Military Intelligence Blunders
Military Intelligence Blunders Colonel John Hughes-Wilson Carroll & Graf Publishers, Inc. NEW YORK Carroll & Graf Publishers, Inc. 19 West 21st Street New York NY 10010-6805 First published in the UK by Robinson Publishing Ltd 1999 Copyright © John Hughes-Wilson 1999 Maps and diagrams copyright © John Hughes-Wilson 1999 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of the publishers. ISBN 0-7394-0689-2 Manufactured in the USA For Victor Andersen + of the British Intelligence Services And Val Heller + of the US Defense Intelligence Agency Who both made it possible Contents Preface ix 1 On Intelligence 1 2 The Misinterpreters - D-Day, 1944 16 3 "Comrade Stalin Knows Best" - Barbarossa, 1941 38 4 "The Finest Intelligence in Our History" - Pearl Harbor, 1941 60 5 "The Greatest Disaster Ever to Befall British Arms" - Singapore, 1942 102 6 Uncombined Operations - Dieppe, 1942 133 7 "I Thought We Were Supposed to be Winning?" - The Tet Offensive, 1968 165 8 "Prime Minister, the War's Begun" - Yom Kippur, 1973 218 9 "Nothing We Don't Already Know" - The Falkland Islands, 1982 260 10 "If Kuwait Grew Carrots, We Wouldn't Give a Damn" - The Gulf, 1991 308 11 Will It Ever Get Any Better? 353 Suggested Reading List 361 Glossary of Terms 365 Index 367 vn Maps and Diagrams The Intelligence Cycle 6 An Intelligence Collection Plan's Essential Elements of Information 11 Dispositions June 1944 22 The Allied Deception Plans for D-Day 30 Operation Barbarossa 45 Pearl Harbor - Japan's Grab for Empire, 1941/2 75 Malaya and Singapore, 1942 112 Disaster at Dieppe, 19 August 1942 153 The Vietnam War, 1956-75 182 The Tet Offensive, South Vietnam, 30-31 January 1968 199 "Greater Israel", 1967-73 232 Yom Kippur, 1973: Suez and Sinai 255 The Falklands War, 1982: relative distances 276 The South Atlantic, 1982 293 A Threat Curve 306 The Gulf War, 1990/1 324 via Preface This is a book that tries to tell the story of some recent events, all within living memory, from a different angle: intelligence.
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