二零一八熱帶氣旋tropical Cyclones in 2018
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Dropsonde Observations of Intense Typhoons in 2017 and 2018 in the T-PARCII
EGU General Assembly 2020 May 6, 2020 Online 4-8 May 2020 Tropical meteorology and tropical cyclones (AS1.22) Dropsonde Observations of Intense Typhoons in 2017 and 2018 in the T-PARCII Kazuhisa TSUBOKI1 Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University Hiroyuki Yamada2, Tadayasu Ohigashi3, Taro Shinoda1, Kosuke Ito2, Munehiko Yamaguchi4, Tetsuo Nakazawa4, Hisayuki Kubota5, Yukihiro Takahashi5, Nobuhiro Takahashi1, Norio Nagahama6, and Kensaku Shimizu6 1Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University, Nagoya, 464-8601 Japan 2University of the Ryukyus, Okinawa, Japan 3National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Tsukuba, Japan 4Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan 5Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan 6Meisei Electric Co. Ltd., Isesaki, Japan Violent wind and heavy rainfall associated with a typhoon cause huge disaster in East Asia including Japan. For prevention/mitigation of typhoon disaster, accurate estimation and prediction of typhoon intensity are very important as well as track forecast. However, intensity data of the intense typhoon category such as supertyphoon have large error after the US aircraft reconnaissance was terminated in 1987. Intensity prediction of typhoon also has not been improved sufficiently for the last few decades. To improve these problems, in situ observations of typhoon using an aircraft are indispensable. The main objective of the T-PARCII (Tropical cyclone-Pacific Asian Research Campaign for Improvement of Intensity estimations/forecasts) project is improvements of typhoon intensity estimations and forecasts. Violent wind and heavy rainfall associated with a typhoon cause huge disaster in East Asia including Japan. Payment of insurance due to disasters in Japan Flooding Kinu River on Sept. -
Bishop Jane Alexander and the Rev. Patrick Stephens
Learning through Lent A PWRDF resource by Bishop Jane Alexander and the Rev. Patrick Stephens 2021 Table of Contents Introduction, Lent 2019 .......................................................................................................3 Easter Garden Activity Plan ................................................................................................4 Creation is our story Ash Wednesday to Saturday: February 17–Fevbruary 20 ..........................................6 Creation: A relationship of respect e First Week of Lent: February 22_February 27 ....................................................14 Who we are and how we are called e Second Week of Lent: March 1–March 6 ............................................................26 Water and re: life in the balance e ird Week of Lent: March 8–March 13 .............................................................42 One world, one faith, many nations e Fourth Week of Lent: March 15–March 20 .........................................................54 Incarnation and redemption: a natural connection e Fih Week of Lent: March 22–March 27 ............................................................66 A personal commitment to creation discipleship Holy Week to Easter: March 29–April 4 .....................................................................78 How to read this resource ON PAPER ON A SCREEN IN AN EMAIL Download and print the PWRDF story links are Subscribe at PDF. Links to PWRDF also embedded within the pwrdf.org/Lent2021 to stories are included for text of the reection and receive an email every your reference. will take you directly to morning, Story links are our website. embedded in the text. Introduction Welcome to PWRDF’s 2021 Lent resource, “Creation care: climate action,” prepared as part of our three-year education focus of the same name. While COVID-19 has swept climate change concerns from the headlines over the past year, PWRDF partners around the world and here in Canada, continue to address the impacts of a changing climate on the communities they serve. -
Monday, August 20, 2018 8:30 A.M. EDT Significant Activity – Aug 17-20
