LATAKIA the European Union CITY FACTSHEET CONFLICT TIMELINE and POPULATION FOOTPRINT 1

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

LATAKIA the European Union CITY FACTSHEET CONFLICT TIMELINE and POPULATION FOOTPRINT 1 URBAN ANALYSIS NETWORK This project is funded by LATAKIA The European Union CITY FACTSHEET CONFLICT TIMELINE AND POPULATION FOOTPRINT 1 Location and significance Lattakia is Syria’s fifth largest city with a population of 859,340 (April 2019) and 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 the capital of the northwestern governorate of Lattakia. Considered a May May May May May manufacturing center for its neighboring villages, Lattakia city is connected May May May by road to Aleppo in Syria, and Beirut and Tripoli in Lebanon, making it a crucial transit point for Syrian imports and exports. More importantly, it houses the second largest port in Syria, which remains a strategic economic and military access point for the Government of Syria and Russian Military forces. Previously an Alawite stronghold, the city’s demography is now majority Sunni due to an influx of primarily Sunni IDPs. The current political and military situation Because it remained under the control of the Government of Syria since the beginning of the conflict, Lattakia city has been relatively stable, however local security is challenged by an increasing crime rate and sporadic vehicle explosions. The Government of Syria’s military presence in the city is GoS Control Illuminated Partially Illuminated Not Illuminated represented by the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and the Syrian security services, as well as other pro-Government forces such as Suhail Al Hassan forces, the 2 Syrian Marines, the Eagles of the Whirlwind (Nusour al Zawba'a), and Saraya Al SERVICES AND INFRASTRUCTURE ‘Areen. Russian military forces are also present across Lattakia city due to the location of the Hmeimim military airbase in the south east countryside of the Severe Moderate Good No Data city. A limited number of Iranian soldiers are also present in the city along with Average functionality by city area the Iranian-backed Lebanese Hezbollah group. On March 13, 2019 Functionality per sector for entire city Turkish-backed militias in northern Lattakia Governorate launched rockets targeting the city. The attack may signify the start of a wave of retaliatory Aug 2016 Jan 2019 attacks on Lattakia city in response to Russian and Government of Syria Aug 2016 Jan 2019 attacks on rural Idlib and Hama, despite the September 18, 2018 Demilitarization Agreement. However, these attacks are sporadic in nature 2 and do not represent a major threat to overall stability and security within the city at this time. There is also a small possibility that Israel carries out airstrikes against Iranian and Government of Syria military targets if the A A Iranian presence inside the city were to increase. B B Access and population return environment D C D C Owing to the city’s relative stability, the number of IDPs reached 412,620 in April 2019 (48.0% of the city’s population). Registered IDPs in 2014 numbered only 167,000 (39.5% of total population). This massive influx of IDPs was the result of violent clashes between Government of Syria forces, which were F E F E supported by Russian and Iranian-backed forces, and opposition militias in Lattakia, Aleppo and Idlib governorates. Two crossing points, Samira and Yunesiya, connecting Turkey to Lattakia Governorate are closed, while the Kassab crossing point which is controlled by Turkish customs and the 0 1.13 1.47 2 Government of Syria recently opened. Marketplaces inside Lattakia city have 2016 remained intact, however trade with Aleppo has been disrupted. In addition, 2019 the city’s economy previously relied heavily on tourism, which has declined 0.91 2 substantially as a result of the conflict. Syrian businessmen are active in the city’s war economy and maintain close relations with the Government of Syria. Severe Moderate Good Governance Health Solid Waste Markets Electricity WASH 0 The Municipality of Lattakia city is led by the Governor’s office, which oversees activities conducted by the City Council, Executive Committees, and local sub-committees which are in charge of providing and overseeing basic public 4 3 services. The structure of the Municipality has not changed drastically since POPULATION DAMAGE TO HOUSING the beginning of the conflict, and a number of the newly reinstated officials had already served in the previous City Councils. All official NGOs must register and receive approval from the Ministry of Social Affairs and Labor and ESTIMATES INFRASTRUCTURE conduct their work under the supervision of the Ministry and the Higher Relief Committee. Officially registered NGOs on the list of Syrian Foreign Ministry are 3.5% 29.1% also able to receive internal and external funding through their officially opened bank accounts and can cooperate with registered INGOs. However, it ,140 ELDERLY CHILDREN 404 ) is challenging for many NGOs to operate in the city as they are