Topic 3: Climate Change
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The Role of Reforestation in Carbon Sequestration
New Forests (2019) 50:115–137 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11056-018-9655-3 The role of reforestation in carbon sequestration L. E. Nave1,2 · B. F. Walters3 · K. L. Hofmeister4 · C. H. Perry3 · U. Mishra5 · G. M. Domke3 · C. W. Swanston6 Received: 12 October 2017 / Accepted: 24 June 2018 / Published online: 9 July 2018 © Springer Nature B.V. 2018 Abstract In the United States (U.S.), the maintenance of forest cover is a legal mandate for federally managed forest lands. More broadly, reforestation following harvesting, recent or historic disturbances can enhance numerous carbon (C)-based ecosystem services and functions. These include production of woody biomass for forest products, and mitigation of atmos- pheric CO2 pollution and climate change by sequestering C into ecosystem pools where it can be stored for long timescales. Nonetheless, a range of assessments and analyses indicate that reforestation in the U.S. lags behind its potential, with the continuation of ecosystem services and functions at risk if reforestation is not increased. In this context, there is need for multiple independent analyses that quantify the role of reforestation in C sequestration, from ecosystems up to regional and national levels. Here, we describe the methods and report the fndings of a large-scale data synthesis aimed at four objectives: (1) estimate C storage in major ecosystem pools in forest and other land cover types; (2) quan- tify sources of variation in ecosystem C pools; (3) compare the impacts of reforestation and aforestation on C pools; (4) assess whether these results hold or diverge across ecore- gions. -
The Contribution of Radiative Feedbacks to Orbitally Driven Climate Change
15 AUGUST 2013 E R B E T A L . 5897 The Contribution of Radiative Feedbacks to Orbitally Driven Climate Change MICHAEL P. ERB AND ANTHONY J. BROCCOLI Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, New Jersey AMY C. CLEMENT Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 2 July 2012, in final form 5 February 2013) ABSTRACT Radiative feedbacks influence Earth’s climate response to orbital forcing, amplifying some aspects of the response while damping others. To better understand this relationship, the GFDL Climate Model, version 2.1 (CM2.1), is used to perform idealized simulations in which only orbital parameters are altered while ice sheets, atmospheric composition, and other climate forcings are prescribed at preindustrial levels. These idealized simulations isolate the climate response and radiative feedbacks to changes in obliquity and longitude of the perihelion alone. Analysis shows that, despite being forced only by a redistribution of insolation with no global annual-mean component, feedbacks induce significant global-mean climate change, resulting in mean temperature changes of 20.5 K in a lowered obliquity experiment and 10.6 K in a NH winter solstice perihelion minus NH summer solstice perihelion experiment. In the obliquity ex- periment, some global-mean temperature response may be attributable to vertical variations in the transport of moist static energy anomalies, which can affect radiative feedbacks in remote regions by al- tering atmospheric stability. In the precession experiment, cloud feedbacks alter the Arctic radiation balance with possible implications for glaciation. At times when the orbital configuration favors glaciation, reductions in cloud water content and low-cloud fraction partially counteract changes in summer insolation, posing an additional challenge to understanding glacial inception. -
Thesis Paleo-Feedbacks in the Hydrological And
THESIS PALEO-FEEDBACKS IN THE HYDROLOGICAL AND ENERGY CYCLES IN THE COMMUNITY CLIMATE SYSTEM MODEL 3 Submitted by Melissa A. Burt Department of Atmospheric Science In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado Summer 2008 COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY April 29, 2008 WE HEREBY RECOMMEND THAT THE THESIS PREPARED UNDER OUR SUPERVISION BY MELISSA A. BURT ENTITLED PALEO-FEEDBACKS IN THE HYDROLOGICAL AND ENERGY CYCLES IN THE COMMUNITY CLIMATE SYSTEM MODEL 3 BE ACCEPTED AS FULFILLING IN PART REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE. Committee on Graduate work ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________________________________________ Adviser ________________________________________ Department Head ii ABSTRACT OF THESIS PALEO FEEDBACKS IN THE HYDROLOGICAL AND ENERGY CYCLES IN THE COMMUNITY CLIMATE SYSTEM MODEL 3 The hydrological and energy cycles are examined using the Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3) for two climates, the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and Present Day. CCSM3, developed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, is a coupled global climate model that simulates the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, and land surface interactions. The Last Glacial Maximum occurred 21 ka (21,000 yrs before present) and was the cold extreme of the last glacial period with maximum extent of ice in the Northern Hemisphere. During this period, external forcings (i.e. solar variations, greenhouse gases, etc.) were significantly different in comparison to present. The “Present Day” simulation discussed in this study uses forcings appropriate for conditions before industrialization (Pre-Industrial 1750 A.D.). This research focuses on the joint variability of the hydrological and energy cycles for the atmosphere and lower boundary and climate feedbacks associated with these changes at the Last Glacial Maximum. -
Carbon Dynamics of Subtropical Wetland Communities in South Florida DISSERTATION Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Require
Carbon Dynamics of Subtropical Wetland Communities in South Florida DISSERTATION Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate School of The Ohio State University By Jorge Andres Villa Betancur Graduate Program in Environmental Science The Ohio State University 2014 Dissertation Committee: William J. Mitsch, Co-advisor Gil Bohrer, Co-advisor James Bauer Jay Martin Copyrighted by Jorge Andres Villa Betancur 2014 Abstract Emission and uptake of greenhouse gases and the production and transport of dissolved organic matter in different wetland plant communities are key wetland functions determining two important ecosystem services, climate regulation and nutrient cycling. The objective of this dissertation was to study the variation of methane emissions, carbon sequestration and exports of dissolved organic carbon in wetland plant communities of a subtropical climate in south Florida. The plant communities selected for the study of methane emissions and carbon sequestration were located in a natural wetland landscape and corresponded to a gradient of inundation duration. Going from the wettest to the driest conditions, the communities were designated as: deep slough, bald cypress, wet prairie, pond cypress and hydric pine flatwood. In the first methane emissions study, non-steady-state rigid chambers were deployed at each community sequentially at three different times of the day during a 24- month period. Methane fluxes from the different communities did not show a discernible daily pattern, in contrast to a marked increase in seasonal emissions during inundation. All communities acted at times as temporary sinks for methane, but overall were net -2 -1 sources. Median and mean + standard error fluxes in g CH4-C.m .d were higher in the deep slough (11 and 56.2 + 22.1), followed by the wet prairie (9.01 and 53.3 + 26.6), bald cypress (3.31 and 5.54 + 2.51) and pond cypress (1.49, 4.55 + 3.35) communities. -
Unraveling Driving Forces Explaining Significant Reduction in Satellite-Inferred Arctic Surface Albedo Since the 1980S
Unraveling driving forces explaining significant reduction in satellite-inferred Arctic surface albedo since the 1980s Rudong Zhanga,1, Hailong Wanga,1, Qiang Fub, Philip J. Rascha, and Xuanji Wangc aAtmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99352; bDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195; and cCooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies/Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706 Edited by V. Ramanathan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, and approved October 10, 2019 (received for review September 3, 2019) The Arctic has warmed significantly since the early 1980s and sea ice cover to the observed albedo reduction. Precipitation is much of this warming can be attributed to the surface albedo projected to increase in a warmer world (20), more so in the feedback. In this study, satellite observations reveal a 1.25 to Arctic than the global mean (21, 22). This amplified increase in 1.51% per decade absolute reduction in the Arctic mean surface the Arctic has been attributed to an increase in surface evap- albedo in spring and summer during 1982 to 2014. Results from a oration associated with sea ice retreat, as well as increased global model and reanalysis data are used to unravel the causes poleward moisture transport from lower latitudes (23). Although of this albedo reduction. We find that reductions of terrestrial total precipitation is expected to increase, snowfall may de- snow cover, snow cover fraction over sea ice, and sea ice extent crease, and rainfall may dominate (24). -
