Pro FootbaLL LEADING PASS THE CHARGE Week 11: PHILIP RIVERS NOV TRIES TO GET 17-21 SAN DIEGO ON TRACK AGAINST AN INJURY-DEPLETED NY jets at denver CHICAGO DEFENSE Gang Green’s much-heralded defense faces a unique challenge.
CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE The Bengals try to start a new win streak when they face the Ravens.
PHILADELPHIA at NY GIANTS Big Blue looks to sweep the season series when it hosts NFC East rival Eagles.
KANSAS CITY at NEW ENGLAND The Chiefs go into Foxboro with an inexperienced $9.95 quarterback. more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m THURSday, 8:20 p.m. NEW YORK JETS (-6.5) at DENVER BRONCOs The Jets have been complaining about this game for weeks, as they play a Thursday night game two time zones away after a Sunday night home game. They also have to prepare for a unique Broncos offense featuring Tim Tebow and a lot of zone option read plays, something most de- fenders haven’t seen since college. Tebow hasn’t been great, but he has made some huge plays in leading his team to three wins in four starts. The Broncos have enough depth at running back to move the football against New York’s mediocre run-stop unit (116 YPG, 15th in NFL). Denver is
Although he’s completing less than 45 percent of his 7-3-1 against the spread versus the Jets since ’92. pass attempts this season, Broncos QB Tim Tebow has thrown seven TD passes with only one INT. play ON: DENVER +6.5
more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m SUnday, 1 p.m. CINCINNATI BENGALS (+7) at BALTIMORE RAVENs Cincinnati will play the second of four straight divisional games when it travels to Baltimore. Last week, the Ravens looked bad in a 22-17 loss to 2-6 Seattle, while the Bengals played pretty well, but also fell to Pittsburgh. This marked their first defeat since late September, ending a five- game win streak (Straight-Up and Against The Spread). Cincinnati’s three losses this season have come by seven, five and two points, and the team is currently riding a four-game ATS win streak (3-1 SU) over Baltimore, improving to 10-3 ATS in the past 13 meetings of this series. Cedric Benson has rushed for 368 yards in the past four meetings against the Ravens, play ON: CINCINNATI +7 including a pair of 100-yard efforts in 2009.
more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m SUnday, 4:15 p.m. SAN DIEGO CHARGERs (+3.5) at CHICAGO BEARs Although San Diego has lost four straight games, it got an extra three days of rest after a Thurs- day night defeat to Oakland. Chicago’s defense could be missing three starters when the game kicks off Sunday afternoon, including its best pass rusher in DE Julius Peppers (six sacks). Peppers has a leg injury, joining LB Lance Briggs (arm) and DT Matt Toeaina (knee) in the ques- tionable category. Although San Diego has lost four straight games, all of those defeats were by seven points or less. And considering the Bears rank 29th in passing defense (270 YPG), Rivers
Chargers QB Philip Rivers has helped make up for certainly has the ability to pile up the yardage. a weak San Diego ground game by throwing for an average of 305 passing yards per game this season. play ON: SAN DIEGO +3.5
more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m SUNday, 8:35 p.m. PHILADELPHIA EAGLEs (+3) AT NEW YORK GIANTs For the Eagles to have any hope of making the playoffs, they must defeat the Giants at the Meadowlands for the fifth consecutive season. The Giants used big play after big play to win in Philadelphia back in Week 3, getting a 40-yard TD catch from Brandon Jacobs (on a broken coverage) and 74- and 28-yard TD catches from Victor Cruz (on a series of missed tackles and a jump ball over Nnamdi Asomugha). The Eagles have dominated this series, winning six in a row (SU and ATS) before the Week 3 loss, and their LeSean McCoy-led running game will be heavily relied upon with Michael Vick’s uncertain status. NFC rushing leader LeSean McCoy has averaged 6.0 yards per carry and scored three touchdowns play ON: PHILADELPHIA +3 in five career games against the Giants.
