Geostatistical Modelling of a Heterogeneous Alluvial Aquifer by Indicator Variables

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Geostatistical Modelling of a Heterogeneous Alluvial Aquifer by Indicator Variables Calibration and Reliability in Groundwater Modelling: A Few Steps Closer to Reality (Proceedings of ModelCARE'2002. Prague, Czech Republic, June 2002). IAHS Publ. no. 277. 2002. 115 Geostatistical modelling of a heterogeneous alluvial aquifer by indicator variables LAURA GUADAGNINI Dipartimento Ingegneria Idraulica, Ambientale, Infrastrutture Viarie, Rilevamento (DIIAR), Politecnico di Milano, Piazza L. Da Vinci 32, 1-20133 Milano, Italy laura.guadagnini(5),polimi,it MARCO FARINA & MATTEO SIMONI Municipality of Bologna-Unità Ambiante, Via Zamboni 8,1-40127 Bologna, Italy Abstract We have explored the applicability of indicator geostatistical methodologies for mapping the probabilistic spatial distribution of high and low permeability fades within the alluvial aquifer system of the city of Bologna in northern Italy. The first step was to analyse stratigraphie and sedimentological well data, identifying the main hydrogeological units of the area. After this, we focused our attention on the detailed reconstruction of the spatial pattern of the aquitard that serves as the separating element between superficially contaminated aquifers and deep aquifers, both exploited for drinking-water purposes. The spatial distribution of materials within the aquifer was then reconstructed on the basis of three data selection criteria, using two indicator geostatistical methodologies: (a) hydrostratigraphic analysis via indicator point kriging and probability cut-off, and (b) Monte Carlo conditional indicator simulations. The reliability of the resulting material distribution images within the aquitard was analysed using the available hydrogeological information. Key words aquitard; geostatistics; indicator point kriging; Monte Carlo conditional indicator simulations INTRODUCTION The study area comprises part of the high-medium alluvial plain close to the city of Bologna in the Regione Emilia Romagna in northern Italy. The study area of about 50 km2 is located within the Reno alluvial fan. Three major well fields, yielding nearly 80% of all the groundwater used for drinking water and industrial purposes in the Bologna area, are located within the study area. Figure 1 depicts the limits of the area investigated, together with the location of data points of an aquitard called "Alpha". The plain around Bologna is part of the Po Basin fill, which is a syntectonic sedimentary wedge (Ricci Lucchi, 1984) forming the infill of the Pliocene-Pleistocene fore-deep. The sedimentary evolution of the basin is characterized by an overall regressive trend from Pliocene open marine facies to Quaternary marginal marine (cycle Qm from Ricci Lucchi et ah, 1982) and alluvial deposits (cycle Qc). An array of coalescent fan complexes (Reno, Savena and Idice rivers) characterizes the uppermost portion of the Po Basin at its southern border (Apennines Piedmont area). Alluvial deposits in the Bologna area are more than 300 m thick (Francavilla et al., 1980). According to recent studies (Regione Emilia Romagna, 1998) cycle Qc is 116 Laura Guadagnini et al. Apennines Reno River Scale 1:400.000 Fig. 1 Location of the study area with data points and orientation (dashed line) of the cross-section, which is expanded in Fig. 2. Fig. 2 Cross-section of the aquifer and main geological features. subdivided into two coarse units: Cycle A (corresponding to Unite Alluvionale superiore in Amorosi & Farina, 1994b) and Cycle B (Unità Alluvionale inferiore, ibid.). Such units, about 100-150 m thick, are separated by clayey deposits and located in Cycle C, which in turn is the upper portion of Cycle Qm. The