Loss, JUDGE & WARD
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When This Was Our Logo: 1991 – 1998 1991 Public Opinion Strategies Is Founded by Neil Newhouse, Bill Mcinturff, and Glen Bolger
When This Was Our Logo: 1991 – 1998 1991 Public Opinion Strategies is founded by Neil Newhouse, Bill McInturff, and Glen Bolger. The firm opens its doors representing one governor and 12 Members of Congress. 1992 Major Senate wins include Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania and John McCain’s re-elect, starting a 25-year run of handling the polling for all of McCain’s Senate races and his two races for president. Of the 10 Democratic open House seats that shifted to Republicans, four are won by POS clients. Four of the 13 Republicans who defeat Democratic incumbents are represented by the firm. The firm also wins its first three ballot measure campaigns of what will become 182 winning initiative campaigns through the years. The firm conducts its first election night survey, now a tradition spanning seven presidential elections. 1994 The firm is central to Republicans winning the House for the first time in 52 years, handling the polling for 24 of the 73 newly elected Republicans in Congress, including 20 who defeated a Democratic incumbent or won a Democratic open-seat. The firm does the message testing, focus groups, ad testing, and tracking on behalf of the Health Insurance Association of America (HIAA) for what becomes known as the “Harry and Louise” campaign against ClintonCare, the first extensive use of national TV advertising against a piece of legislation. After the success stopping ClintonCare from passage, the firm does extensive polling against a single-payer initiative in California, holding it to below 30%. This work is the beginning of what is now a major health care practice. -
Why Trump – and How Far Can He Go?
The Forum 2015; 13(4): 541–558 William G. Mayer* Why Trump – and How Far Can He Go? DOI 10.1515/for-2015-0038 Introduction Like most pundits – and most political scientists – I did not see this one coming. I was not terribly surprised when, on June 16, 2015, Donald Trump announced that he was running for president. As more and more presidential debates are held before the first primary, and as more and more of these debates are nation- ally televised, we have gradually begun to produce a set of candidates who enter the presidential race not because they have a realistic chance of winning their party’s nomination, but because it is a good career move. They get a boatload of free publicity, and if they were not running for president, it is not clear what else they’d be doing. So it was no great surprise that Donald Trump, who absolutely craves public- ity, decided to get into the race. And since early presidential polls do not measure much except name recognition, I was not surprised that the first national poll conducted after his announcement found that he had the support of 11 percent of the country’s Republican identifiers. The shock is how much support he has gained since then, and how long he has held on to it. According to the realclear- politics website, which collects results from all the major polls and then com- putes a running average, it was July 20 when Trump first broke into the lead in the national polls of Republican identifiers, at which point he was supported by, on average, 17 percent of party adherents. -
Panel of Journalists Explores Nation's Dramatic 2012 Election Campaign
Panel of Journalists Explores Nation’s Dramatic 2012 Election Campaign Panelists Mike Allen Chief White House Correspondent Politico Charlie Cook Editor and Publisher “The Cook Political Report” Chris Wallace Anchor “Fox News Sunday” Judy Woodruff Senior Correspondent “PBS News Hour” Moderator David Rubenstein President The Economic Club of Washington October 11, 2012 Excerpts from the Panel Discussion What Went Wrong for President Obama in the First Debate? Mr. Cook: “The President looked to me like a team that was vastly overconfident, that didn’t fear or respect his opponent and didn’t take it very seriously.” Ms. Woodruff: “I keep thinking of The New Yorker cartoon with Romney standing there and an empty chair….” Mr. Allen: “When you’re President, it’s been four years….since anybody has gotten in your grill.” Mr. Wallace: “I wasn’t a bit surprised that Romney did as well as he did. He did 23 debates in the Republican primaries that lasted 43 hours.” Will the Republicans Gain Control of the Senate? 1 Mr. Cook: “A year-and-a-half ago, I would have said a 60, 70 percent chance of Republicans taking a majority. Now I’d put it down maybe around 40 (percent).” Mr. Allen: “We think whoever gets the White House will get the Senate.” Mr. Wallace: “Right now, I think the conventional wisdom and the Charlie Cook wisdom is it’s probably less than 50-50 that the Republicans will take the Senate.” Can the Democrats Gain Control of the House? Mr. Cook: “It’s a real long shot.” Ms. -
Benghazi.Pdf
