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Prof. Lionel Page

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Prof. Lionel Page Prof. Lionel Page Professor in Economics University of Technology Sydney Professional Address Lionel Page Economics Discipline Group University of Technology Sydney 14-28 Ultimo Road Sydney NSW 2000 Australia E-mail : [email protected] Personal webpage : https://sites.google.com/site/liopage/home Research Interests Main fields of research Behavioural Economics/Game Theory, Education, Applied Micro-econometrics, Higher Education 2002–2007 PhD “A Behavioural Theory of Educational Choices” 15th October 2007, Highest honours Paris School of Economics - University Paris 1 2003–2006 MA, Statistics Statistician-Economist diploma, major in Statistics Na- tional School of Statistics and Economic Management (ENSAE) Thesis : Estimation of a structural model of educational choices with aspi- ration levels. 2001–2002 MA, Economics (DEA diploma in France) University Paris 1 2001 Agregation (Admission to the French professorship competition exam in Social Sciences) ENS Cachan 1999 BSc, Econometrics (Licence diplomas in France) ENS Cachan Professional Experience 2019– Professor in Economics UTS 2015– LCC Fellow ARC Life Course Centre 2013–2018 Professor in Economics QUT 2012–2015 ARC DECRA Fellow - Queensland Smart Futures Fellow - Senior Research Fellow QUT 2010–2012 Postdoctoral Research Fellow QUT 2009–2011 Research Associate University of Cambridge Jul 2009–Aug 2009 Visiting Fellow QUT 2006–2010 Research Fellow University of Westminster 2006–2010 Research Associate University of Paris 1 Jun 2007–Jul 2007 Visiting Researcher Duke University, USA Jan 2002–Feb 2002 Visiting Researcher Brown University, USA Administrative roles 2019– Program Director UTS Graduate Certificate in Behavioural Economics 2015–2018 Head Queensland Behavioural Economic group 2017–2018 Study Area Coordinator QUT Graduate Certificate in Beha- vioural Economics 2017–2018 Research Ethic Advisor QUT School of Economics and Finance 2014–2018 Chair QUT School of Economics and Finance Research Commit- tee Editorial/advising roles 2019– Member of the Economic Science Association Executive Committee 2017– Member of the Economic Society of Australia National Economic Panel 2017– Member of the Economic Society of Australia Central Council 2016– Coordinating Editor Theory and Decision 2016– Associate Editor Behavioral Public Policy, (Ed. G. Akerlof, C. Sunstein, A. Oliver) 2016 Guest Editor Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Special Issue - Behavioral Political Economy 2016 Guest Editor Journal of Economic Psychology Special Issue - Understanding Behaviour in Contests : Views from Economics, Psychology and Biology Peer reviewed publications & R&R RR How success breeds success Quantitative Economics (with Ambroise Descamps and Changxia Ke) RR Expertise, Gender, and Equilibrium Play Quantitative Economics (with Ro- main Gauriot and John Wooders) RR Learning to hesitate Experimental Economics (with Ambroise Descamps and Sebastien Massoni) RR Absolute vs. relative success : Why overconfidence is an inefficient equili- brium Psychological Science (with Alice Solda, Changxia Ke and Bill von Hippel) RR Too big to prevail : Coalition formations in the presence of a superpower Games and Economic Behavior (with Changxia Ke, Florian Morath and Anthony Newell) RR Driving a hard bargain is a balancing act. How social preferences constrain the negotiation process. Theory and Decision (with Yola Engler) 2020 How much information is incorporated in financial asset prices ? Experi- mental Evidence Forthcoming Review of Financial Studies (with Christoph Siem- roth) 2020 Strategically delusional Experimental Economics (with Alice Solda, Changxia Ke and Bill von Hippel) 2020 Assessing the unidimensionality of political opinions. An indirect test of the persuasion bias Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 2019 Does Success breed success ? A quasi-experiment on strategic momentum in dynamic contests Economic Journal (with Romain Gauriot) 2019 Fooled by performance randomness : over-rewarding luck Review of Economics and Statistics (with Romain Gauriot) 2019 Long-lasting effects of relative age at school Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (with Juliana Silva-Goncalves and Dipa Sarkar) 2019 Long-Term Forecasts for Energy Commodities Price : What the Experts Think Energy Economics Energy Economics (with Fan Zhou, Robert Perrons, Zuduo Zheng, Simon Washington) 2019 Heritability makes world population stabilization unlikely in the foreseeable future Evolution and Human Behavior (with Jason Collins) 2018 Psychological momentum in contests : the case of scoring before half time in football Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (with Romain Gauriot) 2018 Why did he do that ? Using counterfactuals to study the effect of