Monday, August 20, 2018 8:30 a.m. EDT Significant Activity – Aug 17-20 Significant Events: Western wildfires Tropical Activity: • Atlantic – No tropical cyclones expected in next 48 hours • Eastern Pacific – No tropical cyclone expected in next 48 hours • Central Pacific – Hurricane Lane (CAT 3) • Western Pacific – Typhoon Cimaron (23W) Significant Weather: • Severe thunderstorms possible – Lower/Middle Mississippi valleys to the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys • Flash flooding possible – Lower Mississippi/Tennessee valleys to Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes • Elevated fire weather – CA, NV, UT, OR & WA • Isolated dry thunderstorms – OR, WA, ID & MT • Red Flag Warnings – UT, OR, WA, & ID Declaration Activity: • Major Disaster Declaration Request – Iowa • Major Disaster Declaration approved – Confederated Tribes of the Colville Reservation • Amendment No. 1 to FEMA-4382-DR-CA Wildfire Summary Fire Name FMAG Acres Percent Evacuations Structures Fatalities / (County) Number Burned Contained (Residents) Threatened Damaged Destroyed Injuries California (1) Mendocino 389,967 79% Mandatory 1,050 (+25) 38 (+2) 277 (+12) Complex 5262-FM-CA 0 / 2 (+10,247) (+3) 1,988 (+859) (1,025 homes) (13 homes) (157 homes) (Mendocino & Lake) Washington (2) Cougar Creek 37,775 (Chelan) 5270-FM-WA 35% Voluntary only 300 homes 0 0 0 / 3 Final (+1,056) Boyds 43% 162 4 (Ferry) 5273-FM-WA 3,065 Voluntary only 0 0 / 7 (+3) Final (+12) (161 homes) (3 homes) Hurricane Lane – Central Pacific Hurricane Lane – CAT 3 (Advisory #22 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) • Located 675 miles -
2018 Natural Hazard Report 2018 Natural Hazard Report G January 2019
2018 Natural Hazard Report 2018 Natural Hazard Report g January 2019 Executive Summary 2018 was an eventful year worldwide. Wildfires scorched the West Coast of the United States; Hurricanes Michael and Florence battered the Gulf and East Coast. Typhoons and cyclones alike devastated the Philippines, Hong Kong, Japan and Oman. Earthquakes caused mass casualties in Indonesia, business interruption in Japan and structure damage in Alaska. Volcanoes made the news in Hawaii, expanding the island’s terrain. 1,000-year flood events (or floods that are said statistically to have a 1 in 1,000 chance of occurring) took place in Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Wisconsin once again. Severe convective storms pelted Dallas, Texas, and Colorado Springs, Colorado, with large hail while a rash of tornado outbreaks, spawning 82 tornadoes in total, occurred from Western Louisiana and Arkansas all the way down to Southern Florida and up to Western Virginia. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)1, there were 11 weather and climate disaster events with losses exceeding $1 billion in the U.S. Although last year’s count of billion- dollar events is a decrease from the previous year, both 2017 and 2018 have tracked far above the 1980- 2017 annual average of $6 billion events. In this report, CoreLogic® takes stock of the 2018 events to protect homeowners and businesses from the financial devastation that often follows catastrophe. No one can stop a hurricane in its tracks or steady the ground from an earthquake, but with more information and an understanding of the risk, recovery can be accelerated and resiliency can be attained. -
Hkmets Bulletin, Volume 17, 2007
ISSN 1024-4468 The Hong Kong Meteorological Society Bulletin is the official organ of the Society, devoted to articles, editorials, news and views, activities and announcements of the Society. SUBSCRIPTION RATES Members are encouraged to send any articles, media items or information for publication in the Bulletin. For guidance Institutional rate: HK$ 300 per volume see the information for contributors in the inside back cover. Individual rate: HK$ 150 per volume Advertisements for products and/or services of interest to members of the Society are accepted for publication in the BULLETIN. For information on formats and rates please contact the Society secretary at the address opposite. The BULLETIN is copyright material. Views and opinions expressed in the articles or any correspondence are those Published by of the author(s) alone and do not necessarily represent the views and opinions of the Society. Permission to use figures, tables, and brief extracts from this publication in any scientific or educational work is hereby granted provided that the source is properly acknowledged. Any other use of the material requires the prior written The Hong Kong Meteorological Society permission of the Hong Kong c/o Hong Kong Observatory Meteorological Society. 134A Nathan Road Kowloon, Hong Kong The mention of specific products and/or companies does not imply there is any Homepage endorsement by the Society or its office bearers in preference to others which are http:www.meteorology.org.hk/index.htm not so mentioned. Contents Scientific Basis of Climate Change 2 LAU Ngar-cheung Temperature projections in Hong Kong based on IPCC Fourth Assessment Report 13 Y.K. -
