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Election 2015- Hume Brophy Daily - Update 7 9 April 2015

 Business Today  Polls  On the campaign trail

Business Today

 Prime Minister campaigns with Baroness Brady in Nottinghamshire. He takes part in a Q and A (12:00pm) and makes an announcement on apprenticeships  Labour Party leader , shadow education secretary and shadow business secretary speak at Microsoft in on the party's plans for education and launch their education manifesto (9:30am)  Deputy Prime Minister visits a hospital in Cornwall and campaigns in Hampshire  Defence Secretary Michael Fallon speaks in London and announces a Conservative pledge on Trident submarines (10:00am)  Education Secretary Nicky Morgan, shadow Deputy Prime Minister , Crime Prevention Minister Lynne Featherstone and UKIP deputy chairman Suzanne Evans take part in an LBC women leaders debate in London (7:00pm)  Women and Equalities Minister and Alan Reid campaign on business in Argyll and Bute (11:00am)  Green Party leader Natalie Bennett visits Norwich to launch the party's Norwich manifesto  UKIP deputy chairman Suzanne Evans announces the party's policies for women  Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon visits Midlothian and outlines how the SNP's public spending plans would benefit women Polls

Lord Ashcroft released a fresh round of polling yesterday, looking at 10 marginal seats compared to this time last year. As it stands it looks like marginal Conservative seats held by (Harrow East) David Morris (Morecambe), Mike Weatherly (Hove) and James Wharton (Stockton South) will fall to Labour, whilst Education Secretary Nicky Morgan looks set to hold Loughborough as do fellow Tories Paul Maynard (Blackpool North), Richard Graham (Gloucester) and Chris Skidmore (Kingswood).

 Labour 33% -1  Conservative 34% +0  UKIP 13% +0  Liberal Democrats 8% +0  Green 5% +0  Others 6% +0*

*As of 4 April 2015, BBC poll of polls

Betfair Predicts Betfair predicts has some fascinating observations. Although this is not an official poll it’s interesting to see stats on a hung parliament. The stats below gives a great overview of where the punters are putting their money!

Likely hood of:  Hung parliament- 85%  Conservative Majority- 13%  Labour Majority- 2%

Seats:  Labour 269 Seats (gain of 13)  Conservative 280 seats (a loss of 22 seats)  UKIP 3 seats (gain of 1 seat)  Liberal Democrats 33 seats (loss of 23 seats)  SNP 41 seats (gain of 35 seats)*

*http://www.betfairpredicts.com/ as of 9 April 2015

On the Campaign Trail

Essex makes another return Last week’s appearance by The Only Way is Essex star, Joey Essex with Nick Clegg caused a stir, however yesterday he was out and about with UKIP leader Nigel Farage, who looks rather jolly being pictured here. Mr Farage claimed that getting younger people to vote is his aim and Joey will encourage younger voters to do just that.

@Independent

Everyone is over the Election Campaign The Prime Minister’s appearance at a school yesterday caused a flurry of interest. However this girl’s appearance at her school seemed to sum up everyone’s view of the campaign so far- people are tired and over it.

@Independent The return on Blair? Former Prime Minister Tony Blair’s return to the election campaign trail has caused debate from all sides on politics, including Labour. has been debating Mr Blair’s endorsement of Ed Miliband, with some poking fun at the rise and return of the old master.

@GeneralBoles

The Green- Party? The Green have released their political broadcast video poking fun at the main parties. The video includes a song, boy band style, stating that all mainstream political parties are the same. The video has proved to be a hit and is far more entertaining than other political campaign videos doing the rounds. If you’re interested to singing along you can see the video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPgS7p40ERg

@BBCNews @TheGreenParty