required to (60+) (5-18) disclose sensitive information related to the organization and their donors in PRE-CONFLICT order to receive registration. POPULATION (2010) 2018 No Damage Response environment MALE The influx of IDPs to Lattakia city has put pressure on the current housing (Aug market, public services, infrastructure, and local businesses. Currently, the ) city is especially in need of projects aimed at expanding housing capacity to 412,535 47.4% 47 9% accommodate the IDPs and residents, with a specific focus on meeting the 2019 ESTIMATED FEMALE demands of residents who are unable to afford finished housing. Moreover, 870,897 the city’s electricity, WASH, educational and health sectors are overwhelmed (Jul and require major rehabilitation and support. ESTIMATED CURRENT IDPS HOSTED POPULATION IN THE CITY 52.1% AVERAGE FUNCTIONALITY5 BY SECTOR AND NEIGHBORHOOD Energy Education Health WASH Solid Waste Severe (0 - 0.69) Moderate (0.7 - 1.39) Good (1.4 - 2.0) No Data CITY MAP 5 A Al Hasakeh Lattakia ! B D C City Areas: Consists of neighbourhoods: A : Al Asad LEGEND F E B : Ogharit, Basnada, Squbeen, Sunjuwan C : Tishrine Administrative D : Al- Thawrah, Baath, 7 Nisan, Jomhouriyeh Basic Services E : Jame'et Tishrine, Quds Open Spaces and Greenary F : Oweina, Qalaa, Sheikh Daher, Sleiba, Tabiyat Residential Street 0 1.5 3 6 km "The information contained in this report is intended to help our partners within the Urban Analysis consortium to better plan, target and monitor humanitarian and recovery interventions in urban areas in Syria. While every effort has been made to verify the information provided in this document, the findings are not intended as a substitute or to be solely relied upon for project or program-specific interventions outside of the consortium’s scope of work. The information and views set out are those of the authors and0 do not necessarily1.5 reflect the official3 opinion of the European Union. Neither6 the European Union institutions and bodies nor any person acting on their behalf may be held responsible for the use which may be made of the information contained therein." Km METHODOLOGY 1. NIGHTTIME/POPULATION FOOTPRINT For each of the indicators and for the composite index, a cumulative functionality of services essential for the neighborhoods’ In order to assess the population distribution in the City, granular data three-threshold qualifier was used to describe the quality of access livability; namely WASH, solid waste management, electricity, at the level of neighborhood are needed (e.g. data on distribution of to the service. A functionality index value of 0 – 0.69 is considered education and health. The index considers functionality in terms of aid, disaggregated at neighborhood level). This data does not exist “severe”, 0.7-1.39 “moderate” and 1.4 – 2 is considered “good” the community’s perceived accessibility, reliability and quality of except for a few large cities. In the secondary Cities, UrbAN-S relied functionality. those services . The below table breaks down the list of indicators on a proxy indicator to give an approximate picture of the likely used to produce the maps. 3. AVERAGE FUNCTIONALITY BY SECTOR AND NEIGHBORHOOD population distribution. Using nighttime images that capture the 4. DAMAGE TO HOUSING INFRASTRUCTURE average radiance composite on a monthly basis, an annual composite This section through the use of maps tries to break down into a neighborhood level the functionality of each sector. It does so by The analyses of damage relied both on pre-conflict statistical data, was produced for each year since 2012 (except when the data was not that describes housing stock by neighborhood, and by building available). Nightlight data from VIIRS was used as provided by the taking not only 1 indicator per sector, as in the previous section, but through two or three indicators per sector. It provides a metric for the typology, as well as the occupancy rate. Damage as a result of the NOAA Earth Observations Group (EOG) conflict was assessed using remote sensing analytics. The distribu- (https://ngdc.noaa.gov/eog/viirs/download_dnb_composites.html) tion of damage points as detected by remote sensing was used to Prior to averaging the version 1 suite product, the DNB data was INDICATORS classify the neighborhoods into four damage classes: filtered to reduce the impacted by stray light, lightning, lunar Sector Services and Average Functionality 1. Neighborhoods/City areas with less than 1% of the area damaged: illumination, and cloud-cover, but external light sources such as fires Infrastructure Sector and Neighborhood marked as “no damage” were not removed. 2. Neighborhoods/City areas with area damage between 1%-9.9%: HEALTH • How long does it take a • How long does it take a patient in this marked as “light damage” VIIRS light intensity values were extracted for 20 cities and ranged patient in this neighborhood neighborhood to travel to the nearest between 0 to 85 nanoW/cm2/sr with 0 nanoW/cm2/sr indicating to travel to the nearest functional healthcare facility (average 3.
