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Foreword Chapter 1. Failing Governance, Unsustainable Planet Notes Foreword 1. James Madison, “The Federalist No. 51: The Structure of the Government Must Furnish the Proper Checks and Balances Between the Different Departments,” Independent Journal, 6 February 1788. 2. Nicholas Stern, The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review (Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 2006), p. xviii. 3. Nicholas Berggruen and Nathan Gardels, Intelligent Governance for the 21st Century (Cambridge, U.K.: Polity Press, 2012); David Runciman, The Confidence Trap (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2013), pp. 318–20. 4. John Platt, “What We Must Do,” Science, 28 November 1969, pp. 115–21. 5. Lisa-ann Gershwin, Stung! On Jellyfish Blooms and the Future of the Ocean (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2013); Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of IPCC Working Group I (Cambridge, U.K.: 2013). 6. Adam Hochschild, Bury the Chains (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 2005). 7. U. Thara Srinivasan et al., “The Debt of Nations and Distribution of Ecological Impacts from Human Activi- ties,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 105, no. 5 (2008), pp. 1,768–73. 8. John Stuart Mill, Principles of Political Economy (London: Longmans, Green, and Co., 1848/1940), pp. 746–51. 9. Kenneth E. Boulding, “The Economics of the Coming Spaceship Earth,” presented at the Sixth Resources for the Future Forum on Environmental Quality in a Growing Economy, Washington, DC, 8 March 1966. 10. White House Council on Environmental Quality, “Preparing the United States for the Impacts of Climate Change,” Executive Order (Washington, DC: November 2013). 11. Karl Polanyi, The Great Transformation (Boston: Beacon, 1967/1944), p. 73. 12. Michael Wines, “Climate Pact Is Signed by 3 States and a Partner,” New York Times, 30 October 2013; Sadhu A. Johnston, Steven S. Nicholas, and Julia Parzen, The Guide to Greening Cities (Washington, DC: Island Press, 2013); Bruce Katz and Jennifer Bradley, The Metropolitan Revolution (Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 2013); Parag Khanna, “The End of the Nation-State?” New York Times, 12 October 2013. 13. James Howard Kunstler, The Long Emergency: Surviving the Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-first Century (New York: Grove Press, 2006). 14. Madison, op. cit. note 1. 15. Alan Ryan, On Politics, vol. 2 (New York: Liveright Publishing, 2012), p. 1,010. 16. Runciman, op. cit. note 3, p. 316. Chapter 1. Failing Governance, Unsustainable Planet 1. United Nations (UN) News Centre, “Typhoon Haiyan Wake-up Call to Speed Up Climate Control Efforts L.Mastny, State of the World 2014: Governing for Sustainability, 253 DOI 10.5822/ 978-1-61091-542-7, © 2014 Worldwatch Institute 254 | State of the World 2014 – Ban” (New York: 18 November 2013); Mark Fischetti, “Was Typhoon Haiyan a Record Storm?” Scientific Ameri- can blog, 12 November 2013; Matt McGrath, “Typhoon Prompts ‘Fast’ by Philippines Climate Delegate,” BBC News, 11 November 2013. 2. Global Carbon Project, “Carbon Budget and Trends 2013,” 19 November 2013, at www.globalcarbonproject. org/carbonbudget; David Biello, “400 PPM: Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere Reaches Prehistoric Levels,” Sci- entific American blog, 9 May 2013. The yearly average for 2012 was 393.1 parts per million, a record; see World Meteorological Organization, “Greenhouse Gas Concentrations in Atmosphere Reach New Record,” press release (Geneva: 6 November 2013). 3. UN Environment Programme (UNEP), The Emissions Gap Report 2013 (Nairobi: 2013); Steiner quote from “Two-degree Global Warming Limit ‘Ever-more Elusive’: UN,” 5 November 2013, at www.expatica.com; 3.7-degree Celsius trajectory from Bill Hare et al., “Warsaw Unpacked: A Race to the Bottom?” Climate Action Tracker Policy Brief, 20 November 2013, at http://climateactiontracker.org; International Energy Agency (IEA) projection from Jeremy Lovell, “Clean Energy Lags Put World on Pace for 6 Degrees Celsius of Global Warming,” Scientific American blog, 26 April 2012. 4. The pace of national climate-related legislation in a group of 33 key industrial and developing countries has slowed substantially since 2010; see Terry Townshend et al., “How National Legislation Can Help to Solve Climate Change,” Nature Climate Change, May 2013, pp. 430–31. Quote from Hare et al., op. cit. note 3. 5. Bill Hare et al., “Australia: Backtracking on Promising Progress,” Climate Action Tracker Policy Brief, 13 Novem- ber 2013, at http://climateactiontracker.org; “New Emissions Goal Derided as ‘Bad Joke’ at U.N. Climate Sum- mit,” Japan Times, 16 November 2013; Caroline Selle, “Poland Partners with Coal and Oil Corporate Sponsors for COP19 Climate Conference,” Desmogblog, 18 September 2013, at www.desmogblog.com; “Polish Government Criticized for Hosting Coal Event at Same Time as UN Climate Conference,” Washington Post, 8 November 2013. 