stratigraphy of cycle Qc has been investigated in the subsurface by well correlation. Cycle Qc is essentially composed of coarse deposits with subordinate clay, while sand deposits are scarce. Gravels are concentrated in the Reno area. Amorosi & Farina (1994a, 1994b, 1995) noted that a rhythmic alternation of coarse-grained bodies and laterally extensive pelitic horizons occurs at various scales and represents the basic cyclic motif of the depositional system. Cycles A, B and C (gravel-rich and characterized by gravel/mud values generally found between 1/2 and 3) consist of a sequence of clayey bodies of up to 20-25 m thickness, representing large-scale cyclicity. Medium-scale cyclicity can be observed in Cycles A and B because of four laterally persistent gravel-dominated bodies of approximately 30-50 m thickness; clayey bodies separating coarse deposits are 5-15 m thick. Small-scale cyclicity is developed on 15-20 m gravel/mud couplets. Geostatistical modelling of a heterogeneous alluvial aquifer by indicator variables 111 The alluvial deposits form large and productive aquifer systems. Three Plio- Pleistocene aged fresh water aquifers have been identified: Aquifer Group A (between 0 and 150-200 m), Aquifer Group B (between 150 m and 300-350 m) and Aquifer Group C (more than 300-350 m deep) (Regione Emilia Romagna, 1998). These correspond to Cycles A, B and C, respectively, and are composed of alluvial and sea deposits, both coarse and fine. The coarse deposits are essentially related to the fluvial activity of the Apennine streams and of the Po River. Generally, these aquifers are separated by discontinuous horizons (aquitards) of variable thickness and lithology. Here, we focus on the detailed reconstruction of the spatial pattern in the Alpha Aquitard, which is located within Aquifer Group A. Its spatial pattern plays a major role as it is the separation element between superficially contaminated aquifers and deep aquifers, currently heavily exploited for drinking-water purposes. METHODOLOGY The geological structure of the study area was defined by analysing well data and correlating appropriate cross-sections parallel and normal to the Apennine foothills. Hydraulic head data were also analysed to discern the behaviour of the ground­ water surface. The available data were organized into an efficient database and used to create geological cross-sections, maps of the base and top surfaces of each recognized geological unit, together with their total thickness and content of permeable sediments. These were measured on the basis of the cumulative thickness of gravel (gravel and sand for the aquitards) divided by total thickness. The wedge-shaped Reno alluvial fan within the study area, which rests on marine clayey deposits with saline water, widens in the northerly direction and tapers in the southerly direction. The three aquifer groups previously defined are separated by two main aquitards about 20-30 m thick and other aquitards of lower standing (thickness between 8 and 15m). A detailed analysis of the vertical geological structure has led to identification of the following hydrogeological units: (1) Aquifer Al; (2) Aquitard Alpha; (3) Aquifer A2, A3, A4 (named A234); (4) Aquitard Delta; (5) Aquifer B; (6) Aquitard Epsilon; (7) Aquifer C. Figure 2 shows a cross-section of the aquifer system. Orientation of the cross-section is shown in Fig. 1. Aquitard Alpha constitutes an element of subdivision within Aquifer Group A. It has a variable thickness of 1-3 m in the areas nearer the peak of the alluvial fan, rapidly increasing in the vicinity of the well fields and in the northern part. This has been described using 39 logs of geognostic boreholes and 183 well-logs. The deposits are mainly silty-clayey, with local interbedding of coarser material. The quantity ([gr + sa]/th), representing the cumulative thickness of gravel (gr) and sand (sa) divided by the total thickness (th), is generally less than 0.2. However, it displays local peaks larger than 0.8, highlighting possible discontinuities within the aquitard itself. Such discontinuities can be attributed to three situations related to depositional modalities: (A) occurrence of ribbon gravel bodies located in mud horizons; (B) a body of coarse material resulting from erosion of a previous mud horizon; and (C) local cessation of deposition of the mud horizon. In the case of Aquitard Alpha we think that the discontinuities can be correlated to case (A) in the 118 Laura Guadagnini et al. lateral and distal portions, to case (B) in the central and western areas, and to case (C) in the apical areas. The strategic importance of Aquitard Alpha lies in its capacity to separate the surface aquifers from the subsurface aquifers, since the low-permeability facies may form an efficient barrier to the vertical movement of groundwater and contaminants from the upper to the lower aquifers. The spatial distribution of materials within Aquitard Alpha was reconstructed using two indicator geostatistical methodologies: (a) hydrostratigraphic analysis via indicator point kriging and probability cut-off; and (b) Monte Carlo conditional indicator simulations. The first analysis was carried out according to the following steps: (a) trans­ forming the sedimentological values of the variable into the indicator random variable I(x); (b) analysing the spatial correlation structure of the indicator random variable; (c) estimating the spatial distribution of the probability of the occurrence of the high- permeability facies; (d) contouring the probability of the high-permeability facies and computing their extent relative to the study area; and (e) comparing the value obtained with the mean of the indicator data. Using the available data, we explored the effect of using values of (gr + sa)lth corresponding to 60% and 80% as threshold values. Furthermore, we coupled both sedimentological and stratigraphie information by considering both percentages of coarse-grained
Recommended publications
  • Tutte Da LOIANO VIA SAVENA a FONDOVALLE BV LAGHI Fermate Di Discesa : Tutte Da PIANORO V
    900 900 Monghidoro - Bologna LINEA DIRETTA In vigore dall’1 Ottobre 2020 al 5 Giugno 2021 da lunedì a venerdì nota #@ MONGHIDORO 06.15 06.25 MONGHIDORO VILLA MAIA 06.18 06.28 CA‘ DI ROMAGNOLO 06.22 06.32 VIA DEL VENTO 06.27 06.37 LOIANO BIVIO VIGNALE 06.27 06.37 LOIANO OSPEDALE 06.27 06.37 LOIANO ROMA MUNICIPIO 06.28 06.38 LOIANO MARCONI MUNICIPIO 06.30 06.40 LOIANO VIA SAVENA 06.30 06.40 COLLE AMENO 06.32 06.42 PONTE SAVENA BV MONZUNO 06.39 06.49 FONDOVALLE SAVENA BV SCASCOLI 06.44 06.54 FONDOVALLE SAVENA BV LAGHI 06.48 06.58 PIANORO V. FONDOVALLE SAVENA 06.54 07.04 PIAN DI MACINA CAMPO SPORTIVO 06.58 07.08 CARTERIA SCUOLE 07.02 07.12 CARTERIA DI SESTO 07.03 07.13 RASTIGNANO STAZIONE 07.05 07.15 PONTE SAVENA 07.10 07.20 DIRETTISSIMA 07.13 07.23 CHIESA NUOVA 07.16 07.26 PORTA SANTO STEFANO 07.21 07.31 PORTA MAGGIORE 07.23 07.33 PORTA SAN DONATO 07.26 07.36 BOLOGNA AUTOSTAZIONE 07.30 07.40 nota: #@ = dal lunedì al venerdì (inv. scolastico) Fermate di salita : tutte fino a LOIANO VIA SAVENA Fermate di salita e di discesa : tutte da LOIANO VIA SAVENA a FONDOVALLE BV LAGHI Fermate di discesa : tutte da PIANORO V. FONDOVALLE 900 Bologna - Monghidoro LINEA DIRETTA da lunedì a venerdì nota #@ BOLOGNA AUTOSTAZIONE 14.30 16.50 PORTA SAN DONATO 14.33 16.53 PORTA MAGGIORE 14.36 16.56 PORTA SANTO STEFANO 14.39 16.59 CHIESA NUOVA 14.43 17.03 DIRETTISSIMA 14.46 17.06 PONTE SAVENA 14.50 17.10 RASTIGNANO STAZIONE 14.52 17.12 CARTERIA DI SESTO 14.54 17.14 CARTERIA SCUOLE 14.55 17.15 PIAN DI MACINA CAMPO SPORTIVO 14.59 17.19 PIANORO V.
