[Presentation] Presentation of Consolidated Financial Results For
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Note: The following report is an English translation of the Japanese-language original. PresentationPresentation ofof ConsolidatedConsolidated ffinancialinancial rresultsesults forfor eendednded MarMarchch 3311,, 20120111 MayMay 1616 ,, 20112011 Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. copyright©2011 JAPAN PETROLEUM EXPLORATION Co.,LTD. All rights reserved. Cautionary statement Any information contained herein with respect to JAPEX’s plans, estimates, strategies and other statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements about the future performance of JAPEX. Readers should be aware that actual results and events may differ substantially from these projections due to various factors. The provision of this document should not be construed as a solicitation for investment. Copyright : All information contained herein is protected by copyright, and may not be copied or reproduced without the prior consent of JAPEX. Note: The following abbreviations are used within this document: 1H = First half (1Q-2Q) 2H = Second half (3Q-4Q) (a) = Actual result (e) = Estimate Any inquiries about the information contained herein or other Investor Relations questions should be directed to: Investor Relations Group, Media & Investor Relations Department, Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. TEL: +81-3-6268-7111 2 ContentsContents 1.1.BusinessBusiness OverviewOverview 2.2.ActualActual resultsresults forfor FY2011FY2011 3.3.EstimateEstimatess forfor FY2012FY2012 4.4.NewNew MMeeddiumium--ttermerm BusinessBusiness PlanPlan (( FYFY20120122 -- FY2016FY2016 )) 3 BusinessBusiness OverviewOverview PresidentPresident OsamuOsamu WatanabeWatanabe 4 Business Overview Trends in Crude oil prices and Foreign exchange rates $140 ¥130 $130 ¥125 $-denominated JCC price $/bbl $120 (left axis) ¥120 $110 ¥115 \ /$ 】 $100 ¥110 Exchange rate \/$ $90 ¥105 (right axis) $80 ¥100 $70 ¥95 Exchange rate 【 $60 ¥90 [JCC Price] $-denominated $/bbl $50 ¥85 $40 ¥80 2007-04 2007-05 2007-06 2007-07 2007-08 2007-09 2007-10 2007-11 2007-12 2008-01 2008-02 2008-03 2008-04 2008-05 2008-06 2008-07 2008-08 2008-09 2008-10 2008-11 2008-12 2009-01 2009-02 2009-03 2009-04 2009-05 2009-06 2009-07 2009-08 2009-09 2009-10 2009-11 2009-12 2010-01 2010-02 2010-03 2010-04 2010-05 2010-06 2010-07 2010-08 2010-09 2010-10 2010-11 2010-12 2011-01 2011-02 2011-03 2011-04 Japan Crude Cocktail (JCC) Price in the first 20 days of April 2011 on a prompt report basis : USD 111.20 / bbl Yen 82.45 / USD 5 Business Overview Actual results for FY2011 and Estimate for FY2012 (Highlight) ■ Actual results for FY2011 ( vs FY2010) Billion ¥ 223.4 FY2010 FY2011 60 225 [ Billion ¥] change Net Sales (right axis) (a) (a) 55 220 Net Sales 179.7 199.6 19.9 11% Operating income (left axis) Operating income 13.1 13.8 0.7 5% 50 215 Ordinary income (left axis) Ordinary income 23.2 17.1 (6.1) (26%) Net income (left axis) 45 210 Net income 17.9 10.0 (7.9) (44%) JCC price 67.50 82.69 15.19 23% 40 205 USD/bbl 199.6 Exchange rate 35 200 92.74 86.24 (6.50) (7%) Yen/USD Billion30 ¥ 195 ■ Estimate for FY2012 ( vs FY2011) FY2011 FY2012 [ Billion ¥] change 25 190 (a) (e) Net Sales 199.6 223.4 23.8 12% 20 23.2 185 Operating income 13.8 11.7 (2.1) 15% 15 180 (9%) 17.9 Ordinary income 17.1 15.6 (1.5) 17.1 179.7 15.6 Net income 10.0 11.5 1.5 15% 10 13.1 13.8 175 11.7 11.5 JCC price 10.0 82.69 90.00 7.31 9% 5 170 USD/bbl Exchange rate 86.24 85.00 (1.24) (1%) - 165 Yen/USD FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 (e)(e) 6 Business Overview Domestic exploration plan for FY2012 ◆Exploration well drilling schedule FY2012 Total ●Exploration well: 1 well 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Depth ■Seismic survey : 2 sites 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 Akeno A1 5,070m Exploration well Akeno A1 (5,070m) ◆ Geophysical prospecting survey plan : 2sites 2D seismic survey 25km in Niigata Prefecture (Yoneyama) 2D seismic survey 39km in Yamagata Prefecture (Southern Mt. Chokai) ◇Result for FY2011 Southern Mt. Chokai 2D (39km) FY2011 Total 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Depth 4 516 7 8 9 10 11 12 2 3 Akebono SK-5D 4,975m Succeeded Extension well Yoneyama 2D (25km) Otomo SK-1D 3,102m Abandoned Exploration well 7 Business Overview CAPEX plan for FY2012 Billion ¥ Billion ¥ FY12 [ Billion ¥] FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 45 45 (e) CAPEX 41.7 30.9 28.8 21.9 30.7 40 40 5.1 Depreciation and 16.6 21.5 23.2 24.5 23.8 amortization 35 35 Main items of CAPEX for FY2012 30 0.7 30 4.7 24.5 23.8 Domestic CAPEX ¥ 12.0 billion 25 25 ◆Hokkaido 18.7 - LNG receiving terminal for domestic vessels 20 36.6 3.1 20 21.5 23.2 - CO2 emission reduction facility (Both projects have continued from FY2010) 15 30.2 15 ◆Acquire a new facility for disaster recovery from the 16.6 Great East Japan Earthquake 24.1 10 18.8 10 Overseas CAPEX ¥ 18.7 billion ◆ 12.0 Iraq 5 5 -Development of Garraf oil field ◆Canada -Improvement of production facility for the oil sand - - project FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 ◆Indonesia CAPEX(overseas) (e) -Development of gas field (Ache Block A) CAPEX(domestic) Depreciation and amortization 8 Business Overview Overseas business : Activities in strategic regions Canada Sakhalin -Oil sands development -Sakhalin 1 Project (production & exploration (reserve evaluation)) (production) North Africa Middle East -Iraq : Garraf oil field (development) -Legend- Southeast Asia Strategic regions -Kangean Block (production & development) Blocks in which our consolidated subsidiaries, -Ache Block A (development & exploration) equity-method affiliates, etc. hold interest. -Buton (exploration) -Universe Gas & Oil (production) Iran : JJI S&N B.V. -Japan CBM (exploration) The project is planned to be closed after receiving the final reward from National Iranian Oil Company. 9 Business Overview Current status of overseas business ① Canada oil sands ■Areas in which JACOS holds interest in oil sands leases Canada Oil Sands Co., Ltd. (CANOS) Project company (86.64% owned by JAPEX ) Japan Canada Oil Sands Ltd. (JACOS) Operator (Local subsidiary, wholly owned by CANOS) Block Interest Hangingstone 3.75 section -Producing around 7,000 - 8,000 bbl/d 100% -Cumulative production of 23.89 million bbl (as of end-January, 2011) Expansion project of undeveloped part of Hangingstone area 75% -Additional production of 35,000 bbl/d at the maximum Schedule Applied development approval Apr. 2010 Started FEED 2011 Make FID after acquiring development approval Winter of Start construction 2011 to 2012 2013 ■Areas where oil sand resources were evaluated: The Hangingstone area, the Chard area, the Corner area and the Thornbury area End-2014 Plan to commence production were evaluated. The evaluated areas consist of solely owned and jointly owned areas, are 788.4km2 (gross) or 373.4km2 (net). Bitumen also exists in the Liege area, but there is no bitumen development plan at present due to the subsurface ■ Contingent resources of undeveloped oil sands areas held by conditions of its existence. JACOS : 1,717 million bbl (as of end-December 2008) 10 Business Overview Current status of overseas business ② Sakhalin 1 Project Sakhalin 1 Consortium Interest Exxon Neftegas Ltd. 30% Sakhalin Oil and Gas Development Co., Ltd. (SODECO) 30% Odoptu Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry : 50.00% JAPEX : 14.46% ITOCHU Corp. : 14.46% Marubeni Corp. : 11.68% INPEX : 5.74% ITOCHU Oil Exploration Co., Ltd. : 3.66% ONGC 20% SMNG-Shelf 11.5% Rosneft - Astra 8.5% Arkutun-Dagi Oct. 2005 Chayvo oil and gas field Commenced production of crude oil Oct. 2006 Commenced exports of Sokol crude Feb. 2007 Achieved peak gross production target (250,000 bbl/d) Jun. 2008 Achieved cumulative production of 100 million bbl Sep. 2010 Odoptu oil and gas field Chayvo Commenced production of crude oil Arkutun-Dagi oil and gas field Now under preparation for development 11 Business Overview Current status of overseas business ③ Iraq Garraf development project North Oil PETRONAS JAPEX Company Contractors (Operator) Contract type Development and Production Service Contract (NOC) Counterparty South Oil Company (SOC) Payment share 60% 40% - 20 years Contract term Participating interest 45% 30% 25% (may be extended for maximum 5 years) 2010 The contract effect on Feb.10, 2010 2011 Commence initial production at 2012 50,000 bbl/d ~ Increase production gradually 2016 Achieve plateau production target of 2017 230,000 bbl/d Garraf ■ Expected cumulative production during the contract term : around 1.3 billion bbl 12 Business Overview Current status of overseas business ④ Indonesia: Kangean Block Jakarta Kangean Energy Indonesia Ltd. (KEI) Project Surabaya and two other companies. Java Island company (Equity-method affiliates) Pagerungan Utara oil field (Production) West Kangean gas field (Exploration) Kangean Island Pagerungan gas field (Production) East Java Pipeline Sepanjang Island oil field (Production) TSB gas field (Development) To Surabaya Block Kangean Block (offshore East Java) Interest 25% Operator KEI ■ Current gross production : Crude oil equivalent of around 10,000 boe/d. ■ Pagerungan Utara oil field : Commenced production of 6,000 bbl/d on January 2011. □ TSB gas field : Plan to commence production of 300 million cf/d (around 50,000 boe/d in crude oil equivalent) in 1H 2012. ■ Plan to expand gross production to around 60,000 boe/d through the above additional production. ■ Production Sharing Contract (PSC) : Effective till 2030. 13 Business Overview Current status of overseas business ⑤ Indonesia: Ache Block A Project company Japex Block A Ltd. Interest 16.67% Ache Block A Block (northern Sumatra) Ache Block A Operator Medco Around 100 million cf/d Gross production (around 20,000 boe/d in crude oil equivalent ) Jakarta 2010 Approved extension PSC Concluded extension PSC Contract term : 20 years from September 1, 2011 2011 Start development activities to commence gas production 2012 2013 Alur Rambong gas field Julu Rayeu gas field Gross production of around 100 million cf/d Alur Siwah gas field 14 Business Overview Current status of overseas business ⑥ Indonesia: Buton Block Project company Japex Buton Ltd.