ND LEBANESE 3RD EGYPTIAN 2% 1% R 31% 36% E 24% Y M U O B R H T G S A A G C E B 28 U 40 11% Y E R 64% 31% AVERAGE AGE AVERAGE NO. OF ANNUAL CHEQUES AVERAGE AGE 1 CHEQUE 2 CHEQUES 3 CHEQUES 4 CHEQUES 6 CHEQUES 12 CHEQUES FIGURES FROM ALLSOPP & ALLSOPP DATA ALLSOPP & ALLSOPP 2018 REPORT 03 2018 AT A GLANCE SALES LETTINGS BUYER REGISTRATION 3% 20% TENANT REGISTRATION SECONDARY MARKET SALES 5.8% 15% LEASED PROPERTIES OFF-PLAN SALES 10.7% 15% RENTAL LISTINGS SALES LISTINGS 1% 11.8% APARTMENTS LET APARTMENTS SOLD 0.5% 15.3% VILLAS LET VILLAS SOLD 2.3% 3.7% AVERAGE RENTAL PRICE FIGURES FROM ALLSOPP & ALLSOPP DATA ALLSOPP & ALLSOPP 2018 REPORT 04 The most notable sale in 2018 was made on the Palm Jumeirah for AED 10.3 Million 2018 for a 4-bedroom villa in Blaqis EXPLAINED Residence. Allsopp & Allsopp have had a 22% revenue We have seen a 20% increase in tenant Dubai Marina comes out on top for areas most increase from 2017. We have seen year on year registrations in 2018. The population of Dubai popular for leasing in 2018 with the Palm revenue growth through challenging markets continues to multiply year on year and, in turn, we Jumeirah coming in a close second. The Springs is since opening in 2008. This year, on average, we see tenant registration rise. The rental cost of the most popular area for Sales in 2018 followed have moved 9 families into homes every day properties across Dubai as a whole has dropped by Dubai Marina. between sales and rentals. by 30% in the last 2 “years. As a result, we have had tenant’s registering to upgrade their homes, in line The most notable sale in 2018 was made on the We have seen a decrease of 3% in buyer with this drop in pricing. Areas that may have Palm Jumeirah for AED 10.3 Million for a registrations in 2018 compared to 2017. However, been out of budget in previous years are more 4-bedroom villa in Blaqis Residence. This the amount of off-plan launches has decreased achievable in 2018. Therefore, rental listings have compares to an AED 19.2 Million 6-bedroom villa significantly since 2017. As a result Investor increased by 15% in 2018. in The Lakes in 2017. The cheapest property for buyers have decreased in 2018 by 11% compared sale in 2018 “was a 1-bedroom apartment in to 2017. Overall, we had 63% of end-user buyers According to Dubai Statistics Center, the Damac Hills Akoya for AED 380,000. This in 2018 compared to 57% in 2017. population has increased by 6.2% since 2017 from compares to a 1-bedroom apartment in Damac 2,976,455 to 3,174,376. The amount of properties Hills for AED 400,000 in 2017. The average sale price for properties remains the handed over by developers in Dubai has same as last year at AED 2.5 million, however, the decreased by 5.3% since 2017 according to Despite the slow decline of property prices in average number of bedrooms in properties sold Property Finder statistics. The decline in 2018, sales are still happening and people are still has increased from 2 bedrooms in 2017 to 3 handovers in 2018 has resulted in a boost in the moving. The common trend we have noticed is bedrooms in 2018. Buyers are not using the ready market. We have seen a 5.8% increase in that buyers and tenants are using this decline in decline in pricing to cost cut but rather to upgrade secondary market sales in 2018. The off-plan sales price to their advantage and upgrading their their property. Likewise, tenants are also getting have seen a decrease in 2018 by 10.7%. properties. They are gaining more space, more more bedrooms for their money in comparison to bedrooms and often a location that was previously 2017. As well as more bedrooms, tenants have out of budget. seen a decline in price for a yearly rent by 3.7%. ALLSOPP & ALLSOPP 2018 REPORT 05 2018 NOTABLE SALES ARABIAN RANCHES SAVANNAH 1 SAHEEL 1 SAHEEL 2 SOLD SOLD SOLD TYPE 5A | 5 BED TYPE 5 | 5 BED TYPE 3 | 5 BED 6 1 67 8 55 4 AED 6,260,000 DAYS ON MARKET NO.