Recommended publications
  • Situation Report: WHO Syria, Week 19-20, 2019
    WHO Syria: SITUATION REPORT Weeks 32 – 33 (2 – 15 August), 2019 I. General Development, Political and Security Situation (22 June - 4 July), 2019 The security situation in the country remains volatile and unstable. The main hot spots remain Daraa, Al- Hassakah, Deir Ezzor, Latakia, Hama, Aleppo and Idlib governorates. The security situation in Idlib and North rural Hama witnessed a notable escalation in the military activities between SAA and NSAGs, with SAA advancement in the area. Syrian government forces, supported by fighters from allied popular defense groups, have taken control of a number of villages in the southern countryside of the northwestern province of Idlib, reaching the outskirts of a major stronghold of foreign-sponsored Takfiri militants there The Southern area, particularly in Daraa Governorate, experienced multiple attacks targeting SAA soldiers . The security situation in the Central area remains tense and affected by the ongoing armed conflict in North rural Hama. The exchange of shelling between SAA and NSAGs witnessed a notable increase resulting in a high number of casualties among civilians. The threat of ERWs, UXOs and Landmines is still of concern in the central area. Two children were killed, and three others were seriously injured as a result of a landmine explosion in Hawsh Haju town of North rural Homs. The general situation in the coastal area is likely to remain calm. However, SAA military operations are expected to continue in North rural Latakia and asymmetric attacks in the form of IEDs, PBIEDs, and VBIEDs cannot be ruled out. II. Key Health Issues Response to Al Hol camp: The Security situation is still considered as unstable inside the camp due to the stress caused by the deplorable and unbearable living conditions the inhabitants of the camp have been experiencing .
    [Show full text]
  • ASOR Syrian Heritage Initiative (SHI): Planning for Safeguarding Heritage Sites in Syria1 NEA-PSHSS-14-001
    ASOR Syrian Heritage Initiative (SHI): Planning for Safeguarding Heritage Sites in Syria1 NEA-PSHSS-14-001 Weekly Report 2 — August 18, 2014 Michael D. Danti Heritage Timeline August 16 APSA website released a video and a short report on alleged looting at Deir Turmanin (5th Century AD) in Idlib Governate. SHI Incident Report SHI14-018. • DGAM posted a report on alleged vandalism/looting and combat damage sustained to the Roman/Byzantine Beit Hariri (var. Zain al-Abdeen Palace) of the 2nd Century AD in Inkhil, Daraa Governate. SHI Incident Report SHI14-017. • Heritage for Peace released its weekly report Damage to Syria’s Heritage 17 August 2014. August 15 DGAM posts short report Burning of the Historic Noria Gaabariyya in Hama. Cf. SHI Incident Report SHI14-006 dated Aug. 9. DGAM report provides new photos of the fire damage. SHI Report Update SHI14-006. August 14 Chasing Aphrodite website posted an article entitled Twenty Percent: ISIS “Khums” Tax on Archaeological Loot Fuels the Conflicts in Syria and Iraq featuring an interview between CA’s Jason Felch and Dr. Amr al-Azm of Shawnee State University. • Damage to a 6th century mosaic from al-Firkiya in the Maarat al-Numaan Museum. Source: Smithsonian Newsdesk report. SHI Incident Report SHI14-016. • Aleppo Archaeology website posted a video showing damage in the area south of the Aleppo Citadel — much of the damage was caused by the July 29 tunnel bombing of the Serail by the Islamic Front. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=739634902761700&set=vb.4596681774 25042&type=2&theater SHI Incident Report Update SHI14-004.
