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Baseline Statistics & Evidence Base Baseline and Evidence Base Annea_A_cover.indd 1 15/03/2017 09:10 Where verbatim extracts from reports are presented within this document they do not necessarily reflect the views of the authors or DCSDC but are there for information purposes only. These are contained within shaded boxes and referenced accordingly. 2 Stats_01.indd 2 03/06/2015 11:22 Contents 7 Purpose of the Briefing Paper 8 Key Findings 11 Structure of the Report 12 Statistical Sources 13 Choice of Geography 14 Context and Background for Analysis and Interpretation of Data 14 Relationship between Multiple Deprivation Measure domains 15 The Use of Spatial Measures for the Targeting of Need: OFMDFM:2013 17 Context: Social 17 General Demographic Trends, DCSDC, NI, Donegal 26 Context: Economic 26 Economy and Society OFMDFM - Impact of Welfare Reform on NI, 2013 30 Universal Credit in Northern Ireland: what will its impact be, and what are the challenges? 33 DCSDC SOA 2010 Deprivation – Domains and Sub-Domains Ranked 35 Multiple Deprivation Measures for DCSDC (2010) 40 Community Planning: THEME 1: SOCIAL 40 1.1: Health 51 1.2 Cultural Deprivation Index 62 1.3: Sport 63 1.4: Volunteering 79 2.3: Suicide 81 Community Planning: THEME 2: ECONOMY 81 2.1: Employment/Economic Activity 93 2.2 Tourism 97 2.2: Education 105 2.3 Skills 109 Community Planning: THEME 3: ENVIRONMENTAL Derry District Housing Plan & Local Housing Strategy 2014/2015, NIHE 117 Fuel Poverty 129 Rurality 139 Equality 3 Stats_01.indd 3 03/06/2015 11:22 139 Ethnicity: Detailed Characteristics for NI on Ethnicity, Country of Birth and Language – Census 2011 127 Disability 128 Gender 142 Older People 144 Children 146 Health –Sub-Regional Data, DHSSPS 17 Graph 1: Birth Rate per 1,000 female population aged 15-44 years, 2003-05 to 2011-13 (broken axis) 18 Graph 2: Total Period Fertility Rate, 2003-05 to 2011-13 18 Graph 3: Crude death rate per 1,000 population, 2008-2013 19 Graph 4: Population Pyramid - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2015 19 Graph 5: Population Pyramid - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2037 21 Graph 6: Derry City and Strabane District Council population projections (breaks in series) 2002-2037 22 Graph 7: Percentage change in population for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI, 2013-2037 24 Graph 8: Cross-border commuters (work or study), 2011 Censuses (RoI and NI) 49 Graph 9: Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2005 & 2010 62 Graph 10: Levels of participation in sport by the Sport Deprivation Index 79 Graph 11: Suicide rate per 100,000 population, 2002-12 80 Graph 12: Crude suicide rate, deaths per 100,000 population (2004-08 to 2008-12) 85 Graph 13: Proportion of employee jobs by industry sector, 2009-2013 86 Graph 14: % Construction Jobs 2009, 2011 and 2013 86 Graph 15: % Construction Jobs, 2013 by old LGD 87 Graph 16: Non LFA farms and LFA farms for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council, Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI 88 Graph 17: Gross Annual Median Earnings based on work postcode for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI (£) 90 Graph 18: Claimant count by skill level for Derry City and Strabane District Council. April 2015 (usual occupation as at April 2014) 91 Graph 19: Claimant count for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI, January 2005 to March 2015 (% 0f 16-64) 91 Graph 20: % of those aged 18-24 who have been claiming for more than 1 year for DCC, SDC and NI, February 2010 to April 2015 92 Graph 21: Population aged 16-64 - reasons for inactivity for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI 99 Graph 22: Pre-school enrolments in schools situated in the DCSDC area, 2007/08-2014/15 100 Graph 23: Qualification levels of those people aged 25-59 for Derry City and Strabane District Council 102 Graph 24: Pupils achieving at least 5 GCSE’s grades A*-C (or equivalent) (including English and Mathematics) (%) by LGD, 2008-2012 4 Stats_01.indd 4 03/06/2015 11:22 102 Graph 25: % who have achieved 2+ A-levels (or equivalent) (%) by LGD 2007-2012 103 Graph 26: % Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 Free School Meals Entitlement for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI 103 Graph 27: Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 Non Free School Meals Entitlement for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI 104 Graph 28: Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 by gender for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI 107 Graph 29: LAC Municipal waste sent for recycling (including composting) as a % of total LAC municipal waste arisings, 2005/06 TO 2013/14 for Derry City Council area, Strabane District Council Area, NI and NWRWMG 111 Graph 30: Household waste sent for recycling (including composting) as a percentage of household waste