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Early Round Bluffing in Poker Author(S): California Jack Cassidy Source: the American Mathematical Monthly, Vol
Early Round Bluffing in Poker Author(s): California Jack Cassidy Source: The American Mathematical Monthly, Vol. 122, No. 8 (October 2015), pp. 726-744 Published by: Mathematical Association of America Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.4169/amer.math.monthly.122.8.726 Accessed: 23-12-2015 19:20 UTC Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/ info/about/policies/terms.jsp JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Mathematical Association of America is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The American Mathematical Monthly. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 128.32.135.128 on Wed, 23 Dec 2015 19:20:53 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Early Round Bluffing in Poker California Jack Cassidy Abstract. Using a simplified form of the Von Neumann and Morgenstern poker calculations, the author explores the effect of hand volatility on bluffing strategy, and shows that one should never bluff in the first round of Texas Hold’Em. 1. INTRODUCTION. The phrase “the mathematics of bluffing” often brings a puzzled response from nonmathematicians. “Isn’t that an oxymoron? Bluffing is psy- chological,” they might say, or, “Bluffing doesn’t work in online poker. -
Abiding Chance: Online Poker and the Software of Self-Discipline
ESSAYS Abiding Chance: Online Poker and the Software of Self- Discipline Natasha Dow Schüll A man sits before a large desktop monitor station, the double screen divided into twenty- four rectangles of equal size, each containing the green oval of a poker table with positions for nine players. The man is virtu- ally “seated” at all twenty- four tables, along with other players from around the world. He quickly navigates his mouse across the screen, settling for moments at a time on flashing windows where his input is needed to advance play at a given table. His rapid- fire esponsesr are enabled by boxed panels of colored numbers and letters that float above opponents’ names; the letters are acronyms for behavioral tendencies relevant to poker play, and the numbers are statistical scores identifying where each player falls in a range for those tendencies. Taken together, the letters and numbers supply the man with enough information to act strategically at a rate of hundreds of hands per hour. Postsession, the man opens his play- tracking database to make sure the software has successfully imported the few thousand hands he has just played. After quickly scrolling through to ensure that they are all there, he recalls some particularly challenging hands he would like to review and checks a number Thanks to Paul Rabinow and Limor Samimian- Darash, for prompting me to gather this material for a different article, and to Richard Fadok, Paul Gardner, Lauren Kapsalakis, and the students in my 2013 Self as Data graduate seminar at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, for helping me to think through that material. -
Steve Brecher Wins $1,025,500 Poker Palooza
FAIRWAY JAY’S MASTERS PREVIEW ROUNDERLIFE.com KEN DAVITIAN BORAT’S CHUM EXUDES CHARISMA AND CLASS ROY JONES JR Y’ALL MUST HAVE FORGOT STEVE BRECHER WINS $1,025,500 NICK BINGER SURVIVING LONGEST FINAL FROM $50 TABLE IN WPT HISTORY TO $1,000,000 ALL CANADIAN FINAL WSOP CIRCUIT EVENT FEATURED MONTREAL’S SAMUEL CHARTIER VS POKER TORONTO’S JOHN NIXON PALOOZA APRIL 2009 $4.95US DREAM A LITTLE DREAM INSIDE: POKER + ENTERTAINMENT + FOOD + MUSIC + SPOR T S + G I R L S Live the EXCLUSIVE WEB VIDEO AT ROUNDERLIFE.COM ROUNDER GIRLS AFTER DARK • PLAYER INTERVIEWS HOT NEWS AND EVENTS CASINO AND RESTAURANT REVIEWS BEHIND THE SCENE FOOTAGE LETTER FROM THE EDITOR Before you can be a legend, PUBLISHER You gotta get in the game. he World Series of Poker Circuit Event, recently held at Caesars Atlantic Greg McDonald - [email protected] City, has consistently