Aylesbury Vale Councillor Update Economic Profile of Brill Ward

April 2014

Produced by Business First’s research department P a g e | 2

1.0 Introduction

Brill is home to 2,578 people and provides 800 jobs in 143 businesses. Of these businesses, 29 (20.3 per cent) are Buckinghamshire Business First members.

There were 1,341 employed people aged 16-74 living in Brill ward at the 2011 Census, 14 fewer than the 1,355 recorded in 2001. Over that period the working age population fell 130 to 1,592 while the total population fell 147 to 2,578. The number of households rose by 7 (0.7 per cent) to 1,068. This was the 27th fastest increase in Vale and the 94th fastest .

The largest companies in Brill include:

 Chilton House;  Chilton Home Farms Ltd;  Fennell Blake & Co Ltd;  G S Mechanicals Ltd;  L G Kimber Engineering Ltd;  Merson I-Level Retail; and  Magnolia Park Golf & Country Club

There are nine Brill, representing 0.5 per cent of working age residents, including five claimants aged 18-24 and five who have been claiming for more than twelve months.

Commercial fibre coverage (as provided by BT and Virgin Media) is set to cover 1 per cent of Brill by 2015. The Connected Countiesi project run by BBF will deliver a further 80 per cent through intervention in the Bicester, Brill, , and Stanton St John exchange areas. The project will deliver extended superfast footprint via additional funding, adaptation of downstream technology and contract claw-back mechanism. The Universal Service Commitment will address all premises where speeds are below 2 Mbps.

At the time of the 2001 Censusii, of the 1,428 employed residents 684 lived and worked in the ward, with the most common places of work by local authority district being:

(684, 47.9 per cent)  South (169, 11.8)  Cherwell (119, 8.3)  (104, 7.3)  Wycombe (55, 3.9)  Hillingdon (27, 1.9)  Westminster (23, 1.6)

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2.0 Industrial structure

There are 143 businesses located in Brill employing 800 people. Of these businesses, 112 are micro businesses, employing fewer than 10 people.

Brill has a much higher proportion of employment in construction than the rest of the country with 21.0 per cent of employment found in the sector. This proportion is a significantly high proportion in comparison to other sectors in the ward, it is over 4 times higher than the national share of employment in the sector. The ward ranks 261st of all wards for employment in the sector. Other well-populated sectors in the ward include the wholesale sector at 8.9 per cent ranking Brill 1008th of all wards in the country; property (3.0); professional, scientific and technical (11.1); and business administration and support services (11.5, 1084th).

Chart 1: Industrial Structure Index, 2012 (GB=100)

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

Manufacturing

Construction

Motor trades

Wholesale

Retail

Transport & storage

Accommodation & food services

Information & communication

Financial & insurance

Property

Professional, scientific & technical

Business administration & support services

Public administration & defence

Education

Health

Arts, entertainment, recreation & other services

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Source: BRES, ONS, 2013

Sectors that are under-represented in the ward compared to the country as a whole include: public administration and defence; accommodation and food services; and arts, entertainment, recreation and other services.

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2.1 The Industrial Strategy and the Plan for Growth

The Plan for Growth and the Industrial Strategy set out policies to realise this objective and to rebalance the economy, which include focusing on sectors expected to deliver strong -represented in these sectors, particularly aerospace, the information economy and professional and business services.

While Brill provides jobs in all of these sectors, the industrial strategy sector where the ward delivers the highest share of national employment is construction which accounts for 21.0 per cent of employment, ranking Brill 219th among the 7,707 English wards, while 22.6 per work, ranking 497th of all wards. The share of jobs in other Industrial Strategy sectors is presented Table 1 below.

Table 1: Employment in selected industrial strategy sectors, 2012

Construction Automotive Agri-tech Lifescience Information economy Education Professional business and Aerospace Aylesbury Vale 5.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.7 10.1 16.3 1.2 Buckinghamshire 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.4 9.3 15.0 0.8 4.6 0.3 0.1 0.3 3.0 9.4 12.9 0.4

Brill 21.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.9 7.0 22.6 0.0 Source: BRES, ONS, 2013

3.0 Labour market

Brill (16-74) employment rate of 71.5 per cent is among the highest in the country and includes high levels of self-employment and especially home working. The wards most similar to Brill are presented in table 2 below; the most similar wards in Aylesbury Vale are , and Long Crendon, all of which rank in the 70th top closest matches of all wards in the country. There are a total of 10 wards in Aylesbury Vale which rank among the top 400 most similar wards to Brill.