more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m MOnday, 8:40 p.m. KANSAS CITY CHIEFs (+14.5) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTs There was a lot of concern about the Patriots during their two-game losing streak, but they silenced the doubters with a dismantling of the Jets on the road last Sunday night. While the injury-riddled New England defense has been shaky for the most part this season, the Chiefs will likely start back-up QB Tyler Palko in place of injured Matt Cassel (hand). If the Patriots front seven play like they did on Sunday night, there’s no way Palko will have the time to exploit New England’s shaky secondary. And K.C.’s weak pass rush (NFL-low nine sacks) will not be able to
Patriots wide receiver Wes Welker is the only pressure Tom Brady into making bad throws. player in the NFL to surpass 1,000 receiving yards so far this season. play ON: NEW ENGLAND -14.5
more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m BUFFALO (+2) JACKSONVILLE (pk) TAMPA BAY (+14) at at at MIAMI CLEVELAND GREEN BAY
The Dolphins have built Neither of these teams Things keep getting momentum with two has shown much life tougher for the Buc- straight wins, but they on the offensive side of caneers, who head to did it against teams the ball. Cleveland has Green Bay with a short- that couldn’t exploit been lost since RB Pey- handed defense. The their weakness. Nei- ton Hillis (hamstring) Bucs have given up at ther Kansas City nor went down, as QB Colt least 395 yards of of- Washington has the McCoy has seemingly fense in four of their receiving corps to make taken a step back. The past five games, and Miami cover the whole Browns have generated they obviously haven’t field, which is what the little off ense, scor- faced an opponent as Dolphins secondary ing two touchdowns explosive as the Pack- struggles to do. The in the past four games ers. While the team’s Bills spread passing at- and topping 17 points base-formation sec- tack should take advan- just once this season. ondary has played well tage. While Buffalo’s Jags RB Maurice Jones- at times this season, primary weakness on Drew has been effec- Tampa Bay doesn’t defense is its inability to tive running the ball, have the kind of depth handle power runners, even against consistent to match up with Green that certainly not going eight-man fronts, and Bay’s many weapons. to be an issue with the the Jags’ defense has And the Buccaneers’ style of game Miami’s been solid and even front seven has strug- lead RB Reggie Bush brilliant at times this gled to stop the run or likes to play. season. create pressure. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is on pace to break Dan play ON: play ON: play ON: Marino’s 1984 all-time single-season record of 5,084 BUFFALO +2 JACKSONVILLE pk GREEN BAY -14 passing yards and tie Tom Brady’s TD mark of 50.
more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m CAROLINA (+7) OAKLAND (-1) TENNESSEE (+6) at at at DETROIT MINNESOTA ATLANTA
The Lions looked awful The Raiders righted The Titans run de- last week as QB Mat- their ship in San Diego fense will once again thew Stafford had the last week, establishing be tested, this time by worst performance of the running game to RB Michael Turner and his career, likely be- cover up Carson Palm- Atlanta’s power run- cause of a broken finger er’s deficiencies. But ning game. Tennessee on his throwing hand. If Palmer might have to has allowed 155.2 YPG he plays this week, he’s shoulder a heavier load and 5.17 YPC over their a big question mark. against a Vikings de- last five games, and may Detroit has no running fense that handles the have given up more to game, and defending run while lacking the Carolina had the Pan- the run is the Panthers’ secondary to run with thers not been forced biggest weakness. Oakland’s speedy WRs. to go pass-heavy while Carolina has been ef- With Palmer’s subpar playing from behind. fective limiting oppos- arm strength, the Raid- Atlanta is coming off a ing receivers though, ers might not be able to tough loss to the Saints. as CB Chris Gamble is take advantage. Oak- The Falcons attempted quietly having another land is allowing 5.2 YPC 52 passes and 32 runs All-Pro year and should on the ground as they against the Saints’ soft shadow Calvin John- get set to face Adrian run defense. They have son. Offensively, Caro- Peterson. Minnesota run the ball with suc- lina could turn to RBs might control the clock cess of late though, Jonathan Stewart and and take the pressure averaging 4.7 YPC over Panthers QB Cam Newton has rushed for more DeAngelo Williams. off QB Christian Ponder. the past four weeks. than 50 yards in each of his past three games. play ON: play ON: play ON: He has seven rushing touchdowns this season. CAROLINA +7 MINNESOTA +1 ATLANTA -6
