11/16/2013
2013 LAST QUARTER TRIPLE WHAMMY: IS THERE A MESSAGE?
Graciano P. YUMUL,Jr. Monte Oro Resources & Energy, Inc. Makati City November 15, 2013
OUTLINE • Hazards, Risks & Disasters
• Changes through time
• Lessons learned
• Action plan
1 11/16/2013
OUTLINE • Hazards, Risks & Disasters
• Changes through time
• Lessons learned
• Action plan
OCTOBER 2013 TY NARI (SANTI)
2 11/16/2013
SANTI DESTRUCTIONS
sunstar.com.ph PHIL NEWS
YAHOO gmanetwork.com
OCTOBER 2013 BOHOL EARTHQUAKE
PHIVOLCS 2013
msc-csem.org
3 11/16/2013
BOHOL EQ DESTRUCTIONS elysplanet.com ph.news.yahoo.com
ideadeaf.org
SINKHOLES & LANDSLIDES
wpxi.com archives.pia.gov.ph
4 11/16/2013
NOVEMBER 2013 TYPHOON HAIYAN (YOLANDA)
NOAA PROJ NOAH
REUTERS PAGASA
YOLANDA DEVASTATIONS
REUTERS, TACLOBAN T.B. RAFOLS, ILOILO
R. RUTA,,CEBU T.B. RAFOLS, ILOILO
5 11/16/2013
HIGHLIGHTS
• SANTI - Agricultural damage - Power interruptions - Transport and food chain
• NORTH BOHOL EARTHQUAKE - Sinkholes - Landslides - Blind faults
HIGHLIGHTS
• YOLANDA - Severe wind - Riverbank erosions - Storm surge
- First responder no more - Looters and food - Protocol issues
6 11/16/2013
SEMANTICS?
HAZARD RISK
airfields-freeman.com garygreene.com
CATASTROPHIC DISASTER
asisbiz.com
OUTLINE
• Hazards, Risks & Disasters
• Changes
• Lessons learned
• Action plan
7 11/16/2013
MINDANAO FLOODING
Cotabato Davao
cotabatocity.net.ph newsinfo.inquirer.ne t
Basilan CDO
rappler.com
SW MONSOON (Habagat)
GMA NEWS GMA Network
Inquirer Baltimore Sun
8 11/16/2013
WEST PHIL SEA (SO. CHINA SEA)
TS FABIAN TY PAOLO June 11-24,2013 Sept 25-Oct1,2013
TD 18W TY VINTA Sept 16-21, 3013 Oct 17-Nov5,2013
CHANGES? • Mindanao hit • SW Monsoon (Habagat) factor • NE Monsoon (Amihan) component • West Philippine Sea breeding ground • Destructive “normal” weather patterns
9 11/16/2013
OUTLINE
• Hazards, Risks & Disasters
• Changes through time
• Lessons learned
• Action plan
TSUNAMI (MARINE ORIGIN)
Fukushima Aceh
fukushima.org.ua huffingtonpost.com
10 11/16/2013
SEICHE (LAKES) & SWELL (FAR-FIELD)
STORM SURGE (NEAR-FIELD CYCLONE)
Albay, Ty Yolanda
inquirer.net
11 11/16/2013
LAYMANIZING CONTEXT?
• Mass wasting vis-a-vis landslides • Storm surges vis-a-vis tidal waves • Depressions, storms, typhoons & bagyo • Low pressure areas & cyclones • Earthlings, Asians, Filipinos & Tagalogs
VALID OBSERVATION? • BER months? – September : Ondoy (2009); Pedring (2011) – October : Pepeng (2009); Juan (2010) – November : Yolanda (2013) – December : Santi (2011); Pablo (2012)
12 11/16/2013
LESSONS LEARNED?
• Poverty: A reality – Living dangerously – Fatalistic (“Bahala na” attitude)
• Cultural: “This is mine”
• Socio-political: No to changes
• Economic: Fear of loss
REALIZATIONS?
• First responders can be victims
• Evacuation centers can be graveyards
• Design/ construction + site selection critical
• Past can only guide; uncertainty is certain
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & MANAGEMENT... MUST BE A WAY OF LIFE!
13 11/16/2013
OUTLINE
• Hazards, Risks & Disasters
• Changes through time
• Lessons learned
• Action plan
CHALLENGES
14 11/16/2013
HOW CAN ONE ADAPT?
• Adult education
• School curriculum
• Right communication
• Local knowledge
• Factor uncertainties
QUESTION
If blind faults are all over the country, where is it safe to put up a house?
Go local, know the place!
15 11/16/2013
QUESTION
Could Tacloban prepare adequately for the hazards posed by Yolanda?
No, since it was not just a technical issue. We are being too hard on ourselves.
QUESTION If the National Government used the term “tidal wave”, could it have saved peoples’ lives?
Maybe yes, may be no but more on the NO. The presence of “a clear and present danger” was made known!
16 11/16/2013
QUESTION
Is the Philippines really prepared for hazards and disasters?
Yes. But at the end of the day, saving one’s life is a personal choice and decision.
Thank You!
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