    [Show full text]
  • Hidden Canals in Bologna
    ro” comes from an old iron and copper beating works. In the Lock of Casalecchio di Reno - Photo Paolo Cortesi surrounding area there are many industrial archaeological fi nds: on the right bank of the canal: the remains of a rice husker and a brick kiln. And on the other the fi rst hydroelectric power station in Bologna, built in 1901. Finally, the Fornace Galotti brickworks, - novemre 2015 now restored and used as a museum. 10. Industrial Heritage Museum - Via della Beverara, 123 Built in 1887 by Celeste Ga- lotti, the brickworks with its a metropolitana bolognatipografi Hoff mann furnace was used until 1966. Th e Museum illustrates the economic history of the city and return to the river the gravel and sand that would reduce the and its surrounding area, riverbed if deposited. from the Modern to the During harsh winters, the surface spillway of Paraporto Scaletta, Contemporary Age. better known as “the ice house”, stopped sheets of fl oating ice An interesting section shows from being carried towards the city, where they could damage the how between the XV and wheels of the water mills and thus harm local industries. the XVIII centuries Bologna For further information: was a centre of silk produc- Museo del Patrimonio Industriale Consorzi dei Canali di Reno e Savena in Bologna tel. +39 051.6493527 tion, thanks to technological www.consorzireno-savena.it innovations and a system of production that used water power. Th e focal point of the section is a working model of a silk mill, scale 1:2, rebuilt to evoke the memory of this astonishing machine lost Stazione viale P.
    [Show full text]
  • Commission Implementing Regulation (EU)
    L 229/6 EN Official Journal of the European Union 24.8.2012 REGULATIONS COMMISSION IMPLEMENTING REGULATION (EU) No 766/2012 of 24 July 2012 approving minor amendments to the specification for a name entered in the register of protected designations of origin and protected geographical indications [Patata di Bologna (PDO)] THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION, (3) The Commission has examined the amendment in question and decided that it is justified. Since this Having regard to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European concerns a minor amendment, in accordance with Union, Article 9(2) of Regulation (EC) No 510/2006, the Commission may adopt it without using the procedure Having regard to Council Regulation (EC) No 510/2006 of set out in Articles 6 and 7 of that Regulation, 20 March 2006 on the protection of geographical indications and designations of origin for agricultural products and food­ HAS ADOPTED THIS REGULATION: stuffs ( 1), and in particular the second sentence of Article 9(2) thereof, Article 1 Whereas: The specification for the protected designation of origin "Patata di Bologna" is hereby amended in accordance with Annex I to this Regulation. (1) In accordance with the first subparagraph of Article 9(1) of Regulation (EC) No 510/2006, the Commission has examined Italy’s application for the approval of Article 2 amendments to the specification for the protected desig­ The consolidated single document setting out the main points nation of origin "Patata di Bologna", registered under of the specification is set out in Annex II to this Regulation. Commission Regulation (EC) No 228/2010 ( 2).
