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Americans and Climate Change Americans and Climate Americans and Climate Change Closing the Gap Between Science and Action Americans and “The Conference brought together the best and the brightest from key sectors to listen, learn and work together. Most importantly, it gave us an opportunity to come up with clear and specific action for taking on one of the biggest challenges of our time.” james e. rogers, chairman and ceo, cinergy corp. Climate Change “A major recommendation to emerge from the breakthrough dialogue described here is that global warming must now be viewed fundamentally as a moral and spiritual issue. This will change the nature of the debate, and draw in believers of all faiths, particularly evangelical Christians, who have hereto- Closing the Gap Between Science and Action fore regarded it as an “environmental” matter only. The 86 leaders who recently signed the “Evangelical Climate Initiative” agree with this basic assumption. That some religious leaders disagree only makes this report more significant. If one reads and studies these pages, the inescapable conclusion is that we A Synthesis of Insights and Recommendations must all come together as Americans to act in responsible ways to solve this crisis.” from the 2005 Yale F&ES Conference on Climate Change reverend richard cizik, vice president of government affairs, national association of evangelicals “This conference, unlike most, was able to combine both the clarification of a macro challenge and the key action steps needed to help resolve that challenge with its complex overlay of political, scientific, and attitudinal dimensions. One thing stands out: the stakes on climate change are simply too high for us to continue approaching it as a partisan issue. Republicans and Democrats need to get together on Daniel R. Abbasi this as Americans above all. Read this insightful report and let’s get started.” richard b. wirthlin, chief strategist to president ronald reagan; founder, wirthlin worldwide With a Foreword by James Gustave Speth Daniel R. Abbasi Daniel R. “The world desperately needs to know what we scientists are learning from our research endeavors. We can no longer afford to talk principally to each other, in a language understandable only to us. This illuminating report arose from a path-breaking conference and outlines concrete steps that will help scientists better explain the real-life implications of our research on climate change to decision-makers and the public so that needed action can be taken — and not a moment too soon.” dr. jane lubchenco, valley professor of marine biology and distinguished professor of zoology, oregon state university; former president, american association for the advancement of science “This report makes clear that the science is now in: global warming is for real. Climate change cannot be understood or responsibly dealt with if either science or environmental concerns are politicized.” Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies & Environmental School of Forestry Yale congressman james a. leach (r-ia), u.s. house of representatives “Addressing the global threat of climate change requires more than just scientific consensus. This conference allowed the time and resources for exactly the type of meeting of industry, government, and civil society leaders that is needed if we are to move past talking about this growing threat, and start taking action. Quite frankly, the future of our economy and our way of life depend on it.” mindy s. lubber, president, ceres “This important contribution reflects a unique coalition-building effort. What emerged was a wide recognition of the opportunities that would result for the United States and the world if only our government would lead and recognize the reality of global climate change.” timothy e. wirth, president, united nations foundation and better world fund, former u.s. senator (d-co) “A fresh approach to the complex and often-controversial issue of global climate change — a collabora- tive effort, united by a simple, straightforward goal, namely to get things done. Daniel Abbasi does a skillful job of weaving together divergent views — those of science, business, government, and the media — so that a framework for change begins to take shape. A wonderfully put together book.” eileen claussen, president, pew center on global climate change www.yale.edu/environment/publications yale school of forestry & environmental studies Americans and Climate Change Closing the Gap Between Science and Action A Synthesis of Insights and Recommendations from the 2005 Yale F&ES Conference on Climate Change Daniel R. Abbasi With a Foreword by James Gustave Speth yale school of forestry & environmental studies publication series Title Americans and Climate Change: Closing the Gap between Science and Action Volume author Daniel R. Abbasi Book design Peter W. Johnson and Maura Gianakos, YaleRIS Cover design Maura Gianakos, YaleRIS Cover image The image on the cover is a snapshot from a climate simulation model that runs from 1920-2080. The model is being run by harnessing desktop computers around the world at climateprediction.net, a collaborative project of the University of Oxford, the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and others. Used with permission. To participate in the model using your desktop computer, go to: www.climateprediction.net Page layout Dorothy Scott, North Branford, CT Print on demand Yale Reprographics and Imaging Services (RIS) Publication series Jane Coppock editor Paper Mohawk Creme 30% recycled To obtain copies This book is available as a free downloadable pdf at www.yale.edu/environment/publications. Hard copies may be ordered at the same website. The opinions, findings, and interpretations of research contained in this volume are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect positions of the Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies or participants in the conference described in this volume. Permission is granted to reproduce material in this volume without prior written consent so long as proper attribution is made. To learn more about how you can participate in implementation of the full set of 39 recommendations, please visit: http://environment.yale.edu/climate. ISBN 0-9707882-4-X @ 2006 Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies “We are now faced with the fact that tomorrow is today. We are con- fronted with the fierce urgency of now. In this unfolding conundrum of life and history there is such a thing as being too late. Procrastination is still the thief of time. Life often leaves us standing bare, naked and dejected with a lost opportunity. The ‘tide in the affairs of men’ does not remain at the flood; it ebbs. We may cry out desperately for time to pause in her passage, but time is deaf to every plea and rushes on. Over the bleached bones and jumbled residue of numerous civilizations are writ- ten the pathetic words: ‘Too late....’” — Reverend Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. Table of Contents acknowledgements 1 foreword 5 James Gustave Speth executive summary 9 part i: matching up to the perfect problem 15 Introduction 17 Scientific Disconnects 24 From Science to Values 39 Packaging Climate Change as an Energy Issue 49 Incentives 54 Diffusion of Responsibility 68 The Affliction of Partisanship 74 Setting Goals 80 Leveraging the Social Sciences 97 part ii: diagnoses and recommendations 105 Science 107 News Media 121 Religion & Ethics 131 Politics 141 Entertainment & Advertising 155 Education 165 Business & Finance 175 Environmentalists & Civil Society 187 summary list of conference 197 recommendations list of conference participants 203 about the author 211 acknowledgements 1 Acknowledgements Reverend and former Congressman Bob Edgar brought the house down at our Conference in Aspen when he recited the arresting Martin Luther King, Jr. quote that opens this report. But what was remarkable about our Conference was that nearly everyone there brought the house down at some point – in their unique ways. Whether through quiet moments of candor, piercing insights about dynamics in our society or intense debates, our remarkable participants delivered on the challenging mandate set before them. Therefore our first and most important acknowledgement here is of that special group of Americans who joined us in Aspen. We thank them for their inspiring and successful modeling of the kind of dialogue our society needs to have more of, at all levels, on climate change and many other high-stakes issues facing our country and world – and for their ongoing contributions to implementing the action recommendations they devised. Special thanks are due to our keynote speakers, who delivered inspiring remarks that illuminated the dynamics we were exploring in the Conference and also challenged the participants to work even harder to get at robust answers. Not only did they provide thoughtful speeches, they also stayed to engage thoroughly in the working group dialogues: Al Gore, John Kerry, Jim Leach and Jim Rogers. I express my profound thanks to Gus Speth, the Dean of our School, who has brought extraordinary vision to everything he’s done throughout his remarkable career of leadership on issues of environment and development – and continued that record in our collaboration on this Conference. Working with him on this and other endeavors is a professional and personal privilege. Without him, this Conference and the broader Yale “science-to-action” collaborative that has emerged from it would not have been possible. Ellen Susman, Susan Crown and Marne Obernauer