Climate Change: How Do We Know We're Not Wrong? Naomi Oreskes
Changing Planet: Past, Present, Future Lecture 4 – Climate Change: How Do We Know We’re Not Wrong? Naomi Oreskes, PhD 1. Start of Lecture Four (0:16) [ANNOUNCER:] From the Howard Hughes Medical Institute...The 2012 Holiday Lectures on Science. This year's lectures: "Changing Planet: Past, Present, Future," will be given by Dr. Andrew Knoll, Professor of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology at Harvard University; Dr. Naomi Oreskes, Professor of History and Science Studies at the University of California, San Diego; and Dr. Daniel Schrag, Professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences at Harvard University. The fourth lecture is titled: Climate Change: How Do We Know We're Not Wrong? And now, a brief video to introduce our lecturer Dr. Naomi Oreskes. 2. Profile of Dr. Naomi Oreskes (1:14) [DR. ORESKES:] One thing that's really important for all people to understand is that the whole notion of certainty is mistaken, and it's something that climate skeptics and deniers and the opponents of evolution really exploit. Many of us think that scientific knowledge is certain, so therefore if someone comes along and points out the uncertainties in a certain scientific body of knowledge, we think that undermines the science, we think that means that there's a problem in the science, and so part of my message is to say that that view of science is incorrect, that the reality of science is that it's always uncertain because if we're actually doing research, it means that we're asking questions, and if we're asking questions, then by definition we're asking questions about things we don't already know about, so uncertainty is part of the lifeblood of science, it's something we need to embrace and realize it's a good thing, not a bad thing. -
Soil Carbon Sequestration and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: a Role
Soil Carbon Sequestration and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: A Role for American Agriculture Dr. Charles W. Rice and Debbie Reed, MSc. Professor of Agronomy Kansas State University Department of Agronomy Manhattan, KS Agriculture and Climate Change Specialist DRD Associates Arlington, VA March 2007 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary (pg. 5) Global Climate Change (7) Greenhouse Gases and American Agriculture (8) The Role of Agriculture in Combating Rising Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Climate Change (8) Agricultural Practices that Combat Climate Change (10) Decreasing emissions (10) Enhancing sinks (10) Displacing emissions (11) How American Agriculture Can Reduce U.S. GHG Emissions and Combat Climate Change (multi-page spread: 12-14) Building Carbon Sinks: Soil Carbon Sequestration (12) Cropland (12) Agronomy (12) Nutrient Management (12) Tillage/Residue Management (13) Land cover/land use change (13) Grazingland management and pasture improvement (13) Grazing intensity (13) Increased productivity (including fertilization) (13) Nutrient management (13) Fire management (13) Restoration of degraded lands (13) Decreasing GHG Emissions: Manure Management (14) Displacing GHG Emissions: Biofuels (14) Table 1: Estimates of potential carbon sequestration of agricultural practices (14) Economic Benefits of Conservation Tillage and No-Till Systems (15) Table 2: Change in yield, net dollar returns, emissions, and soil carbon when converting from conventional tillage to no tillage corn production in Northeast Kansas (15) Co-Benefits of Soil Carbon Sequestration: “Charismatic Carbon” (16) Table 3: Plant nutrients supplied by soil organic matter (SOM) (16) 2 New Technologies to Further Enhance Soil Carbon Storage (16) Biochar (16) Modification of the Plant-Soil System (17) Meeting the Climate Challenge: The Role of Carbon Markets (17) Mandatory v. -
