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A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Making a Good Living – a 2030 Blueprint for Scotland

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A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Making a Good Living – a 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Making a Good Living A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Making A Good Living – A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland 4 Contents J Making A Good Living – A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Contents 7 Foreword by Shonaig Macpherson CBE FRSE, President, SCDI J 11 Executive Summary and Main Recommendations J 15 Recommendations for an Economic Enlightenment for Scotland J 19 The Global Economy in 2030 – Megatrends J 21 Scotland’s Starting Point – Economic Context by The Fraser of Allander Institute J 27 Scotland’s Economic Purpose J 31 Purposeful Businesses, Entrepreneurial State, Empowered People J 33 Scotland’s economic and social model J 35 International Trade J 41 A Living Lab for Innovations J 44 Investment (incl. Purposeful Capital; Green Finance and Agile Regulation) J 49 Research and Innovation J 53 Productivity (incl. Foundational Economy; Industry 4.0 and Clean Growth) J 69 Learning Throughout Life J 74 Work J 77 Skills J 81 Education J 85 Healthy Places to Live and Work J 89 Place-making – Strategy and Delivery J 92 Living, Working and Visiting J 95 Communications and Mobility J 101 Developing Blueprint 2030 J 105 Glossary of Terms J Thanks to our Blueprint Partnership Group: Openreach: Shepherd and Wedderburn: Skills Development Scotland: Zero Waste Scotland The partners supported the research and engagement plan via a Blueprint Partnership Group and provided input throughout. Individual recommendations cannot be attributed to any of the partners. SCDI takes full responsibility for the content and recommendations of the Blueprint. 5 Contents J Making A Good Living – A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland 6 Contents J Making A Good Living – A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Foreword by Shonaig Macpherson What might the global economy of 2030 in which and the Middle East, precisely where cities are Scotland aims to be successful look like? growing fastest. In 2030: How Today’s Biggest Trends Will Collide and As COVID 19 tore around the world last year, it put Reshape the Future of Everything11 Mauro F. Guillén a brake on progress in many areas and accelerated brings together a range of forecasts which highlight progress in some others. But it did not fundamentally major changes, including: alter these trends, profound changes which demand Scotland’s attention. • There will be more computers than human brains, more sensors than eyes, and more robotic arms What is now important is that we again begin to than human labour in manufacturing. dream and plan for 2030 and the country that • A majority of jobs will require the use of social skills Scotland can be. How can we ensure that Scotland’s and creativity. economy grows to take advantage of developments in • Half of all entrepreneurs may be in the senior age technology, whether for health or to achieve net zero? group, and nearly half of all new business ventures How can we ensure that our economy and society is in the world will be launched by women. resilient to future shocks? How can we build a more • Nearly half of our spending will be in the form of inclusive society which reduces the inequalities in “collaborative” or “shared” consumption, which will Scotland? include cars, homes, offices, gadgets, and personal items of all types. While many of us will be keen to forget 2020 our • Europe and the United States of America will be collective experience has taught us a great deal home to a smaller middle class and a more polarised about ourselves, our economy, our society and the society. interdependence and interconnection of the world • The global economy will be driven by the non- we live in. We have a better understanding of what Western consumer for the first time in modern we value as individuals, businesses, social enterprises history. and in civic society. It is no longer acceptable to • South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa will be vying for compartmentalise economic success, environmental the title of the world’s most populous region. sustainability, social cohesion and individual wellbeing • Almost 4 billion people – half of the world’s in a world of increasing inequalities. We are all and will projected population – will live in areas with serious increasingly be mutually dependent. SCDI’s Blueprint water shortages, mostly in East Asia, South Asia, 2030 has proposals and recommendations to ensure that Scotland can thrive in world of 2030 by working 1 Guillén, Mauro F., 2030, How Today’s Biggest Trends Will Collide and Reshape the Future of Everything together across sectors, geographies and interests. 