more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m ARIZONA (+9.5) SEATTLE (+2) DALLAS (-8) at at at SAN FRANCISCO ST. LOUIS WASHINGTON
You might as well keep Seattle is coming off an These teams played riding the 49ers gravy impressive home win an ugly one in Dallas train, especially at over Baltimore, but the back in Week 3, with home against an over- Seahawks have proven the Cowboys kicking matched Arizona team. time and again that six field goals to come The Niners are 8-0-1 they’re a different team away with a 18-16 win. ATS this year, while at home than they are Dallas hasn’t been a the Cardinals are get- on the road. In fact, Se- whole lot better in the ting some respect due attle is 0-8 ATS in road red zone since then to their back-to-back games when coming (with the exception of wins. But those victo- off a home win over the its blowout win over St. ries were comebacks last three seasons, and Louis), but the Redskins against St. Louis and they’ve lost those eight will be hard-pressed Philadelphia, two teams games by an average to generate any of- with serious deficien- score of 31-13. The Rams fense of their own. cies on the defensive are playing better of They’ve switched back side of the ball. Arizona late. QB Sam Bradford to QB Rex Grossman won’t be able to move is healthy and develop- (for now), but he has the ball at any point ing some chemistry football’s worst receiv- against an elite San with new WR Brandon ing corps. They’re also Francisco defense. Lloyd. A year ago in St. having issues getting The Niners have topped Louis, the Rams pre- the running game going Arizona five straight vailed with a 20-3 win because of a banged-up times ATS. over the Seahawks. offensive line. Cowboys linebackers DeMarcus Ware has play ON: play ON: play ON: 13 sacks this season, three of which have come SAN FRANCISCO -9.5 ST. LOUIS -2 DALLAS -8 on the opposing team’s first offensive play.
more at foxsheets.com G et the N e w and i m proved fo x sheets A T F O x S H E E T S . co m GAME LINE PREDICTION pICK VS. SPREAD
NEW YORK JETS LINE: NYJ by 6.5 NEW YOK JETS 24 DENVER at DENVER TOTAL: 40.5 DENVER 22 OVER 40.5
Week 11: BUFFALO LINE: MIA by 2 BUFFALO 23 BUFFALO NOV at MIAMI TOTAL: 43 MIAMI 21 OVER 43 17-21 CINCINNATI LINE: BAL by 7 CINCINNATI 17 CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE TOTAL: 40.5 BALTIMORE 21 UNDER 40.5
JACKSONVILLE LINE: PICK JACKSONVILLE 17 JACKSONVILLE at CLEVELAND TOTAL: 34.5 CLEVELAND 14 UNDER 34.5
OAKLAND LINE: OAK by 1 OAKLAND 23 MINNESOTA at MINNESOTA TOTAL: 45.5 MINNESOTA 24 OVER 45.5
CAROLINA LINE: DET by 7 CAROLINA 21 CAROLINA at DETROIT TOTAL: 47.5 DETROIT 27 OVER 47.5 Providing Unprecedented TAMPA BAY LINE: GB by 14 TAMPA BAY 17 GREEN BAY Handicapping Content at GREEN BAY TOTAL: 49 GREEN BAY 34 OVER 49 DALLAS LINE: DAL by 8 DALLAS 24 DALLAS StatFox is renowned at WASHINGTON TOTAL: 41.5 WASHINGTON 14 UNDER 41.5 for providing the most ARIZONA LINE: SF by 9.5 ARIZONA 15 SAN FRANCISCO comprehensive game at SAN FRANCISCO TOTAL: 40.5 SAN FRANCISCO 28 OVER 40.5 information on the Internet. Our popular FoxSheets are SEATTLE LINE: STL by 2 SEATTLE 16 ST. LOUIS packed with proprietary at ST. LOUIS TOTAL: 39 ST. LOUIS 20 UNDER 39 handicapping tools, including TENNESSEE LINE: ATL by 6 TENNESSEE 17 ATLANTA the StatFox Forecaster, at ATLANTA TOTAL: 44 ATLANTA 24 UNDER 44 which over the past seven
SAN DIEGO LINE: CHI by 3.5 SAN DIEGO 23 SAN DIEGO weeks boasts an impressive at CHICAGO TOTAL: 45 CHICAGO 24 OVER 45 62% win percentage against the spread on all NFL games. PHILADELPHIA LINE: NYG by 3 PHILADELPHIA 23 PHILADELPHIA at NEW YORK GIANTS TOTAL: 47 NEW YORK GIANTS 25 OVER 47 Log on to FoxSheets.com and start winning today! KANSAS CITY LINE: NE by 14.5 KANSAS CITY 14 NEW ENGLAND at NEW ENGLAND TOTAL: 46.5 NEW ENGLAND 32 UNDER 46.5
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