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Table 2: Brill labour market performance & nearest neighbours, 2011

Self-employed 1-3 SOCs NVQ4+ age Working Employmentrate Ward Name Home from Work Brill 8.5 18.9 52.4 37.1 61.8 71.5 Tingewick 9.8 17.6 53.5 35.8 62.1 71.0 Stewkley 10.3 18.9 51.4 38.0 60.7 68.3 Long Crendon 9.1 16.6 57.5 42.3 61.0 68.8 Haddenham 7.9 15.1 54.9 40.4 60.8 68.8 7.1 15.0 55.3 36.6 62.7 68.9 Source: Census, 2011

Brill exhibits high level of employment, home working, self-employment, educational attainment and employment in managerial, professional and technical occupations (SOCs 1-3) as shown in chart 2 below. Brill has 61.8 per cent of residents being of working age, the ward has a 71.5 per cent employment rate and 37.1 per cent of residents are qualified to degree level or higher.

Chart 2: Brill labour market performance & nearest neighbours, 2011

Work from Home 100

75

Employment rate 50 Self-employed

25

0

Working age SOCs 1-3

NVQ4+

Source: Census, 2011

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4.0 Occupational Structure

The occupational structure of Brill residents is skewed towards the higher skilled and better remunerated occupations, with 52.4 per cent of working residents employed in managerial, professional and technical occupations, with 21.9 per cent employed by professional occupations alone to rank the ward 58th in Buckinghamshire. Brill also has a large proportion of working residents employed in skilled trades occupations at a proportion of 14.5 per cent. In contrast, Brill ranks in the bottom quartile for caring, sales, process, plant and machine operating and elementary occupations respectively employing only 7.0, 4.4, 4.7 and 7.9 per cent of working residents.

Chart 3: Brill comparative occupational structure & nearest neighbours, 2011

1. Managers, directors and senior officials 100

9. Elementary occupations 2. Professional occupations 75

50

8. Process plant and machine 25 3. Associate professional and operatives technical occupations

0

7. Sales and customer service 4. Administrative and secretarial occupations occupations

6. Caring, leisure and other 5. Skilled trades occupations service occupations

Source: Census, ONS, 2011 5.0 Deprivation

Buckinghamshire has the lowest level of economic deprivation of any Local Enterprise Partnership, with Aylesbury Vale having the 37th lowest economic deprivation of all 326 local authority districts in England, behind South Bucks (10th) and Chiltern (13th) but ahead of Wycombe (69th). Chart 4 among the least deprived in England with 17 of the 36 wards featuring among the least deprived 10 per cent of all wards in England and only six ranking among the most deprived half of English wards, a stark contrast to the London Borough of Newham where no ward ranks above halfway, highlighting the challenge Aylesbury Vale faces to attract resource to tackle deprivation.

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Brill has the 740th lowest economic deprivation of all wards in England and the 16th lowest of the 36 Aylesbury Vale wards. It is the 45t h least economically deprived among the 108 wards chart 4 below, with Brill one of the se second least deprived decile.

Chart 4: Relative economic deprivation of Aylesbury Vale wards by English decile, 2009 18

16

14

12

10

8 Number of wards Numberof 6

4

2

0 Most deprived Least deprived Source: DCLG, 2012

The 2010 index of multiple deprivationiii returns a similar result with Brill ranking as the 6,380th wards ast deprived quartile.

Brill also education and living environment domains. The ward ranks in the second quartile for crime and in the last quartile for housing. High housing deprivation in the ward is driven high house prices reducing the ability of households aged under 35 to buy homes in the ward.

The wards most closely matching Brill Table 3 with , and Stewkley being the most similar. The next most similar wards in Aylesbury Vale are , and , all ranking among the 110 best matches, with 24 of the other 35 Aylesbury wards ranking in the top 1,000.

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Chart 5: Comparative deprivation by IMD domain in Brill

IMD 100.0

Living environment 75.0 Income

50.0

25.0

Crime 0.0 Employment

Housing Health

Education

Source: DCLG, 2010

Table 3: Deprivation nearest neighbours, 2010 (percentile in England)

Income Employment Health Education Housing Crime Living environment Ward IMD Brill 19.7 14.8 5.5 21.7 18.3 89.3 17.9 28.7 Grendon Underwood 29.9 4.4 2.6 18.4 29.7 97.2 13.9 27.8 Wingrave 17.9 9.2 6.1 7.1 16.7 89.6 26.8 13.6 Stewkley 19.0 7.8 3.9 6.8 6.6 93.7 7.3 32.9 Marsh Gibbon 17.9 3.9 1.2 4.1 13.9 91.3 11.3 38.3 Quainton 9.2 4.9 15.8 11.0 8.8 81.9 3.5 28.3 Cheddington 21.2 11.9 10.1 8.9 12.0 86.7 33.0 9.2 Weedon 13.6 22.8 2.8 1.8 7.0 85.9 33.6 32.8 18.3 17.9 11.0 14.3 27.6 67.0 24.8 43.1 20.4 24.6 13.7 11.6 14.2 84.5 42.2 14.5 Source: DCLG, 2010

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6.0 Age profile

At 43.1 years, Brill has a higher average age than both Aylesbury Vale and Buckinghamshire, well above their respective averages of 39.1 and 39.8 years. Although, Brill y 2776th on this measure, just inside the third decile. Aylesbury Vale overall is presented in Chart 6 below.