become one of the most well attended events on the circuit schedule. e eleven tournaments that took place from Mach 4th - 14th attracted EDITOR-IN-CHIEF T Evert Caldwell - [email protected] over 5000 players and generated more than $3 million dollars in prize money. is years champion was 23 year old Montreal, Quebec native, Samuel Chartier. e young pro MANAGING EDITOR took home $322,944, and the Circuit Champion’s gold ring for his eff ort. Second place Johnny Kampis fi nisher John Nixon from Toronto, Ontario, made it an All Canadian fi nal. e full time student took home $177,619. Could this be the year a Canadian wins the WSOP Main CONTRIBUTING EDITOR Event ? Canadians were well represented at last years Main Event, making up the highest Dave Lukow percentage of players from a country outside of the US. -
Article 3 Understanding Hand Strength After the Flop Pokerlist
Article 3 Understanding Hand Strength After The Flop Pokerlist.org For the most part, post flop play is determined by the strength of your hand and the relative hand strength of your opponent’s hand range. It sounds really complicated but it really isn’t. On the flop when the three community cards are dealt, you will have a better understanding of the strength of your hand and whether or not you should bet. If you have some type of made hand you have to decide if you likely have the best hand. It will almost become second nature to ask yourself how the flop could have changed the strength of your hand? Let’s take a look at the strength of hands to consider after the Flop. Monster hands don’t occur very often and include quads, boats, flushes, and straights. These hands are almost certainly the best hand if it goes to showdown and should be played like the nuts. You want to create big pots when you have monster hands. The second category is very strong hands, which include sets and two pair hands. Whenever you have these hands you likely have the best hand. Sure, you will sometimes lose with set over set, but if you are not playing sets and two pairs like the nuts, quite often you will not be extracting maximum value. Overpairs and top pair hands are the next group of strong hands. Depending on your opponents, with these hands you can usually expect to extract three streets of value when you are doing the betting. -
Culberson Classic and $1.54 Million the 2008 Rounder of the Year Lee Childs Last Tango from Student to Teacher in Panama
FAIRWAY JAY’S TIPS ON BETTING COLLEGE BASKETBALL ROUNDERLIFE.com DAVID “CHINO” RHEEM MATT “CUB” WINS WPT DOYLE BRUNSON CULBERSON CLASSIC AND $1.54 MILLION THE 2008 ROUNDER OF THE YEAR LEE CHILDS LAST TANGO FROM STUDENT TO TEACHER IN PANAMA JANUARY 2009 $4.95US INSIDE: POKER + ENTERTAINMENT + FOOD + MUSIC + SPOR T S + G I R L S Hard Rock Hotel Biloxi is proud to announce we have achieved Four Diamond status. 777 BEACH BLVD. BILOXI, MS 39530 | 877.877.6256 | hardrockbiloxi.com LETTER FROM THE EDITOR PUBLISHER Greg McDonald EDITOR-IN-CHIEF with the Southern Evert Caldwell Poker Championship. e two weeks of non stop tournament action get under way Friday January 2nd, with single and mega satellites. ere are a variety of poker MANAGING EDITOR disciplines to choose from including No-Limit Hold ‘Em, Seven Card Stud, Limit Hold ‘Em, Johnny Kampis Seven Card Stud 8 or Better, Omaha 8 or Better, Pot Limit Omaha and Horse. e Buy- CONTRIBUTING EDITOR Ins range from $300 to the $10,000 WPT televised Main Event. Bill Edler won last year’s Dave Lukow championship in dramatic fashion. After being all in on his big blind with 17 players left, Edler came back to capture fi rst place and $747,615. is event is expected to be one of the ART & DESIGN biggest poker events to date in the Southern Region. Casey Wiesel, Nathan Hess, Whitney Prewitt John Phan fi nished 2008 as the number one ranked player in the world in most scoring PHOTOGRAPHY Jack Criswell, Marty McBride systems that include world wide tournaments. -
Kill Everyone
