THE CHANGING SEASONS The BigPicture Brian L. Sullivan in EastCoast records a recentby-product of ing distribution,and even the difficult ques- their expandingbreeding distribution in tionsof birds'conservation in a landscape PRBO-ConservationScience NorthAmerica? What otherspecies might that seems ever more stressed. we expectto find associatedwith thesesys- On some level, it is difficult to conceive 4990Shoreline Highway tems(such as Ash-throated Flycatcher), and that birds'distribution and migratorypat- what accounts for the differences in their terns are substantiallydifferent than they StinsonBeach, California 94970 numbers and distribution in the East? Have were200 yearsago, or even2000 years ago. therebeen changes in recentyears in mete- Buta carefulreading of evenjust one'sown (email:
[email protected]) orological conditions that might affect regionalreports--spanning back just a half migratorymovements of thesespecies? The century--isenough to broadenour imagina- pagesof thisjournal brim with questionsof tion of how thingsmust have been. Sixty thisnature; it is refreshingthat we havethe yearsago, much of LongIsland was farm- pastautumn, I wasstruck by howmuch freedomhere to ask questionsfor which land and indeed much of the East Coast, 'n.wereading as a communitytheregionalof birders reportscontinue fromthisto there may be no easyanswers or evenscien- especiallyin theSouth, was free from "devel- learn about avian distribution and abun- tificallytestable hypotheses. opment."One hundredyears ago, Cahfor- dance,and strucktoo by