    [Show full text]
  • City Profile Lattakia May 2014
    TURKEY CITY Aleppo Lattakia PROFILE Deir Ez Zor Homs LATTAKIA SYRIA Multi Sector Assessment IRAQ LEBANON Damascus JUNE 2014 JORDAN Minor damages in residentialInformal building housing at Al in Quds the city Neighbourhood of Lattakia The Port of Lattakia ACKNOWLEDGEMENT THE UNITED natiONS HUMAN SEttlEMENTS PROGRAMME PRESENTS IT'S GRatituDE TO THE SWISS DEVELOPMENT COOPERatiON FOR PROVIDING FINANCIAL SUPPORT TO DEVELOP THE CITY PROFILES, WHICH PRESENT A FIRST EVER COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS OF AFFECTED CITIES AND HumanitaRIAN NEEDS. SPECIAL THANKS AND acKNOWLEDGEMENT TO THE FIELD TEAMS AND FacilitatORS FOR CONDUCTING THE ASSESSMENTS. UN-HABitat WOULD ALSO LIKE TO acKNOWLEDGE THE SPECIAL EFFORTS OF GOVERNORatES, NGOS AND HumanitaRIAN actORS WHO PROVIDED INPUT AND SUPPORT DURING THE PROCESS. THANKS IS ALSO DUE TO UN AGENCIES AND paRTNERS IN DamaSCUS AND THE FIELD FOR INPUTS AND FEEDBacK incluDING OCHA, UNICEF AND UNHCR. 1 CITY PROFILE OF LATTAKIA | JUNE 2014 TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ................................................................................................................ 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS ................................................................................................................. 2 CITY PROFILE FINDINGS ............................................................................................................ 3 GOVERNORATE CONTEXT ......................................................................................................... 5 CITY COMPOSITION AND CHARACTERISTICS ....................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • The Coast in Conflict Migration, Sectarianism, and Decentralization in Syria’S Latakia and Tartus Governorates
    STUDY The Coast in Conflict Migration, Sectarianism, and Decentralization in Syria’s Latakia and Tartus Governorates KHEDER KHADDOUR July 2016 n The protracted Syrian conflict has created a steady flow of displaced Sunnis to the primarily Alawite coastal region. Rather than viewing these migrants as an undis- tinguished bloc of Sunnis, local communities treat them differently based on their regional and class identities. n To address both the need for more military manpower and the effects of increas- ing numbers of battle casualties on coastal communities, local charities aimed at supporting conflict-affected families and recruitment centers for pro-regime militias have sprung up in the Latakia and Tartus governorates. This has furthered the mutual dependence between the Assad regime and the coastal communities and extended the regime deeper into society, beyond the framework of formal state institutions. n The coast has been affected by the conflict, touched by dynamics of localization of power relations and de-institutionalization seen in other parts of the country. Hence, is not an island outside of the broader conflict. KHEDER KHADDOUR | THE COAST IN CONFLICT Contents 1. Introduction . 3 2. Methodology . 3 3. Local Communities versus Sects . 3 3 1. What is the Coast? . 4 3 .2 Newcomers and the Coast . 5 4. New Economies, Old Conflicts . .9 4 1. Latakia . 9 4 .2 Baniyas . .10 5. Regime and Coastal Alawites: A New Interdependence . .11 5.1 Charities . 12 5.2 Militia Recruitment Centers �����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������14
    [Show full text]
  • English, Latakia Or Balkan
    English Blends and Latakia Blends - One and the Same? By Bob Tate I normally use the term ‘Latakia Blend(s)’ and not ‘English Blend(s)’ when I am talking about a blend that contains Latakia tobacco. The reason why I don’t like to use the term English Blend when associating it with Latakia is because the addition of Latakia into a blend does not make it an English blend. I have no idea where that connection started from and most people that I have talked with whom are from Great Britain do not understand it either. I believe that the term ‘English Blend’ started being used in the American pipe tobacco market. Maybe they began using it to distinguish between English blends of the day that were manufactured under the tobacco purity laws of Great Britain and the blends that were made in America. It is also possible that it may have started off as a marketing gimmick that caught fire and spiraled out of control. Regardless of how it started, it is erroneous to refer to all blends that contain Latakia as ‘English Blends’. Have you noticed that most every English pipe tobacco manufacturer uses the word Latakia and not the word English on their blend names and descriptions? English blends were originally called English blends because they were made in Great Britain and also because of the old, now repealed, Tobacco Purity Laws that had to be adhered to in Great Britain at the time. Because of the purity laws, all additives to tobacco blends were very restricted and very limited.
