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Minsk II a Fragile Ceasefire
Briefing 16 July 2015 Ukraine: Follow-up of Minsk II A fragile ceasefire SUMMARY Four months after leaders from France, Germany, Ukraine and Russia reached a 13-point 'Package of measures for the implementation of the Minsk agreements' ('Minsk II') on 12 February 2015, the ceasefire is crumbling. The pressure on Kyiv to contribute to a de-escalation and comply with Minsk II continues to grow. While Moscow still denies accusations that there are Russian soldiers in eastern Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin publicly admitted in March 2015 to having invaded Crimea. There is mounting evidence that Moscow continues to play an active military role in eastern Ukraine. The multidimensional conflict is eroding the country's stability on all fronts. While the situation on both the military and the economic front is acute, the country is under pressure to conduct wide-reaching reforms to meet its international obligations. In addition, Russia is challenging Ukraine's identity as a sovereign nation state with a wide range of disinformation tools. Against this backdrop, the international community and the EU are under increasing pressure to react. In the following pages, the current status of the Minsk II agreement is assessed and other recent key developments in Ukraine and beyond examined. This briefing brings up to date that of 16 March 2015, 'Ukraine after Minsk II: the next level – Hybrid responses to hybrid threats?'. In this briefing: • Minsk II – still standing on the ground? • Security-related implications of the crisis • Russian disinformation -
De.Sputniknews.Com
de.sputniknews.com The German-language site of Sputnik News, a Russian state-owned news agency that publishes propaganda and disinformation to serve Proceed with caution: This website severely violates basic the Kremlin’s interests. standards of credibility and transparency. Score: 12.5/100 Ownership and Sputnik Deutschland is a subsidiary of Rossiya Financing Segodnya, a Russian government-owned international Does not repeatedly publish news agency. Rossiya Segodnya was established in false content (22points) December 2013 by Russian President Vladimir Putin. Gathers and presents The international broadcasting service, Voice of Russia, information responsibly (18) and the state-run news agency, RIA Novosti, were Regularly corrects or clarifies dissolved and merged into Rossiya Segodnya. errors (12.5) Rossiya Segodnya launched Sputnik in November Handles the difference between news and opinion responsibly 2014. Sputnik Deutschland also runs the radio station (12.5) SNA-Radio, which broadcasts in collaboration with the Avoids deceptive headlines (10) Bavarian radio station Mega Radio. Website discloses ownership The site runs advertisements. and financing (7.5) Clearly labels advertising (7.5) Content Sputnik Deutschland covers international politics, Reveals who's in charge, business, science, technology, culture, and celebrities. including any possible conflicts It has a separate section for German news, which of interest (5) primarily covers politics and major crime stories. The site provides names of content creators, along with The site states on its About Us (Über Uns) page that it either contact or biographical “reports on global politics and business only for information (5) audiences abroad.” Sputnik is headquartered in Moscow, has bureaus in 34 countries, and produces Criteria are listed in order of content in 30 languages. -
Russian Media Organisations Banned for Three Years in Ukraine Ukraine
Russian Media Organisations Banned for Three Years in Ukraine Ukraine abides by all commitments and international standards of ensuring freedom of speech in spite of the continued Russian aggression, the occupation of Ukraine’s sovereign territory in violation of all international rules, the use by the aggressor State of some media of various forms of ownership with a view to carrying out special information operations in the information field of Ukraine and other States by its security services. This is confirmed by Ukraine’s performance in Press Freedom Index 2018, compiled by the international organization Reporters Without Borders. According to the rating, Ukraine has moved one position up and is now ranked 101st. With regard to the concern expressed in the alert published on the Council of Europe Platform on the alleged prohibition of Russian media in Ukraine, the following information shall be taken into account. It is common knowledge that since 2014 Ukraine has been subjected to hybrid aggression of the Russian Federation. This aggression manifested not only in the illegal occupation of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and military aggression in Donetsk and Luhansk regions but also in an unprecedented disinformation and propagandistic campaign against Ukraine. With a view to establishing a legal framework to counter the aggression, the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine adopted the Law of Ukraine “On Sanctions” (hereinafter referred to as the Law) on 14 August 2014. Article 1 of the Law states that, with a view to protecting national interests, national security, the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine, countering terrorist activities, as well as preventing infringement of rights and restoring infringed rights, freedoms and lawful interests of citizens of Ukraine, society and the state special economic and other restrictive measures (hereinafter referred to as ‘sanctions’) may be taken. -