Chart 6: Brill age profile, 2011 (Aylesbury Vale = 100)

Working Age

0-15

16-24

25-44

45-64

65+

70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 Source: Census, ONS, 2013

Brill has a lower proportion of working age residents (16-64) than Aylesbury Vale at 61.8 per cent, ranking 4,984th of all wards in England. With its high average age, 19.9 per cent of Brill residents are aged 65 or over ranking the ward at 2,879th of all wards in England, at the mid point of the distribution, suggesting the high average age results from an absence of young residents as well as comparatively high number of older people living in the ward.

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Table 4 0-15 16-64 65+ Aylesbury Vale 20.4 64.6 15.0

Aston Clinton 18.4 62.7 18.9 Aylesbury Central 16.2 71.5 12.3 19.1 59.7 21.2 16.3 59.8 23.9 Brill 18.3 61.8 19.9 North 18.0 66.6 15.4 Buckingham South 20.8 66.4 12.8 Cheddington 20.0 64.8 15.2 Coldharbour 21.6 72.3 6.1 19.2 62.8 18.1 Elmhurst and Watermead 22.0 66.6 11.4 Gatehouse 22.8 64.4 12.8 Great Brickhill 17.1 65.0 17.9 20.6 64.9 14.5 Grendon Underwood 18.3 70.7 11.0 Haddenham 19.9 62.7 17.4 Long Crendon 19.1 61.0 19.9 23.3 63.2 13.6 Mandeville and Elm Farm 19.4 68.6 12.0 Marsh Gibbon 23.6 63.4 13.0 16.8 62.2 21.0 Oakfield 20.1 67.3 12.7 22.9 63.8 13.3 Quainton 20.9 61.7 17.4 24.2 66.5 9.3 25.2 64.2 10.6 18.8 66.8 14.4 Stewkley 20.6 60.7 18.7 Tingewick 20.4 62.1 17.5 Waddesdon 20.7 64.6 14.7 and Hawkslade 23.9 69.2 6.9 Weedon 18.3 64.9 16.8 21.8 58.8 19.4 Wing 18.3 64.0 17.6 Wingrave 18.4 65.4 16.2 Winslow 17.2 61.9 20.9 Source: Census, 2011

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7.0 Educational attainment

Aylesbury Vale is one of the best qualified places in the country, with only 17.3 per cent of residents aged 16 and over holding no qualifications, well below the 22.5 per cent recorded across the country as a whole, while 37.1 per cent hold degree level qualifications, well above the national level of 27.4 per cent.

Brill levels of educational attainment and study compared to all wards in England are presented in Chart 7.

In terms of the proportion of those in full-time education, 2.7 per cent of the population are schoolchildren and full-time students aged 16 to 17. This is significantly lower than some of the other wards in Aylesbury Vale and demonstrates the elderly population as suggested earlier in the demographic study of Brill.

Chart 7: Educational attainment in Brill, 2011

No qualifications 100

75 Schoolchildren and full- Highest level of time students: Age 18 and qualification: Level 1 over qualifications 50

25

0

Schoolchildren and full- Highest level of time students: Age 16 to qualification: Level 2 17 qualifications

Highest level of Highest level of qualification: Level 4 qualification: Level 3 qualifications and above qualifications

Source, Census, 2011

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Table 5: Educational attainment nearest neighbours, 2011

Noqualifications of Highestlevel 1 Level qualification: qualifications of Highestlevel 2 Level qualification: qualifications of Highestlevel 3 Level qualification: qualifications of Highestlevel 4 Level qualification: above and qualifications full- and Schoolchildren to students: Age time 16 17 full- and Schoolchildren students:Age time 18 over and Brill 17.3 11.1 16.3 11.3 37.1 2.7 1.6 Aston Clinton 16.6 12.3 15.9 11.4 36.6 2.9 2.0 Wendover 14.4 11.9 15.8 11.6 39.9 2.7 2.1 Winslow 18.3 12.7 15.9 11.3 34.3 2.9 1.8 Tingewick 17.2 12.6 15.5 11.9 35.8 2.8 2.0 Marsh Gibbon 15.4 13.0 16.2 11.9 36.5 3.1 1.9 Source: Census, ONS, 2011 7.1 Brill

Buckinghamshire has the strongest schools performance any LEPiv, with over a quarter of

and 88.0 per cent of young people in the county achieving at least NVQ level 2 by 19. Brill schools make a full contribution to that performance as demonstrated by their most recent OFSTED reports, which are summarised below.

