- IRANIAN WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION Capabilities, Developments, and Strategic Uncertainties Anthony H. Cordesman Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy
[email protected] With Adam C. Seitz
[email protected] Working Draft for Review and Comments: October 14, 2008 Cordesman: Iranian Weapons o f Mass Destruction 10/15/08 Page ii Table of Contents I. INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................................................... 1 IRAN‟S STEADILY LESS CONVINCING EFFORTS AT DENIAL ........................................................................ 1 IRAN‟S PROGRESS TOWARDS NUCLEAR-ARMED MISSILE CAPABILITY ...................................................... 1 IRAN‟S IMPACT ON THE REGIONAL MILITARY BALANCE ............................................................................ 2 IRREGULAR WARS AND “WARS OF INTIMIDATION” .................................................................................... 2 THE PROBLEM OF TIME AND COMPLEXITY ................................................................................................. 3 II. IRAN’S MISSILE ARSENAL AND OTHER DELIVERY SYSTEMS ............................................. 6 THE RANGE OF IRANIAN PROGRAMS .......................................................................................................... 7 IRANIAN SHAHAB MISSILE PROGRAMS ......................................................................................................12 Shahab-1/SCUD-B ...............................................................................................................................12