Journalism in the Borderland. Barents Media Freedom
Journalism in the borderland Barents Media Freedom 2017 Published with support from Fritt Ord Authored by Atle Staalesen Atle Staalesen is journalist and Director of the Independent Barents Observer. In 2002, he founded the Barents Observer, which in the period 2005-2015 was hosted by the Norwegian Barents Secretariat. Atle was editor until 2009 and later worked as journalist and project coordinator for several European cross-border cooperation projects. He quit his job in the Barents Secretariat late 2015 following a conflict over editorial rights and subsequently re- established the Barents Observer as an independent and non-profit stock company along with the rest of the newspaper crew. Atle has a degree in Russian studies from the University of Oslo and studied journalism at the Moscow State University. Kirkenes, 2017 The Independent Barents Observer [email protected] @BarentsNews Introduction «You will not write about politics, will you?» The question comes from one of the border guards checking my passport at the Russian checkpoint of Borisoglebsk. I am on my way across the Norwegian-Russian border heading for Murmansk, the Russian Arctic city, on a work assignment. It is not uncommon that Russian border guards ask journalists about the purpose of their visit. However, this time the question is more intriguing than normal. And the timing is extraordinary. Only few weeks earlier had Thomas Nilsen, my colleague and Editor of the Barents Observer, been stopped on the very same spot and taken aside by the border guards. In a back room he was told that he was no longer wanted in Russia and that he would be rejected entry for the next five years. -
Instrumentalizing the Sources of Attraction. How Russia Undermines Its Own Soft Power
INSTRUMENTALIZING THE SOURCES OF ATTRACTION. HOW RUSSIA UNDERMINES ITS OWN SOFT POWER By Vasile Rotaru Abstract The 2011-2013 domestic protests and the 2013-2015 Ukraine crisis have brought to the Russian politics forefront an increasing preoccupation for the soft power. The concept started to be used in official discourses and documents and a series of measures have been taken both to avoid the ‘dangers’ of and to streamline Russia’s soft power. This dichotomous approach towards the ‘power of attraction’ have revealed the differences of perception of the soft power by Russian officials and the Western counterparts. The present paper will analyse Russia’s efforts to control and to instrumentalize the sources of soft power, trying to assess the effectiveness of such an approach. Keywords: Russian soft power, Russian foreign policy, public diplomacy, Russian mass media, Russian internet Introduction The use of term soft power is relatively new in the Russian political circles, however, it has become recently increasingly popular among the Russian analysts, policy makers and politicians. The term per se was used for the first time in Russian political discourse in February 2012 by Vladimir Putin. In the presidential election campaign, the then candidate Putin drew attention to the fact that soft power – “a set of tools and methods to achieve foreign policy goals without the use of arms but by exerting information and other levers of influence” is used frequently by “big countries, international blocks or corporations” “to develop and provoke extremist, separatist and nationalistic attitudes, to manipulate the public and to directly interfere in the domestic policy of sovereign countries” (Putin 2012). -
Russia's Information War Propaganda Or Counter-Propaganda?
Briefing October 2016 Russia's information war Propaganda or counter-propaganda? SUMMARY In the West, Russia is more often seen as an instigator than a target of propaganda. However, Kremlin documents and Russian media argue that Russia itself faces serious threats from external information activity. Allegedly, such threats could undermine political stability in the country, curtail its international influence, and jeopardise traditional values. Moscow therefore argues that it needs to take defensive measures. The Kremlin claims that the USA and its allies are waging an information war against Russia. ISIL/Da'esh, which produces an increasing amount of Russian-language material, is another major adversary. At home, the Kremlin has clamped down on media and civil society to exclude external influences. Internationally, it has launched media weapons such as news channel RT to compete with Western media, and bankrolled pro-Russian NGOs. Critics of the Kremlin dispute its claims of a Western-led information war against Russia, and accuse it of conducting disinformation campaigns to justify aggression in neighbouring countries such as Ukraine. In terms of meeting their declared goal of protecting Russia from information threats, Russian measures have succeeded in excluding most foreign influences from the country. The international impact is more questionable; Russia's image is still very poor, but that does not mean that the Kremlin cannot defend what it sees as the country's external interests. In this briefing: Strategy and priorities Roles and responsibilities Adversaries Main tools Insights and criticism EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service Author: Martin Russell Members' Research Service PE 589.810 EN EPRS Russia's information war: Propaganda or counter-propaganda? Definitions: 'information', 'information war', 'propaganda' Russian official texts refer to 'information' rather than to 'propaganda'. -