    [Show full text]
  • Mappa Opportunità Valli Del Savena Idice
    A cura di: 7 Presentazione Stefano Agusto, Bruno Alampi, Caterina Benni, Paola Fornasari, Giulia Luisotti, Premessa Shaban Musaj, Barbara Pisani, Giulia Rezzadore, Eugenio Soldati, Giovanna Trombetti, Michele Zanoni coordinatore della ricerca (Area Sviluppo Economico - Città Prima parte metropolitana di Bologna) 9 Quadro conoscitivo del tessuto demografico e produttivo Grazietta Demaria dell’Unione dei Comuni Savena-Idice (Settore Strutture Tecnologiche Comunicazione e Servizi Strumentali - Città • Carta d’identità metropolitana di Bologna) • Il contesto demografico Fabio Boccafogli, Monica Mazzoni, Licia Nardi, Paola Varini • La struttura produttiva e il profilo delle aziende (Servizio Studi e Statistica per la Programmazione Strategica - Città metropolitana di • Movimento turistico e capacità ricettiva Bologna) • Punti salienti dell’analisi statistica Si ringraziano: UNIONE DEI COMUNI SAVENA-IDICE Viviana Boracci – Direttore Generale Indice Grazia Borghi – Area Risorse Economiche Giulia Naldi – Area Risorse Economiche Germana Pozzi – Responsabile sportello integrato Suap - Progetti d’Impresa Seconda parte ASL - DISTRETTO SAN LAZZARO DI SAVENA 34 Opportunità imprenditoriali: Paride Lorenzini – Responsabile Ufficio di Piano per la Salute ed il Benessere Sociale • Servizi alla persona ASSOCIAZIONI DI CATEGORIA FIRMATARIE DEL PATTO PER L’OCCUPAZIONE E LE • Manifattura, trasporti e servizi alle imprese OPPORTUNITÀ ECONOMICHE DELL’UNIONE DEI COMUNI SAVENA-IDICE • Agroalimentare e commercio alimentare Cia, Cna, Coldiretti, Confartigianato,
    [Show full text]
  • Unione Dei Comuni Savena-Idice
    Unione dei Comuni Savena-Idice SUAP ASSOCIATO Comuni di Loiano, Monghidoro, Monterenzio, Ozzano dell’Emilia, Pianoro Prot. 2016/0002550 Pianoro, 03/03/2016 Pratica SUAP n° 70/2015 Referente: Arch. Germana Pozzi INVIATA VIA PEC SPETT .LE ENERGIA VERDE S.R.L. VIA SAN CARLO N . 12/4 40023 CASTEL GUELFO DI BOLOGNA (BO) INVIATA VIA PEC SPETT .LE ING . MEZZINI ALBERTO VIA DELLA SCALETTA N . 16 40063 MONGHIDORO (BO) INVIATA VIA PEC E.P.C. SPETT .LE COMUNE DI MONGHIDORO VIA MATTEOTTI , 1 40063 MONGHIDORO (B O) C.A. SETTORE PROGRAMMAZIONE E GESTIONE DEL TERRITORIO SERVIZIO ASSETTO DEL TERRITORIO INVIATO VIA PEC E.P.C. SPETT .LE SOPRINTENDENZA PER I BENI ARCHITETTONICI E IL PAESAGGIO DELLE PROVINCIE DI BO-MO VIA IV NOVEMBRE 5 40123 BOLOGNA [email protected] INVIATO VIA PEC E.P.C. SPETT .LE COMUNE DI MONGHIDORO UFFICIO TECNICO Viale Risorgimento 1 – 40065 Pianoro (Bo) – Tel. 0516527711 – Fax 051774690 - C.F. 02961561202 email: [email protected] email certificate: [email protected] VIA MATTEOTTI , 1 40063 MONGHIDORO (BO) [email protected] INVIATO VIA PEC E.P.C. SPETT .LE ARPAE – SAC DI BOLOGNA VIA SAN FELICE 25 40122 BOLOGNA [email protected] INVIATO VIA PEC E.P.C. SPETT .LE REGIONE EMILIA ROMAGNA SERVIZIO TERRITORIALE AGRICOLTURA , CACCIA E PESCA DI BOLOGNA VIALE A. SILVANI 6 BOLOGNA [email protected] INVIATO VIA PEC E.P.C. SPETT .LE AUSL – DIPARTIMENTO DI SANITA ’ PUBBLICA VIA SEMINARIO 1 40068 SAN LAZZARO DI SAVENA (BO) [email protected] INVIATO VIA PEC E.P.C.
