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Survey Report YouGov / The Times Survey Results Sample Size: 1100 Adults in Scotland (16+) Fieldwork: 4th - 8th March 2021 Vote in 2019 EU Ref 2016 Indy Ref Voting intention Holyrood Voting intention Gender Age Total Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Remain Leave Yes No Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ Weighted Sample 1100 205 152 78 366 568 283 415 514 176 145 42 418 182 145 52 438 529 571 143 435 274 249 Unweighted Sample 1100 226 157 82 416 602 277 395 504 191 143 47 434 199 148 54 456 522 578 145 433 287 235 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % WESTMINSTER HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION 6-10 4-8 Westminster Voting Intention Nov Mar '20 '21 [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Con 19 23 84 7 8 1 17 40 4 40 100 0 0 0 93 6 3 0 25 20 12 16 27 32 Lab 17 17 5 64 20 5 19 16 8 27 0 100 0 0 3 88 11 2 16 18 18 15 20 19 Lib Dem 4 5 1 4 52 1 5 5 2 8 0 0 100 0 2 1 78 1 4 6 3 6 4 5 SNP 53 50 3 18 17 90 56 32 83 20 0 0 0 100 0 2 4 95 48 52 57 57 46 40 Green 3 3 0 6 3 2 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 6 4 1 2 Brexit Party 3 1 5 1 0 0 1 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 2 2 1 Other 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 3 1 0 1 HOLYROOD HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION Holyrood Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Con 19 22 80 6 18 1 18 38 4 39 93 3 10 0 100 0 0 0 25 19 13 17 24 31 Lab 15 17 10 59 15 4 17 18 8 26 5 87 4 1 0 100 0 0 17 16 14 14 20 18 Lib Dem 6 6 2 6 47 1 5 6 1 10 1 3 78 0 0 0 100 0 5 7 4 5 8 6 SNP 56 52 3 25 18 92 57 33 83 23 1 5 7 98 0 0 0 100 49 55 65 60 45 42 Green 2 2 0 4 2 2 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 2 1 2 Scottish Socialist Party 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 2 1 5 0 1 0 0 5 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 2 1 Scottish Regional Vote [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 20 21 78 6 18 1 16 38 4 37 87 5 14 0 89 5 8 0 24 18 12 15 26 30 Labour 13 16 7 53 18 6 17 14 7 25 3 82 10 2 1 86 8 1 15 17 10 15 17 18 Lib Dem 6 5 3 4 39 1 5 5 1 9 3 3 60 0 3 2 68 0 5 5 3 4 6 6 SNP 47 45 3 19 16 81 51 30 73 20 0 5 10 86 0 1 4 85 40 50 45 53 41 37 Green 7 6 0 11 7 6 6 3 6 3 0 2 3 6 0 3 10 7 8 4 17 7 4 3 Scottish Socialist Party 3 3 0 2 1 5 3 2 4 2 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 5 2 3 8 3 1 3 Other 4 4 9 4 2 1 2 9 4 4 6 3 2 1 6 4 2 1 6 2 4 4 6 2 Independence Referendum Vote Excluding those who would not vote or don't know] Yes 51 49 2 28 11 86 53 30 84 17 0 20 16 93 0 18 18 92 48 49 70 60 38 32 No 49 51 98 72 89 14 47 70 16 83 100 80 84 7 100 82 82 8 52 51 30 40 62 68 1 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com YouGov / The Times Survey Results Sample Size: 1100 Adults in Scotland (16+) Fieldwork: 4th - 8th March 2021 Social Grade Scottish Region North East Highlands & Mid-Scotland & Total ABC1 C2DE South Scotland West Scotland Central Lothians Glasgow Scotland Islands Fife Weighted Sample 1100 572 528 164 109 167 112 126 132 183 108 Unweighted Sample 1100 621 479 164 113 178 111 127 117 184 106 % % % % % % % % % % % WESTMINSTER HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION 6-10 4-8 Westminster Voting Intention Nov Mar '20 '21 [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Con 19 23 24 21 28 20 26 23 15 20 27 14 Lab 17 17 15 20 11 7 20 16 33 22 17 11 Lib Dem 4 5 7 3 6 12 4 3 3 5 4 5 SNP 53 50 48 52 49 54 46 53 47 49 46 62 Green 3 3 3 3 3 6 2 2 0 5 2 4 Brexit Party 3 1 2 1 3 0 2 1 1 0 3 0 Other 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 HOLYROOD HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION Holyrood Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Con 19 22 23 21 30 20 28 21 16 19 25 7 Lab 15 17 15 19 9 4 19 17 31 21 16 17 Lib Dem 6 6 8 3 7 17 2 3 2 7 6 5 SNP 56 52 50 54 50 56 49 57 50 50 48 61 Green 2 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 3 3 6 Scottish Socialist Party 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Other 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 0 1 0 1 4 Scottish Regional Vote [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 20 21 22 20 25 20 27 19 16 20 25 8 Labour 13 16 14 19 11 6 17 18 27 20 14 14 Lib Dem 6 5 6 3 6 16 2 0 3 6 5 5 SNP 47 45 44 47 42 45 42 48 43 42 45 57 Green 7 6 6 6 8 10 3 9 4 7 4 6 Scottish Socialist Party 3 3 2 3 2 0 5 2 1 5 3 4 Other 4 4 5 2 5 4 3 4 5 0 5 6 Independence Referendum Vote Excluding those who would not vote or don't know] Yes 51 49 48 49 44 52 43 51 47 54 48 59 No 49 51 52 51 56 48 57 49 53 46 52 41 2 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com Sample Size: 1100 Adults in Scotland (16+) Fieldwork: 4th - 8th March 2021 Vote in 2019 EU Ref 2016 Indy Ref Voting intention Holyrood Voting intention Gender Age Total Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Remain Leave Yes No Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ Weighted Sample 1100 205 152 78 366 568 283 415 514 176 145 42 418 182 145 52 438 529 571 143 435 274 249 Unweighted Sample 1100 226 157 82 416 602 277 395 504 191 143 47 434 199 148 54 456 522 578 145 433 287 235 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? [Excluding 16-17 year olds] Conservative 13 16 71 6 5 1 14 29 3 29 100 0 0 0 88 5 2 0 19 14 7 11 20 26 Labour 13 13 5 53 13 5 16 12 7 20 0 100 0 0 2 83 9 2 13 14 13 11 16 15 Liberal Democrat 3 4 1 3 35 1 5 4 2 6 0 0 100 0 2 1 61 1 3 4 2 4 3 4 Scottish National Party (SNP) 38 38 2 15 11 82 47 24 69 16 0 0 0 100 0 1 9 92 38 38 38 43 34 33 Green 2 2 0 4 2 2 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 3 1 1 Reform UK 2 1 4 1 0 0 1 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 Some other party 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 Would not vote 9 9 1 1 2 1 2 7 5 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 9 8 20 8 8 4 Don’t know 15 14 13 13 30 7 12 16 10 15 0 0 0 0 4 5 7 2 10 17 11 16 13 13 Refused 3 2 1 4 2 1 1 3 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 And which of these parties would you vote for? [Excluding 16-17 year olds.
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