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Draft Pre-Feasibility Report for Implementation of Solar Pumps in Senegal

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Draft Pre-Feasibility Report for Implementation of Solar Pumps in Senegal Draft Pre-Feasibility Report for implementation of solar pumps in Senegal 1 Table of Contents List of Abbreviations .......................................................................................................................... 4 List of Figures ................................................................................................................................... 7 List of Tables ..................................................................................................................................... 8 1. Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... 9 2. Background .............................................................................................................................. 14 2.1 About ISA ......................................................................................................................... 14 2.2 About SSAAU Programme ............................................................................................... 15 2.3 Senegal’s Participation in the Demand Aggregation Exercise ......................................... 18 2.4 Coverage of the report ...................................................................................................... 19 3. Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 20 3.1 About Senegal .................................................................................................................. 20 3.2 Senegal’s Economy .......................................................................................................... 21 3.3 Overview of Power Sector in Senegal .............................................................................. 23 3.3.1 Electricity Generation ................................................................................................ 24 3.3.2 Electricity Transmission ............................................................................................. 27 3.3.3 Electricity Distribution ................................................................................................ 29 3.3.4 Institutional Framework ............................................................................................. 31 4. Technical Feasibility Assessment ........................................................................................... 33 4.1 Assessment Criteria ......................................................................................................... 33 4.1.1 Total Dynamic Head .................................................................................................. 33 4.1.2 Pump Curves ............................................................................................................. 34 4.1.3 Crop Water Requirement .......................................................................................... 35 4.1.4 Pump Sizing .............................................................................................................. 35 4.2 Site Assessment- Thiès .................................................................................................... 36 4.2.1 Thiès .......................................................................................................................... 36 4.2.2 Connectivity and Accessibility ................................................................................... 38 4.2.3 Climate and Rainfall .................................................................................................. 39 4.2.4 Soil Pattern ................................................................................................................ 40 4.2.5 Groundwater Status .................................................................................................. 41 4.2.6 Solar Irradiance ......................................................................................................... 42 4.2.7 Agriculture and Cropping Pattern .............................................................................. 43 5. Financial Feasibility Assessment ............................................................................................ 46 2 5.1 Proposed Project at a Glance ........................................................................................... 46 5.2 Base Case Scenario ......................................................................................................... 48 5.2.1 Inputs ......................................................................................................................... 48 5.2.2 Projected Cash Flows ............................................................................................... 49 5.2.3 Key Findings .............................................................................................................. 50 5.3 Sensitivity Analysis ........................................................................................................... 51 5.3.1 Variation in Interest Rates ......................................................................................... 51 5.3.2 Variation in Capital Cost ............................................................................................ 52 5.3.3 Variation in Crops ...................................................................................................... 53 6. Recommendations .................................................................................................................. 56 3 List of Abbreviations AC Alternating Current ADB Asian Development Bank AEME Agence pour l'Economie et la Maîtrise de l'Energie AFDB African Development Bank AIIB Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank ANER National Agency for Renewable Energies ASER Agence Senegalaise D'Ekectrification Rurale AUMN Association des Unions Maraîchères des Niayes BIO Société Belge d’Investissement pour les Pays en Développement CER Concession d’Electrification Rurale CFAF West African franc cm Centimetre CMC Comprehensive Maintenance Contract CR Rural Communities CRSE La Commission de Régulation du Secteur de l'électricité DC Direct Current DPF Development Policy Financing EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EESL Energy Efficiency Services Limited EIB European Investment Bank EMI Equated Monthly Installments ERIL Électrification Rural d'Initiative Local ETo Evapotranspiration EUR Euros FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FCFA Central African CFA franc GCF Green Climate Fund GDP Gross Domestic Product GHG Greenhouse Gas GIZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit GoS Government of Senegal 4 GWh Gigawatt hours Ha/ha hectare HFO Heavy Fuel Oils HP Horsepower IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency IDEAS Indian Development and Economic Assistance Scheme IEA International Energy Agency IEC International Electrotechnical Commission IJARET International Journal of Advanced Research in Education & Technology IMF International Monetary Fund IPPs Independent Power Producers IR Interconnected Grid IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency ISA International Solar Alliance ITU International Telecommunication Union kg Kilogram km kilometre kV kilovolt kWh kilowatt hour LoC Line of Credit LV Low Voltage mm Millimetre MPE Ministry of Petroleum and Energies MPPT Maximum Power Point Tracker MV Medium Voltage MW Megawatt NDB New Development Bank NFP National Focal Point NGO Non-Governmental Organization NPSH Net Positive Suction Head OMVG Gambia River Basin Development Organisation OMVS L'Organisation pour la Mise en Valeur du Fleuve Sénégal PASER Rural Electrification Action Plan 5 Programme pour la promotion des énergie renouvelables, de l’electrifcation rurale et PERACOD l’approvisionnement durable en combustibles domestiques PPA Power Purchase Agreement PPP Public-private Partnership PTB Petit train de banlieue PV Photovoltaic R&D Research & Development RMS Remote Monitoring Systems SENELEC Société nationale d'électricité du Sénégal SSAAU Scaling Solar Applications for Agricultural Use SSLS Solar Street Lighting System SWPS Solar Water Pumping Systems UL Underwriters Laboratories UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization USAID United States Agency for International Development USD United States Dollar VFD Variable Frequency Drive Y-o-Y Year-on-Year 6 List of Figures Figure 1: Demand received from various ISA member countries for solar pumps ......................... 16 Figure 2: Work Packages and Responsibility Division .................................................................... 18 Figure 3: Map of Senegal ................................................................................................................ 20 Figure 4: GDP Composition by Sector (2018) ................................................................................ 23 Figure 5: GDP Trend (in current USD) for Senegal ........................................................................ 23 Figure 6: Installed Capacity by source ............................................................................................ 24 Figure 7: Energy Consumption by source ....................................................................................... 24 Figure 8: Global Horizontal Irradiation for Senegal ......................................................................... 25 Figure 9: Renewable Energy Capacity by Source
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