    [Show full text]
  • The Bolognese Valleys of the Idice, Savena and Setta
    3_ eo_gb 0 008 3: 0 ag a The Bolognese Valleys of the Idice, Savena and Setta 114 _ dce_gb 0 008 3: 9 ag a 5 The Rivers the Futa state highway SS 65 and the road The valleys of the tributaries to the right of along the valley-bottom, which continues as the Reno punctuate the central area of the far as the Lake of Castel dell’Alpi, passing the Bolognese Apennines in a truly surprising majestic Gorges of Scascoli. Along the river, variety of colours and landscapes. They are there are numerous mills, some of which can the Idice, Savena and Setta Rivers, of which be visited, constructed over the centuries. only the Idice continues its course onto the Before entering the plains, the Savena cros- plains, as far as the Park of the Po Delta. ses the Regional Park of Bolognese Gypsums and Abbadessa Gullies, which is also crossed The Idice by the River Idice. The Idice starts on Monte Oggioli, near the Raticosa Pass, and is the largest of the rivers in these valleys. Interesting from a geologi- cal and naturalistic point of view, its valley offers many reasons for a visit. Particularly beautiful is the stretch of river where it joins the Zena Valley: this is where the Canale dei Mulini (mills) branches off, continuing alon- gside it until it reaches the plains, in the ter- ritory of San Lazzaro di Savena. Flowing through the Valleys of Campotto, the Idice finally joins the Reno. Here an interesting system of manmade basins stop the Reno’s water flowing into the Idice’s bed in dry periods.
    [Show full text]
  • Richiesta Di Autorizzazione Passo Carrabile
    Unione dei Comuni Savena-Idice SUAP ASSOCIATO Comuni di Loiano, Monghidoro, Monterenzio, Ozzano dell’Emilia, Pianoro Imposta di bollo di € 16,00 MARCA DA assolta in modo virtuale. BOLLO Aut. n. 005030.16-01-2014-U (€ 16,00) del Ministero delle Finanze Agenzia delle E ntrate di Bologna Comune di Loiano Comune di Monghidoro Comune di Monterenzio Comune di Ozzano dell’Emilia Comune di Pianoro Oggetto: Richiesta di autorizzazione passo carrabile Il/la sottoscritto/a COGNOME E NOME CODICE FISCALE Luogo e data di nascita COMUNE PROVINCIA DATA DI NASCITA Residenza INDIRIZZO NUMERO CIVICO CAP COMUNE PROVINCIA In qualità di (per persone giuridiche) PRESIDENTE / LEG. RAPPRESENTANTE / ECC. RAGIONE SOCIALE DELLA DITTA PARTITA I.V.A. CODICE FISCALE INDIRIZZO NUMERO CIVICO CAP COMUNE PROVINCIA TELEFONO FISSO CELL. FAX INDIRIZZO DI POSTA ELETTRONICA INDIRIZZO DI POSTA ELETTRONICA CERTIFICATA Viale Risorgimento 1 – 40065 Pianoro (Bo) – Tel. 0516527711 – Fax 051774690 - C.F. 02961561202 email: [email protected] email certificate: [email protected] CHIEDE □ AUTORIZZAZIONE PASSO CARRABILE (ai sensi dell'art. 22 del D. Lgs. 30.04.1992, n. 285 e relativo Regolamento). □ AUTORIZZAZIONE ACCESSO CARRABILE □ AUTORIZZAZIONE ALL'ESPOSIZIONE DEL CARTELLO DI PASSO CARRABILE (ai sensi dell'art. 120 del D.P.R. 16.12.1992, n. 495). DICHIARA A tal fine: □ che il passo carrabile è autorizzato con provvedimento n. ________ del ________________ rilasciato dal Comune di ____________________ o _____________________; □ che il passo
    [Show full text]
  • Research Collection
    Research Collection Doctoral Thesis Erosion and weathering of the Northern Apennines with implications for the tectonics and kinematics of the orogen Author(s): Erlanger, Erica Publication Date: 2020 Permanent Link: https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000393261 Rights / License: In Copyright - Non-Commercial Use Permitted This page was generated automatically upon download from the ETH Zurich Research Collection. For more information please consult the Terms of use. ETH Library Diss. ETH No. 26370 Erosion and weathering of the Northern Apennines with implications for the tectonics and kinematics of the orogen Erica Danielle Erlanger Cover artwork by Reed Olsen DISS. ETH NO. 26370 Erosion and weathering of the Northern Apennines with implications for the tectonics and kinematics of the orogen A thesis submitted to attain the degree of DOCTOR OF SCIENCES of ETH ZURICH (Dr. sc. ETH Zurich) presented by ERICA DANIELLE ERLANGER Master of Science, Purdue University born on 22.03.1986 citizen of France and the United States of America accepted on the recommendation of Prof. Dr. Sean D. Willett Prof. Vincenzo Picotti Prof. Sean F. Gallen Prof. Dr. Frank J. Pazzaglia 2020 2019 Abstract Mountainous landscapes reflect the competition between denudation, uplift, and climate, which produce, modify, and destroy relief and topography. Bedrock rivers are dynamic topographic features and a critical link between these processes, as they record and convey changes in tectonics, climate, and sea level across the landscape. River incision models, such as the stream power model, are often used to quantify the relationship between topography and rock motion in the context of landscapes at steady state.
