[Explanatory]Financial Results for the Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2021
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Note: This material is an English translation of the Japanese-language original. Financial Results for the Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2021 May 13, 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. Copyright © 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. All rights reserved. Contents Ⅰ. Financial Highlights and Business Progress Ⅱ. Future Direction of JAPEX’s Business Ⅲ. Financial Results for the Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2021 Ⅳ. Financial Forecasts for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2022 Note) This material also serves as the presentation material for the financial results briefing to be held for securities analysts on May 14, 2021. Copyright © 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. All rights reserved. 2 Contents Ⅰ. Financial Highlights and Business Progress Ⅱ. Future Direction of JAPEX’s Business Ⅲ. Financial Results for the Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2021 Ⅳ. Financial Forecasts for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2022 Copyright © 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. All rights reserved. 3 I. Financial Highlights and Business Progress Introduction: Change of Crude Oil Price Assumption [May 2018] 60USD/bbl of crude oil (JCC) price assumption for the Medium-term Business Plan 2018-2022 (Base of the ROE target more than 5% in FY2022 and the economic evaluation of business in the medium to long term) Recent Business Environment Occur the irreversible structural changes in various areas such as energy demand and environmental issues, due to the prolonged effects of COVID-19 pandemic and global decarbonization. Considered the possibilities to remain demands for fossil fuels low for a while. Stimulating Green Recovery will be the mainstream when recovering global economics from COVID-19 pandemic. Recognized a probability for further acceleration of the decarbonization trend. [March 2021] Lowered to 50USD/bbl of the crude oil (JCC) price assumption for Medium-to-long term Decided based on the outlook changes in our business environment and global trends for rising carbon prices. Revaluated of the JAPEX group's assets based on the revised oil price assumption FY2020: Recorded Impairment losses of 16.3 billion yen on domestic business assets Shed unprofitable projects to improve capital efficiency FY2021: Decided to sell all ownership interests of the shale gas project in Canada (expected to recognize a loss of 39.4 billion yen on the interests transfer) Copyright © 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. All rights reserved. 4 I. Financial Highlights and Business Progress Financial Highlights (Billion Yen) FY3/20 (a) FY3/21 (a) FY3/22 (f) Operating profit 14.2 4.1 8.2 Ordinary profit 32.6 10.0 15.7 Profit (loss) attributable to owners of parent 26.8 (2.7) (28.3) Crude oil price (CIF) USD/bbl 68.11 42.91 60.00 Cash dividends per share (full-year) JPY ¥50.0 ¥50.0 ¥50.0 FY3/21 (FY2020) Results E&P Business: Profit declined due to a significant drop in crude oil prices and a decline in sales volume by COVID-19 pandemic Infrastructure/Utility Business: Profit increased due to a start of electricity sales with the operation commencement of the Fukushima Natural Gas Power Plant* Extraordinary loss: Impairment losses on domestic business assets, provision for disaster losses, and others FY3/22 (FY2021) Forecasts E&P Business: Improvement in profit mainly in diluted bitumen sales due to higher oil price outlook Infrastructure/Utility Business: Expecting marginal gain on LNG procurement despite the absence of one-time factors such as the impact of the Japan Electric Power Exchange (JEPX) price hiked in FY3/21 Extraordinary losses: Loss on transfer of interests in the shale gas project in Canada Dividend Policy FY3/21 annual dividend (result): 50.0JPY per share (Interim and year-end dividend of ¥25.0 respectively) FY3/22 annual dividend (forecast): 50.0JPY per share, based on the basic policy of maintaining stable dividends *Operated by Fukushima Gas Power Co., Ltd., which is invested by 5 companies as partners, including JAPEX Copyright © 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. All rights reserved. 