! 1! The Benghazi Hoax By David Brock, Ari Rabin-Havt and Media Matters for America ! 2! The Hoaxsters Senator Kelly Ayotte, R-NH Eric Bolling, Host, Fox News Channel Ambassador John Bolton, Fox News Contributor, Foreign Policy Advisor Romney/Ryan 2012 Gretchen Carlson, Host, Fox News Channel Representative Jason Chaffetz, R-UT Lanhee Chen, Foreign Policy Advisor, Romney/Ryan 2012 Joseph diGenova, Attorney Steve Doocy, Host, Fox News Channel Senator Lindsay Graham, R-SC Sean Hannity, Host, Fox News Channel Representative Darrell Issa, R-CA, Chairman, House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform Brian Kilmeade, Host, Fox News Channel Senator John McCain, R-AZ Mitt Romney, Former Governor of Massachusetts, 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee Stuart Stevens, Senior Advisor, Romney/Ryan 2012 Victoria Toensing, Attorney Ambassador Richard Williamson, Foreign Policy Advisor, Romney/Ryan 2012 ! 3! Introduction: Romney’s Dilemma Mitt Romney woke up on the morning of September 11, 2012, with big hopes for this day – that he’d stop the slow slide of his campaign for the presidency. The political conventions were in his rear-view mirror, and the Republican nominee for the White House was trailing President Obama in most major polls. In an ABC News/Washington Post poll released at the start of the week, the former Massachusetts governor’s previous 1-point lead had flipped to a 6-point deficit.1 “Mr. Obama almost certainly had the more successful convention than Mr. Romney,” wrote Nate Silver, the polling guru and then-New York Times blogger.2 While the incumbent’s gathering in Charlotte was marked by party unity and rousing testimonials from Obama’s wife, Michelle, and former President Bill Clinton, Romney’s confab in Tampa had fallen flat. -
Orchestrating Public Opinion
Paul ChristiansenPaul Orchestrating Public Opinion Paul Christiansen Orchestrating Public Opinion How Music Persuades in Television Political Ads for US Presidential Campaigns, 1952-2016 Orchestrating Public Opinion Orchestrating Public Opinion How Music Persuades in Television Political Ads for US Presidential Campaigns, 1952-2016 Paul Christiansen Amsterdam University Press Cover design: Coördesign, Leiden Lay-out: Crius Group, Hulshout Amsterdam University Press English-language titles are distributed in the US and Canada by the University of Chicago Press. isbn 978 94 6298 188 1 e-isbn 978 90 4853 167 7 doi 10.5117/9789462981881 nur 670 © P. Christiansen / Amsterdam University Press B.V., Amsterdam 2018 All rights reserved. Without limiting the rights under copyright reserved above, no part of this book may be reproduced, stored in or introduced into a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise) without the written permission of both the copyright owner and the author of the book. Every effort has been made to obtain permission to use all copyrighted illustrations reproduced in this book. Nonetheless, whosoever believes to have rights to this material is advised to contact the publisher. Table of Contents Acknowledgments 7 Introduction 10 1. The Age of Innocence: 1952 31 2. Still Liking Ike: 1956 42 3. The New Frontier: 1960 47 4. Daisies for Peace: 1964 56 5. This Time Vote Like Your Whole World Depended On It: 1968 63 6. Nixon Now! 1972 73 7. A Leader, For a Change: 1976 90 8. The Ayatollah Casts a Vote: 1980 95 9. Morning in America: 1984 101 10. -
The Last White Election?
mike davis THE LAST WHITE ELECTION? ast september, while Bill Clinton was delighting the 2012 Democratic Convention in Charlotte with his folksy jibe at Mitt Romney for wanting to ‘double up on the trickle down’, a fanatical adherent of Ludwig von Mises, wearing a villainous Lblack cowboy hat and accompanied by a gun-toting bodyguard, captured the national headquarters of the Tea Party movement in Washington, dc. The Jack Palance double in the Stetson was Dick Armey. As House Majority Leader in 1997 he had participated in a botched plot, instigated by Republican Whip Tom DeLay and an obscure Ohio Congressman named John Boehner, to topple House Speaker Newt Gingrich. Now Armey was attempting to wrest total control of FreedomWorks, the organization most responsible for repackaging rank-and-file Republican rage as the ‘Tea Party rebellion’ as well as training and coordinating its activists.1 Tea Party Patriots—a national network with several hundred affiliates—is one of its direct offshoots. As FreedomWorks’ chairperson, Armey symbolized an ideological continuity between the Republican con- gressional landslides of 1994 and 2010, the old ‘Contract with America’ and the new ‘Contract from America’. No one was better credentialed to inflict mortal damage on the myth of conservative solidarity. Only in December did the lurid details of the coup leak to the press. According to the Washington Post, ‘the gun-wielding assistant escorted FreedomWorks’ top two employees off the premises, while Armey sus- pended several others who broke down in sobs at the news.’2 The chief target was Matt Kibbe, the organization’s president and co-author with Armey of the best-selling Give Us Liberty: A Tea Party Manifesto. -
History of Southern Football Page16
