Third National Action Plan for the Period 2013-2020
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MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT AND WATER THIRD NATIONAL ACTION PLAN ON CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE PERIOD 2013-2020 Approved by Council of Ministers’ Decision № 439/01.06.2012 Prepared by the Ministry of Environment and Water and the Interinstitutional Commission on Climate Change within the project: "A holistic approach to reducing greenhouse gas emissions in Bulgaria“ The present NAPCC was developed with the support of the Norwegian Government through the Norwegian Cooperation Programme for Economic Growth and Sustainable Development in Bulgaria. Project partner is the Institute for Social Research of the Norwegian University of Science and Technology in Trondheim. SINTEF, the largest independent research organization in Norway, a leader in developing technologies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and "Bellona", the largest NGO in Norway which has implemented projects on climate change all over the world, also contributed to its elaboration. The process of developing the Third NAPCC passed through an active exchange of information, positions and views between experts from the Ministry of Environment and Water and all interested institutions and organizations. The expert team included specialists from the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, universities, NGOs, consulting companies and others. Two workshops and over ten consultation meetings were carried out, involving more than 140 representatives from 80 different institutions and organizations - ministries and agencies, NGOs, industry associations, investors, research and educational institutions, municipalities and citizens. A public consultation process was launched after publishing the first draft of the Plan. Numerous written submissions were received during the public consultation, which are reflected in substance in the approved document. 3 THE THIRD NAPCC FOR THE PERIOD 2013-2020 WAS DEVELOPED IN COLLABORATION WITH: EXPERTS Alexander Kodzhabashev Nikola Stankov Assen Antov Penka Stoichkova Bistra Nikolova Petar Chobanov Boryana Kamenova Plamen Despotov Daniel Popov Radostina Galitionova Detelina Petrova Rayna Angelova Dilyanka Bezlova Rosen Yordanov Dimiter Chobanov Rositza Karamfilova Elena Mihaylova Sofia Nenova Evdokia Maneva Stefka Doychinova Evelina Nikolova Svetlana Zhekova Gergana Cheshmedzhieva Todor Anastassov Ivanka Dilovska Valentin Chambov Ivona Grozeva Vanya Grigorova Kamelia Dikova Vesselin Alexandrov Kamelia Georgieva Violeta Hristova Lora Petrova Vladislav Dramaliev Ludmila Malinova Vladislava Georgieva Mariana Doncheva-Boneva Vyara Stefanova Mariana Doynovska Yana Mihaylova-Peycheva Mihail Staynov Zoya Mateeva Milya Dimitrova INSTITUTIONS AND ORGANIZATIONS Ministries and Agencies Executive Agency Marine Administration Executive Environment Agency Executive Forestry Agency Ministry of Agriculture and Food Ministry of Economy, Energy and Tourism Ministry of Education, Youth and Science Ministry of Environment and Water Ministry of Regional Development and Public Works National Center for Public Health and Analysis National Trust Eco Fund State Energy and Water Regulatory Commission Sustainable Energy Development Agency Organizations and Companies Association of Bulgarian Enterprises for International Transport Aurubis Bulgaria AD Bulgarian Academy of Sciences Bulgarian Association of Cement Industry (BACI) Bulgarian Association of Metallurgical Industry (BAMI) Bulgarian Association of Municipal Environmental Experts Bulgarian Biodiversity Foundation Bulgarian Chamber of Chemical Industry 4 Bulgarian Ports Infrastructure Company Bulgartransgaz EAD Centre for Environmental Information and Education Confederation of Employers and Industrialists in Bulgaria Council of European Scientific and Cultural Community DENKSHTAT BULGARIA OOD Devnya Cement AD European Forum on Nature Conservation and Pastoralism EVN Bulgaria "Green and Fair"AD, accredited verification body Greenpeace National Association "Green Sarnitsa" National Electricity Company Neochim AD New IT and Engineering Ltd. NGO Za Zemiata Partners Bulgaria Foundation Regional Environmental Centre – Bulgaria Regional Environmental Centre (REC) Solvay - Sodi JSC State Enterprise "National Company Railway Infrastructure” Stomana Industry Jsc SWU "Neophyte Rilski" – Blagoevgrad Union of Bulgarian Black Sea Local Authorities WWF – Bulgaria 5 At the time we live in, the prosperity and growth are qualified as “green”, “low-carbon”, “resource-efficient”. Even the economic crisis in recent years is seen as an opportunity to build a low-carbon and generally more sustainable economy. The challenges of climate change, biodiversity loss, unsustainable use of natural resources require relevant targeted and interrelated policies. In a long term perspective most successful will be the countries that first realize this and move towards an open, competitive and eco-efficient economy, which would improve peoples’ welfare while reducing the use of energy and natural resources. The underlying concept of the Third Action Plan on Climate Change for the period 2013- 2020 is the preservation, the rational and responsible use of resources as a key prerequisite not only for improving and protecting the environment but also for achieving sustainable economic growth and increasing the competitiveness of the Bulgarian economy. Opportunities are created to find new sources of growth and jobs through cost savings, marketing of innovations and better management of resources throughout their life cycle. The Plan provides for specific measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions across all sectors while taking into account both the country’s relevant policies and the potential of the national economy. Bulgaria currently has overachieved its international commitment under the Kyoto Protocol by reducing its greenhouse gas emissions by over 50% compared to their level in the base year 1988. The Third Action Plan on Climate Change lays the foundations of transition to a low carbon and resource efficient development of our country. Successful implementation of the envisaged measures will lead to a reduction of the greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 by over 18,5% compared to their 2005 levels. This will contribute to achieving and even going beyond the national targets derived from the respective European legislation. Our country is facing the challenge to reach this goal without limiting the economic growth. The measures have their cost which amounts to nearly 5% of total investments in the economy envisaged by 2020. The Government is willing to pursue them, because it believes that the benefits of their implementation in the medium and long run will far outweigh the costs incurred. Climate change is a global problem that requires global action at all levels – by governments, business and each individual – in order to be overcome. Choice is our right and duty – to act and grasp the opportunities for low-carbon development or to be idle witnesses to the changing life on the planet that we will bequeath to the future generations. Bulgaria today chooses to act! Nona Karadjova Minister of Environment and Water 7 CONTENTS LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS....................................................................................................................................... 13 SUMMARY ................................................................................................................................................................... 17 1. OBJECTIVE, SCOPE AND STRUCTURE OF THE THIRD NATIONAL ACTION PLAN ON CLIMATE CHANGE .................................. 17 2. SCENARIOS AND PROJECTIONS OF GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION CHANGES .................................................................................. 19 3. SECTORAL POLICIES AND MEASURES FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF NAPCC MEASURES .............................................................. 20 4. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE OPPORTUNITY TO UNDERTAKE MEASURES BY SECTORS.............................................................. 22 5. CONCLUSION ................................................................................................................................................................................... 23 INTRODUCTION......................................................................................................................................................... 25 1 CLIMATE CHANGE – THE REALITY WE LIVE IN.................................................................................. 29 1.1 GLOBAL TRENDS ....................................................................................................................................................................... 29 1.2 FACTS ABOUT BULGARIA ........................................................................................................................................................ 30 1.3 CAUSES AND EFFECTS .............................................................................................................................................................. 30 1.4 GLOBAL CLIMATIC SCENARIOS .............................................................................................................................................. 31 1.5 SCENARIOS FOR BULGARIA..................................................................................................................................................... 32 1.6 ECONOMIC, FINANCIAL AND SOCIAL CONSEQUENCES ........................................................................................................ 33 2 INTERNATIONAL ASPECT OF CLIMATE POLICY