Afghanistan’s Insurgency after the Transition Asia Report N°256 | 12 May 2014 International Crisis Group Headquarters Avenue Louise 149 1050 Brussels, Belgium Tel: +32 2 502 90 38 Fax: +32 2 502 50 38
[email protected] Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... i Recommendations..................................................................................................................... iii I. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1 II. Transitioning to December 2014 ...................................................................................... 3 A. Escalating Violence .................................................................................................... 3 B. Fears of Greater Instability in 2014-2015 .................................................................. 4 C. Stalled Peace Talks ..................................................................................................... 4 D. Pakistan’s Role ........................................................................................................... 5 E. Insurgent Factions Gain Prominence ........................................................................ 6 F. Motivation to Fight .................................................................................................... 7 G. Assessing the Insurgency ..........................................................................................