Kill Everyone Advanced Strategies for No-Limit Hold ’Em Poker Tournaments and Sit-n-Go’s Lee Nelson Tysen Streib and Steven Heston Foreword by Joe Hachem Huntington Press Las Vegas, Nevada Contents Foreword.................................................................................. ix Author’s.Note.......................................................................... xi Introduction..............................................................................1 How.This.Book.Came.About...................................................5 Part One—Early-Stage Play . 1. New.School.Versus.Old.School.............................................9 . 2. Specific.Guidelines.for.Accumulating.Chips.......................53 Part Two—Endgame Strategy Introduction.........................................................................69 . 3. Basic.Endgame.Concepts....................................................71 . 4. Equilibrium.Plays................................................................89 . 5. Kill.Phil:.The.Next.Generation..........................................105 . 6. Prize.Pools.and.Equities....................................................115 . 7. Specific.Strategies.for.Different.Tournament.Types.........149 . 8. Short-Handed.and.Heads-Up.Play...................................179 . 9. Detailed.Analysis.of.a.Professional.SNG..........................205 Part Three—Other Topics .10. Adjustments.to.Recent.Changes.in.No-Limit Hold.’Em.Tournaments....................................................231 .11. Tournament.Luck..............................................................241 -
Nation's #1 Poker Tour January 2017
NATION'S #1 POKER TOUR JANUARY 2017 JANUARY 2017 Mid-States Poker Tour PAGE 3 Letter from the Editor HOBNOB WITH CELEBRITIES AND POKER PROS ON THE MSPT BY CHAD HOLLOWAY The MSPT is entering its eighth season, and over the last eight years we’ve played Vol. 2/No. 1 host to some interesting players. While our core base always has been and always will be “Weekend Warriors”, we’ve had our fair share of poker pros, world champs, President and Publisher and celebrities on the tour. Bryan Mileski Among the big-name poker pros who’ve taken their shot at a MSPT title are Matt [email protected] Salsberg and Mukul Pahuja, who were the World Poker Tour Seasons 11 and 12 Editor-in-Chief Player of the Year respectively; European Poker Tour champ Martin Finger; 2009 Chad Holloway PokerStars Caribbean Poker champ Poorya Nazari, who earned $3 million for [email protected] that win; World Series of Poker bracelet winners Jeremy Ausmus, Dan Heimiller, and Keven Stammen; and even foreigners Serio Aido, Erwan Pecheux, Marvin Event Manager Eric Anderson Rettenmaier, and Ludovic Geilich. We’ve also had the privilege of hosting WSOP Main Event champs Carlos Art Director Mortensen (2001), Greg Raymer (2004), Jamie Gold (2006), Jerry Yang (2007), Joe Carolyn Borgen Cada (2009), and Ryan Riess (2013), as well as 2007 WSOP Europe Main Event champ [email protected] Annette Obrestad. Advertising Information In Season 7, NFL free agent running back Fred Jackson, who had a storied career [email protected] with the Buffalo Bills, was in action in the MSPT Meskwaki (he played college ball in Iowa), and at the very next stop we spotted Survivor alum Jim Rice in the field, Story Ideas who we talk to later in this issue. -
Little Wins Second Our Guilty Pleasure Wpt Title
NCAA : COLLEGE FOOTBALL’S BEST RIVALRIES ROUNDERLIFE.com PETER EASTGATE NORTH WINS $9.15 MILLION MISSISSIPPI BECOMES YOUNGEST ALLSTARS WSOP CHAMP EVER ”BLUES ROCK AND MODERN ELECTRICITY” TIFFANY MICHELLE LIFE AFTER FASHION THE WSOP GYPSY COUTURE ROCK N’ BLUES JONATHAN LITTLE WINS SECOND OUR GUILTY PLEASURE WPT TITLE DECEMBER 2008 $4.95US INSIDE: POKER + ENTERTAINMENT + FOOD + MUSIC + SPOR T S + G I R L S LETTER FROM THE EDITOR PUBLISHER Rounderlife Enterprises, LLC EDITOR-IN-CHIEF Evert Caldwell MANAGING EDITOR Johnny Kampis he results are in, and it’s quite clear that the decision by Harrahs to delay the CONTRIBUTING EDITOR fi