    [Show full text]
  • Latakia Is Assad's Achilles Heel | the Washington Institute
    MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 2489 Latakia Is Assad's Achilles Heel by Fabrice Balanche Sep 23, 2015 Also available in Arabic ABOUT THE AUTHORS Fabrice Balanche Fabrice Balanche, an associate professor and research director at the University of Lyon 2, is an adjunct fellow at The Washington Institute. Brief Analysis In light of its large Sunni population, the coastal city and its environs are not secure for the Syrian regime, possibly explaining why Russian forces are concentrating there. ver the past few months, the Syrian army has grown weaker and lost many positions, a development that O explains Russia's recent deployment of troops. Previously, Russia had sent only military advisors and technical staff to support the Syrian army. Another key question, however, involves why these troops are being sent to Latakia and not Tartus, site of the official Russian military base. Indeed, this new, strong Russian presence along the northern Syrian coast can be explained by the Assad regime's weakness in the area, where Alawites no longer constitute a majority. Latakia Demographics I n 2010, the population of Latakia was about 400,000, about 50 percent of whom were Alawite, 40 percent were Sunni, and 10 percent were Christian -- mostly Orthodox. Geographically, Alawites occupy the northern and eastern suburbs, whereas Sunnis live downtown and in the southern suburb of al-Ramel al-Filistini, the city's poorest area. Christians inhabit what is known as the American district, named for an American-established Protestant school. In this historically Sunni city, Alawites are still considered by the old urban dwellers to be foreigners.
    [Show full text]
  • Distribution, Ecology and Conservation of Ommatotriton Vittatus and Salamandra Infraimmaculata in Syria
    SALAMANDRA 49(2) 87–96Ommatotriton30 June v.2013 vittatusISSN and Salamandra0036–3375 i. infraimmaculata in Syria Distribution, ecology and conservation of Ommatotriton vittatus and Salamandra infraimmaculata in Syria Sergé Bogaerts 1, Max Sparreboom 2, Frank Pasmans 3, Aroub Almasri 4, Wouter Beukema 5, Adwan Shehab 6 & Zuhair S. Amr 7 1) Lupinelaan 25, NL-5582 CG, Waalre, The Netherlands 2) Naturalis Biodiversity Centre, PO Box 9517, NL-2300 RA Leiden, The Netherlands 3) Department of Pathology, Bacteriology and Avian Diseases, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Ghent University, Belgium 4) National Commission for Biotechnology (NCBT), Biodiversity Laboratory, PO Box. 3839, Damascus, Syria 5) Cátedra Rui Nabeiro, Universidade de Évora, Casa Cordovil, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca, 7000-890 Évora, Portugal 6) General Commission for Scientific Agricultural Research (GCSAR), Douma, P. O. Box 113, Damascus, Syria 7) Department of Biology, Jordan University of Science & Technology, Irbid, Jordan Corresponding author: Sergé Bogaerts, e-mail: [email protected] Manuscript received: 16 February 2013 Abstract. The distribution, ecology and conservation status of the Syrian urodeles Salamandra infraimmaculata and Om­ matotriton vittatus are poorly known. We present the results of a field study, conducted in February 2009.Salamandra in­ fraimmaculata was found at six localities, ranging from 228 to 960 m a.s.l., and co-occurred with O. vittatus at three locali- ties. All localities were near small, clear streams or springs. Temperatures ranged from 9.4 to 16.4°C, pH 7.5–8.5, GH 3–18 and KH 3–18. The distribution model of S. infraimmaculata reveals that the distribution of this species is nearly entirely shaped by precipitation in the coldest quarter “92.9% contribution to the model”.