    [Show full text]
  • High Resolution Numerical Simulations at the Reno Rivermouth (Italy): Model Set up and Simulations Under Climate Change Scenarios
    Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 19, EGU2017-2595, 2017 EGU General Assembly 2017 © Author(s) 2017. CC Attribution 3.0 License. High resolution numerical simulations at the Reno rivermouth (Italy): model set up and simulations under climate change scenarios Renata Archetti (1,2), Achilleas Samaras (2,3), M. Gabriella Gaeta (2,3), Davide Bonaldo (4), and Sandro Carniel (4) (1) DICAM, UNIVERSITY OF BOLOGNA, BOLOGNA, ITALY ([email protected]), (2) CONISMA, ITALY, (3) CIRI Edilizia e Costruzioni, UNIVERSITY OF BOLOGNA, BOLOGNA, ITALY, (4) ISMAR, CNR. VENEZIA, ITALY The paper presents some results obtained within the framework activities foreseen by the "RITMARE Phase II" Flagship Project, one of the National Research Programmes funded by the Italian Ministry of University. More specifically, as part of the activities planned by the Research Line "Coastal erosion, vulnerability and adap- tation to sea level rise and climate change", the work presents the setup and implementation of high-resolution numerical simulations of the nearshore dynamics of an Adriatic sea test site, under representative and extreme wave events and sea level rise scenarios. The selected study site is the mouth of the Reno river, located along the coast of Emilia Romagna Region, an ex- tremly dymanic area that in the last decated has suffered strong erosion processes and is exposed to several climate change related effects. This first part of the presentation deals with the study site description, while in the second part the coupled wave – 2D hydrodynamics model set up and implementation (using the open-source TELEMAC suite) is dicsussed and presented. In the results discussion, specific attention is devoted to simulations of expected modifications to the area dynamics as a response to expected climate change scenarios..
