www.cardsinternational.com Issue 571 / september 2019
IMPACT ASSESSMENT
HOW THE US-CHINA TRADE WAR IS AFFECTING CREDIT CARD ISSUERS
INSIGHT FEATURE COUNTRY SNAPSHOTS
A fundamental shift to Contactless payments are Key payments market data green-conscious habits in the new normal, but are and analysis for Hungary, many parts of society there hidden dangers? Greece and Romania
CI September 2019 571.indd 1 08/10/2019 14:46:41 contents this month
COVER STORY NEWS 14 05 / EDITOR’S LETTER 06 / DIGEST • BRC calls for government intervention on rising card fees • GoCardless launches in the US with new debit solution • SIA powers contactless payments in Rome subway and rail stations • Wirecard and UnionPay form global strategic partnership • Mastercard and R3 develop blockchain cross-border payments • Western Union and True North collaborate on tuition payments • Canadians aware of benefits are more satisfied: JD Power • Société Générale, Mastercard introduce card for gamers US-CHINA TRADE WAR
Editor: Group Editorial Director: Director of Events: Douglas Blakey Ana Gyorkos Ray Giddings +44 (0)20 7406 6523 +44 (0)20 7406 6707 +44 (0)20 3096 2585 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
Senior Reporter: Sub-editor: Head of Subscriptions: Patrick Brusnahan Nick Midgley Alex Aubrey +44 (0)20 7406 6526 +44 (0)161 359 5829 +44 (0)20 3096 2603 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
Junior Reporter: Publishing Assistant: Sales Executive: Evie Rusman Asena Değirmenci Jamie Baker +44 (0)20 7406 6701 +44 (0)20 3096 2633 +44 203 096 2622 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
Customer Services: +44 (0)20 3096 2603 or +44 (0)20 3096 2636, [email protected] Financial News Publishing, 2012. Registered in the UK No 6931627. ISSN 0956-5558 07 Unauthorised photocopying is illegal. The contents of this publication, either in whole or part, may not be reproduced, stored in a data retrieval system or transmitted by any form or means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publishers. For more information on Verdict, visit our website at www.verdict.co.uk. As a subscriber you are automatically entitled to online access to Cards International. For more information, please telephone +44 (0)20 7406 6536 or email [email protected]. London office: John Carpenter House, John Carpenter Street, London, EC4Y 0AN Asia office: 1 Finlayson Green, #09-01, Singapore 049246 Tel: +65 6383 4688, Fax: +65 6383 5433 Email: [email protected] follow CI on twitter @Payments_News
2 | September 2019 | Cards International
CI September 2019 571.indd 2 08/10/2019 14:47:04 contents september 2019
COUNTRY SNAPSHOTS 16 / HUNGARY 18 Cash remains the preferred mode of payment in Hungary, accounting for 62.5% of the total transaction volume in 2018. However, payment cards registered strong growth in terms of transaction volume and value 18 / GREECE Greece was severely affected by the eurozone crisis. As a result, it had to enact a number of capital-control measures in June 2015 to arrest the outward flow of money, curb tax evasion and encourage electronic payments 20 / ROMANIA Although debit cards are the dominant card type, penetration remains low in Romania due to the country’s large unbanked population, lack of trust in the financial FEATURES system, and limited consumer awareness 10 / CONTACTLESS RISK 14 / US-CHINA TRADE WAR In a time where ‘tap and go’ payments are China’s credit card market appears to be on normal in everyday lives, it seems inevitable the losing side of the country’s increasingly that we are moving towards a cashless society, fractious trade war with the US – at least when but is this really the best idea? Evie Rusman viewed by the number of late payments sitting looks at the dangers of contactless on banks’ balance sheets, argues Ivan Castano 12 / ARGENTINA In little over a month the Argentine peso has 12 lost more than a quarter of its value, leading the government to place currency controls on businesses. But how is the crisis impacting the credit card sector? Ivan Castano reports 10
20 INDUSTRY INSIGHT 22 / GEMALTO From cutting back on plastic to reducing carbon footprints, there has been a fundamental shift to green-conscious habits in many parts of society. Howard Berg, SVP and MD at Gemalto UK and Ireland, writes
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CI September 2019 571.indd 3 08/10/2019 14:47:16 [email protected] editor’s letter
visa fights back with global revolut deal
Douglas Blakey, Editor
or some time it has seemed that Mastercard is The Revolut-Visa deal is also worth a closer look. Revolut trumping Visa hands down when it comes to will hire 3,500 staff as part of its expansion plans, taking its F winning new deals. headcount to around 5,000 by this time next year. Monzo, Starling and TransferWise – among the challengers, Hiring the equivalent of 15 new employees every working for example – all signed up with Mastercard. And then day for the next year will bring its own challenges. It also faces Mastercard followed up in the incumbents sector with its TSB the challenge of entering markets where local regulators tend deal – albeit since delayed – and then Santander. Other Visa to be less supportive of new fintech challengers. In Revolut’s UK debit card customers include Clydesdale/Yorkshire and existing markets, there have been allegations that customer Metro Bank. As a result, once the TSB deal finally goes live, service has, at times, been inadequate. In addition, Revolut has Mastercard will have almost 20% of the UK debit card market. faced negative press resulting from staff being expected to While Mastercard has agreed a number of major deals, and push referral links aggressively. gives every impression of being ahead of the curve in agreeing Revolut’s total users now exceed seven million, up from fintech deals, Visa has also been active: in the past year alone, 1.1 million and 3.6 million at the end of December 2017 and it has announced fintech deals with N26, Razer, Remitly, December 2018 respectively. In fiscal 2018, despite revenue Currencycloud and Flutterwave. Now Visa has won a major rising by 354%, Revolut lost around £9 ($11) per customer – international deal with Revolut. According to Visa, around 75% that is, however, an improvement on losing £13 per customer of Revolut’s business in new regions will be