    [Show full text]
  • Syria: Palestine Refugees - UNRWA Snapshot, April 2014
    Syria: Palestine Refugees - UNRWA Snapshot, April 2014 In April UNRWA distributed food parcels to 2,153 civilian families in Yarmouk and resumed distribution operations from 24 April following 15 days of suspended access due to TURKEYTURKEY conflict. The large crowds of desperate civilians at the distribution area underlined the plight of approximately 18,000 civilians trapped in Yarmouk. Critical humanitarian cases were also allowed to leave the camp for treatment at a hospital. Over the previous month, clashes had repeatedly disrupted efforts to alleviate the humanitarian situation. UNRWA maintains a constant state of readiness to deliver food and other supplies to Yarmouk and is prepared to proceed once authorization 19,48119,481 ENGAGINGAl-HasakehAl-Hasakeh YOUTH AleppoAAleppo ! and support are given.UNRWA has completed its first round of familiesfamilies receivedreceived cashcash assistanceassistance cash assistance in Syria, providing 91,437 families AleppoAleppo 24,544 (91.4 per cent of the families targeted) with a total ! 13,462 NFI itemsitems 34 distributeddistributed of US$ 23,044,186. The distribution began on IdlebIdleb 1,939 1,376 1,125 444 ! Ar-RaqqaAr-Raqqa Al-Hasakehh 1 March and continued until 25 April. 1,289 2,0322,032 familiesfafammiliees receivedreceived cashccassh assistanceassistance foodfood parcels ddistributedistributed Humanitarian Response 14,841 LLaLattakiattaakiaa Undertaking courses in Students are undertaking Students are undertaking Receiving career Are English, French, computer a wide range of short- a wide range of short- guidance in undertaking skills, literacy and numeracy term vocational education term vocational education Damascus, Dera’a, activities 1,4431,443 11,774 in Damascus, Hama, Homs courses in Aleppo, courses in Aleppo, Homs and Latakia.
    [Show full text]
  • No Temple in Palmyra! Opposing the Reconstruction of the Temple of Bel ANDREAS SCHMIDT-COLINET1 Background in 2015, the Temple
    3 No Temple in Palmyra! Opposing the Reconstruction of the Temple of Bel ANDREAS SCHMIDT-COLINET1 Background In 2015, the Temple of Bel in Palmyra, Syria was intentionally destroyed with explosives by the so-called Islamic State (ISIL, Daesh). (Fig. 1-3).2 Other ancient buildings in this oasis city were also destroyed. The museum was bombed through its roof, seriously compromising its structural integrity, and many artefacts were purposely smashed. Even the catalogue of the museum’s inventory was destroyed in the civil war. A new survey will have to be taken and a completely new catalogue composed. This alone will require years of work. Other serious consequences of the war were the lootings, especially in the ancient tombs, and the increased illegal export of artefacts, especially from Palmyra. The world's reaction to all these events varied widely. First, mention must be made of the “First Aide” admirably provided by Polish archaeologists: immediately after the destruction of the monumental lion sculpture standing in front of the museum, they went to Palmyra and documented the damage and took steps towards a new restoration. In general, the international press, radio, and television reports raged continuously and with approximate accuracy over the latest levels of destruction. The Mayor of London at that time, Boris Johnson, erected the central arch of Palmyra in a reproduction of reduced proportions at Trafalgar Square3 as a “warning” (Fig. 4). The Russian National Symphony Orchestra staged a Peace Concert in the Palmyra Theatre4 for the benefit of the Russian and Syrian soldiers at which a video of President Vladimir Putin thanking his soldiers for the liberation of 63 64 POST-UPRISING EXCAVATIONS Palmyra and “rescue of ancient culture”,5 something which “the West was not capable of doing” was screened.