6. Kevin Anderson and Alice Bows, “A New Paradigm for Climate Change,” Nature Climate Change, September 2012, pp. 639–40. 7. A study by Drexel University professor Robert Brulle found that 91 “climate change counter-movement” orga- nizations in the United States had a total income of more than $7 billion over the eight year period 2003–10, or exceeding $900 million per year, with trade associations accounting for the bulk of the total. However, the majority of the organizations are multiple-focus organizations, so that not all of this income was devoted to climate-related activities. Robert J. Brulle, “Institutionalizing Delay: Foundation Funding and the Creation of U.S. Climate Change Counter-Movement Organizations,” Climatic Change, published online 21 December 2013. 8. UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), “Glossary of Climate Change Acronyms,” at http://unfccc.int/essential_background/glossary/items/3666.php. This count excludes the abbreviations of long- established international organizations relevant to the international climate process. 9. UNFCCC, Conference of the Parties, Berlin, 28 March–7 April 1995, “Directory of Participants,” 6 April 1995; UNFCCC, Conference of the Parties, Nineteenth session, Warsaw, 11–22 November 2013, “Provisional List of Par- ticipants,” 12 November 2013. 10. Morton Winston, “Why Hopenhagen Turned into Nopenhagen,” Open Salon blog, 17 December 2009; Dan Bodansky, “[Can-cun or Can’t-Cun? [That [is [not]] [might be] the Question]],” Opinio Juris, 9 December 2010, at http://opiniojuris.org. 11. Hans Verolme et al., What Future for International Climate Politics? A Call for a Strategic Reset, Publication Series Ecology, vol. 32 (Berlin: Heinrich Böll Stiftung, 2013), pp. 21–22. 12. “The Shape of a New International Climate Agreement,” remarks by U.S. Special Envoy for Climate Change Todd D. Stern at Chatham House, London, 22 October 2013. 13. David Turnbull, “IPCC Says We Must Stop Digging,” Oil Change International blog, 27 September 2013; Lorne Stockman, “IEA Acknowledges Fossil Fuel Reserves Climate Crunch,” Oil Change International blog, 12 November 2012. 14. Carbon Tracker and the Grantham Research Institute, Unburnable Carbon 2013: Wasted Capital and Stranded Assets (London: 2013), p. 16; IEA, World Energy Outlook 2012 (Paris: 2012), pp. 123–24, 230; Bloomberg New Notes | 255 Energy Finance and Frankfurt School–UNEP Collaborating Centre for Climate & Sustainable Energy, Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2013 (London: 2013). 15. IEA, op. cit. note 14, p. 121; Richard Heede, “Tracing Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide and Methane Emissions to Fossil Fuel and Cement Producers, 1854–2010,” Climatic Change, January 2014, pp. 229–41. 16. John Sousanis, “World Vehicle Population Tops 1 Billion Units,” WardsAuto, 15 August 2011, at http://wards auto.com/ar/world_vehicle_population_110815; Bill McBride, “Vehicle Sales: Fleet Turnover Ratio,” Calculat- edRISK: Finance and Economics blog, 24 April 2010. 17. Scrap the EU-ETS, EU ETS Myth Busting: Why It Can’t Be Reformed and Shouldn’t Be Replicated, 15 April 2013, at http://scrap-the-euets.makenoise.org/eu-ets-myth-busting; 2012 ETS share from John Upton, “Carbon Trading Is Booming in North America, No Thanks to U.S. or Canadian Governments,” Grist.org, 3 January 2014. 18. The Climate Group, Carbon Pricing, Insight Briefing (London: May 2013), p. 3; European Energy Exchange, “EU Emission Allowances,” at www.eex.com/en/Market%20Data/Trading%20Data/Emission%20Rights; Ewa Krukowska, “EON’s Teyssen Urges Fix to ‘Bust’ EU CO2 Plan, Energy Rules,” Bloomberg, 7 February 2012. For analysis of carbon market problems, see Carbon Market Watch website, http://carbonmarketwatch.org. Currency conversion reflects official exchange rates for the time, from European Central Bank, at www.ecb.europa.eu/stats /exchange/eurofxref/html/eurofxref-graph-usd.en.html. 19. Hare et al., op. cit. note 3; Nils Klawitter, “CO2 Emissions: Can Europe Save Its Cap-and-Trade System?” Spiegel Online, 3 April 2013. 20. Corporate Europe Observatory, “Revolving Door Watch,” at http://corporateeurope.org/revolvingdoorwatch; ALTER EU, “Brussels: a Lobbying Paradise,” 27 March 2012, at www.alter-eu.org; John O’Donnell, “Special Report – How Lobbyists Rewrite Europe’s Laws,” Reuters, 18 March 2011. 21. Evan Mackinder, “Pro-Environment Groups Outmatched, Outspent in Battle Over Climate Change Legisla- tion,” OpenSecrets blog, 23 August 2010; Mike Dorning, “Gore Says Money Influence in Politics Hacked Democ- racy,” Bloomberg, 17 October 2013. 22. Corporate Europe Observatory, “The Right to Say No: EU–Canada Trade Agreement Threatens Fracking Bans,” 6 May
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