with Visa. in 2017. Specifically, Revolut lost £32.8m after tax in fiscal In due course, Visa expects to become Revolut’s majority 2018, more than double the £14.8m lost in 2017. partner globally. In addition, Revolut plans to launch in 24 Looking ahead, Revolut forecasts that revenue will treble in new markets with Visa-branded credit cards. Its ambitious fiscal 2019, driven by further customer growth, new product expansion plans include roll-outs initially in Australia, Brazil, launches, product optimisation and market expansion. Canada, Japan, New Zealand, Russia, Singapore and the US. Accordingly, Revolut may reasonably expect to reduce losses The next wave includes further markets in South America and per customer to around £5 per year by end 2018, assuming Asia such as Argentina, Hong Kong and Indonesia. that it can contain its cost-of-sales growth to somewhere around 250%. Visa Fast Track Revolut’s ambitions and expansion plans, together with a Visa’s deal with Revolut forms a key part of its global fintech number of eye-catching senior hires, are impressive. There strategy. In July, for example, Visa announced the expansion of are only a few areas where, just to play devil’s advocate, the its Fast Track programme to the US. writer would perhaps take exception. A market valuation of Visa says its Fast Track initiative speeds up the process $10bn? That is Revolut founder Nikolay Storonsky’s ambition, of integrating with Visa, enabling start-ups to more easily and seems to this observer to be wildly premature. But thanks leverage the reach, capabilities and security of VisaNet, the to a timely piece published by the Financial Times’s Alphaville firm’s global payment network. The aim is to help fintechs column, we know that a number of Revolut executives scale more quickly. Existing partners include Alloy, BBVA Open have been cashing in some of their shares since its Series D Platform, Cross River Bank, Galileo, Green Dot, Netspend, fundraising in August. Stripe, TSYS, Q2 and Very Good Security. The second query relates to Revolut’s realistic prospects in a number of the new markets it is targeting. Take just one: Mastercard, Visa shares soar Canada, for example. We have witnessed over the years a To be fair, both Mastercard and Visa are enjoying an extremely number of international raiders entering the Canadian retail strong 2019. For the year to date, Mastercard’s share price has banking market with deep pockets and grand ambitions; soared by 42%; meantime, Visa’s share price for the year to perhaps Revolut will prove the exception and make a real go of date is ahead by 30%. taking on the incumbents. <
Get in touch with the editor at: [email protected]
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CI September 2019 571.indd 5 08/10/2019 14:47:19 News | Digest
news digest BRC calls for government intervention on rising card fees of £0.0585, a 17% increase from £0.0498 in 2017. These were largely attributed to the fees paid by businesses to credit and debit card companies, which increased by over 50% in 2018. The BRC is calling for action over card cost, and wants to improve regulation of card payment fees. Its plan is to expand and simplify the regulation covering the full range of transactions, and also prevent abuse by card companies. The BRC is also concerned about the UK’s departure from the EU, and believes The British Retail Consortium (BRC) has transactions in 2013 to under 40% in the move will result in UK retailers paying called on the UK government to take 2018; furthermore, the value of cash more to accept foreign-issued cards, and action on rising card fees. transactions dropped from 28% to 20% increase wider costs for business. The appeal comes as the retail lobby over the same period. Andrew Cregan, payments and group launches its latest payment survey, Total UK retail sales slightly rose by 4.1% consumer credit policy adviser at BRC, which shows that credit card spending to reach £381bn ($475bn) from £366bn said: “With card payments accounting for overtook cash spending in 2018. However, the previous year. In addition, there were almost 80% of retail sales, it is vital that debit cards remain the most popular 20.1 billion transactions in a single year, up the government takes action to tackle the method and account for almost three-fifths from 19.8 billion in 2017. soaring costs that card companies charge of all transactions. Despite these increases, card costs also retailers. Without action, we will see Cash transactions in the UK have been continued to rise. Retailers spent £1.3bn businesses put under further pressure, and falling slowly. According to the BRC, with third parties, up £70m from 2017. it will be consumers who are forced to pay cash use has fallen from over half of all Each transaction cost retailers an average the price.” < GoCardless launches in the US with new debit solution GoCardless has entered the US by launching to help our customers focus on growing Sarah Grotta, director at debit and alter- a solution on its platform supporting debit their business without worrying about how native payments advisory service Mercator payments on the Automated Clearing House they’re going to get paid. Adding ACH to Advisory Group, said: “Consumers and busi- (ACH) network. the GoCardless platform will give businesses nesses have continued to find new uses for Using the ACH debit network, merchants across the globe access to the world’s largest ACH payment transactions, despite the fact can pull payments directly from their cus- market, helping them unlock new revenue ACH is a 40-year-old, batch-based solution. tomers’ bank accounts. This is at a lower cost streams. We find that there is strong growth recently than credit cards, and without the overheads “With the launch of our ACH solution, for ACH in bill payments and online and of cash or cheques. we now cover 70% of recurring payments mobile payments, and also person-to-person Furthermore, businesses using the worldwide across more than 30 countries, (P2P) transactions. GoCardless ACH debit solution will gain including the US. We’re excited for our cus- “When making payments, particularly increased visibility over their payments flow tomers to harness our unique global debit recurring payments for bills or subscription through an automated collection system. network, helping them