Borough of Broxbourne
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BOROUGH OF BROXBOURNE Submission by Broxbourne Borough Council Labour Group to the Local Government Boundary Commission for England Electoral Review of Broxbourne: Ward boundary consultation This is a joint submission setting out the position of the Labour Group on Broxbourne Borough Council with regards to the ward boundaries required to represent equitably and effectively the people of the borough of Broxbourne. We are grateful to the commission for extending its consultation deadline to allow councillors to consider a formal response at the council meeting held on 22 February 2011. In the event, we dissented in part from the proposal that the council resolved to support. Overview We have taken account of the ward boundary proposal chosen by the council with the support of its ruling group following cross-party discussions at the council’s Constitution Working Party. However, we believe that the council’s proposal gives too much weight to existing polling district boundaries and not enough weight to local community identity. In particular, while we agree with the council that the A10 dual carriageway is a good ward boundary in the south of the borough, we believe that the settlements west of the A10 would be better represented by a revised pattern of wards that more closely reflects natural boundaries. We also believe that, in the north of the borough, Hoddesdon town centre would be better represented if it were in one ward. For the remainder of the borough east of the A10, we recognise that community identities are often less clearly defined, and that the council’s proposal (which largely reflects existing ward or polling district boundaries) is reasonable. Given the good levels of electoral equality proposed, we concur with the proposal in those areas. Enclosed is a map of the borough, overlain with the current polling district boundaries (in green) alongside those of the council’s proposal (in blue) and our own proposed ward boundaries (in red). We recognise that the names of proposed wards may be changed at later stages of the review, even if the boundaries are adopted, so we will also refer to proposed wards by numbers. For convenience of comparison, we have numbered the wards so that each overlaps, at least to a large extent, with the correspondingly numbered ward in the council’s proposal. Page 2 Electorate numbers We have worked closely with council officers to agree, as far as practicable, calculations of the current and forecast number of electors in both proposals. Though there is scope for different views on how to forecast the electorate five years after the completion of the review (numbers which the commission is required to take into consideration in its assessment of electoral equality), we have taken the view that the council’s own forecast of electors in each part of the borough is sufficiently reasonable and accurate to be adopted for the purposes of our own submission. We hope that this common approach will assist the commission in comparing the two proposals. The current electorate is calculated from the local government electors registered in the borough as at 1 December 2009 (when the last annual register was published prior to the commencement of the review), including those registered in anticipation of attaining voting age. We share the council’s assumption that the review will conclude in 2011 and that the relevant forecast is for 2016. Electoral growth in the borough is likely to be significantly dependent on the outcome of the council’s Local Development Framework Core Strategy, which is currently subject to formal examination. The forecast electorate is calculated by adding to the current electorate growth assumed to be uniformly distributed in each of the units to be built on sites of five or more units in the council’s Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment. We have adopted the council’s assumption that the ratio of local electors to units will be 1.768:1, based on the ratio of the current number of electors to the current number of properties in the borough. The assumed electorates for these sites are listed in Appendix 4. The council’s Core Strategy also envisages a number of larger residential developments at Greater Brookfield and on the Green Belt, which might commence prior to 2016. However, we have tentatively adopted the council’s assumption that there will be no significant effect on the electoral register until more than five years after the end of the review and the outcome of the Core Strategy examination is currently unknown. Based on the above criteria, we agree with the council that the current and forecast electorate for each polling district is as shown in Appendix 1. Page 3 Council size While we regret the commission’s decision at the previous stage of the review that it is minded to adopt a greatly reduced council size of 30 councillors for Broxbourne Borough Council, we accept that the commission is unlikely to reconsider this given the strong preference for a council size that is a multiple of 3 in councils such as ours that elect in thirds (so that one councillor in each ward can be elected in each ordinary election year), given that the borough is unparished, and given that the borough has relatively closely connected or overlapping communities. We have therefore assumed that the commission requires the proposal to consist of 10 wards, each to be represented by 3 councillors. Page 4 Proposed wards Our proposed wards are: Ref Proposed name 1 Hoddesdon North 2 Hoddesdon Town and Rye Park 3 Broxbourne 4 Wormley and Turnford 5 Goffs Oak and Bury Green 6 Hammond Street 7 Cheshunt North 8 Rosedale and Flamstead End 9 Cheshunt South and Theobalds 10 Waltham Cross Wards 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 9 and 10 have identical proposed names to the names of the correspondingly numbered wards in the council’s proposal. Wards 3, 4, 7, 9 and 10 also have identical boundaries to the council’s correspondingly numbered wards. The average electorate per ward is 6,954, forecast to increase to 7,208. The current and forecast electorates for each of our proposed wards, and the variance from the average, are: Current (2009) Forecast Forecast (2016) Ward Electorate Variance change Electorate Variance 1 7,200 +246 +3.5% +12 7,212 +4 +0.1% 2 6,868 -86 -1.2% +482 7,350 +142 +2.0% 3 7,249 +295 +4.2% +196 7,445 +237 +3.3% 4 7,062 +108 +1.6% +471 7,533 +325 +4.5% 5 6,591 -363 -5.2% +152 6,743 -465 -6.5% 6 7,046 +92 +1.3% 0 7,046 -162 -2.3% 7 7,073 +119 +1.7% +75 7,148 -60 -0.8% 8 6,533 -421 -6.1% +560 7,093 -115 -1.6% 9 6,950 -4 -0.1% +215 7,165 -43 -0.6% 10 6,966 +12 +0.2% +382 7,348 +140 +1.9% Total 69,538 175 2.5% +2,545 72,083 169 2.3% The variances shown in the total row are the average magnitude of the variances in each of the proposed wards. The above figures are broken down in terms of current polling districts in Appendix 2. Where proposed wards would split current polling districts, the streets within each part are listed in Appendix 3, including the properties in each part for those streets within each polling district which would themselves be split. Page 5 Community identity We believe that it is evident from the map that the council’s proposal west of the A10 divides several built-up areas while amalgamating other settlements which are separated by countryside in a way which is detrimental to good representation of local communities. In Hoddesdon, we believe that the town centre is unnecessarily divided by the council’s proposal. We have considered the borough in three parts. Hoddesdon and Broxbourne For the area currently covered by the four wards of Broxbourne, Hoddesdon North, Hoddesdon Town and Rye Park, we propose three wards (wards 1, 2 and 3). In the north of Hoddesdon, we believe that Stanstead Road makes a better boundary between wards 1 and 2 than a boundary which runs down Stanstead Road then crosses west and continues down Ware Road (the area comprising the ABB polling district). This would also create a fairly regular shape for ward 1 in the northern corner of the borough so would retain the name “Hoddesdon North” for the enlarged ward. We also believe that there is a benefit in keeping the town centre in one ward, as this is an area which has distinct retail and community safety issues best served by councillors having a clear responsibility for representing the heart of the town rather than it being on the periphery of several wards. There is a strong community identity in Rye Park (centred around Rye Road, east of Stanstead Road). But since the larger electorates required by the commission’s council size reduction require wards of a much larger area, we propose combining Rye Park community (ABA polling district) with the town centre (ACA and ACC). West of the town centre, this would be clearly bounded by Hertford Road to the north and Lord Street to the south (already used as polling district boundaries). East of the town centre, the area which identifies strongly as Rye Park is largely bounded by Stanstead Road to the west, and the existing polling district boundary to the south of ACC gives the ward a good south- eastern boundary at a point where the built up area does not extend far east of the main A1170 road.