Aylesbury Vale Councillor Update Economic Profile of Brill Ward April 2014 Produced by Buckinghamshire Business First’s research department P a g e | 2 1.0 Introduction Brill is home to 2,578 people and provides 800 jobs in 143 businesses. Of these businesses, 29 (20.3 per cent) are Buckinghamshire Business First members. There were 1,341 employed people aged 16-74 living in Brill ward at the 2011 Census, 14 fewer than the 1,355 recorded in 2001. Over that period the working age population fell 130 to 1,592 while the total population fell 147 to 2,578. The number of households rose by 7 (0.7 per cent) to 1,068. This was the 27th fastest increase in Aylesbury Vale and the 94th fastest . The largest companies in Brill include: Chilton House; Chilton Home Farms Ltd; Fennell Blake & Co Ltd; G S Mechanicals Ltd; L G Kimber Engineering Ltd; Merson I-Level Retail; and Magnolia Park Golf & Country Club There are nine Brill, representing 0.5 per cent of working age residents, including five claimants aged 18-24 and five who have been claiming for more than twelve months. Commercial fibre coverage (as provided by BT and Virgin Media) is set to cover 1 per cent of Brill by 2015. The Connected Countiesi project run by BBF will deliver a further 80 per cent through intervention in the Bicester, Brill, Ickford, Long Crendon and Stanton St John exchange areas. The project will deliver extended superfast footprint via additional funding, adaptation of downstream technology and contract claw-back mechanism. The Universal Service Commitment will address all premises where speeds are below 2 Mbps. At the time of the 2001 Censusii, of the 1,428 employed residents 684 lived and worked in the ward, with the most common places of work by local authority district being: Aylesbury Vale (684, 47.9 per cent) South Oxfordshire (169, 11.8) Cherwell (119, 8.3) Oxford (104, 7.3) Wycombe (55, 3.9) Hillingdon (27, 1.9) Westminster (23, 1.6) P a g e | 3 2.0 Industrial structure There are 143 businesses located in Brill employing 800 people. Of these businesses, 112 are micro businesses, employing fewer than 10 people. Brill has a much higher proportion of employment in construction than the rest of the country with 21.0 per cent of employment found in the sector. This proportion is a significantly high proportion in comparison to other sectors in the ward, it is over 4 times higher than the national share of employment in the sector. The ward ranks 261st of all wards for employment in the sector. Other well-populated sectors in the ward include the wholesale sector at 8.9 per cent ranking Brill 1008th of all wards in the country; property (3.0); professional, scientific and technical (11.1); and business administration and support services (11.5, 1084th). Chart 1: Industrial Structure Index, 2012 (GB=100) Agriculture, forestry & fishing Manufacturing Construction Motor trades Wholesale Retail Transport & storage Accommodation & food services Information & communication Financial & insurance Property Professional, scientific & technical Business administration & support services Public administration & defence Education Health Arts, entertainment, recreation & other services 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Source: BRES, ONS, 2013 Sectors that are under-represented in the ward compared to the country as a whole include: public administration and defence; accommodation and food services; and arts, entertainment, recreation and other services. P a g e | 4 2.1 The Industrial Strategy and the Plan for Growth The Plan for Growth and the Industrial Strategy set out policies to realise this objective and to rebalance the economy, which include focusing on sectors expected to deliver strong -represented in these sectors, particularly aerospace, the information economy and professional and business services. While Brill provides jobs in all of these sectors, the industrial strategy sector where the ward delivers the highest share of national employment is construction which accounts for 21.0 per cent of employment, ranking Brill 219th among the 7,707 English wards, while 22.6 per work, ranking 497th of all wards. The share of jobs in other Industrial Strategy sectors is presented Table 1 below. Table 1: Employment in selected industrial strategy sectors, 2012 Construction Automotive Agri-tech Lifescience Information economy Education Professional business and Aerospace Aylesbury Vale 5.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.7 10.1 16.3 1.2 Buckinghamshire 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.4 9.3 15.0 0.8 England 4.6 0.3 0.1 0.3 3.0 9.4 12.9 0.4 Brill 21.