to drive down costs, transactions, consumers may not always This also includes a range of information reduce failure rates and decrease involuntary want to pay with their credit card as they to help manage and reconcile payments in- churn every time they get paid.” don’t want to run the risk of interest rate cluding due dates, successful payments, and There is a significantly growing demand charges.” failed payments. As a result, GoCardless has for ACH debit; in 2018, the system saw 23 Grotta added: “Merchants and billers like completed its unique global debit network, billion transactions, of which 13.4 billion to encourage the use of ACH as it can be covered over 30 countries and accessed were debits. an economical payment choice and bank through a single API and platform. According to research from GoCardless, account details change less frequently than Hiroki Takeuchi, CEO of GoCardless, one in five US customers prefer to pay for card numbers, reducing the amount of pay- said: “Our aim is – and always has been – subscription services by bank debit. ment maintenance.” <
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CI September 2019 571.indd 6 08/10/2019 14:47:24 News | digest
SIA powers contactless payments in Rome subway and rail stations Atac, Rome’s public transport agency, has partnered with Italian payment services group SIA to enable contactless payments at the subway and rail stations that the agency manages. Commuters can now use Mastercard, Visa and American Express contactless credit and debit cards to pay fares at POS termi- nals at entry turnstiles. They can also use smartphones and wearable devices to pay for tickets. The service can be used at the Rome-Li- do, Rome-Viterbo and Termini-Centocelle railway line stations, and on the A, B/B1 and C metro lines. Atac will be responsible for authorising and settling payments, as well as calculating the best fare based on the total number of journeys. The credit card will also serve as a monthly pass for the first time. SIA has also signed an agreement with Venice’s public transport company, AVM Holding, to enable digital payments on the city’s vaporetto boat service. in Italy thanks to SIA’s technology already “Our country is gradually accelerating the SIA marketing and sales director Eugenio adopted for contactless payments in the Mi- process of digitalisation of the public sector, Tornaghi said: “From today, Rome too can lan subway system and on board vaporetto and above all in the area of mobility and be counted among the most innovative cities boats in Venice.” public transport.” < Wirecard and UnionPay form global strategic partnership EVP for group business development at Wirecard. “We’re excited about the immense potential this partnership creates for both entities, and to deliver innovative solutions for current and future UnionPay cardholders globally. As a major tourist and business destination, China receives hundreds of millions of travellers every year, which means that the scope of our solutions will also address non-Chinese nationals and enable them to pay with UnionPay nationwide.” Larry Wang, VP at UnionPay International, added: “Through our global Wirecard and UnionPay have signed a such as digital wallets for tourists will also strategic partnership with Wirecard, we memorandum of understanding (MoU) to be developed. plan to continue driving our international form a global strategic partnership. The partnership between Wirecard and expansion forward. We are proud to have The agreement entails UnionPay’s UnionPay will initially focus on launching an experienced partner in digital financial international expansion and Wirecard’s products in Asia-Pacific, Europe and the technology and global payments by our growth in China and with Chinese US, where the firms have been working side to provide an even wider range businesses. As a result, a clear focus will together for several years. POS and issuing of innovative solutions for UnionPay be expanding the global acceptance of solutions will merge with the existing customers. We look forward to launching UnionPay as a digital payment method in online payment business. A consumer our partnership with Wirecard.” all channels. solution is also in development for the Wirecard recently signed an MoU with The partnership will also launch a 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing. device lifecycle management company number of issuing projects, including “As the world’s largest card scheme Brightstar. The MoU’s aim is to increase corporate solutions such as payout in terms of card issuance, UnionPay collaboration in the digital space, with products, and supplier and commission will be one of our key alliances in Asia,” a focus on consumer lending, payment payments. Consumer-orientated products commented Georg von Waldenfels, acceptance processing and card issuing. <
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CI September 2019 571.indd 7 08/10/2019 14:47:29 News | Digest
Mastercard and R3 develop blockchain cross-border payments Peter Klein, EVP for new payment plat- forms at Mastercard, commented: “Devel- oping a new and better cross-border B2B payments solution by improving worldwide connectivity in the account-to-account space is central to Mastercard’s ambition. “Our goal is to deliver global payment infrastructure choice and connectivity, as demonstrated through our recent strategic acquisitions and partnerships, including our relationship with R3. It confirms our com- mitment to innovation, both home-grown and through partnerships and acquisitions, to support advances and innovation in the increasingly complex global payment infra- structure space.” R3 CEO David E Rutter added: “We are excited to partner with Mastercard to help shape the future of the digital payments ecosystem. “All institutions – large or small – rely on the ability to send and receive payments, but all too often the technology they rely upon is cumbersome and expensive.” He added: “Cross-border payments can be a particular pain point. Corda was designed specifically for enterprise use cases such as this, and we look forward supporting Mastercard in bringing blockchain-enabled payments businesses across the globe.” Mastercard recently completed the pre- Mastercard and blockchain software strategy to increase customer choice. viously announced