Canadian Banks – Commercial / corporate lending slowing, RESL accelerating... EQUITY RESEARCH | AUGUST 18, 2020 For Required Non-U.S. Analyst and Conflicts Disclosures, please see page 42. Disseminated: August 18, 2020 21:20ET; Produced: August 18, 2020 21:20ET Canadian Banks – OSFI data update (June 2020) Canadian Banks – Commercial / corporate lending slowing, RESL accelerating RBC Dominion Securities Inc. RBC Elements predicts that Canada P&C loan growth could come in at 4.7% YoY in Q3/20 Darko Mihelic, CFA (vs. 5.0% YoY last quarter), modestly better than the 4.5% YoY growth currently assumed (Analyst) in our models. The largest variance between RBC Elements’ predictions and our forecasts is (416) 842-4128 at BMO and BNS. Elements predicts Canada P&C loan growth of 6.8% YoY for BMO (higher
[email protected] than our forecast growth of 6.2% YoY) and 6.0% YoY for BNS (higher than our forecast growth of 5.5% YoY).E1 Sanly Li, CPA, CA (Senior Associate) In this note, we also provide updated trends on key loan and deposit figures using OSFI’s (416) 842-5638 balance sheet data for the month of June, which was released on August 18. In addition to
[email protected] our tables of the latest figures and quarter-to-date trends, we provide graphs of longer- term trends by bank. A few interesting takeaways: All values in CAD, unless otherwise noted. 1. Business and government loan balances as of June declined compared to April. We Priced as of market close, August 18, 2020 ET.