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.9 7.0 22.6 0.0 Source: BRES, ONS, 2013 3.0 Labour market Brill (16-74) employment rate of 71.5 per cent is among the highest in the country and includes high levels of self-employment and especially home working. The wards most similar to Brill are presented in table 2 below; the most similar wards in Aylesbury Vale are Tingewick, Stewkley and Long Crendon, all of which rank in the 70th top closest matches of all wards in the country. There are a total of 10 wards in Aylesbury Vale which rank among the top 400 most similar wards to Brill. P a g e | 5 Table 2: Brill labour market performance & nearest neighbours, 2011 Self-employed 1-3 SOCs NVQ4+ age Working Employmentrate Ward Name Home from Work Brill 8.5 18.9 52.4 37.1 61.8 71.5 Tingewick 9.8 17.6 53.5 35.8 62.1 71.0 Stewkley 10.3 18.9 51.4 38.0 60.7 68.3 Long Crendon 9.1 16.6 57.5 42.3 61.0 68.8 Haddenham 7.9 15.1 54.9 40.4 60.8 68.8 Aston Clinton 7.1 15.0 55.3 36.6 62.7 68.9 Source: Census, 2011 Brill exhibits high level of employment, home working, self-employment, educational attainment and employment in managerial, professional and technical occupations (SOCs 1-3) as shown in chart 2 below. Brill has 61.8 per cent of residents being of working age, the ward has a 71.5 per cent employment rate and 37.1 per cent of residents are qualified to degree level or higher. Chart 2: Brill labour market performance & nearest neighbours, 2011 Work from Home 100 75 Employment rate 50 Self-employed 25 0 Working age SOCs 1-3 NVQ4+ Source: Census, 2011 P a g e | 6 4.0 Occupational Structure The occupational structure of Brill residents is skewed towards the higher skilled and better remunerated occupations, with 52.4 per cent of working residents employed in managerial, professional and technical occupations, with 21.9 per cent employed by professional occupations alone to rank the ward 58th in Buckinghamshire. Brill also has a large proportion of working residents employed in skilled trades occupations at a proportion of 14.5 per cent. In contrast, Brill ranks in the bottom quartile for caring, sales, process, plant and machine operating and elementary occupations respectively employing only 7.0, 4.4, 4.7 and 7.9 per cent of working residents. Chart 3: Brill comparative occupational structure & nearest neighbours, 2011 1. Managers, directors and senior officials 100 9. Elementary occupations 2. Professional occupations 75 50 8. Process plant and machine 25 3. Associate professional and operatives technical occupations 0 7. Sales and customer service 4. Administrative and secretarial occupations occupations 6. Caring, leisure and other 5. Skilled trades occupations service occupations Source: Census, ONS, 2011 5.0 Deprivation Buckinghamshire has the lowest level of economic deprivation of any Local Enterprise Partnership, with Aylesbury Vale having the 37th lowest economic deprivation of all 326 local authority districts in England, behind South Bucks (10th) and Chiltern (13th) but ahead of Wycombe (69th). Chart 4 among the least deprived in England with 17 of the 36 wards featuring among the least deprived 10 per cent of all wards in England and only six ranking among the most deprived half of English wards, a stark contrast to the London Borough of Newham where no ward ranks above halfway, highlighting the challenge Aylesbury Vale faces to attract resource to tackle deprivation. P a g e | 7 Brill has the 740th lowest economic deprivation of all wards in England and the 16th lowest of the 36 Aylesbury Vale wards. It is the 45t h least economically deprived among the 108 wards chart 4 below, with Brill one of the se second least deprived decile. Chart 4: Relative economic deprivation of Aylesbury Vale wards by English decile, 2009 18 16 14 12 10 8 Number of wards Numberof 6 4 2 0 Most deprived Least deprived Source: DCLG, 2012 The 2010 index of multiple deprivationiii returns a similar result with Brill ranking as the 6,380th wards ast deprived quartile. Brill also education and living environment domains. The ward ranks in the second quartile for crime and in the last quartile for housing. High housing deprivation in the ward is driven high house prices reducing the ability of households aged under 35 to buy homes in the ward. The wards most closely matching Brill Table 3 with Grendon Underwood, Wingrave and Stewkley being the most similar. The next most similar wards in Aylesbury Vale are Marsh Gibbon, Quainton and Cheddington, all ranking among the 110 best matches, with 24 of the other 35 Aylesbury wards ranking in the top 1,000. P a g e | 8 Chart 5: Comparative deprivation by IMD domain in Brill IMD 100.0 Living environment 75.0 Income 50.0 25.0 Crime 0.0 Employment Housing Health Education Source: DCLG, 2010 Table 3: Deprivation nearest neighbours, 2010 (percentile in England) Income Employment Health Education Housing Crime Living environment Ward IMD Brill 19.7 14.8 5.5 21.7 18.3 89.3 17.9 28.7 Grendon Underwood 29.9 4.4 2.6 18.4 29.7 97.2 13.9 27.8 Wingrave 17.9 9.2 6.1 7.1 16.7 89.6 26.8 13.6 Stewkley 19.0 7.8 3.9 6.8 6.6 93.7 7.3 32.9 Marsh Gibbon 17.9 3.9 1.2 4.1 13.9 91.3 11.3 38.3 Quainton 9.2 4.9 15.8 11.0 8.8 81.9 3.5 28.3 Cheddington 21.2 11.9 10.1 8.9 12.0 86.7 33.0 9.2 Weedon 13.6 22.8 2.8 1.8 7.0 85.9 33.6 32.8 Waddesdon 18.3 17.9 11.0 14.3 27.6 67.0 24.8 43.1 Great Brickhill 20.4 24.6 13.7 11.6 14.2 84.5 42.2 14.5 Source: DCLG, 2010 P a g e | 9 6.0 Age profile At 43.1 years, Brill has a higher average age than both Aylesbury Vale and Buckinghamshire, well above their respective averages of 39.1 and 39.8 years.