acquisition of US-based provider R3 have collaborated to develop a Combining R3’s blockchain with Mas- cross-border payments company Transfast. cross-border payments platform. tercard’s payment systems assets, brand The acquisition is expected to strength- The pilot will focus on connecting global and distribution, the partnership aims to en Mastercard’s payment portfolio and faster payments infrastructures, schemes provide innovative, value-added services cross-border reach, and enable individuals and banks. The solution will also be sup- to customers. It also aims to address issues and businesses to send and receive money ported by a clearing and settlement network such as high processing overheads, liquidity across borders more conveniently. operated by Mastercard. management, and lack of standardisation It is also expected to support financial The two companies hope that this will and processes between banks and domestic inclusion, and provide wider access to pay- be the latest step in Mastercard’s multi-rail clearing systems. ments globally. < Western Union and TRUE North collaborate on tuition payments Western Union has announced a review payment options in advance. It also president of sales for Canada, Western partnership with True North, a multi- features a price-comparison tool, enabling Union Business Solutions. user, web-based system, whose goal is to users to lock in exchange rates for up to 72 “By simplifying payment tracking and manage information tracking, reporting hours. Users can pay with Visa, Mastercard reconciliation, True North’s education and collaborative needs to international or Unionpay, and educational institutions institutions can free up valuable financial education programmes. will not incur merchant fees. and administration resources.” The partnership will enable students to The GlobalPay for Students platform True North co-founder Jason Schaad pay tuition and expenses using a simplified enables users to track payment statuses added: “We are excited to integrate the payment process. It will help funds arrive through the online website, mobile Western Union GlobalPay for Students on time and in full, without any hidden or messages and email. Payments are usually payment platform.” unexpected charges. delivered to the school within 24 hours. He continued: “The integration will save The partnership will make use of “We are proud to collaborate with True valuable time for international agents, Western Union’s WU GlobalPay for North to integrate our payments solution parents and students, as well as school Student platform to provide the ability to into their platform,” said Roy Farah, vice boards across Canada.” <
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Canadians aware of benefits are more satisfied: JD Power The survey also noted that 38% of the respondents in the fully knowledgeable group are likely to switch their current card issuer for better benefits, compared to 46% of those with lower knowledge. Benefits related to hotels have the highest impact on customer satisfaction, the survey noted; these are followed by shopping and other travel-related benefits. Notably, the study revealed that limited communication from card issuers improves customer satisfaction. Cash rewards were found to be the most popular among customers, followed by airline tickets. Use of digital channels was also found to be rising among all age groups. The study also highlighted that non-traditional credit card issuers are preferred by Canadians. They outperform conventional issuers by offering more attractive services. Canadian customers with better satisfaction level of 840 on a 1,000-point John Cabell, director of wealth and knowledge of the benefits offered by their scale. The figure drops to 736 for lending intelligence at JD Power, said: credit card issuer tend to have higher levels customers who are not completely aware “Non-traditional credit card issuers are of satisfaction. of the rewards to which they are entitled making significant headway, differentiating The findings are from the latest JD through their credit card. themselves with rewards and benefits that Power 2019 Canada Credit Card Satisfaction Additionally, 66% of the customers better resonate with consumers.” Study, which polled 6,617 people who used with higher understanding are likely Overall, Tangerine ranked highest in a major credit card in the previous three to recommend their card to others, as customer satisfaction among all credit months. According to the study, customers compared to only 38% of those with a card issuers in Canada. It was followed by who fully understand the benefits have a lower understanding. American Express and Canadian Tire. < Société Générale, Mastercard introduce card for gamers French banking group Société Générale has teamed up with Mastercard to roll out a payment card that will provide advantages to gaming enthusiasts in France. As part of the collaboration, the two busi- nesses will launch the special edition League of Legends Card. Mastercard is acting as ex- clusive payment services partner for global League of Legends sports events, which are said to be one of the world’s most popular e-sport events. The French bank is a sponsor of the Gamers Origin, a professional League of Legends team. The new limited-edition card will provide cardholders with up to 30% discounts on purchases of materials, by-products and spin-off products, as well as for rentals of gaming materials. on-site. Participants of Mastercard’s Priceless step forward in the world of e-sports on a Cardholders can also access League of programme can win VIP access to the World worldwide level. We are delighted in France Legends coaching sessions with Gamers Championship final in Paris in November. to partner with Société Générale for the Origin’s professional players, visit the Mastercard France country manager launch of the first League of Legends card in Gamers Origin training centre, and see Solveig Honoré Hatton said: “Mastercard is France, that offers its cardholders unprece- League of Legends French league matches one of the first global brands to take a big dented priceless experiences.” <
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CI September 2019 571.indd 9 08/10/2019 14:47:40 feature | contactless risk
contactless payments: do they pose a risk to society?