arisings by district council area 114 Graph 31: Annual CO2 emission estimates for Derry City Council area and Strabane District Council Area (ktCO2) 115 Graph 32: Annual CO2 per capita emission estimates, Derry City Council area, Strabane District Council Area and NI (t) 115 Graph 33: Fuel Poverty Risk Index, (baseline indicator of need) mapped at COA level. Ineligible COAs, and LGD shown 117 Graph 34: Household composition projections 2014-24 123 Graph 35: Applicants in housing stress: 30 pts plus (NIHE new, NIHE transfer, and HA transfer by District Council area for 2013 125 Graph 36: Proportion of Households in Fuel Poverty 128 Graph 37: Non LFA farms and LFA farms for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council, Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI 132 Graph 38: Agricultural Labour for Derry City and Strabane District Council Area 133 Graph 39: Number of VAT and/or PAYE Registered businesses operating in NI by New LGD and broad industry group 133 Graph 40: Number of VAT and/or PAYE Registered businesses operating in NI by New LGD and broad industry group 15 Table 1: SOA level correlations between deprivation domain ranks 20 Table 2: Change in population structure - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2015 to 2037 23 Table 3: Extract from Table 5.1 Conference Report Spaceial North West, 2014 28 Table 4: Overall impact of welfare reform on NI by 2014/15, by local government district – Sheffield Hallam estimates 29 Table 5: Overall impact of welfare reforms by 2014/15 by UK local authority - Sheffield Hallam estimates 33 Table 6: NI Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 (statistical geographies) 10% 39 Table 7: NI Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 (statistical geographies) (20%) 5 Stats_01.indd 5 03/06/2015 11:22 47 Table 8: Output areas (OAs) located in Derry City and Strabane District Council that fall within 20% most deprived OAs in NI but which do not reside with respective deciles of most deprived super output areas in NI 66 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data 74 Table 10: DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (DLA) 84 Table 11: Employee jobs by Council area, 2009 -2013 84 Table 12: Employee jobs by Council area by gender and job status, 2013 87 Table 13: Agriculture labour force 88 Table 14: Gross annual median earnings for DCSDC, 2014 (£) 89 Table 15: Median gross annual earnings for full-time employees in the public and private sectors for DCSDC, 2014 (£) 93 Table 16: Estimated overnight Trips, Nights and Expenditure by Local Government District, 2013 94 Table 17: Estimated number of Nights spent on Overnight Trips in NI by Local Government District, 2011-2013 95 Table 18: Estimated Spend (£) during Overnight Trips in NI by Local Government District, 2011-2013 99 Table 19: Pre-school enrolments in schools situated in the DCSDC area, 2007/08-2014/15 100 Table 20: Qualifications of school leavers by 2014 district council of pupil residence 2013/2014 106 Table 21: Skills classification and terminology 113 Table 22: Results of Automatic Monitoring for Particulate Matter (PM10) 116 Table 23: Method of travel to work for those aged 16-74 and in employment and currently working (%) 125 Table 24: Urban – Rural composition of Derry City and Strabane District Council area 130 Table 25: Rural SOAs within Derry City and Strabane District Council 131 Table 26: Ethnicity 2011 Census. LGD(2014) 64 Map 1: Deprivation - Health Deprivation and Disability (HDD) Domain Rank 53 Map 2: NI Multiple Deprivation Rank (NIMDM) 82 Map 3: Deprivation - Employment Domain (ED) Rank 98 Map 4: Deprivation - Education, Skills and Training (EST) Domain Rank 110 Map 5: Deprivation: Living Environment (LE) Domain Rank 119 Map 6: Deprivation - Living Environment Domain - Housing Access (HA) Sub- Domain Rank 120 Map 7: Deprivation - Living Environment Domain - Outdoor Physical Environment (OPE) Sub Domain Rank 121 Map 8: Deprivation - Crime and Disorder Domain - Crime (CR) Sub-Domain Rank 122 Map 9: Deprivation - Crime and Disorder Domain - Disorder (DS) Sub-Domain Rank 124 Map 10: Deprivation - Housing Quality (HQ) Sub-Domain Rank 126 Map 11: Deprivation - Income Deprivation Affecting Children (IDAC) Rank 129 Map 12: Deprivation - Proximity to Services (PXS) Domain Rank 156 Map 13: Deprivation - Income Deprivation Affecting Older People (IDOP) Rank 6 Stats_01.indd 6 03/06/2015 11:22 Purpose of the Briefing Paper There is an overwhelming volume of data available relating to the socio-economic conditions existing within the Derry and Strabane District Council Area in 2015. Based on Ilex’s experience in facilitating the development of the One Plan in 2011, including preparation of the Analysis of Inequality and the Equality Impact Analysis (EQIA), it is proposed to keep the focus on the dissemination of key metrics to assist decision making.
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