General Conference Information 2009 JSM Program Committee ......................................1 Keynote Speakers ...........................................................5 Hotel/Hostel Listing .........................................................6 Convention Center Floor Plans .......................................7 Hotel Floor Plans ...........................................................10 What You Need to Know ...............................................11 Career Placement Service .............................................13 EXPO 2009 Floor Plan ...................................................14 Who’s Who at EXPO 2009 ............................................15 Continuing Education at a Glance ................................21 Technical Sessions ........................................................23 General Program Thursday, July 30...........................................................33 Friday, July 31 ................................................................33 Saturday, August 1 ........................................................34 Sunday, August 2 ..........................................................35 Monday, August 3 ..........................................................65 Tuesday, August 4 .......................................................121 Wednesday, August 5 .................................................177 Thursday, August 6 ......................................................225 Association Contacts ASA ..............................................................................282 ENAR ............................................................................282 WNAR ...........................................................................283 IMS ...............................................................................283 SSC ..............................................................................283 ICSA .............................................................................284 IISA ...............................................................................284 Indexes Index of Participants ....................................................250 Index of Advertisers .....................................................281 The 20th Annual GERTRUDE COX SCHOLARSHIP RACE 5k Race and 2.5k Fun Run/Walk at JSM 2009, Washington, DC The Caucus for Women in Statistics, in conjunction with the ASA, presents the 20th annual Gertrude Cox Scholarship Race at the Joint Statistical Meetings 2009 in Washington, DC. All proceeds will benefit the Gertrude M. Cox Scholarship in Statistics. This year, the race will be sponsored by RTI International. The Race: Competitive 5k race and a 2.5k fun run/walk, running concurrently When: Tuesday, August 4, time to be announced (to start and finish before 8:30 a.m.) Where: Location and logistical information will be posted at e Caucus for Women in Statistics web site as it becomes available (www.caucusforwomeninstatistics.com) and at e Caucus for Women in Statistics hospitality table at the convention center during JSM 2009 How Much: e entry fee is $30.00 Registration ose interested in participating are encouraged to register early by mail, but Procedure: may also register during JSM at the hospitality table for the Caucus for Women in Statistics at the Convention Center, near the registration area. All participants must sign a registration form and waiver. T-shirts for all pre-registered runners will be distributed at the hospitality table. REGISTRATION FORM (each participant must complete and sign) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Name ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Address City ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ State/Province ZIP/Postal Code Phone Required for placement and timing in the 5k race: SEX: ❏ M ❏ F Age ______ EVENT: ❏ 5 k Race ❏ 2.5 k Fun Run/Walk T- SHIRT SIZE: ❏ S ❏ M ❏ L ❏ XL THE FINE PRINT: I understand that running a road race is a potentially hazardous activity. I will not enter and run unless I am medically able and properly trained. I agree to abide by any decision of a race official relative to my ability to complete the run safely. I assume all risks associated with running in this event, including, but not limited to, falls; contact with other participants; and effects of weather, traffic, and course conditions. All such risks are known and appreciated by me. Having read this waiver, knowing these facts, and in consideration of your accepting my entry, I, for myself and anyone entitled to act on my behalf, waive and release the race directors, the race committee, and all sponsors from all claims of liabilities of any kind arising out of my participation in this event, even though such liability may arise as a result of negligence or carelessness on the part of the persons named in this waiver. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Signature Date ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Parent or guardian (if under 18) Make check payable to The Gertrude Cox Scholarship Fund and mail with registration to: We regret to inform that we will not be able to accept registrations online this year. For questions, contact: Anna Nevius, Treasurer Marcia A. Ciol ([email protected]) or 7732 Rydal Terrace Anna Nevius ([email protected]) Rockville, MD 20855-2057 2009 JSM ProgramCommittee Committee Local Area Committee Darryl V. Creel, Chair RTI International Nancy Clusen 2009 JSM Program International Biometric International Biometric Institute of Mathematical Institute of Mathematical Mathematica Policy Research Chair, ASA Society (ENAR) Society (WNAR) Statistics (Invited) Statistics (Invited) Wendy L. Martinez Lloyd Edwards Daniel L. Gillen Michael Kosorok Xiaotong Shen Christopher Cummiskey U.S. Department of Defense The University of University of California, Irvine The University of North University of Minnesota North Carolina Carolina at Chapel Hill RTI International Christopher Moriarty National Center for Health Statistics Lily Trofimovich General Dynamics Information Technology Y. Michael Yang Institute of Mathematical Statistical Society of Canada International Chinese International Indian Council of Chapters, ASA ICF International Statistics (Contributed) (SSC) Statistical Association Statistical Association Gary Gadbury Elizaveta Levina Peter X. Song Xuming He Bhramar Mukherjee Kansas State University University of Michigan University of Waterloo University of Illinois at University of Michigan Urbana-Champaign Advisory Committee on Continuing Education Xiaoming Sheng, Chair University of Utah Katherine T. Halvorsen Smith College General Methodology, ASA General Methodology, ASA Committee on Committees, Invited and Section on Bayesian Anna B. Nevius Mayetri Gupta ASA Contributed Posters Statistics, ASA Joseph M. Hilbe U.S. Food and Drug Boston University School Patrick Cantwell Lara Schmidt Mike Daniels Administration of Public Health U.S. Census Bureau RAND Corporation University of Florida Arizona State University Gordon J. Johnston SAS Institute, Inc. Young K. Kim DP Clinical Eileen C. King Biometrics Section, ASA Biopharmaceutical Section, Business & Economic Statistical Computing Section on Statistical Procter & Gamble Wensheng Guo ASA Statistics Section, ASA Section, ASA Consulting, ASA University of Pennsylvania Matilde Sanchez Barbara Rossi Robert McCulloch Stephan Ogenstad Ronald E. McRoberts Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Duke University The University of Statogen Consulting Texas at Austin U.S. Forest Service, North Central Research Station Scott D. Patterson Wyeth Charles Yun Tan Merck & Co., Inc. Section on Statistics in Section on Statistical Section on Statistics and the Section on Epidemiology, Section on Government Defense and National Education, ASA Environment, ASA ASA Statistics, ASA Security, ASA Peter Westfall Petrutza C. Caragea Amy H. Herring Sunghee Lee Myron J. Katzoff Texas Tech University Iowa State University The University of North University of California, ASA Continuing Education National Center for Carolina at Chapel Hill Los Angeles Health Statistics Rick Peterson Education Programs Associate ASA Meetings Kathleen Wert Director of Meetings Section on Statistical Section on Health Policy Section on Statistics in Section on Nonparametric Graphics, ASA Statistics, ASA Marketing, ASA Statistics, ASA Steven N. MacEachern Mary E. Landrum Michael Braun Simon Sheather Donna-Renee Arrington The Ohio State University Harvard Medical School MIT Sloan School of Texas A&M University Management Meetings Planner Fay Gallagher Meetings Planner American Statistical Association 732 North Washington Street Section on Physical & Section on Quality & Section on Risk Analysis, Social Statistics Section, ASA Alexandria, VA 22314-1943 Engineering Sciences, ASA Productivity, ASA ASA Kathleen S. O’Connor [email protected] Jeffery J. Luner Donald W. McCormack Jr. Bertrand S. Clarke Centers for Disease Control Boeing SAS Institute, Inc. The University of and Prevention www.amstat.org British Columbia Section on Statistics in Section on Survey Research Section on Teaching of Sports, ASA Methods, ASA Statistics in the Health Matthew S. Johnson Elaine Zanutto Sciences, ASA Baruch College National Analysts