In a time where ‘tap and go’ payments are normal in everyday lives, it seems inevitable that we are moving towards a cashless society, but is this really the best idea? Evie Rusman looks at the dangers of contactless, and speaks to industry experts
owadays it seems almost old- He says: “I would say with any form of “Other drivers of debt among young people fashioned to pay with cash, while technology that’s new, your innovators are are the high costs they face – on housing, Nthe chances of a restaurant or shop typically going to be the younger audience. for example – relative to their incomes, not having a contactless card reader are I definitely think they are more vulnerable. and their greater likelihood of being in fairly slim. Contactless is a natural way of life for insecure employment, which can leave them This has led to a culture where ‘tapping’ has millennials.” particularly vulnerable to debt caused by consumed almost every aspect of our lives. In contrast, Sue Anderson, head of media changes in circumstances.” In 2018, contactless card payments overtook at StepChange Debt Charity, tells CI that chip and PIN in shops for the first time. Data THE DANGERS published by Worldpay showed that last June, 51% of all card payments in shops were by So, what exactly are the dangers surrounding contactless cards, up from 50% in May. contactless payments? With ease of payment The efficiency and speed of contactless comes the idea that people may not be fully payments means there have been huge keeping track of how much they are spending, advances in terms of payment technology; innovators are or where the money is going. however there is also a worry that Carmichael says: “Contactless payments overspending has increased, particularly typically going are great for society and great for technology; among millennials. however, they are going to create an A recent study published by the Claude to be the younger environment where you are able to purchase Littler Business School at the University faster and purchase more with a tap. of West London shows that one in five audience “That tap of a card actually is worth Londoners under the age of 45 are struggling money, and there is that underlying feeling to pay their debts because of the ease of that people are unaware of how much they contactless payments. The study also finds are spending. There needs to be more robust that more than one in 10 people considered young people are not necessarily in debt as a thought processes to ensure that people who reverting to cash in an attempt to control result of contactless payments. are using contactless have the money and their spending. She says: “Digital payments are more affordability to come out the other side.” Speaking to CI, Stuart Carmichael, chief popular among younger people, and younger He adds: “From a usability standpoint, for executive at the Debt Support Trust, explains people are increasingly experiencing problem everybody it’s not necessarily going to be the how young people are particularly vulnerable debt, but that doesn’t necessarily imply a greatest thing. It is going to cause problems, to overspending. causal link. and you can see it already.”
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CI September 2019 571.indd 10 08/10/2019 14:47:41 feature | contactless risk
Agreeing with Carmichael, Anderson this can cause overspending. overdraft fees and how you get into breaching highlights that even though electronic “It is impulse purchases we have to be wary your credit limits. payments have provided major benefits, there of, like buying a bottle of wine on a Friday “It also means having extra charges, missed are also a number of negatives. night. It’s those purchases that take us from payments and unauthorised courses. So She says: “Electronic payments are a being in a relatively healthy place to needing a certainly, we would see cashless as a bad thing massive convenience, and many of us enjoy bit of help. It’s about money management and for those who do not have savings to rely on, but rely on their overdraft each month. At that point, unless money is managed, we have to be wary of impulse purchases. contactless or cashless may not be the best thing for society.” they take us from being in a relatively It is hard to know if the UK will definitely move towards a cashless society, but all the healthy place to needing a bit of help signs seem to point towards it. If this is the case, some millennials may struggle to remain afloat when it comes to managing their being able to transact with the minimum making sure we are focused on our finances as finances. This leaves the question: is cashless of friction. This has obvious benefits, but a well as understanding your actual position,” really the best thing for society? < negative side effect of convenience is that it notes Carmichael. can be very easy to end up overspending on a cumulative basis.” A CASHLESS SOCIETY
WHAT ARE THE SOLUTIONS? For a number of years now, there has been speculation about eventually There are a number of ways people can moving towards a cashless society in overcome bad spending habits. Anderson the UK. With this comes worry in recommends budgeting and making a note of terms of access, as there would be one’s finances. an increased dependency on the She says: “One of the most important internet as well as a higher chance pieces of advice we give to clients is the of cybersecurity threats. important of making a budget, and tracking Carmichael says: “Certainly, your spending to help you stick to it. contactless is great for technology, “For some people, using cash can be a but in the wider scheme of helpful way of doing this, but there are also things, if you’ve got money helpful apps that can help you take control problems, it is not good. of tracking your spending if you do use Contactless means more people electronic and contactless payments.” are likely to pay and worry Carmichael explains how easy it is for about it later. That’s how people to overestimate the amounts they have you get into unauthorised in their bank accounts, and suggests money management apps could be a way forward. He says: “Money management is important. There are many of us that’ll look at a bank balance at the end of the month and think: ‘How did that happen?’ You have got so many payments coming out each month, coupled with using your card for cash. At one minute you can have several hundred pounds in your bank account, the next minute you look you are down to £100, and then you’re into your overdraft. “We always tell people it is worthwhile looking at these money management apps, or even writing down all transactions to accurately forecast spending. This means that people are more aware of the actual amount of money they have each month to spend.” According to an Independent Study, Brits will spend nearly £150,000 ($187,000) on impulse buys within their lifetime. As a result, Stuart Carmichael, Debt Support Trust