7.1.1 Brill Combined School (Key Stage 2)

In 2012, 91 per cent of pupils attained Level 4 or above in the Key Stage 2 English test and assessment, the result placed the school in the top 40 per cent of all schools. In the same year, 100 per cent achieved Level 4 in reading but only 83 per cent achieved Level 4 in writing. This put the school in the highest quintile for reading but the 3rd quintile for writing. In 2012, 87 per cent of pupils attained Level 4 or above in the Key Stage 2 mathematics test, a decrease of two percentage points on 2011.This placed the school in the 3rd quintile of all schools.

In the most recent assessment, 87 per cent of pupils attained their expected progress in English, the school was placed in the bottom 40 per cent of all schools based on this result. In the same year, 83 per cent of pupils attained their expected progress in mathematics, an increase of four percentage points on 2011. The school was also placed in the bottom 40 per cent based on this result. The attendance rate for the school in 20122 was 95.4 per cent, this is an increase of 0.6 percentage points since 2011. This attendance rate was in the bottom 40 per cent of all schools.

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7.1.2 Oakley Church of England Combined School (Key Stage 2)

In the Key Stage 2 English assessment, 100 per cent of pupils attained Level 4 or above. This meant that 100 per cent of pupils attained Level 4 or above in Key Stage 2 reading and writing. This placed the school in the top 20 per cent of all schools for each of these subjects. In the 2012 mathematics assessment, 92 per cent of pupils attained Level 4 or above in Key Stage 2. This is a decrease of 8 per cent on the previous year and put the school in the 2nd quintile of all schools.

In 2012, 100 per cent of pupils achieved their expected grade in English which placed the school in the highest quintile of all schools. However, in the same year, only 92 per cent of pupils attained their expected progress in mathematics, a decrease of 8 percentage points on 2011. This placed the school in the 3rd quintile of all schools. The attendance rate for the school in 2012 was 96 per cent, this is an increase of 2.9 percentage points since 2011 and scores in the top 40 per cent of all schools.

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8.0 Buckinghamshire Business First in Brill

Of the 143 businesses in Brill, 29, or 20.3 per cent are Buckinghamshire Business First members. BBF members in the ward are presented below.

Business Employment Size Band Othala Natural Building Technologies Ltd None Chilton House 51 to 100 Magnolia Park Golf & Country Club 11 to 25 3forty 1 to 5 Aubrey-Fletcher Farms Ltd 1 to 5 Brill Sports & Social Club 1 to 5 Brooks & Leigh Ltd 1 to 5 Camp Farm 1 to 5 Chandos Arms 1 to 5 Effective Business Growth Ltd 1 to 5 GGC 1 to 5 I. E. Associates 1 to 5 M G B Architects 1 to 5 Margan Ltd 1 to 5 Michael Gregory 1 to 5 Mick Mac 1 to 5 Molyneux Planning 1 to 5 OVR-Ltd 1 to 5 P & M Glass Coats 1 to 5 Rewatec Ltd 1 to 5 S J Birt & Son 1 to 5 Seamsfine 1 to 5 Tailored Tours UK 1 to 5 The Barn at Chilton 1 to 5 Thirst for Vending 1 to 5 AlisonGS Self only Hilltop Consultancy Self only Sentinent Marketing Limited Self only Of these, a number have attended events held by Buckinghamshire Business First. Such events have been attended by a number of other businesses across the Aylesbury Vale district and serve as an excellent opportunity for networking and business development.

£44m per annum during construction and will continue to lead on socio-economic work for Buckinghamshire as mitigation work progresses, having drafted the relevant section in the Buckinghamshire Blueprint document.

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9.0 Businesses in Aylesbury Vale

The distribution of businesses in Aylesbury Vale is shown in the map below. With 143 businesses, Brill has 1.8 total, providing work for 1.1 per cent of

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i http://www.connectedcounties.org/news/ ii Travel to work data from the 2011 Census are expected to be released in 2014. iii For more information see: https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-indices-of- deprivation iv aged 19: http://www.bbf.uk.com/download/226 and http://www.bbf.uk.com/download/228