Efforts for Emergency Observation Mapping in Manila Observatory
Efforts for Emergency Observation Mapping in Manila Observatory: Development of a Typhoon Impact Estimation System (TIES) focusing on Economic Flood Loss of Urban Poor Communities in Metro Manila UN-SPIDER International Conference on Space-based Technologies for Disaster Risk Reduction – “Enhancing Disaster Preparedness for Effective Emergency Response” Session 4: Demonstrating Advances in Earth Observation to Build Back Better September 25, 2018 Ma. Flordeliza P. Del Castillo Manila Observatory EMERGENCY OBSERVATION MAPPING IN MANILA OBSERVATORY • Typhoon Reports • Sentinel Asia Data Analysis Node (2011-present) • Flood loss estimation for urban poor households in Metro Manila (2016-present) 1. Regional Climate Systems (RCS) – Hazard analysis (Rainfall and typhoon forecast) 2. Instrumentation and Efforts before typhoon arrives Technology Development – Automated Weather Stations 3. Geomatics for Environment and Development – Mapping and integration of Hazard, Exposure and Vulnerability layers Observing from space and also from the ground. Efforts during typhoon event Now, incorporating exposure and vulnerability variables Efforts after a typhoon event Data Analysis Node (Post- Disaster Event) Image Source: Secretariat of Sentinel Asia Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Sentinel Asia Annual Report 2016 MO Emergency Observation (EO) and Mapping Protocol (15 October 2018) Step 1: Step 2: Step 3: Establish the Apply for EMERGENCY Elevate status to LOCATION/COVERAGE of OBSERVATION to International Disaster EOR Sentinel Asia (SA) Charter (IDC) by ADRC Step 6: Step 5: Step 4: Upload maps in MO, SA MAP Download images & IDC websites PRODUCTION Emergency Observation Mapping Work • December 2011 – T.S. Washi “Sendong” • August 2012 – Southwest Monsoon Flood “Habagat” • ” Emergency Observation Mapping Work • December 2011 – T.S. Washi “Sendong” • August 2012 – Southwest Monsoon Flood “Habagat” • December 2012 – Bopha “Pablo” • August 2013 – Southwest Monsoon Flood and T.S. -
Congressional Record United States Th of America PROCEEDINGS and DEBATES of the 116 CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION
E PL UR UM IB N U U S Congressional Record United States th of America PROCEEDINGS AND DEBATES OF THE 116 CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION Vol. 165 WASHINGTON, THURSDAY, MAY 9, 2019 No. 77 House of Representatives The House met at 10 a.m. and was at the university. Harvey went on to a Mr. GREEN of Texas. Mr. Speaker, called to order by the Speaker pro tem- 20-year career in the Air Force, and he last night at a rally in Florida, the pore (Mr. JOHNSON of Georgia). was the first of three Black officers to President referred to me as ‘‘that f be promoted to colonel. man.’’ After retiring from the Air Force, Mr. Speaker, I love my country, and DESIGNATION OF SPEAKER PRO Harvey came back to Carbondale and still I rise. And I rise today to address TEMPORE SIU in 1975. He served as the first the comment that the President made The SPEAKER pro tempore laid be- Black dean of student life at SIU and in referring to me as ‘‘that man.’’ then as vice chancellor from 1987 to fore the House the following commu- Mr. Speaker, the video of what I said nication from the Speaker: 2000. Seymour Bryson of Quincy, a fellow speaks for itself. The President indi- WASHINGTON, DC, basketball standout, received three de- cates that I said the only way to get May 9, 2019. grees from SIU. He was one of three Af- him out of office is to impeach him, I hereby appoint the Honorable HENRY C. but the video speaks for itself. -
Toward the Establishment of a Disaster Conscious Society
