A Presentation of the Aerospace Legacy Foundation April 2011 P GA

4/21/2011

1903 "The future is not something we enter. The future is something we create." Leonard I. Sweet

A Presentation of The Aerospace Legacy Foundation April 2011 2011

G.A. Blackburn

aer·o·space :

-Of or relating to Earth's atmosphere and the space beyond. - Of or relating to the science or technology of flight.

Typically the term is used to refer to the industry that researches, designs, manufactures, operates, and maintains vehicles moving through air and space. Aerospace is a very diverse field, with a multitude of commercial, industrial and military applications.

A high technology industry that produces "aircraft, guided missiles, space vehicles, aircraft engines, propulsion units, and related parts".

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76,094,000 281,421,906 Population Population

1927 1903

2000

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1900 2010

X-51

Aircraft : 312K – 17,700C – 26,500 Helicopter Weapp,ons : 89,128 Aircraft /,p/ 29,700 Helicopter Satellites : 25,000 – 8,000 – 3,000 Space Probes/Space Presence Spacecraft – 448 astronauts

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NASA Commercial Space Russia ESA China Giant Telescope Race World Markets

Shifting Slow Growth Market

AAiquarius – ULA /Delt a II/V June 9 Juno –ULA– ULA /AtlasNPP V – ULA /Delta II/V Shuttle STS-STS-133133 Discovery Aug 5 Oct 25 Feb 24 ISS Jupiter 2011 JFMA MJ J A SOND 2012 Shuttle STS-STS-134134 Endeavour Grail – ULA /Delta Heavy April 29 Sep. 8 Moon Tiangong 1 Mars Science Lab –ULA– ULA /Atlas V Glory – Or bita l Sc iences Corp /Taurus Space Lab Nov 25 Feb. 23 Shuttle STS-STS-106106 Endeavour Mars Mission 1st Flight ––SpaceXSpaceXFalcon9/K Aug Yinghuo 1 Mars Probe NASA Resupply to ISS – Flight 1 NASA Resupply to ISS – Dragon Flight 2 Dragon Fobos-Grunt Copyright 2011 Aerospace Legacy Foundation, All rights reserved.

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2010 Major Space Policy Change X Commit men ts to ISS an d COTS Launc h Facilities Budget Cuts / Agency Collaboration $500M $18B Public Support Decline Relaxed Export regulations Higher launch costs/ technology delays

No comprehensive, clear defined space plan

COTS Commercial Off The Shelf Virgin Galactic Space X Orbital Sciences Bigelow Armadillo Masten Space Moon Express Inc.

Follow the Money!

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Launch Systems ISS Proton Sat e llites Manned Space Flight Space Exploration

18 Member states

Envisat mission through to 2013 NASA, ESA Sign MOU on Civil Space Transportation Cooperation ISS Participation Satellite Development Supplier Support

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Launch Systems Satellite Systems Lunar Exploration Mars Exploration Tiangong 1

Shenzhou-7

Long March IIF

Yinghuo 1

Zhai Zhigang taikonauts Liu Boming

KeckHawaii/10M Thirty Metre Telescope HubbleOrbital 347mi/2.4M James Webb Space TelescopeOrbital L2/6.5M

Very Large TelescopeChile/8.2M Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) OWLOverwhelmingly Large Telescope/ETelescope/Europe/100Murope/100M Extremely Large TelescopeChile/43M Giant Magellan TelescopeChile/7x8.4 M Gian t Segment ed Mirror Tel escope (GSMT)?/30M

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Japan - JAXA French - CNES India Korea ? Israel Italy Epsilon UK Mexico

Shavit

End of G2

End of B2

Retirement of GX 1st Artificial Space Pilot Webb Telescope Space Wars 2015 2100 2050 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Solar Monitoring Station 2000 Space Power Based Systems China Moon Landing 2020 Lunar Colony Lighter than Air Cruise Ships ISS Tours Manned Mars Mission 2013 Asteroid Moon Return explorationExtra terresterial life forms Space Tourisim Space Based Manufacturing Space Based Medical Facilities Space Elevator

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Aerospace is alive and well. It will grow. It is a global enterprise. US may lose its dominant role. The future will be more remarkable than we can imagine. It is our children’ s world.

"The most reliable way to forecast the future is to try to understand the present." John Naisbitt

“Yesterday is history. Tomorrow is a mystery. And today? Today is a gift. That's why we call it the present.” BbtBabatun de Olat un ji

Aerospace Legacy Foundation 2011