CO2, Hothouse and Snowball Earth
CO2, Hothouse and Snowball Earth Gareth E. Roberts Department of Mathematics and Computer Science College of the Holy Cross Worcester, MA, USA Mathematical Models MATH 303 Fall 2018 November 12 and 14, 2018 Roberts (Holy Cross) CO2, Hothouse and Snowball Earth Mathematical Models 1 / 42 Lecture Outline The Greenhouse Effect The Keeling Curve and the Earth’s climate history Consequences of Global Warming The long- and short-term carbon cycles and silicate weathering The Snowball Earth hypothesis Roberts (Holy Cross) CO2, Hothouse and Snowball Earth Mathematical Models 2 / 42 Chapter 1 Historical Overview of Climate Change Science Frequently Asked Question 1.3 What is the Greenhouse Effect? The Sun powers Earth’s climate, radiating energy at very short Earth’s natural greenhouse effect makes life as we know it pos- wavelengths, predominately in the visible or near-visible (e.g., ul- sible. However, human activities, primarily the burning of fossil traviolet) part of the spectrum. Roughly one-third of the solar fuels and clearing of forests, have greatly intensifi ed the natural energy that reaches the top of Earth’s atmosphere is refl ected di- greenhouse effect, causing global warming. rectly back to space. The remaining two-thirds is absorbed by the The two most abundant gases in the atmosphere, nitrogen surface and, to a lesser extent, by the atmosphere. To balance the (comprising 78% of the dry atmosphere) and oxygen (comprising absorbed incoming energy, the Earth must, on average, radiate the 21%), exert almost no greenhouse effect. Instead, the greenhouse same amount of energy back to space. Because the Earth is much effect comes from molecules that are more complex and much less colder than the Sun, it radiates at much longer wavelengths, pri- common. -
Keeling Curve: Result, Interpretation & Global Monitoring
International Journal for Empirical Education and Research Keeling Curve: Result, Interpretation & Global Monitoring Augustyn Ostrowski Faculty of Geography & Geology Jagiellonian University Email: [email protected] (Author of Correspondence) Poland Abstract The Keeling Curve is a graph of the accumulation of carbon dioxide in the Earth's atmosphere based on continuous measurements taken at the Mauna Loa Observatory on the island of Hawaii from 1958 to the present day. The curve is named for the scientist Charles David Keeling, who started the monitoring program and supervised it until his death in 2005. Keywords: Mauna Loa Measurements; Results and Interpretation; Global Monitoring; Ralph Keeling. ISSN Online: 2616-4833 ISSN Print: 2616-4817 35 1. Introduction Keeling's measurements showed the first significant evidence of rapidly increasing carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere. According to Dr Naomi Oreskes, Professor of History of Science at Harvard University, the Keeling curve is one of the most important scientific works of the 20th century. Many scientists credit the Keeling curve with first bringing the world's attention to the current increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Prior to the 1950s, measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations had been taken on an ad hoc basis at a variety of locations. In 1938, engineer and amateur meteorologist Guy Stewart Callendar compared datasets of atmospheric carbon dioxide from Kew in 1898-1901, which averaged 274 parts per million by volume (ppm), and from the eastern United States in 1936-1938, which averaged 310 ppmv, and concluded that carbon dioxide concentrations were rising due to anthropogenic emissions. However, Callendar's findings were not widely accepted by the scientific community due to the patchy nature of the measurements. -
Ocean Storage