Special Feature Consecutive Disasters --Toward the Establishment of a Disaster Conscious Society-- In 2018, many disasters occurred consecutively in various parts of Japan, including earthquakes, heavy rains, and typhoons. In particular, the earthquake that hit the northern part of Osaka Prefecture on June 18, the Heavy Rain Event of July 2018 centered on West Japan starting June 28, Typhoons Jebi (1821) and Trami (1824), and the earthquake that stroke the eastern Iburi region, Hokkaido Prefecture on September 6 caused damage to a wide area throughout Japan. The damage from the disaster was further extended due to other disaster that occurred subsequently in the same areas. The consecutive occurrence of major disasters highlighted the importance of disaster prevention, disaster mitigation, and building national resilience, which will lead to preparing for natural disasters and protecting people’s lives and assets. In order to continue to maintain and improve Japan’s DRR measures into the future, it is necessary to build a "disaster conscious society" where each member of society has an awareness and a sense of responsibility for protecting their own life. The “Special Feature” of the Reiwa Era’s first White Paper on Disaster Management covers major disasters that occurred during the last year of the Heisei era. Chapter 1, Section 1 gives an overview of those that caused especially extensive damage among a series of major disasters that occurred in 2018, while also looking back at response measures taken by the government. Chapter 1, Section 2 and Chapter 2 discuss the outline of disaster prevention and mitigation measures and national resilience initiatives that the government as a whole will promote over the next years based on the lessons learned from the major disasters in 2018. -
Consecutive Extreme Flooding and Heat Wave in Japan: Are They Becoming a Norm?
Received: 17 May 2019 Revised: 25 June 2019 Accepted: 1 July 2019 DOI: 10.1002/asl.933 EDITORIAL Consecutive extreme flooding and heat wave in Japan: Are they becoming a norm? In July 2018, Japan experienced two contrasting, yet consec- increases (Chen et al., 2004). Putting these together, one could utive, extreme events: a devastating flood in early July argue that the 2018 sequential events in southern Japan indicate followed by unprecedented heat waves a week later. Death a much-amplified EASM lifecycle (Figure 1a), featuring the tolls from these two extreme events combined exceeded strong Baiu rainfall, an intense monsoon break, and the landfall 300, accompanying tremendous economic losses (BBC: July of Super Typhoon Jebi in early September. 24, 2018; AP: July 30, 2018). Meteorological analysis on The atmospheric features that enhance the ascent and insta- these 2018 events quickly emerged (JMA-TCC, 2018; bility of the Baiu rainband have been extensively studied Kotsuki et al., 2019; Tsuguti et al., 2019), highlighting sev- (Sampe and Xie, 2010); these include the upper-level westerly eral compound factors: a strengthened subtropical anticy- jet and traveling synoptic waves, mid-level advection of warm clone, a deepened synoptic trough, and Typhoon Prapiroon and moist air influenced by the South Asian thermal low, and that collectively enhanced the Baiu rainband (the Japanese low-level southerly moisture transport associated with an summer monsoon), fostering heavy precipitation. The com- enhanced NPSH. These features are outlined in Figure 1b as prehensive study of these events, conducted within a month (A) the NPSH, and particularly its western extension; (B) the and released by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) western Pacific monsoon trough; (C) the South Asian monsoon; (JMA-TCC, 2018), reflected decades of knowledge of the (D) the mid-latitude westerly jet and quasistationary short Baiu rainband and new understanding of recent heat waves waves, as well as the Baiu rainband itself; these are based on in southern Japan and Korea (Xu et al., 2019). -
Fast Storm Surge Ensemble Prediction Using Searching Optimization of a Numerical Scenario Database
OCTOBER 2021 X I E E T A L . 1629 Fast Storm Surge Ensemble Prediction Using Searching Optimization of a Numerical Scenario Database a,b,c a,b,c a a a,b,c a,b,c YANSHUANG XIE, SHAOPING SHANG, JINQUAN CHEN, FENG ZHANG, ZHIGAN HE, GUOMEI WEI, a,b,c d d JINGYU WU, BENLU ZHU, AND YINDONG ZENG a College of Ocean and Earth Sciences, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China b Research and Development Center for Ocean Observation Technologies, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China c Laboratory of Underwater Acoustic Communication and Marine Information Technology, Ministry of Education, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China d Fujian Marine Forecasts, Fuzhou, China (Manuscript received 6 December 2020, in final form 10 June 