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The Effects of ASEAN Free Trade Are to Its Members
Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade Working Paper Series, No. 21, November 2006 Determinants of AFTA Members’ Trade Flows and Potential for Trade Diversion By Indira M. Hapsari and Carlos Mangunsong* *Indira M. Hapsari and Carlos Mangunsong are Research Assistant at the Department of Economics Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Teaching Assistant at the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia, The views presented in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of CSIS, ARTNeT members, partners and the United Nations. This study was conducted as part of the Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade (ARTNeT) initiative, aimed at building regional trade policy and facilitation research capacity in developing countries. This work was carried out with the aid of a grant from the International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, Canada. The technical support of the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific is gratefully acknowledged. Any remaining errors are the responsibility of the authors. The authors may be contacted at [email protected] and [email protected] The Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade (ARTNeT) aims at building regional trade policy and facilitation research capacity in developing countries. The ARTNeT Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about trade issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. ARTNeT working papers are available online at: www.artnetontrade.org. -
Chapter 2 New Challenges to the Export Oriented Growth Model
Chapter 2 New Challenges to the Export Oriented Growth Model Song Hong Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) December 2012 This chapter should be cited as Song, H. (2012), ‘New Challenges to the Export Oriented Growth Model’, in Zhang, Y., F. Kimura and S. Oum (eds.), Moving Toward a New Development Model for East Asia- The Role of Domestic Policy and Regional Cooperation . ERIA Research Project Report 2011-10, Jakarta: ERIA. pp.27-54. CHAPTER 2 New Challenges to the Export Oriented Growth Model SONG HONG Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) The export-oriented strategy played a crucial role for the successful development of East Asian economies after the World War II. They first exported low-technology manufactured goods, then gradually upgraded and transformed their export goods packages and finally caught up with the developed countries. Export oriented strategy in East Asia has been based on a series of internal and external conditions. Those conditions includes an open international environment, the existence of a certain size of external market, a stable supply of raw materials, as well as good and convenient navigation, and some internal conditions. Global financial crisis badly changed some of these conditions. For example, the external market was very unstable and was growing very slow; after the financial crisis, international raw material and energy prices experienced sharp volatility, which caused great challenges to the countries and enterprises seeking to implement an export oriented strategy. However, after the financial crisis the changes in international and domestic environments did not change the nature and trends of globalization, only temporarily slowed the pace of this process. -
Should Europe Become a Fiscal Union?
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Keuschnigg, Christian Article Should Europe Become a Fiscal Union? CESifo Forum Provided in Cooperation with: Ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Suggested Citation: Keuschnigg, Christian (2012) : Should Europe Become a Fiscal Union?, CESifo Forum, ISSN 2190-717X, ifo Institut - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München, München, Vol. 13, Iss. 1, pp. 35-43 This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/166470 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu Focus SHOULD EUROPE BECOME A problems that have led to the current crisis. The final section offers some conclusions. FISCAL UNION? Economic and fiscal imbalances CHRISTIAN KEUSCHNIGG* Prior to monetary unification, the guiding principle of Introduction European unification was the notion of subsidiarity. -
International Trade
International Trade or centuries, people of the world have traded. From the ancient silk routes and spice trade to modern F shipping containers and satellite data transfers, nations have tied their economies to the rest of the world by complex flows of products and services. Free trade, which allows traders to interact without barriers imposed by government, can improve the living standards of people because it reduces prices and increases the variety of goods and services for consumers. It can also create new jobs and opportunities, and it encourages innovative uses of resources. However, even though free trade can benefit an economy as a whole, specific groups may be hurt. While certain sectors will experience job gains, others will face job losses. Still, societies throughout history have found that the benefits of international trade outweigh the costs. Why Trade? As consumers, all of us have an interest in trading they live, is because they believe they will be better with other countries. We often are unaware of trade’s off by trading. When we consider the alternative— influence on product prices and the quality and each of us producing everything for ourselves—trade availability of the goods we buy. But we all benefit simply makes more sense. from the greater abundance and variety of products and the lower prices that trading with others makes Trade is beneficial because it allows people to possible. Without trade, countries become isolated. specialize, or concentrate their work in the type of The quality of their goods and services lags behind production that they do best. -