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CI September 2019 571.indd 11 08/10/2019 14:47:43 feature | argentina
argentina: meltdown hits cards market
In little over a month the Argentine peso has lost more than a quarter of its value. As a result, the government has placed currency controls on businesses in an effort to avoid capital flight. But how is the economic crisis impacting the credit card sector?Ivan Castano reports
rgentina’s financial crisis has hit trumped President Mauricio Macro in an over $100bn of debt. It says it intends to credit card issuers, with default primary-vote upset. restructure its debts quickly and without any A rates tripling as consumers tighten discounts. their belts to survive a major economic SHOCK WAVES Meanwhile, South America’s second-largest downturn. economy is set to shrink by 2.5% this year, up “We are at a turning point. Delinquency The results sent shock waves across global from the 1.5% previously forecast, as the crisis payments are rising in gigantic steps,” financial markets. Investors worry that escalates amid fresh caps on dollar purchases, says Nora D’Alessio, owner of industry Fernandez, who has former leader and rising inflation and unemployment. consultancy D’Alessio in Buenos Aires. Argentina’s banks are largely to blame for D’Alessio adds that most Argentines the difficulties consumers are facing, says are struggling to pay their minimum card D’Alessio, adding that they over-leveraged balances, slipping into a vicious debt cycle. themselves during expansion times. Almost 76%, nearly eight of 10, Argentinian “Two years ago we told them to be careful households have debt to pay because of to not over-lend with credit cards, but it was credit cards, up from 68% a year ago, says We are at a turning a good business so they didn’t listen to us,” D’Alessio. D’Alessio sighs. “Now people don’t know Meanwhile, delinquencies stand at 7.5%, point. Delinquency what’s going to happen. Ninety percent worry up from 6.6% in late 2018, says Victor about inflation, and 82% about economic Bescos, president of Argentina’s Bank payments are rising uncertainty.” Marketing Association (AMBA). He adds that the situation is set to worsen if Argentina in gigantic steps BANKING CUSHION fails to restructure its ballooning debt. Some observers, however, note that Bescos’s statistics Despite rising defaults, banks are in good seem overly optimistic, and that the default shape to survive the downturn, observers rate is more likely hovering at around 12%. political powerhouse Cristina Fernandez note. This is mainly because the country’s top Spanish and international banks de Kirchner as his running mate, will lenders amassed large cash reserves during the Santander, Banco Galicia, ICBC and Banco resurrect unpopular interventionist policies last decade when Argentina’s economy grew at Macro are the biggest issuers in the cards and ask investors to take a new haircut on relatively healthy rates. sector. The industry moved roughly $50bn international bonds. “While banks are facing growing defaults, before Argentina’s peso and stock markets Argentina has already asked the they have had many years of strong earnings collapsed in mid-August, when front-runner International Monetary Fund and and they are very liquid, buffering them presidential candidate Alberto Fernandez bondholders to accept late payments on against potential losses and giving them room
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CI September 2019 571.indd 12 08/10/2019 14:47:50 feature | argentina
to manoeuvre to extend credit terms or cut fees,” says Manuel Beaudroit, chief marketing officer at blockchain payments startup Bitex, Argentina credit tightens which helps businesses use Bitcoin and During the second quarter of 2019, The spreads on the cost of funding other digital currencies to make payments. Argentina’s banks effected a moderate widened moderately for retail lending, Indeed, banks’ overall loan-to-asset ratios and impaired loan portfolios remain very low, tightening of credit standards in all lines including credit cards, and with lesser ranging at 69% and 65% for Banco Macro for households, with a slight tightening intensity in the mortgage lending and BBVA Argentina respectively, according in the credit cards sector. sector. to analysts. Banking health aside, Buenos Aires should The policy shift results from the Commission fees charged by banks quickly devise a strategy to help consumers deterioration of the economic situation increased significantly for credit cards, slash their debts, just as Argentina’s debt-to- – both current and expected – and the equity ratio ticks over 100%, adds Beaudroit. and increased slightly for other retail “More and more people are stuck in increased risk of households’ overall lending in the second quarter. In making minimum payments, so the debt credit portfolio. other loan segments, they remained balance continues to grow,” he says. “The unchanged in the second quarter. government has to decide whether the banks According to Argentina’s Central Bank, can and should bail out consumers amid there was a mixed performance in The central bank forecasts that the different options to tackle the issue.” relation to the terms and conditions of standards for approval of nearly all Meanwhile, lenders are rushing to make life easier for consumers. For example, they are loans to households during the second credit lines for households will remain rolling out new campaigns that enable them quarter. unchanged in the third quarter. < to extend payments to 18 months instead of the typical 12, says Beaudroit. However, he Whether Argentines will resort to Bitcoin macroeconomic outlook,” he says. notes that issuers have so far refused to cut or other digital currencies to skip capital Uala is the latest enterprise attracting interest rates, which are prohibitively high controls, as many Venezuelans have done, foreign cash for expansion with China’s in Argentina, ranging from 70% to 80% remains to be seen. One thing seems certain, Tencent, owner of messenger-to-payment annually. however: online payments are taking off app WeChat, recently making a big-yet- in the country, driven by a slew of startups unspecified investment and joining billionaire CAN CRYPTO HELP? seeking to court Argentina’s huge unbanked George Soros and New York hedge fund population. Point72 to fund the young firm. To shore up the peso, which plummeted 30% Online retailer Mercado Libre’s digital Operating a mobile app linked to a alongside a major stock market crash – the wallet, Mercado Pago, has taken the market Mastercard prepaid card, Uala has printed second-worst in history – the government by storm. 