277 6 Ocean storage Coordinating Lead Authors Ken Caldeira (United States), Makoto Akai (Japan) Lead Authors Peter Brewer (United States), Baixin Chen (China), Peter Haugan (Norway), Toru Iwama (Japan), Paul Johnston (United Kingdom), Haroon Kheshgi (United States), Qingquan Li (China), Takashi Ohsumi (Japan), Hans Pörtner (Germany), Chris Sabine (United States), Yoshihisa Shirayama (Japan), Jolyon Thomson (United Kingdom) Contributing Authors Jim Barry (United States), Lara Hansen (United States) Review Editors Brad De Young (Canada), Fortunat Joos (Switzerland) 278 IPCC Special Report on Carbon dioxide Capture and Storage Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 279 6.7 Environmental impacts, risks, and risk management 298 6.1 Introduction and background 279 6.7.1 Introduction to biological impacts and risk 298 6.1.1 Intentional storage of CO2 in the ocean 279 6.7.2 Physiological effects of CO2 301 6.1.2 Relevant background in physical and chemical 6.7.3 From physiological mechanisms to ecosystems 305 oceanography 281 6.7.4 Biological consequences for water column release scenarios 306 6.2 Approaches to release CO2 into the ocean 282 6.7.5 Biological consequences associated with CO2 6.2.1 Approaches to releasing CO2 that has been captured, lakes 307 compressed, and transported into the ocean 282 6.7.6 Contaminants in CO2 streams 307 6.2.2 CO2 storage by dissolution of carbonate minerals 290 6.7.7 Risk management 307 6.2.3 Other ocean storage approaches 291 6.7.8 Social aspects; public and stakeholder perception 307 6.3 Capacity and fractions retained -
Forestry As a Natural Climate Solution: the Positive Outcomes of Negative Carbon Emissions
PNW Pacific Northwest Research Station INSIDE Tracking Carbon Through Forests and Streams . 2 Mapping Carbon in Soil. .3 Alaska Land Carbon Project . .4 What’s Next in Carbon Cycle Research . 4 FINDINGS issue two hundred twenty-five / march 2020 “Science affects the way we think together.” Lewis Thomas Forestry as a Natural Climate Solution: The Positive Outcomes of Negative Carbon Emissions IN SUMMARY Forests are considered a natural solu- tion for mitigating climate change David D’A more because they absorb and store atmos- pheric carbon. With Alaska boasting 129 million acres of forest, this state can play a crucial role as a carbon sink for the United States. Until recently, the vol- ume of carbon stored in Alaska’s forests was unknown, as was their future car- bon sequestration capacity. In 2007, Congress passed the Energy Independence and Security Act that directed the Department of the Inte- rior to assess the stock and flow of carbon in all the lands and waters of the United States. In 2012, a team com- posed of researchers with the U.S. Geological Survey, U.S. Forest Ser- vice, and the University of Alaska assessed how much carbon Alaska’s An unthinned, even-aged stand in southeast Alaska. New research on carbon sequestration in the region’s coastal temperate rainforests, and how this may change over the next 80 years, is helping land managers forests can sequester. evaluate tradeoffs among management options. The researchers concluded that ecosys- tems of Alaska could be a substantial “Stones have been known to move sunlight, water, and atmospheric carbon diox- carbon sink. -
How I Stave Off Despair As a Climate Scientist So Much Warming, So Many Dire Effects, So Little Action — Dave Reay Reveals YVONNE COOPER/UNIV
WORLD VIEW A personal take on events How I stave off despair as a climate scientist So much warming, so many dire effects, so little action — Dave Reay reveals YVONNE COOPER/UNIV. EDINBURGH COOPER/UNIV. YVONNE how dreams of soggy soil and seaweed keep him going. here’s a curve that is quietly plotting our performance as a behind my eyelids, that’s what helps me sleep. species. This curve is not a commodity price or a technology That, and a personal plot to pull a lifetime’s worth of carbon out of index. It has no agenda or steering committee. It is the Keeling the atmosphere. Tcurve. It is painfully consistent in its trajectory and brutally honest in The dream with which I’ve bored my family to distraction for the its graphical indictment of our society as one that stands ready to stand past 20 years is going truly ‘net zero’: paring down emissions to the by as islands submerge, cities burn and coasts flood. bare minimum, and then managing a chunk of land to try to sequester Established by Charles David Keeling in 1958, the curve records the remainder. how much carbon dioxide is in our atmosphere — fewer than 330 parts Last month, that dream came true. Years of saving, a large dollop per million then, more than 400 today. Each month for the past decade, of luck and an even larger loan made me and my wife the nervous my geeky addiction has been to scan the latest data. To search for some owners of 28 hectares of rough grassland and wild rocky shores in hint that ‘Stabilization Day’ will come: when global emissions and the west of Scotland.