Sustainable Growth Based on Export-Oriented Economic Strategy : the Bulgarian Case in an International Comparison
ECONOMIC POLICY ANALYSES Sustainable Growth Based on Export-Oriented Economic Strategy The Bulgarian Case in an International Comparison Prof. András Inotai This paper aims at identifying the strengths and weaknesses of the Bulgarian economy’s transformation to a more dynamic and export-oriented growth model. By referring to two groups of countries – Central European EU member states as well as the Western Balkans, the study puts an emphasis on the impact the EU membership and the 2009 crisis year have on the Bulgarian foreign trade and export performance in particular. The first chapter gathers arguments in favour of the export-oriented growth model but also addresses potential risk factors of such long-term policy. Despite some drawbacks as increasing vulnerability and de- pendence on external factors, this development path is justified as the better way for achieving sustainable economic growth of small economies like Bulgaria. The second chapter deals with the global financial crisis and its influence on the exports and foreign trade in general. Then, the author focuses on Bulgaria’s export performance in the EU and on a regional compari- son by stressing on the role of foreign direct investments in the export orientation of the country. Finally, the paper concludes by summarizing measures and instruments for catching-up export-driven economic development and by formulating policy recommendations supporting the successful implementa- tion of such an export-led growth model. April 2013 Imprint Orders All texts are available online Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Economic www.fes.bg Office Bulgaria Policy Institute 97, Knjaz Boris I St. Yasen Georgiev The views expressed in this publication 1000 Sofia, Bulgaria are not necessarily those of the Responsible: e-mail: [email protected] Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung or of the Regine Schubert, Director Fax: (+359 2) 9522693 organization for which the author works. -
International Trade: Who Is Left Behind and What to Do About It”
Department of Economic & Social Affairs CDP Background Paper No. 45 ST/ESA/2018/CDP/45 Rev.1 December 2018 International trade or technology? Who is left behind and what to do about it* Ann Harrison** ABSTRACT We examine globalization’s effects on those left behind in both industrial and emerging mar- kets. While access to global markets has lifted billions out of poverty in emerging markets, the benefits have not been equally shared. Increased competition through globalization as well as skill-biased technical change has hurt less educated workers in rich and poor countries. While much of the rising inequality is often attributed to globalization alone, a brief review of the literature suggests that labor-saving technology has likely played an even more important role. The backlash has focused on the negative consequences of globalization in developed countries, and now threatens the global trading system and access to that system for emerging markets. We conclude by proposing some solutions to compensate losers from the twin forces of techni- cal change and globalization. Keywords: trade, “leaving no one behind”, globalization, inequality JEL Classification: F02, F16, D63 * This paper replaces a previous version entitled “International Trade: Who is left behind and what to do about it”. ** Member of the Committee for Development Policy (CDP); University of California, Berkeley Haas; research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). All errors remain those of the author. CONTENTS 1 Countries left behind by globalization ....................................................................... 3 2 Individuals left behind by globalization in emerging markets ................................................ 9 3 Individuals left behind in industrial countries: disentangling globalization and technology .................. -
Investment Provisions in Economic Integration Agreements
UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT PROVISIONS IN ECONOMIC INTEGRATION AGREEMENTS UNITED NATIONS New York and Geneva, 2006 ii Investment Provisions in Economic Integration Agreements NOTE As the focal point in the United Nations system for investment and technology, and building on 30 years of experience in these areas, UNCTAD, through DITE, promotes understanding of key issues, particularly matters related to foreign direct investment and transfer of technology. DITE also assists developing countries in attracting and benefiting from FDI and in building their productive capacities and international competitiveness. The emphasis is on an integrated policy approach to investment, technological capacity building and enterprise development. The term “country” as used in this study also refers, as appropriate, to territories or areas; the designations employed and the presentation of the material do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. In addition, the designations of country groups are intended solely for statistical or analytical convenience and do not necessarily express a judgment about the stage of development reached by a particular country or area in the development process. The following symbols have been used in the tables: Two dots (..) indicate that data are not available or are not separately reported. Rows in tables have been omitted in those cases where no data are available for any of the elements in the row. A dash (-) indicates that the item is equal to zero or its value is negligible. -
The London School of Economics and Political Science
The London School of Economics and Political Science Emergency Safeguard; WTO and the feasibility of Emergency Safeguard Measures under the General Agreement on Trade in Services S Gulrez Yazdani Student ID: 200511888 A thesis submitted to the Department of Law of the London School of Economics for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy, London, October 2012 Declaration I certify that the thesis I have presented for examination for the MPhil/PhD degree of the London School of Economics and Political Science is solely my own work other than where I have clearly indicated that it is the work of others (in which case the extent of any work carried out jointly by me and any other person is clearly identified in it). The copyright of this thesis rests with the author. Quotation from it is permitted, provided that full acknowledgement is made. This thesis may not be reproduced without my prior written consent. I warrant that this authorisation does not, to the best of my belief, infringe the rights of any third party. I declare that my thesis consists of 87,180 words. [See Regulations for Research Degrees, paragraphs 25.5 or 27.3 on calculating the word count of your thesis] II Abstract The General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) along with other agreements was concluded in the Uruguay Round of Multilateral Trade Negotiations in 1994. However, negotiations continued within the WTO framework and are still a work in progress on some specific issues under the GATS including the question of Emergency Safeguard Measures, which has been raised in Article X of the GATS as part of its ‘built-in agenda’. -
Intra-ASEAN Trade – Gravity Model and Spatial Hausman-Taylor Approach
Working Paper No. 20/2017 | December 2017 Intra-ASEAN trade – Gravity model and Spatial Hausman-Taylor approach Phung Duy Quang Foreign Trade University (FTU), Vietnam [email protected] Pham Anh Tuan Vietnam Military Medical University Nguyen Thi Xuan Thu Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam Abstract: This study examines determinants of intra-industry trade between Vietnam and Asean countries. By solving endogenous problem and applying Hausman-Taylor model for panel two-way dataset, we detect that export flows of Vietnam gravitate to neighbouring countries and those with similar GDP. More importantly, the research indicates the existence of spatial-lag interaction. Keywords: Intra-trade, export, import, gravity model, two-dimensions fixed effect panel model, Hausman- Taylor model, Spatial Hausman - Taylor model. Research for this paper was funded by the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs under the SECO / WTI Academic Cooperation Project, based at the World Trade Institute of the University of Bern, Switzerland. SECO working papers are preliminary documents posted on the WTI website (www.wti.org) and widely circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. These papers have not been formally edited. Citations should refer to a “SECO / WTI Academic Cooperation Project” paper with appropriate reference made to the author(s). 1 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS From my heart, I would like to show my gratitude and sincere thanks to Dr. Anirudh ([email protected]), from World Trade Institute, Switzerland, who is my mentor, for guiding me to find out research, practical approach, looking for material, processing and data analysis, solving problem ... so that I can complete my research. Also, in the process of learning, researching and implementing the research I was getting a lot of attention, suggestions, supporting from my precious colleagues, expertise and organizations. -
The Emerging Private Sector and the Industrialization of Vietnam