Distribution Agreement In presenting this thesis as a partial fulfillment of the requirements for a degree from Emory University, I hereby grant to Emory University and its agents the non-exclusive license to archive, make accessible, and display my thesis in whole or in part in all forms of media, now or hereafter now, including display on the World Wide Web. I understand that I may select some access restrictions as part of the online submission of this thesis. I retain all ownership rights to the copyright of the thesis. I also retain the right to use in future works (such as articles or books) all or part of this thesis. Christian Wayne April 11, 2017 The Manifestation of Southern White Identity in Southeastern Conference (SEC) Football By Christian Wayne Dr. Kim Loudermilk Adviser American Studies Dr. Margaret McGehee Committee Member Dr. Susan Ashmore Committee Member 2017 The Manifestation of Southern White Identity in Southeastern Conference (SEC) Football By Christian Wayne Dr. Kim Loudermilk Adviser An abstract of a thesis submitted to the Faculty of Emory College of Arts and Sciences of Emory University in partial fulfillment of the requirements of the degree of Bachelor of Arts with Honors American Studies 2017 Abstract The Manifestation of Southern White Identity in Southeastern Conference (SEC) Football By Christian Wayne This work examines the football teams of the Southeastern Conference (SEC) and how they are reflections, projections, and bastions of southern white identity. By exploring a history of how a southern, white identity was created in the American South, we can understand how and why football became the cultural institution it is in today’s American South throughout the twentieth century and into present-day. -
DEMOCRATIZING the DEBATES a Report of the Annenberg Working Group on Presidential Campaign Debate Reform
DEMOCRATIZING THE DEBATES A Report of the Annenberg Working Group on Presidential Campaign Debate Reform TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION: THE ISSUE 5 THE GOAL OF REFORM: DEMOCRATIZING THE DEBATE PROCESS 7 Expanding and Enriching Debate Content 8 Broadening the Accessibility of the Debates 18 Improving the Transparency and Accountability of the Debate Process 20 CONCLUSION: 23 APPENDIX ONE: PROCESS 25 Working Group Biographies 26 APPENDIX TWO: SPONSORSHIP 31 APPENDIX THREE: YOUNGEST GROUP LEAST LIKELY TO WATCH MOST OF DEBATE 35 APPENDIX FOUR: 1960-2012 HOUSEHOLD RATINGS TRENDS: PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES 36 APPENDIX FIVE: ELEMENTS IN MEMORANDA OF UNDERSTANDING 37 APPENDIX SIX: AUDIENCE REACTION STUDIES 43 NOTES 47 Democratizing the Debates 3 INTRODUCTION: THE ISSUE The Annenberg Debate Reform Working Group (for Since 1960, transformational shifts in television biographies of members see Appendix One) was created viewing – the plethora of cable channels, Internet by the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University streaming, and other methods of viewing video of Pennsylvania to explore ways to increase the value content – have dramatically eroded the power of and viewership of presidential general election debates, the “roadblock.” Nielsen data show that the percent of taking into account the ways in which the rise of early U.S. TV households viewing the debates has declined voting, the advent of social media, establishment of from 60% in 1960 to about 38% in 2012.2 Additionally new media networks, changes in campaign finance, and Hispanic media now attract substantial audiences. In the increase in the number of independent voters have both the July sweeps of 2013 and 2014, the number one altered the electoral environment.1 It would be difficult network among both those 18-49 and those 18-34 was to overstate the significance of these changes. -
High Stakes in Legislative Races
DISGUSTED ELECTORATE HEADS TO POLLS PAGE 8 October/November 2014 High Stakes in All In! Ballot Legislative Fatigue? Races The Primary Puzzle Art and Learning Linked tEchnoLogy divErsity is vital to our ElEctricity portfolio. VICKY BAILEY EnErgy LEadEr & EntrEprEnEur We don’t put all of our investment eggs in one basket. Why would we do that for America’s energy future? diversity is rule number one in investing. We are working to maintain a diverse you hedge your bets. We also need a electricity system that provides the power diversified electricity portfolio that includes we need and the clean air that we want. nuclear, solar, wind, coal and natural gas. an overreliance on any one source of electricity is unwise. Base load power sources like nuclear energy and natural gas, coupled with renewable sources, will drive economic expansion, provide affordable electricity, and lead the Get the facts at nei.org/energydiversity transition to a lower-carbon energy portfolio. #futureofenergy CLIENT: NEI (Nuclear Energy Institute) PUB: State Legislatures Magazine RUN DATE: Oct/Nov SIZE: 7.5” x 9.875” Full Page VER.: Energy Diversity/Vicky - FP Ad 4CP: OCTOBER/NOVEMBER 2014 VOL 40 NO 9 | CONTENTS STATE LEGISLATURES NCSL’s national magazine of policy and politics FEATURES DEPARTMENTS 4 POINT OF ORDER 5 LETTER TO THE EDITOR 6 FOUR DECADES STRONG Over the past 40 years, NCSL has achieved an impressive record of lobbying successes. 8 STATESTATS Disgusted electorate heads to polls. 9 PEOPLE & POLITICS What’s happening under the domes. 10 TRENDS & TRANSITIONS States try to boost voter turnout, a Federal Reserve Bank economist says manufacturing is robust, states grapple with the use of Native American mascots, breweries are hoppin’, and governments crack down on misclassifying workers. -