5 I. Financial Highlights and Business Progress Long-term Vision and Medium-term Business Plan Long-term Vision 2030 “Growth to the Comprehensive Energy Company Utilizing Oil and Gas E&P and its Supply Basis” Target Realize E&P and Non-E&P profit composition ratio to 6:4 in 2030 *Sum of Operating profit and equity method investment income Medium-term Business Plan 2018-2022 Improve financial position and diversify business as the first five years to realize the Long-term Vision Target Achieve ROE of 5% or more in FY2022 *Under assumed JCC price of USD60/bbl Profit attributable to owners of parent (Billion Yen) 【Major Occurrences in FY2020 and FY2021】 ① Business assets revaluation 26.8 Recorded an impairment losses of 16.3 billion yen on business assets in domestic oil and gas 14.7 fields under extraordinary losses ② Decision to sell all ownership interest of the shale gas project in Canada (2.7) Expected to recognize 39.4 billion yen of loss on transfer of interest under extraordinary losses (28.3) FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2030 Due to the above one-time losses, ROE 3.5% 6.5% - - 5% or more Ordinary profit bn. 12.5 32.6 10.0 15.7 net loss is expected for both FY2020 results Extraordinary income bn. 0.5 (0.7) (17.3) ① (39.4) ② and FY2021 forecasts Net income bn. 14.7 26.8 (2.7) (28.3) Copyright © 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. All rights reserved. 6 I. Financial Highlights and Business Progress FY2020 Progress to the Medium-Term Target E&P Business Infrastructure/Utility Business New Business Development Promote Energy Supply with Generate New Business *1 Maintain “RRR >1” a Low Environmental Impact with Environmentally Friendly Target and Progress Target and Progress Target and Progress Decreased proved reserves mainly 1.48 million tons (LNG Promoting demonstration of due to lowered oil price assumption equivalent) of transaction to CCS/CCUS technology for Undertaking to consider additional the 1.6 million tons of the target practical use development and new exploration 3.0 billion kWh of sales volume Examining new business models in Japan, new overseas interests to the 2.8 billion kWh of the for LNG supply as new business acquisition, and to optimize our electricity sales target seeds business portfolio Proved reserves (MMBOE*2) Production volume (MBOED*3) *1 Reserve Replacement Ratio *2 Barrels of Oil Equivalent 中 *3 Barrels of Oil Equivalent per Day Copyright © 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. All rights reserved. 7 I. Financial Highlights and Business Progress FY2020 Progress and FY2021 Outlook on Main Projects ■Business development:□Growth investment/●Related to demonstration or examination phase:○ Growth investment FY2020 result FY2021 outlook [Maintain and Increase Domestic Production] [Maintain and Increase Domestic Production] Started production in Yufutsu shallow reservoir in Decided additional development around Katakai Gas Field Hokkaido (June 2020) in Niigata (April 2021) [Overseas Projects with Profitability Improving] [Business Portfolio Examination] E&P U.K. North Sea Seagull Project: Development Decided to sell all ownership interests in the shale gas Iraq Garraf Project: Ongoing development work to project in Canada (May 2021) increase production • Timing of production commencement is unforeseeable under In Japan: Pursuing to maintain and increase production Covid-19 pandemic. On- going volume and reserves in medium-to-long term Overseas: Examining new interests acquisition [Business Foundation Against Oil Price Volatility] The Renewable Energy Development Full-scale commercial operation of Fukushima Natural Proceeding stably the examinations of ongoing projects Gas Power Plant (August 2020) aiming for the final investment decision * I/U [Renewable Energy Development] Developing new clients and increasing sale volume of Chofu Biomass Power Generation Project: Participating On- natural gas/Competitive-price LNG procurement in the feasibility study (November 2020) going Examining new opportunities to participate in or acquire Participating in 3 study consortiums of large-scale the renewable energy development projects offshore wind power generation business in Japan [New Business Seeds Identification] ○ Joining 2 local commissions studying the carbon neutral Reorganizing the Efforts to date industry settled by Niigata Prefecture and MLIT/METI and Setting New Targets New (January 2021) in Line with “JAPEX 2050”, Buz ○ Began a contracted feasibility study aiming to realize Which is Our Direction carbon recycling businesses in Tomakomai, Hokkaido toward a Carbon-neutral Society (March 2021) ○ Participated in study groups on new LNG supply models * Infrastructure/Utility Copyright © 2021 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. All rights reserved. 8 I. Financial Highlights and Business Progress ESG Initiatives FY2020 Result FY2021 Outlook (Planned timing) [Contribution to the Low-carbonization] [Response to the TCFD*1 Recommendations] Established Environment Business Promotion Dept. as a Established Risk Management Committee: Consolidated dedicated organization promoting environmentally-friendly the existing risk management systems comprehensively businesses (January 2021) including risks of climate change related (April 2021) Set GHG emission target and monitoring system (May 2021) Introduce third-party evaluation for disclosed information Environment [Stable Energy Supply/Contribution to Society] [Developing a Rewarding Work Environment] Full-scale