Public Disclosure Authorized PRIVATE SECTOR DISCUSSIONS NO. 1 THE EMERGING PRIVATE SECTOR AND THE INDUSTRIALIZATION OF VIETNAM Public Disclosure Authorized James Riedel and Chuong S. Tran of James Riedel Associates Inc. For submission of the Project Sponsors: The Mekong Project Development Facility The International Finance Corporation The Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry Nissho Iwai Corporation Public Disclosure Authorized Mobil Oil Corporation The Asia Foundation Copies of this report are available to the public from The Mekong Project Development Facility Suite 706, Metropole Center 56 Ly Thai To Street, Hanoi, Vietnam Telephone: 844 8247892 Facsimile: 844 8247898 Email: [email protected] Public Disclosure Authorized Hanoi, April, 1997 TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGMENT........................................................................................III INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................IV THE EMERGING PRIVATE SECTOR AND THE INDUSTRIALIZATION OF VIETNAM.........................................................................................................1 I. THE IMPORTANCE OF PRIVATE SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED COMPANIES ......................................................................................................3 a. The Imperative of Export-Oriented Industrialization ..................................3 b. The Appropriateness of the Export-Oriented Industrialization Strategy for Vietnam................................................................................................ -
International Trade and Local Outsourcing
Munich Personal RePEc Archive International Trade and Local Outsourcing Marjit, Sugata and Yang, Lei and Xu, Xinpeng The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Centre for Studies in Social Sciences, Calcutta, India, GEP, Nottingham November 2009 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/19156/ MPRA Paper No. 19156, posted 11 Dec 2009 09:26 UTC International Trade and Local Outsourcing Sugata Marjit The Hong Kong Polytechnic University Centre for Studies in Social Sciences, Calcutta, India GEP, Nottingham Lei Yang The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong Xinpeng Xu The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong ABSTACT This paper establishes a crucial link between international trade and local organization of production. By using the standard Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson model we show that international trade promotes fragmentation, entrepreneurship and outsourcing due to the capital cost effect and the scale effect. We also unveil one source of productivity and formalize a link between trade and productivity. We illustrate that both the scale effect and the flourish of entrepreneurial talent due to capital cost effect contribute to the improvement of productivity. For the import competing sector the productivity effect and the scale effect move against each other. Accordingly, the impacts of international trade on local outsourcing in export sector are different from that in import competing sector. Further, we find that the above findings still hold in a world where the intermediate goods are tradable. In addition, we demonstrate that a higher trading cost involved in trading the intermediate goods encourages fragmentation and local outsourcing. JEL Classification No: F11, D23, J54, O47 Key words: Trade, Outsourcing, Entrepreneurship, Productivity * An earlier and much condensed version of this paper has benefited from presentations at the Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, IGIDR, Mumbai, Midwest Trade Meetings Spring 2009, SUNY at Albany, USA and University of Bamberg, Germany. -
Regional Economic Community Building Amidst Rising Protectionism and Economic Nationalism in ASEAN
Regional Economic Community Building amidst Rising Protectionism and Economic Nationalism in ASEAN Alexander Chandra The Habibie Center Abstract Despite its ambitious ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) project, protectionism, and economic nationalism are on the rise in ASEAN. Protectionism, however, is not new to Southeast Asia, with governments across the region employing an inward- looking economic policy when they enjoy economic stability, and pursuing economic reform when confronted with major economic challenges. Unfortunately, embryonic industries will always exist in the region, and governments will find excuses to safeguard their existence. Drawing on the Murdoch School of critical political economy approach, this article argues that the inclination towards protectionism in ASEAN be primarily rooted in the domestic political economy of member states. Apart from bringing about domestic regulatory changes, major economic liberalisation initiatives of ASEAN, such as AFTA and the AEC, significantly redistribute power and resources, and ignite struggles between competing for domestic economic influences, many of which are in favour of government’s protection. Whilst existing technical initiatives to address protectionism are useful, major crises that encourage structural adjustments in all ASEAN Member States might be needed to overcome protectionist inclinations in the region. Keywords: protectionism, economic nationalism, economic regionalism, ASEAN Introduction Association’s economic integration project. The rise of protectionism, as an The long-awaited ASEAN Economic expression of economic nationalism, in Community (AEC) was finally launched particular, has been seen by many experts on 1st January 2016. Despite the success of and practitioners alike as a key hindrance the Association of Southeast Asian to ASEAN’s effort to deepen its economic Nations (ASEAN) in officially launching integration project.