TRACING ORDER in SEEMING CHAOS: UNDERSTANDING the INFORMAL and VIOLENT POLITICAL ORDER of KARACHI By
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TRACING ORDER IN SEEMING CHAOS: UNDERSTANDING THE INFORMAL AND VIOLENT POLITICAL ORDER OF KARACHI by Nazia Hussain A Dissertation Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of George Mason University in Partial Fulfillment of The Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Public Policy Committee: Louise Shelley, Chair Desmond Arias Terrence Lyons Janine Wedel Marvin Weinbaum, External Reader Kenneth Button, Program Director Mark J. Rozell, Dean Date: Spring Semester 2016 George Mason University Arlington, VA Tracing Order in Seeming Chaos: Understanding the Informal and Violent Political Order of Karachi A Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at George Mason University by Nazia Hussain Master of Arts Boston University, 2007 Director: Louise Shelley, Professor Department of Public Policy Spring Semester 2016 George Mason University Arlington, VA This work is licensed under a creative commons attribution-noderivs 3.0 unported license. ii DEDICATION This dissertation is dedicated to the people of Karachi and my parents. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I owe a debt of gratitude to faculty at SPGIA and especially to my committee. Prof. Shelley has been a rock of strength throughout my stay at Mason as well as shared her knowledge of challenges that lie at the nexus of crime, terror and corruption. Working with her at TraCCC was an extremely valuable experience. Prof. Desmond Arias generously shared his knowledge of violent and crime-ridden cities in Latin America which helped me crystalize my argument. Conversations and feedback from Prof. Terence Lyons laid down the seeds of this dissertation. His knowledge of Africa and conflict was immensely useful in adding depth to my argument. Prof. Janine Wedel’s scholarship and support helped me in remaining attentive to the dynamism of the problem at hand. In addition, her support lent to efforts for creating a space for qualitative methods at SPGIA was invaluable. My external reader, Prof. Marvin Weinbaum, a leading authority on South Asian and Middle Eastern Studies, was gracious to share his incisive feedback which helped in improving my work. Although Prof. Pfiffner was not on my committee, I would like to thank him for his support, guidance and generosity towards me and my work. In addition, I am extremely grateful to Assistant Dean for Program Management, Elizabeth Eck for her support and guidance throughout my time at Mason. I also owe thanks to Director PhD Student Services, Shannon Hettler who helped through her guidance and kindness. I am also grateful to a number of people in Karachi who assisted me in my field work. Lastly, I am thankful to my brother, Zafar and best friend, Melissa, who supported me throughout this journey. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of Figures .................................................................................................................. viii Abstract ............................................................................................................................... 2 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 3 Not a Breakdown of Governance: Emergence of an Informal and Violent Political Order ................................................................................................................................ 4 Evolution of Karachi and the State ................................................................................. 7 New Actors and Diverse Networks ............................................................................... 10 Social and Political Learning by Political Actors ......................................................... 12 Central Themes ............................................................................................................. 14 Urban Trends: Megacities in Developing Countries ................................................. 15 Governance in Megacities of Developing Countries ................................................. 16 Urban Informality ...................................................................................................... 19 Goals of Research .......................................................................................................... 20 Research Problem .......................................................................................................... 21 Research Method for Data Collection and Analysis ..................................................... 24 Existing Scholarship and Contribution of this Dissertation .......................................... 25 An Overview of Chapters .............................................................................................. 28 Understanding Informal Violent Political Orders in Megacities in Developing Countries: An Alternative Conceptualization ..................................................................................... 29 Breakdown of Governance? Key Arguments in Policy Literature ............................... 32 Normative Underpinnings of Policy Literature and Competing Explanations ............. 35 An Alternative Framework to Understand Governance in Cities with High Incidence of Crime, Violence, and Deregulated Service Provision ................................................... 40 Shared expectations are dependent on wider contexts .............................................. 43 State- produced Informality ....................................................................................... 51 Negotiability of Formal-Informal Boundaries ........................................................... 56 Informal and Violent Political Order of Karachi ....................................................... 60 Conclusion ..................................................................................................................... 65 Methodology ..................................................................................................................... 67 Research Question ......................................................................................................... 67 v Reasoning for Case Study Method ................................................................................ 68 Case Selection ............................................................................................................... 69 Method of Analysis: Process Tracing ........................................................................... 70 Doing Process Tracing............................................................................................... 71 Causal Mechanisms ................................................................................................... 73 Data Sources .................................................................................................................. 77 Newspapers ................................................................................................................ 78 Academic and Non-Academic Literature .................................................................. 79 Field Research ........................................................................................................... 80 Semi-Structured Interviews ....................................................................................... 81 Data Analysis ............................................................................................................. 85 Purpose of Research ...................................................................................................... 86 Karachi: A Brief History ................................................................................................... 89 Major trends in Karachi: Pre-colonial and Colonial Rule ............................................. 89 Centrality as a trade route and transit of opium ......................................................... 90 Migration Trends ....................................................................................................... 92 Autochthonous claims ............................................................................................... 93 Intermediaries between the rulers and the ruled ........................................................ 96 Karachi: from 1947-1988 .................................................................................................. 99 Migration flows, Housing Issues, and Ethnic Grievances .......................................... 100 Ethnic Grievances .................................................................................................... 102 Housing .................................................................................................................... 104 Turning Point: the Zia-ul-Haq years (1978-88) .......................................................... 109 Afghan Jihad and ‘Islamization’: Permissive and Productive Conditions .............. 110 Increase in Violence ................................................................................................ 113 Impact of the Drug Trade on Crime Groups and Informal Housing ....................... 116 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 118 The Making of an Informal and Violent Political Order: 1988-2013 ............................. 119 I-The decade of democracy: 1990s ............................................................................