2021) ABSTRACT: Accurate storm surge forecasts provided rapidly could support timely decision-making with consideration of tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting error. This study developed a fast storm surge ensemble prediction method based on TC track probability forecasting and searching optimization of a numerical scenario database (SONSD). In a case study of the Fujian Province coast (China), a storm surge scenario database was established using numerical simulations generated by 93 150 hypothetical TCs. In a GIS-based visualization system, a single surge forecast representing 2562 distinct typhoon tracks and the occurrence probability of overflow of seawalls along the coast could be achieved in 1–2 min. Application to the cases of Typhoon Soudelor (2015) and Typhoon Maria (2018) demonstrated that the proposed method is feasible and effective. Storm surge calculated by SONSD had excellent agreement with numerical model results (i.e., mean MAE and RMSE: 7.1 and 10.7 cm, respectively, correlation coefficient: .0.9). -
Weekly Update on Asean Plus Three Food Security
return to their homes as water levels were still rising. As water levels in the Mekong River are projected to increase in the next few days, relevant ministries and officers are called to be alert for preventing any incidences. Source: Khmer Times (2018, Jul 31). Stung Treng floods displace more families. WEEKLY UPDATE ON ASEAN PLUS THREE Indonesia FOOD SECURITY The 6.4-magnitude earthquake occurred on 29 July 2018 with epicenter RELATED INFORMATION at the northeast of Mataram City of West Nusa Tenggara Province. Although there No. 80 were no tsunamis, the earthquake was felt in Lombok, Bali and Sumbawa Island with 18 – 31 July 2018 a total exposed population of around 14 million people. Due to the local disaster management agency, there were totally 15 Brunei Darussalam deaths, at least 40 injuries, 6,237 displaced people and above 1,000 damaged houses. The country is at the peak of the East Lombok Regency was hardest hit southwest monsoon season according due to 11 deaths and 398 heavily damaged to the Meteorological Department. This houses. Related officers started to search monsoon tends to be quite stable with less and rescue missing people, to provide tendency of rainfall, causing temperature to health assistance and relief items and to exceed 34 Celsius. The country is likely to set up evacuation camps. Yet, there is no experience hazy conditions as well due to indication that international assistance will dry weather cross the Southeast Asia. The requested or welcomed. monsoon will last until September 2018. Source: ASEAN Humanitarian Coordinating Centre for When this monsoon coincides with storm Humanitarian Assistance on Disaster Management (AHA and typhoon seasons, the country will face Centre) (2018, Jul 30). -
East Asia and Pacific
28 EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC 5 COUNTRIES WITH MOST NEW DISPLACEMENT (conflict, violence and disasters) Philippines 3,990,000 China 3,762,000 Indonesia 857,500 Conflict 236,000 Disasters 9,332,000 Myanmar 340,000 34.2% of the global total Japan 146,000 As in previous years, the East Asia and Pacific region There were 301,000 people living in displacement as accounted for most of the internal displacement asso- a result of conflict in the Philippines as of the end of ciated with disasters recorded worldwide in 2018 the 2018 They include around 65,000 in Marawi who Typhoons, monsoon rains and floods, earthquakes, have been unable to return to their homes more than tsunamis and volcanic eruptions triggered 9 3 million a year after the country’s military retook the city from new displacements From highly exposed countries such affiliates of ISIL, because of the extent of the damage as the Philippines, China, Indonesia and Japan, to small and presence of unexploded ordnance (see Philippines island states and territories such as Guam, Northern spotlight, p 32) Mariana Islands and Vanuatu, the impacts varied signifi- cantly across the vast region Almost 3 8 million new displacements associated with disasters were recorded in China, particularly in south- The Philippines alone recorded 3 8 million new displace- eastern provinces that were hit by typhoons Despite ments associated with disasters, more than any other the fact that some of the storms were severe, including country worldwide Pre-emptive evacuations organised the category five typhoon Maria,