    [Show full text]
  • Testing a Calibration Approach for a Limited-Area
    TESTING A CALIBRATION APPROACH FOR A LIMITED-AREA ENSEMBLE PRECIPITATION FORECAST USING REFORECASTS Tommaso Diomede, Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani, Tiziana Paccagnella ARPA-SIMC, HydroMeteorological and Climate Service of the Emilia-Romagna Regional Agency for Environmental Protection, Bologna, Italy E-mail: [email protected] Objective To implement a calibration technique for the precipitation output provided by COSMO-LEPS, the Limited-area Ensemble Prediction System based on the model COSMO. To investigate the potential of using reforecasts for the calibration of the ensemble precipitation forecast, especially with respect to the improvement of the forecast skill for rare events. To test three calibration techniques: Cumulative Distribution Function based corrections, Linear Regression and Analogs. Calibration strategy methodologies study areas data collection • choice of methodologies which enable a calibration of 24h quantitative precipitation • Emilia-Romagna Region (Northern Italy) • Observed precipitation forecasts (QPFs), not only of the probabilities of exceeding a threshold • Switzerland • Emilia-Romagna Region (1971-2007) aim: • Germany • Switzerland (1971-2007) • Germany (1989-2007) –improvement of COSMO-LEPS QPFs especially as an input for hydrological applications • COSMO-LEPS reforecast QPFs • 30 years (1971-2000) • selected methods: • 1 member, nested on ERA40, COSMO v4.0 • 1 run every three days (forecast range 90h) - Cumulative Distribution Function based corrections (CDF) [m] - Linear Regression (LR) • COSMO-LEPS
    [Show full text]
  • Almatourism Special Issue N
    Almatourism Special Issue N. 8, 2018: Chierici P., The Sacred Landscape in Suburbs Space. The Path of the Bregoli (Italy) Almatourism Journal of Tourism, Culture and Territorial Development ___________________________________________________________ The Sacred Landscape in Suburbs Space. The Path of the Bregoli (Italy) Chierici, P. L.* Local History Expert (Italy) Introduction Although, often boasting a valuable intangible heritage, peri‐urban landscapes are neglected spaces that do not receive the attention they would deserve from the perspective of a cultural and social fruition. In most cases, they are still part of the local community and a significant tool supporting social participation where the heritage has a religious origin. Is it possibile to say that these ancient landscapes provide evidence, with their endurance, of an environmental, social and cultural sustainability that characterise the Religious Heritage? The enhancement process, between knowledge and conservation, is absolutely instrumental, especially insofar as a new contemporary inventio of an ancient past can be rebuilt. Narration tries to provide a contribution to this issue starting from the knowledge of local history in the case of the Bregoli path, an itinerary bringing visitors to the Sanctuary of Beata Vergine di San Luca, in the outskirts of Bologna. Toponymy, spiritual places, chronicles, folklore and recent events are keys to understand the narration, or a storytelling for a new inventio of the territory. 1. The name of the path In the southern side of the Archpriest Church of S. Martino, in Casalecchio di Reno (Bologna), starts a mule track that clambers its way onto the flanks of Mount Castello, reaching the Sanctuary Beata Vergine di S.
    [Show full text]
  • Question for Written Answer
    Question for written answer E-004061/2019 to the Commission Rule 138 Alessandra Basso (ID), Angelo Ciocca (ID), Alessandro Panza (ID), Elena Lizzi (ID), Antonio Maria Rinaldi (ID), Luisa Regimenti (ID), Marco Zanni (ID), Annalisa Tardino (ID), Rosanna Conte (ID), Mara Bizzotto (ID), Massimo Casanova (ID), Stefania Zambelli (ID), Isabella Tovaglieri (ID) Subject: Damage caused by bad weather in Emilia-Romagna In the second and third weeks of November, a series of exceptional rainstorms swept through the provinces of Bologna, Modena and Ferrara in Emilia-Romagna. The heavy rainfall caused rivers to rise, in particular the rivers Reno and Idice, and flooding of residential areas, for example in the municipality of Budrio, and of farmland around Finale Emilia; storm surges hit the area of Goro, in the province of Ferrara, causing beach erosion and the sinking of the dredge, which plays a crucial role in keeping clear the inlet in which important economic activities based on clam fishing are carried out. The cost of the damage appears to be high given the number of farms, maritime businesses and hotels affected in an area where agriculture and tourism are cornerstones of the local economy. In the light of the damage and the inconvenience caused to local people and businesses: 1. Will the Commission pledge full support from the EU Solidarity Fund for the regional authorities in Emilia-Romagna and local bodies involved in restoring economic activities and infrastructure? 2. Given the frequency with which adverse weather phenomena occur, what action will it take in the future, and what exceptional funding will it make available, to guarantee the safety of businesses and communities in Emilia-Romagna? PE645.377v01-00.
    [Show full text]