    [Show full text]
  • From Daraa to Damascus: Regional and Temporal Protest Variation in Syria
    From Daraa to Damascus: Regional and Temporal Protest Variation in Syria by Shena L. Cavallo B.A. International Relations and Spanish, Duquesne University, 2007 Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of The Graduate School of Public and International Affairs in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of M.A International Development University of Pittsburgh 2012 UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH Graduate School of Public and International Affairs This thesis was presented by Shena L. Cavallo It was defended on May 23, 2012 and approved by M. Müge Kokten-Finkel, PhD, Assistant Professor Ilia Murtazashvili, PhD, Assistant Professor Paul J. Nelson, PhD, Associate Professor Thesis Director: Luke N. Condra, PhD, Assistant Professor ii Copyright © by Shena L. Cavallo 2012 iii From Daraa to Damascus: Regional and Temporal Protest Variation in Syria Shena Cavallo, MID University of Pittsburgh, 2012 When protest erupted in Syria on March 2011, there was considerable analysis seeking to explain the initial display of collective action. While this initial showing of dissent caught some off-guard, what was more remarkable is how the protest movement managed to endure, well over a year, despite policies of severe repression, a lack of established opposition organizations, and a lack of regime defections. This paper seeks to explore which factors have sustained the protest movement, as well as the role of these factors at different stages in the ‘protest wave’ and the relationship these variables share with region- specific waves of protest. I hypothesize that more traditional approaches to understanding protest longevity must be expanded in order to help explain contemporary events of protest, particularly in authoritarian contexts.
    [Show full text]
  • Eagles Riding the Storm of War: the Role of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party
    JANUARY 2019 Eagles riding the storm of war: CRU Policy Brief The role of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party Among the myriad of loyalist militias that have augmented Assad’s battlefield prowess, the Eagles of Whirlwind of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party (SSNP) stand out as an exemplary pro-regime hybrid coercive organization that filled an enormous manpower gap and helped turn the tide of war. The regime permitted the Eagles to defend and police Syrian territory and in some cases fight alongside the Syrian Arab Army on the frontlines. In its role as paramilitary auxiliary, the group proved to be a capable and effective force. In parallel, the parent political party of the Eagles, the Syrian Social Nationalist Party has sought to leverage the battlefield successes and prestige of its fighters into political gains. Historically a political rival to the Syrian Ba’ath party, the SSNP has been able to translate the achievements of the Eagles into ministerial positions and open recruitment drives across regime-held territory. However, the success of the Eagles has not led to a larger or more permanent role for the armed group. Demonstrating the complexity of hybrid security actors in the Levant, the SSNP offered the Assad regime a novel form of support that traded greater political auton- omy in exchange for paramilitary mobilization in support of the regime. For the Assad regime, accepting the price of greater autonomy for the SSNP was a calculated deci- Chris Solomon, Jesse McDonald & Nick Grinstead sion outweighed by the add-on auxiliary fighting capacity of the Eagles of Whirlwind.
    [Show full text]
  • The Struggle for Syria in 2011
    December 2011 Joseph Holliday MIDDLE EAST SECURITY REPORT 2 THE STRUGGLE FOR SYRIA IN 2011 AN OPERATIONAL AND REGIONAL ANALYSIS Photo Credit: April, 17, 2011—Syrian protesters shouts slogans calling for President Bashar Assad to step down during a protest to express solidarity with Syrian people in front of the Syrian embassy in Amman, Jordan. Photo courtesy of Nader Daoud. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. ©2011 by the Institute for the Study of War. Published in 2011 in the United States of America by the Institute for the Study of War. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 Washington, DC 20036. http://www.understandingwar.org Joseph Holliday MIDDLE EAST SECURITY REPORT 2 THE STRUGGLE FOR SYRIA IN 2011 AN OPERATIONAL AND REGIONAL ANALYSIS ABOUT THE AUTHOR Joseph Holliday, a Senior Research Analyst at the Institute for the Study of War, served as an Infantry and intelligence officer in the U.S. Army from June 2006 to September 2011, and continues to serve in the Army reserves. During his time on active duty, Joe deployed to East Baghdad, Iraq from November 2007 to January 2009 with the 10th Mountain Division, 2-30 Infantry Battalion. From May 2010 to May 2011 Joe deployed to Afghanistan’s Kunar Province as the Intelligence Officer for 2-327 Infantry Battalion, 101st Airborne Division. He has a Bachelor’s degree in History from Princeton University.
    [Show full text]