nal table of the WSOP Main Event was a great move. ESPN ratings were up 50%, Dave Lukow with the main event receiving a 1.9 Nielsen which translates to 1.9 million homes and T ART & DESIGN 2.4 million viewers on average tuning in, compared to a 1.3 rating and 1.6 million viewers in KaleidosCreative.com 2007. Not only were the numbers up, but the excitement level and interest surrounding the Nathan Hess fi nal table were as well. e delay was met with some skepticism, which is understandable, but actually benefi cial to the decision makers. Any time rules or scheduling are altered in a RESEARCH & CONTENT sport, opinions , whether positive or negative, are a healthy part of the process. We can rest Roberta Caldwell assured that WSOP commissioner Jeff rey Pollack, along with his staff , ESPN and the Poker PHOTOGRAPHY Players Advisory Council will review this years format and make the necessary changes for Jack Criswell, Marty McBride improvement in next years event. -
Online Poker Statistics Guide a Comprehensive Guide for Online Poker Players
Online Poker Statistics Guide A comprehensive guide for online poker players This guide was created by a winning poker player on behalf of Poker Copilot. Poker Copilot is a tool that automatically records your opponents' poker statistics, and shows them onscreen in a HUD (head-up display) while you play. Version 2. Updated April, 2017 Table of Contents Online Poker Statistics Guide 5 Chapter 1: VPIP and PFR 5 Chapter 2: Unopened Preflop Raise (UOPFR) 5 Chapter 3: Blind Stealing 5 Chapter 4: 3-betting and 4-betting 6 Chapter 5: Donk Bets 6 Chapter 6: Continuation Bets (cbets) 6 Chapter 7: Check-Raising 7 Chapter 8: Squeeze Bet 7 Chapter 9: Big Blinds Remaining 7 Chapter 10: Float Bets 7 Chapter 1: VPIP and PFR 8 What are VPIP and PFR and how do they affect your game? 8 VPIP: Voluntarily Put In Pot 8 PFR: Preflop Raise 8 The relationship between VPIP and PFR 8 Identifying player types using VPIP/PFR 9 VPIP and PFR for Six-Max vs. Full Ring 10 Chapter 2: Unopened Preflop Raise (UOPFR) 12 What is the Unopened Preflop Raise poker statistic? 12 What is a hand range? 12 What is a good UOPFR for beginners from each position? 12 How to use Equilab hand charts 13 What about the small and big blinds? 16 When can you widen your UOPFR range? 16 Flat calling using UOPFR 16 Flat calling with implied odds 18 Active players to your left reduce your implied odds 19 Chapter 3: Blind Stealing 20 What is a blind steal? 20 Why is the blind-stealing poker statistic important? 20 Choosing a bet size for a blind steal 20 How to respond to a blind steal -
Why Dfs Requires Regulation Regardless of Whether It Is
BLANDFORD FORMATTED.DOCX (DO NOT DELETE) 5/30/17 2:20 PM WHY DFS REQUIRES REGULATION REGARDLESS OF WHETHER IT IS SKILL BASED: AN OUTLINE OF THE GROWTH OF FANTASY SPORTS, THE SCANDALS, AND A RETURN TO GAMING IN THE UNITED STATES Christopher L. Blandford* INTRODUCTION Billy was having a rough sports year. He lost a race to Jimmy Johnson,1 got spanked on the links by Rory McIlroy, and starting Big Papi resulted in a donut against David Price. To top it all off, last year’s Robert Griffin III pick crippled his fantasy team, just when he was thinking this might be the year to take the championship from his buddy, who has won it three years running. Even though Billy would never dream of winning a chess match against reigning World Chess Champion Magnus Carlsen, he would still like a shot to play a couple hands of Texas Hold ‘Em against Johnny Chan or Phil Ivey. But the truth is Billy cannot afford to play against them. Even if Billy were to go to Las Vegas, unless he has a bankroll large enough to choke a dog, he cannot pay to play at a pro table because the buy-in is so high, never mind the raises. Sharks look for bigger, fatter fish. Settling in for week one of the NFL season, Daily Fantasy Football ads * J.D. Candidate, May 2017, William S. Boyd School of Law, University of Nevada Las Vegas; Master of Arts, Spanish and English Literature, 2004, University of Nevada Reno. Great plentitudes of gracious gratitude graciously given to the following: my mother (for all the inglorious tasks bespeaking love), my father (for always buying dinner and taking care of the plants and house when I’m away), John and Lynne Molini (I would be buried without your help; you kept the future financially viable), Cullen and Mary Wojcik (I never would have gone to law school without your persistence and care), Katherine Yeats (for the casita in Salt Lake City during the summer of 2015), and Dennis and Lynda Beeghly (for the truck). -
