4 Banco de Portugal Economic Studies Volume V Please address correspondence to Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Av. Almirante Reis 71, 1150-012 Lisboa, Portugal T +351 213 130 000 |
[email protected] Lisboa, 2019 • www.bportugal.pt Banco de Portugal Economic Studies | Volume V – no. 4 | Lisbon 2019 • Banco de Portugal Av. Almirante Reis, 71 | 1150-012 Lisboa • www.bportugal.pt • Edition Economics and Research Department • Design Communication and Museum Department | Design Unit • ISSN (online) 2183-5217 Content Non-technical summary An analytical assessment of the risks to the sustainability of the Portuguese public debt | 1 Cláudia Braz and Maria Manuel Campos Portuguese labour market synthetic indicators | 25 Carlos Melo Gouveia The countercyclical capital buffer: A DSGE approach | 47 Paulo Júlio and José R. Maria Economics synopsis The Economics of The European Deposit Insurance Scheme | 67 Ettore Panetti Non-technical summary October 2019 This issue of Banco de Portugal Economic Studies includes three articles, whose non-technical summaries are presented below, and a synopsis titled "The Economics of The European Deposit Insurance Scheme". An analytical assessment of the risks to the sustainability of the Portuguese public debt Cláudia Braz, Maria Manuel Campos In spite of recent favourable developments in sovereign debt markets and the strengthened institutional framework at the European level, in several euro area countries - including Portugal - the high government debt ratios remain a source of concern. In this context, frameworks to assess the risks to public finances sustainability (Debt Sustainability Analysis –DSA tools), which have been used for several decades by many international institutions, gained relevance.