1.1 million prepaid cards; however, it remains far from market leader Mercado Pago, which has won the hearts of three million card The fintech sector continues to grow, holders by providing them with discounts on its e-commerce site and the ability to with new groups and international conveniently pay for services such as Cabify, Netflix and Spotify. funds growing counter-cyclically While the emerging fintechs do not offer lower transaction fees than banks, their technology is more efficient and easier to use, instituted capital controls, capping dollar This follows a growing number of well- says Carballo. withdrawals to $10,000 for individuals and funded rivals, including Uala, Nubank, and “They provide better services for the $2m for firms, including importers. Wilobank, says Ignacio Carballo, who teaches unbanked, a huge consumer pond where The thresholds, designed to avoid a repeat financial inclusion and digital banking at banks do not want to fish,” he adds. of the infamous corralito, an event that saw Buenos Aires’s FCE-UBA University. That is important. One in two Argentines Argentines boycott banks to withdraw their He claims that the fintech sector is defying operates in the cash economy, making these savings in 2001, represent an opportunity for the crisis, growing 65% so far this year after firms, which are more lightly regulated than Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. chalking up gains of 110% in 2018, sharply traditional lenders, increasingly popular. “If you are an SME, you can use Bitcoin outpacing traditional banking. As Argentina’s debt crisis continues – with to make an import payment with no limits a repeat of the 2001 debt malaise that shut its and with an average transfer fee of $0.50,” FINTECH BOOM access to international financing still looming Beaudroit explains. Conversely, he adds: “If – it is easy to see how its dominant lower- you are using your black [premium] business “The fintech sector continues to grow in and-middle class citizens will continue to seek card, you have a $4,000 monthly limit and Argentina, with new groups and international online and other unconventional payment 5% fees.” funds growing counter-cyclically to the methods. <
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CI September 2019 571.indd 13 08/10/2019 14:47:50 feature | us-china trade war
trade war impact: us winning cards battle with china
China’s credit card market appears to be on the losing side of the country’s increasingly fractious trade war with the US – at least when viewed by the number of late payments sitting on banks’ balance sheets, argues Ivan Castano
hina’s card issuers, including its nagging concerns that a recession could be to surge well over last year’s 20% hike to big banks and leading industry around the corner. CYN79bn ($11.1bn), when they were up Cnames such as China UnionPay, ten-fold against 2010. Meanwhile, the asset- are suffering from the country’s deepening HOUSEHOLD DEBT RISES backed securities market is also deteriorating, trade conflict with Washington DC. with late balances at seven of China’s top 10 Delinquent payments are expected to grow Observers say China’s biggest banks are lenders that securitise credit card receivables sharply this year. At the same time, credit beginning to struggle, after over-hedging rising markedly. card issuance could decline as much as 50%, themselves during China’s boom years when “We have seen an increase in credit card as consumers feel the pinch from a sharp consumer loans rose too fast. non-performing loan ratios at some banks economic downturn. during the first half, especially those that Meanwhile, the US payments sector is were more aggressive in credit card lending performing more strongly, with charge-off expansion over the past two years,” Fitch levels rising modestly, while the global cards Ratings analyst Tracy Wan tells CI. market is set to gain 8-10% on the back of Some of China’s fastest-growing issuers, rising e-commerce demand. The default rate including Bank of Guiyang, Harbin Bank and The high-stakes trade spat, which some Bank of Shanghai, are cutting down on plastic experts see as worsening with no hope of a for the eight issuance, which surged 40-60% last year but resolution until after the 2020 US elections, is bound to fall in coming months to leave the has so far taken a bigger toll on China, they largest issuers overall growth rate at 5-10%. That compares claim. GDP is expected to grow by under 6% with 2018’s 23% jump to CYN6.85trn, this year, down from a prior 6.5% forecast we cover is low according to observers. and much higher rates in the past decade, To avoid further losses, China’s banks must while industrial production fell to a 17-year bolster their underwriting standards which low in July. “have been less stringent than for auto loans The US does not seem to be doing much Currently, household debt stands at over and residential mortgages, especially since better on the economic front, however, with 53% of GDP and 85% of disposable income, Chinese banks turned to online channels GDP growing by a slower-than-expected up from 18% and 31% respectively just or social media platforms for customer 1.8% in the third quarter, and manufacturing a decade ago, according to Fitch Ratings. acquisition” in recent years, Wan and her activity falling to a 10-year low, reviving Observers expected credit card defaults team say in a report.