Rules of Tournament Play
RULES OF TOURNAMENT PLAY Niagara Casinos Rules of Play for the game of Texas Hold’Em Poker will be the official rules for 9. The tournament chips are for the sole use of that Player to participate in the Tournaments, the Tournaments, Main Event, Super Satellites and Satellite Tournaments subject to certain Main Event, Super Satellite or Satellite Tournament. Chips cannot be given or transferred, administrative only adjustments to facilitate tournament play. A copy of the rules, inclusive of borrowed or exchanged with another Player. Any Player that loses all of their non-value such adjustments is included below. chips prior to the completion of the Round is eliminated and will be required to leave the Tournaments, Main Event, Super Satellite or Satellite Tournament area. No tipping of FV Playing Card Procedures: Niagara Casinos’ Associates with tournament chips will be permitted. All tournament chips Procedures for the control over playing cards will be strictly adhered to as per ICM C8-1. and Bounty lammers must be returned at the end of each session. Main - Rules of Tournament Play: 10. At the conclusion of play for each day, active Players shall carry over any remaining chips to Niagara Casinos Rules of Play for the game of Texas Hold ’Em Poker will be the official subsequent days of play Chips shall be verified by the Player and placed into a card bag. Card rules for the Tournaments, Main Event, Super Satellites and Satellite Tournaments subject bags will include the Player’s printed name and Players Advantage Club (“PAC”) number and to the following: shall be sealed and signed by the Player. -
Identifying Player's Strategies in No Limit Texas Hold'em Poker Through
EPIA'2011 ISBN: 978-989-95618-4-7 Identifying Player’s Strategies in No Limit Texas Hold’em Poker through the Analysis of Individual Moves Luís Filipe Teófilo and Luís Paulo Reis Departamento de Engenharia Informática, Faculdade de Engenharia da Universidade do Porto, Portugal Laboratório de Inteligência Artificial e de Ciência de Computadores, Universidade do Porto, Portugal [email protected], [email protected] Abstract. The development of competitive artificial Poker playing agents has proven to be a challenge, because agents must deal with unreliable information and deception which make it essential to model the opponents in order to achieve good results. This paper presents a methodology to develop opponent modeling techniques for Poker agents. The approach is based on applying clustering algorithms to a Poker game database in order to identify player types based on their actions. First, common game moves were identified by clustering all players’ moves. Then, player types were defined by calculating the frequency with which the players perform each type of movement. With the given dataset, 7 different types of players were identified with each one having at least one tactic that characterizes him. The identification of player types may improve the overall performance of Poker agents, because it helps the agents to predict the opponent’s moves, by associating each opponent to a distinct cluster. Keywords: Poker, Clustering, Opponent Modeling, Expectation-maximization 1 Introduction Poker is a game that is became a field of interest for the AI research community on the last decade. This game presents a radically different challenge when compared to other games like chess or checkers.