The Kremlin's Proxy War on Independent Journalism
Reuters Institute Fellowship Paper University of Oxford WEEDING OUT THE UPSTARTS: THE KREMLIN’S PROXY WAR ON INDEPENDENT JOURNALISM by Alexey Eremenko Trinity Term 2015 Sponsor: The Wincott Foundation 1 Table of Contents: ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 3 INTRODUCTION 4 1. INTERNET & FREEDOM 7 1.1 STATISTICAL OVERVIEW 7 1.2 MEDIA REGULATIONS 8 1.3 SITES USED 9 2. ‘LINKS OF THE GODDAMN CHAIN’ 12 2.1 EDITORIAL TAKEOVER 12 2.2 DIRECT HIT 17 2.3 FINDINGS 22 3. THE MISSING LINKS 24 3.1 THE UNAFFECTED 24 3.2 WHAT’S NOT DONE 26 4. MORE PUTIN! A CASE STUDY IN COVERAGE CHANGE 30 4.1 CATEGORIES 30 4.2 KEYWORDS 31 4.3 STORY SUBJECTS 32 4.4 SENTIMENT ANALYSIS 32 5. CONCLUSIONS 36 BIBLIOGRAPHY 38 2 Acknowledgments I am immensely grateful, first and foremost, to the fellows at the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism, whose expertise and good spirits made for a Platonic ideal of a research environment. James Painter and John Lloyd provided invaluable academic insight, and my past and present employers at the Moscow Times and NBC News, respectively, have my undying gratitude for agreeing to spare me for three whole eventful months, an eternity in the news gathering business. Finally, my sponsor, the Wincott Foundation, and the Reuters Institute itself, believed in me and my topic enough to make this paper possible and deserve the ultimate credit for whatever meager contribution it makes to the academia and, hopefully, upholding the freedom of speech in the world. 3 Introduction “Freedom of speech was and remains a sacrosanct value of the Russian democracy,” Russian leader Vladimir Putin said in his first state of the nation in 2000. -
How a Kremlin-Linked Influence Operation Is Systematically Manipulating Western Media to Construct & Communicate Disinformation
How a Kremlin-Linked Influence Operation is Systematically Manipulating Western Media to Construct & Communicate Disinformation PART 1 DETECTION REPORT September 2021 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In the process of researching mounting tensions between Ukraine and Russia in April 2021, OSCAR researchers detected signals and traces of a major influence operation. The multi-dimensional methodology for this operation appears designed to deliverpro-Kremlin ideas and positions into the media in response to stories connected to Russia’s geopolitical interests. These are then remediated in Russian media to present a deliberately distorted picture of Western public opinion. Developing the initial data, our analysis and assessment is: • There has been systematic and wide-ranging infiltration of a large number of high- profileWestern media sources by pro-Kremlin trolling (PKT). Accounts are using the ‘reader comments’ function on the media outlets’ websites topost provocative pro- Russian / anti-Western statements in reaction to stories of relevance to Russia. Often these are placed early in the conversational thread to ‘frame and prime’ the subsequent interactions on a story. • Elements of the influence operation methodology have been detected in relation to more than: 32 media outlets; located in 16 countries; engaging with 242 mainstream media stories published between February and mid-April 2021. Publications repeatedly targeted by this influence operation are: UK sources, theDaily Mail; Daily Express and The Times; America’s Fox News and Washington Post; Le Figaro in France; Der Spiegel and Die Welt in Germany; and Italy’s La Stampa. • There is a history of Russian trolls targeting Western media outlets, but there are several indicators that this activity may have been ‘stepped up’ from 2018-19 onwards. -
1.Russian Information Weapons; 2.Baltic Department of Defense, Or the US Defenses (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania) Against Government
Sponsor: USEUCOM Contract No.: W56KGU-17-C-0010 Project No.: 0719S120 The views expressed in this document are those of the author Three Discussions of Russian Concepts: and do not reflect the official policy or position of MITRE, the 1.Russian Information Weapons; 2.Baltic Department of Defense, or the US Defenses (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania) against government. Russian Propaganda; and 3.Russia’s Development of Non-Lethal Weapons Author: Timothy Thomas March 2020 Approved for Public Release: Distribution Unlimited. Case Numbers 20-0235; 20-0050; 20-0051; 19-3194; and 20-0145. ©2020 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. McClean, VA 1 FOREWORD Russia has long been captivated by the power of information as a weapon, most notably in a historical sense using propaganda to influence and persuade audiences. With the onset of the information age, the concept’s development and application increased dramatically. The power of information-technologies when applied to weaponry increased the latter’s capabilities due to increased reconnaissance and precision applications. The power of social media was used to influence populations both at home and abroad. Both developments fit perfectly into Russia’s information warfare concept, whose two aspects are information-technical and information-psychological capabilities. Information’s universality, covertness, variety of software and hardware forms and implementation, efficiency of use when choosing a time and place of employment, and, finally, cost effectiveness make it a formidable commodity when assessed as weaponry. Russian efforts to define and use IWes are well documented. In the 1990s there were efforts to define information weapons (IWes) at the United Nations, efforts that failed. -