intentions in extensive form games Experimental Economics (with Yola Engler and Rudi Kerschbamer) 2018 Guilt-averse or reciprocal ? Looking at behavioural motivations in the trust game. Journal of the Economic Science Association (with Yola Engler and Rudi Kerschbamer) 2017 An experimental analysis of information acquisition in prediction markets Games and Economic Behavior (with Christoph Siemroth) 2017 Can a common currency foster a shared social identity across different nations ? The case of the euro. European Economic Review (with Franz Buscha and Daniel Mueller) 2017 Do agents maximise ? Risk taking on first and second serves in tennis. Journal of Economic Psychology (with Romain Gauriot and Jeffrey Ely) 2017 The older the bolder : Does relative age among peers influence children’s preference for competition ? Journal of Economic Psychology (with Juliana Silva Goncalves and Dipa Sarkar) 2017 Winner and loser effects in human competitions. Evidence from equally matched tennis players Evolution and Human Behavior (with John Coates) 2017 Investigating Gender Differences under Time Pressure in Financial Risk Taking Frontiers in Behavioral Neuroscience (with Zhixin Xi and Ben Hardy) 2016 Gut Feelings and the Market. Interoceptive Ability Predicts Survival on a London Trading Floor Scientific Reports (joint first author, with Narayanan Kandasamy, Sarah Garfinkel, Ben Hardy, Hugo Critchley, Mark Gurnell and John Coates) 2016 Born leaders : Political selection and the relative age effect in the US Congress Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (with Daniel Mueller) 2016 Subjective beliefs about the income distribution and preferences for redis- tribution Social Choice and Welfare (with Daniel Goldstein) 2016 Detecting deceptive behaviour after the fact British Journal of Social Psychology (with William von Hippel, Ernest Baker, Robert Wilson, Loic Brin) 2015 I take care of my own : a field study on how leadership handles conflict between individual and collective incentives American Economics Review P&P (with Romain Gauriot) 2015 A New Approach to Measure Tactical Voting : Evidence from British Elec- tions Applied Economics (with Daniel Mueller) 2015 The inner quality of an article : Will time tell ? Scientometrics (with Ho Fai Chan, Malka Guilllot and Benno Torgler) 2015 Exit polls, turnout, and bandwagon voting : evidence from a natural expe- riment European Economic Review (with Rebecca Morton, Daniel Mueller, Benno Torgler) 2014 Cortisol shifts financial risk preferences PNAS (joint first author, with Naraya- nan Kandasamya, Ben Hardy, Markus Schaffner, Johann Graggaber, Andrew Powlson, Paul Fletcher, Mark Gurnell, and John Coates) 2014 Variation in risk seeking behaviour following large losses : A natural expe- riment European Economic Review (with David Savage and Benno Torgler) 2013 Experimental economics in the classroom The Journal of Public Economics (with Amine Ouazad) 2013 Do prediction markets produce well calibrated probability forecasts ? The Economic Journal (with Clemen RT) 2012 It ain’t over till it’s over : Yogi Berra bias on sports betting markets Applied Economics 2011 Experimental economics in Economics of Education Revue d’Economie Politique 2011 The Effect of Employment while in High School on Educatio- nal Attainment : a Conditional Difference-in-Differences Approach Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics . 2009 Alone against the crowd : Individual differences in decision under pressure Journal of Economic Psychology, doi :10.1016/j.joep.2009.08.007 (with Katie Page) 2009 Last shall be first : A field study of biases in sequential performance evaluation on the Idol series. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, doi :10.1016/j.jebo.2009.08.012 (with Katie Page) 2009 A note on traders Sharpe ratio PLoS ONE 4(11) : e8036. doi :10.1371/jour- nal.pone.0008036 (with John Coates) 2009 Is there an optimistic bias on betting markets ? Economics Letters , Vol 102, No 2, p.70-72. 2009 Stakes and motivation in tournaments : playing when there is nothing to play for but pride Economic Analysis and Policy (with Katie Page) 2008 Comparing prediction market prices and opinion polls in political elections. A technical note. Journal of Prediction Markets , Vol 2, No 1, p. 91-97. 2007 Aspiration Levels and Educational Choices : An Experimental Study Economics of Education Review , Vol 26, No 6, p. 747-757. with Louis Levy-Garboua and Claude Montmarquette 2007 The Second Leg Home Advantage. Evidence from European Football Cup Competitions. Journal of Sports Sciences , Vol 25, No 14, p. 1547-1556. with Katie Page 2005 Des inégalités sociales aux inégalités scolaires : Choix éducatifs et Prospect Theory Revue Economique , Vol 56, No 3 p. 615-623. Non peer reviewed publications 2018 Behavioral Political Economy forthcoming Journal of Economic Behavior
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