7 Contents J Making A Good Living – A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Work began on our Blueprint in 2019. The passion for our communities at work and at home, locally and and commitment of SCDI’s members and partners globally. SCDI stands ready to play its part. shone through as we joined together in constructive discussion in challenging circumstances. The pandemic Our principal proposal recommendations include: brought a heightened impetus and imperative to our work, determined to take bold steps to build a • The creation of Innovation Neighbourhoods across successful and resilient Scotland for 2030. As we Scotland to catalyse place-based net zero growth, all grappled with new ways of working, one benefit including knowledge creation, scale ups, skills was the ability to engage with more of our members formation and local manufacture. throughout Scotland as past investment in digital • The introduction of Skills Wallet, with a strong infrastructure and skills in organisations and nationally focus on digital, data and green skills, to enable life- reaped unexpected dividends of allowing us to long investment in skills and training by individuals connect, listen and engage. and their employers. • The creation of 20-minute neighbourhoods with In our discussions, our members reflected on infrastructure, jobs, services, active travel and Scotland’s strengths: its highly skilled people, its green spaces for people to live, work and play culture, abundant natural resources, award winning locally, along with 500 remote working hubs in rural enterprises, cutting-edge research in both businesses and urban areas with supporting entrepreneurial, and our leading education institutions, effective public innovation and collaboration networks and support services and a vibrant civic society. However, we services. also recognised the pressing imperative to grow our economy, address the transition to net zero and a truly To drive progress with the Blueprint’s themes digital society, deal with demographic challenges of an and proposals, SCDI will continue to develop its ageing population, embed resilience and tackle social Productivity Clubs which we have launched in and regional inequalities. partnership with Scottish Government. Our new International Business Committee will take forward Our deliberations also took place against the backdrop support for our members to identify and grasp of a policy environment brimming with Strategies and international trade opportunities, contributing to the Plans from its governments which intend to tackle creation of a living lab for innovations. For learning many of these issues. As we publish the Blueprint the throughout life, SCDI’s Young Engineers and Science Scottish Government elected in May 2021 plans to Clubs will play a key role, including through our create a Council for Economic Transformation. The Future Voice initiative, which will bring together UK Government is establishing new hubs in Scotland young peoples’ ideas to address the three themes to deliver new investment and initiatives. In preparing of our Blueprint. We plan to explore support for the Blueprint in that context, SCDI has identified 3 purpose-led businesses to accelerate their growth and themes and 12 recommendations, informed by its sustainability, and to promote Scotland as a healthy membership, which it believes provides a focus for our place to live and work. collective efforts to build on Scotland’s strengths and to ensure everyone can prosper by 2030. SCDI wants to work in partnership to deliver its recommendations. Those partnerships need to Scotland must become a living lab for innovations extend beyond governments to include all of SCDI’s which create economic growth while being socially memberships and others with a shared belief in and environmentally useful. Scotland has to provide Scotland’s future. We look forward to building new opportunities and a culture which values learning relationships in the coming years to bridge the gaps throughout life. To foster economic growth and and build an inclusive, successful Scotland. address inequalities, Scotland must be a healthy place to live and work, attracting and retaining investment, The creation of the Blueprint would not have been global business and highly skilled citizens. All of this will possible without the support and encouragement of require partnership and stewardship from each of us, SCDI’s Blueprint partners, Openreach, Shepherd & 8 Contents J Making A Good Living – A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Wedderburn, Skills Development Scotland and Zero Waste Scotland, for which we are all grateful. Fraser of Allander Institute provided economic analysis which has informed our deliberations and which we greatly appreciate. SCDI is nothing without its members. This Blueprint is the product of their collective determination to build a better Scotland through bringing their own voice, expertise and opinion to bear. The level of engagement has been extraordinary, particularly in the context of the last 15 months. SCDI and its members hope that you will join with us to make our recommendations real and look forward to hearing from you as to how you can help us build a better Scotland. Shonaig Macpherson CBE FRSE President SCDI 9 Contents J Making A Good Living – A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland 10 Contents J Making A Good Living – A 2030 Blueprint for Scotland Executive Summary and Main Recommendations Executive Summary Read More on Fraser of Allander’s Commentary – Scotland’s Starting Point, p.21 J In our Blueprints, SCDI proposes our vision and 10- year economic strategy for Scotland.
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