Yanukovych, Azarov Declared Wanted by Interpol
Part 1 of THE YEAR IN REVIEW pages 5-12 THEPublished U by theKRAINIAN Ukrainian National Association Inc., a fraternal W non-profit associationEEKLY Vol. LXXXIII No. 3 THE UKRAINIAN WEEKLY SUNDAY, JANUARY 18, 2015 $2.00 Kyiv says rocket hits Yanukovych, Azarov declared wanted by Interpol bus in east, killing 12 by Zenon Zawada begun to work in this direction and at through his grandmother, while former RFE/RL minimum, is preparing all the necessary Procurator General Viktor Pshonka and KYIV – It took almost a year but regulatory measures to extradite them his son Artem are reported to have Ukrainian authorities say 10 civilians have Interpol, the International Criminal to Ukraine, one way or another, under gained Kazakh citizenship, which they been killed and 13 wounded by a missile that hit Police Organization, has finally issued certain conditions,” he said. deny, reported gazeta.ua a bus in eastern Ukraine. [Two more victims later wanted person alerts for former Interpol’s decision came as criticism Meanwhile, some of the handful of died in the hospital.] Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, has been mounting of the current gov- police officers who were arrested have The incident occurred on January 13 near a former Prime Minister Mykola Azarov, escaped custody and gone into Ukrainian military checkpoint close to the town of and two of their associates on charges of hiding. Most notably, Dmytro Volnovakha, 35 kilometers southwest of the rebel- embezzlement and misappropriation. All the key Yanukovych Sadovnyk, the commander of a held provincial capital of Donetsk. They are being pursued by the administration offi cials Berkut unit alleged to be respon- One report said the bus was carrying civilians Ukrainian government, which submit- sible for as many as 39 killings, from the coastal city of Mariupol. -
HYBRID WARFARE ANALYTICAL GROUP Preface
Image of the EU and Eastern Partnership countries on Russian TV HYBRID WARFARE ANALYTICAL GROUP Preface • Russia considers itself in a perpetual state of information warfare, while the West does not • Russia’s fake news and troll factories are already notoriously known. However, our research suggests to measure narratives as key elements of Russian propaganda • Russian media fundamentally changed the whole paradigm of news: facts and events are used to support the already prepared narratives • Once established narratives are supported by fake news in smaller part, but mainly by deliberately manipulated interpretation of real events Fake news example On 14 November 2017 Russian Defense Ministry claimed it had “irrefutable evidences” the US is helping ISIS in the Middle East – and back up its claim by posting screenshots from a mobile video game. Narrative example The West tries to overtake Russia, but fails “Musk is breathing down our neck” member of parliament Pavel Dorokhin “Musk failed to outdo heavy rockets of USSR” magazine Vzgliad.ru “Musk’s fall has started: media calculated his loses” state news agency RIA Novosti “It was needed to improve business. It’s widely known that Tesla’s business is doing very bad. It’s a very good trick” Communication director of state agency ROSCOSMOS Agenda 1. Methodology 2. TV landscape in Russia 3. Key findings of the research 4. Description of 6 narratives with quotes 5. Narratives for Baltic states 6. Narratives for countries of Eastern Partnership 7. Conclusions Methodology • Period of the analysis: -
Sanctions and Russia Order in Ukraine, by Resuming Fighting and Taking Over New Towns and Villages, and Russia the West Will Have to Scale-Up Sanctions Significantly
Sanctions have so far been the most effective instrument of Western influ- ence on Russia’s policy towards Ukraine, stopping the Kremlin from making a greater military incursion in the country. Restrictions were imposed against more than one hundred members of the Russian political and business elite, as sanctions well as dozens of Russian enterprises and banks. The annexation of Crimea and war in eastern Ukraine transformed assumptions about Russia, from a strategic partner, especially in energy, into a strategic challenge, mainly for regional secu- rity. Should Russia persist in challenging the principles of European cooperative sanctions And Russia order in Ukraine, by resuming fighting and taking over new towns and villages, And Russia the West will have to scale-up sanctions significantly. At the same time, the West should elaborate precise benchmarks against which to measure any potential Russian cooperative behaviour in Ukraine, before deciding to suspend or cancel sanctions. The Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) is a leading Central Europe- an think tank that positions itself between the world of politics and independent analysis. PISM provides analytical support to decision-makers, initiates public debate and disseminates expert knowledge about contemporary international relations. The work of PISM is guided by the conviction that the decision-mak- Edited by ing process in international relations should be based on knowledge that comes from reliable and valid research. The Institute carries out its own research,