14 | September 2019 | Cards International
CI September 2019 571.indd 14 08/10/2019 14:47:54 feature | us-china trade war
US DEFAULTS EASE UP US CREDIT CARD CHARGE-OFF RATES (%)
Meanwhile, the payments sector seems May 2019 June 2019 July 2019 August 2019 healthier in the US, where the tariffs ordeal Chase 1.40 1.13 1.15 1.14 has not yet exerted too much pressure, American Express 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.50 according to analysts. Citi 1.57 1.51 1.53 1.53 “The default rate for the eight largest issuers Bank of America 1.56 1.56 1.57 1.56 we cover is low,” says Fitch Ratings analyst Discover 2.33 2.34 2.37 2.41 Michael Taiano, adding that charge-offs rose by 10-25 basis points to 3% of outstanding Capital One 3.29 3.40 3.49 3.50 card balances as of the second quarter, and Source: GlobalData have gradually fallen from a 5-6% rate since the 2009 financial crisis. PLASTIC USE GROWS or Philippines – already a rising trend – or As Washington and Beijing’s tensions passing higher costs to consumers, in which reach new heights, with Trump threatening Not everyone agrees that either Amex or case Amex, Visa and Mastercard would to limit investments to China, Taiano sees its rivals would suffer a heavy blow from a benefit from higher fees. Moreover, the risk delinquencies inching higher, though he drawn-out crisis in foreign commerce, mainly that some companies will be unable to absorb declines to provide a year-end forecast. because global card demand and transaction rising duties and be forced to fold their Meanwhile, American Express, which has fees continue to grow rapidly. franchises remains low, Biggar adds. a large pool of US manufacturing customers “American Express has enough cash and He expects global card fee revenues to that are facing losses from Trump’s tariffs on plenty of liquidity to launch a variety of continue to leap this year – with or without a roughly $500bn of Chinese goods, could initiatives to restore any lost business,” says recession – as online retail purchases remain suffer from a prolonged trade war. This is because it targets more businesses than archrivals Visa and Mastercard, which have a higher consumer focus, according to Taiano. the shift to plastic from cash in online “American Express is seeing spending volumes moderating, especially from mid-size spending will benefit payment flows. operating costs onto consumers,” he explains, adding that the blue-box-logo issuer saw This won’t change in a downturn corporate spending volumes jump 7% in the second quarter, down from 11% in the same Argus analyst Stephen Biggar, adding that buoyant, boosting credit and debit card use period last year. the company has also been fairly successful in more rapidly than in the bricks-and-mortar Amex has also “grown loans faster than recovering from the dramatic unravelling of economy. peers in the last couple of years, partly to its co-branded Costco card business. “Credit card companies are charging higher compensate for losing the Costco retail More crucially, Biggar points out: “While fees relative to transaction amounts, and the account, so there is a concern that if we move the trading feud is in its second year, it doesn’t shift to plastic from cash in online spending into a down cycle, some of those loans will seem to be affecting credit card payment flows will benefit payment flows,” adds Biggar. underperform,” adds Taiano. as much as bank and invoice-related payments “This won’t change in a downturn.” In balance, American Express continues [such as trade finance].” to run a formidable business, with return While higher tariffs are squeezing some US CHRISTMAS GAINS? on equity (ROE) margins exceeding 30%, importers, they have many options to fight compared to 20% for Discover and other them, notably shifting suppliers out of China Ivan Feinseth, Visa and Mastercard analyst competitors, he points out. and into Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia at Tigress Financial Partners, agrees. Despite China’s slowing economy, global credit transaction volumes continue to increase, he insists, forecasting gains of 8-10% in 2019. On top of this, he says: “Mastercard and others are expecting a 5% gain in holiday sales,” adding that Mastercard continues to benefit from strong global consumer demand US record unemployment. That may be so, but the trade war remains a hangover on the global economy. Washington and Beijing negotiators are set to meet in mid-October with hopes of ironing out a deal to end the impasse. But gloomy market watchers say the chance of a thaw during those meetings remains relatively slim. <
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CI September 2019 571.indd 15 08/10/2019 14:47:57 country snapshot | hungary
HUNGARY
country snapshot: hungary Interest rate policy continues to hinder credit card growth
ash remains the preferred mode of However, payment cards registered strong The Hungarian government has been consumer payments in Hungary, growth during 2014-2018 in terms of taking several initiatives in the form of Caccounting for 62.5% of the transaction volume and value, recording regulatory and operational measures to country’s total transaction volume in 2018. respective CAGRs of 19% and 11.8%. boost electronic payments in the country, including launching a POS installation value of credit transfers value of payment cards program, mandatory basic accounts by banks, and a proposed new instant bn bn payment system. , These government initiatives are , complemented by the introduction of , an EU-wide cap on interchange fees, encouraging merchants in the country to , accept card-based payments. , In terms of transaction volume and , value, debit cards are expected to continue