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GDPE0664ICR | AUGUST 2013 REFERENCE CODE PUBLICATION DATE BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATION AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATION AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Executive Summary Hydro Capacity Dominates Power Mix Continued Growth in Power Generation Hydro fuel sources contribute XX% of Bosnia and Power generation increased from XX Gigawatt hours Herzegovina’s power generation capacity. The (GWh) in 2000, to XX GWh in 2012, at a Compound installed capacity of hydro resources increased from Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of XX%. During the XX Megawatt (MW) in 2000, to XX MW in 2012. forecast period 2013–2030, generation is expected Bosnia and Herzegovina has only used about XX% to increase further, in order to satisfy the steadily of its hydro potential so far, and a number of hydro increasing demand for electricity. This increase in projects are expected to come online in the near power demand can be attributed to the increasing future. usage of household appliances, as well as to industrialization and the increasing population. Power Market, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Installed Hydropower Capacity (MW), 2000–2012 Power Market, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2000–2012 Hydropower installed installed (MW) capacity Hydropower Annual power generation power generation (GWh)Annual 2000 2006 2012 Source: GlobalData, Power eTrack, Capacity and Generation Database [Accessed on May 2, 2013] 2000 2006 2012 Source: GlobalData, Power eTrack, Capacity and Generation Database [Accessed on May 2, 2013] Bosnia and Herzegovina Power Market Outlook to 2030 – Market Trends, Regulation and Competitive Landscape 2 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form. BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATION AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Table of Contents 1 Table of Contents 1 Table of Contents ....................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 List of Tables .......................................................................................................................... 7 1.2 List of Figures ......................................................................................................................... 8 2 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 9 2.1 GlobalData Report Guidance ................................................................................................ 10 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Snapshot .................................................................. 11 3.1 Macro-economic Factors ...................................................................................................... 11 3.2 Supply Security .................................................................................................................... 14 3.3 Generation Infrastructure ...................................................................................................... 15 3.4 Transmission Infrastructure .................................................................................................. 15 3.5 Opportunities ........................................................................................................................ 16 3.6 Challenges ........................................................................................................................... 16 4 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Market Analysis ........................................................ 17 4.1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Supply Structure: .................................................. 17 4.2 Bosnia and Herzegovina Power Market, Key Players ........................................................... 18 4.3 Bosnia and Herzegovina Power Market Financial Performance............................................ 19 4.3.1 Key Financial Ratios and Inference ................................................................................ 19 4.4 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Deal Volume and Value Analysis, 2004-2012 ....... 21 4.4.1 Deals, Split by Type, 2012 .............................................................................................. 22 4.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Demand Structure ................................................ 23 4.5.1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Consumption by Sector, 2012 ......................... 25 5 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Regulatory Overview ................................................ 26 5.1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Renewable Energy ............................................... 26 5.1.1 Wind ............................................................................................................................... 26 5.1.2 Biomass .......................................................................................................................... 26 5.1.3 Solar ............................................................................................................................... 26 Bosnia and Herzegovina Power Market Outlook to 2030 – Market Trends, Regulation and Competitive Landscape 4 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form. BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATION AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Table of Contents 5.1.4 Geothermal ..................................................................................................................... 27 5.2 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, International Activities........................................... 27 5.3 Assessment of Energy Community ....................................................................................... 28 6 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview........................... 29 6.1 Installed Capacity: Breakdown by Type of Power Plant, 2012 .............................................. 29 6.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000–2030 ...................................... 29 6.3 Installed Thermal Capacity and Generation, 2000–2030 ...................................................... 32 6.4 Installed Hydro Capacity and Generation, 2000–2030 .......................................................... 35 6.5 Installed Renewable Capacity and Generation, 2000–2030 .................................................. 38 7 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview ................... 41 7.1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Transmission Network Overview .......................... 41 7.2 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Distribution Network Overview .............................. 43 7.2.1 Elektroprivreda HZ HB .................................................................................................... 44 7.2.2 Elektroprivreda Bosne i Hercegovine .............................................................................. 44 7.2.3 Elektroprivreda Republike Srpske ................................................................................... 44 7.2.4 District Brcko .................................................................................................................. 45 7.3 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Electricity Trade .................................................... 45 8 Bosina and Herzegovina, Power Market, Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Company ... 46 8.1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Key Company: Elektroprivreda Bosne i Hercegovine ....................................................................................................................................... 46 8.1.1 Company Overview ........................................................................................................ 46 8.1.2 Elektroprivreda Bosne i Hercegovine, Business Description ........................................... 46 8.1.3 Elektroprivreda BiH, SWOT Analysis .............................................................................. 47 8.2 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Key Company: Elektroprivreda Republike Srpske 51 8.2.1 Company Overview ........................................................................................................ 51 8.2.2 Elektroprivreda Republike Srpske, Business Description ................................................ 52 8.2.3 Elektroprivreda Republike Srpske, SWOT Analysis ........................................................ 53 8.3 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Power Market, Key Company: Elektroprivreda HZ HB.................. 56 Bosnia and Herzegovina Power Market Outlook to 2030 – Market Trends, Regulation and Competitive Landscape 5 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form. BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATION AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Table of Contents 8.3.1 Company Overview ........................................................................................................ 56 8.3.2 Elektroprivreda HZ HB, Business Description ................................................................. 56 8.3.3 Elektroprivreda HZ HB, SWOT Analysis ........................................................................