How a Race in the Balance Went to Obama
How a Race in the Balance Went to Obama Doug Mills/The New York Times President Obama, with his family, returned to the White House on Wednesday, after a bruising re-election fight with many twists and turns. By ADAM NAGOURNEY, ASHLEY PARKER, JIM RUTENBERG and JEFF ZELENY Published: The New York Times National Edition, November 7, 2012, P1, P14 Seven minutes into the first presidential debate, the mood turned from tense to grim inside the room at the University of Denver where Obama staff members were following the encounter. Top aides monitoring focus groups — voters who registered their minute-by- minute reactions with the turn of a dial — watched as enthusiasm forMitt Romney spiked. “We are getting bombed on Twitter,” announced Stephanie Cutter, a deputy campaign manager, while tracking the early postings by political analysts and journalists whom the Obama campaign viewed as critical in setting debate perceptions. By the time President Obama had waded through a convoluted answer about health care — “He’s not mentioning voucher-care?” someone called out — a pall had fallen over the room. When the president closed by declaring, “This was a terrific debate,” his re-election team grimaced. There was the obligatory huddle to discuss how to explain his performance to the nation, and then a moment of paralysis: No one wanted to go to the spin room and speak with reporters. Mr. Romney’s advisers monitored the debate up the hall from the Obama team, as well as at campaign headquarters in Boston. Giddy smiles flashed across their faces as their focus groups showed the same results. -
Download Our Press
A film by the Media Education Foundation and Eat the Moon Films THE MAN CARD White Male Identity Politics from Nixon to Trump Created by Jackson Katz Directed by Peter Hutchison & Lucas Sabean RT: 55 min Website: themancardmovie.com Press Contact: Distributor Contact: Jackson Katz Alex Peterson Creator of The Man Card MEF Director of Marketing [email protected] [email protected] Logline: Ranging from Richard Nixon’s tough-talking law-and-order campaign in 1968 to Donald Trump’s amped-up, hyper-macho run for the presidency in 2020, this eye-opening documentary examines the right’s longstanding use of white male identity politics to brand itself as the party of “real men,” portray Democrats and the left as too weak to lead, and win the allegiance of working-class white voters, especially white men. SYNOPSIS For years, right-wing politicians and pundits have accused the left of playing “the race card” and “the woman card” and engaging in identity politics. This eye-opening documentary turns the tables and takes dead aim at the right’s own longstanding use of white male identity politics in American presidential elections. Ranging from Richard Nixon’s tough-talking, fear-stoking law-and-order campaign in 1968 to Donald Trump’s hyper-macho revival of these same tactics in 2020, The Man Card shows how the right has employed a deliberate strategy to frame Democrats and liberals as soft, brand the Republican Party as the party of “real men,” and position conservatives as defenders of white male power and authority in the face of seismic demographic changes and ongoing struggles for equality. -
The New Democrat 2 September 2012
TThhee NNeeww DDeemmooccrraatt A Publication of the Peninsula Democratic Coalition (PDC) September 2012 RomneyFlop.com Website NOW OPEN! By Dave Walter, CD 14 Delegate In April, I was elected Mid-Peninsula to serve as a delegate to the 2012 Democratic National Convention Democratic (DNC) in Charlotte for CD 14 (Anna Eshoo’s Volunteer Center district). I am honored to serve our district at the November is fast DNC. This will be my first approaching! A group of DNC and I’m beyond local activists, in excited! The California cooperation with the Delegates were asked to step up our volunteer efforts for the Obama Campaign prior to Santa Clara and San the DNC. In addition to making phone calls to swing states and Mateo County donating to the Obama Campaign, I wanted to get involved in Democratic Central a unique way. Committees, the Silicon I decided to create a website to help educate voters about all of the flip-flops that Mitt Romney has made over the years. I’m Valley Action Network, the Peninsula Democratic not aware of any presidential candidate in American history Coalition and Obama For America has organized and that has changed his position on issues as frequently and opened the Mid-Peninsula Democratic Volunteer significantly as Romney. His constant flip-flopping proves that Center. The headquarters is located at 350 El he has no integrity and will say anything to get elected. While I Camino Real in Menlo Park (the old Towne Ford was able to find some websites and videos out there about Romney’s flip-flopping, I couldn’t find any up-to-date resource showroom) .