The Systemic Risk Council. April 5, 2013
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Why Should We Worry About the National Debt: MITCH DANIELS Questions and Answers LEON PANETTA TIM PENNY April 16, 2019
CHAIRMEN Why Should We Worry About the National Debt: MITCH DANIELS Questions and Answers LEON PANETTA TIM PENNY April 16, 2019 “Why Should We Worry About the National Debt?” describes six important ways PRESIDENT MAYA MACGUINEAS that the growing national debt will affect the budget and the economy. Below, we answer specific questions frequently raised about the topic. DIRECTORS Isn’t debt sustainable when the economy grows faster than interest rates? BARRY ANDERSON Despite the fact economic growth rate is higher than government interest rates (r<g), ERSKINE BOWLES CHARLES BOWSHER debt remains on an unsustainable trajectory in the United States. Economist Olivier KENT CONRAD Blanchard and others have pointed out that governments can shrink their debt-to- DAN CRIPPEN GDP ratio while still borrowing to finance their interest payments when r<g. VIC FAZIO However, this only leads to a sustainable outcome if a government is running a WILLIS GRADISON primary balance (revenue equals non-interest spending) or a sufficiently modest JANE HARMAN WILLIAM HOAGLAND primary deficit. The United States today is running a large and growing primary JIM JONES deficit. As a result, both debt and interest payments will continue to rise faster than LOU KERR the economy despite low interest rates. There is also no guarantee that the economic JIM KOLBE growth rate will remain higher than interest rates, particularly as rising debt puts CYNTHIA LUMMIS MARJORIE MARGOLIES downward pressure on growth and upward pressure on rates. DAVE MCCURDY JAMES MCINTYRE, JR. Do low interest rates mean deficits don’t “crowd out” investment? DAVID MINGE Evidence suggests that today’s low interest rates are in spite of, not because of, high JUNE O’NEILL deficits and debt – and that deficits continue to “crowd out” investment. -
The Defense Program and the Economy Hearings
THE DEFENSE PROGRAM AND THE ECONOMY HEARINGS BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON ECONOMIC GOALS AND INTERGOVERNMENTAL POLICY OF THE JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES NINETY-SEVENTH CONGRESS FIRST AND SECOND SESSIONS PART 1 OCTOBER 7, 13, 22, AND 29, 1981, AND DECEMBER 15, 1982 Printed for the use of the Joint Economic Committee U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 9-760 WASHINGTON:.1983 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to see. 5(a) of Public law 304, 79th Cong.) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES SENATE HENRY S. REUSS, Wisconsin, Chairman ROGER W. JEPSEN, Iowa, Vice Chairman RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri WILLIAM V. ROTH, Ja., Delaware LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana JAMES ABDNOR, South Dakota. GILLIS W. LONG, Louisiana STEVEN D. SYMMS, Idaho PARREN J. MITCHELL, Maryland PAULA HAWKINS, Florida FREDERICK W. RICHMOND, New York' MACK MATTINGLY, Georgia CLARENCE J. BROWN, Ohio LLOYD BENTSEN, Texas MARGARET M. HECKLER, Massachusetts WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin JOHN H. ROUSSELOT, California EDWARD M. KENNEDY, Massachusetts CHALMERS P. WYLIE, Ohio PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland JAMES K. GALBRAITH, Executive Director BRucE R. BARTLETT, Deputy Director SUBCOMMITTEE ON ECONOMIC GOALS AND INTERGOVEBNMENTAL PoLIor HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES SENATE LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman LLOYD BENTSEN, Texas, Vice Chairman RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri PAULA HAWKINS, Florida STEVEN D. SYMMS, Idaho MACK MATTINGLY, Georgia 1 Representative Richmond resigned from the U.S. House of Representatives on Aug. 25, 1982, and Representative Augustus F. Hawkins, of California, was subsequently appointed to the committee on Sept. 23, 1982. CONTENTS WITNESSES AND STATEMENTS WEDNESDAY, OCTOBEB 7, 1981 Reuss, Hon. Henry S., chairman of the Joint Economic Committee: Open- Page ing statement ------------------------------------------------- 1 Weidenbaum, Hon. -
Janet Yellen's Legacy at the Federal Reserve
Journal of Finance and Bank Management December 2019, Vol. 7, No. 2, pp. 82-87 ISSN: 2333-6064 (Print), 2333-6072 (Online) Copyright © The Author(s). All Rights Reserved. Published by American Research Institute for Policy Development DOI: 10.15640/jfbm.v7n2a6 URL: https://doi.org/10.15640/jfbm.v7n2a6 Janet Yellen’s Legacy at the Federal Reserve Alexander G. Kondeas1 Abstract This paper examines the empirical results of the monetary policies followed by the Federal Reserve during the period of 2010-2018, when Janet Yellen served first as vice chair (2010-2014) and subsequently as chair (2014-2018) of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. As the Central Bank of the United States, the Federal Reserve System (FED) is entrusted with conducting the monetary policy in a way that fulfills the Congressional dual mandate of price stability and full employment. Janet Yellen generally adhered to a dovish view of monetary policy, one that favors looser monetary control and lower interest rates in order to stimulate economic growth. At first glance, the dual mandate was satisfied during her eight years of progressively higher leadership roles at the FED. The economic recovery from the Great Recession (2007- 2008) continued, inflation remained tamed, and the rate of unemployment fell to its lowest level since 1970. Yet a closer look at consumer spending and private fixed investment indicate a sharp decline in the years following the Great Recession and until the end of Yellen’s term at the FED. It is difficult therefore, to argue that the loose monetary policies of her years in office had much of a stimulating effect on the household sector or the business sector. -
Symposium Proceedings, 1998: Income Inequality: Issues And
The Contributors A.B. Atkinson, Warden, Nuffield College, Oxford University Mr. Atkinson is currently serving as warden of Nuffield College, Oxford University. Previously, he was professor of political econ- omy at the University of Cambridge, and chairman of the Suntory Toyota International Centre at the London School of Economics. A fellow of the British Academy, he is a past president of the Royal Economic Society, the Econometric Society, the European Eco- nomic Association, and the International Economic Association. He has served on the Royal Commission on the Distribution of Income and Wealth, the Pension Law Review Committee, and the Commis- sion on Social Justice. He is also the author or co-author of a number of books dealing with public economic issues and income distribution. Alan S. Blinder, Professor, Princeton University Mr. Blinder is the Gordon S. Rentschler Memorial Professor of Economics and co-director and founder of the Center for Economic Policy Studies at Princeton University where he has been a member of the faculty since 1971. He is also vice chairman of the G-7 Group. Between June 1994 and January 1996, he was vice chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Before joining the Board, he was a member of President Clinton’s Council of Eco- nomic Advisers where he was in charge of macroeconomic forecast- ing and also worked on budget, international trade, and health care issues. Mr. Blinder is the author or co-author of 12 books and scores ix x Contributors of articles on such topics as fiscal policy, monetary policy, and the distribution of income. -
Regional Oral History Office University of California the Bancroft Library Berkeley, California
Regional Oral History Office University of California The Bancroft Library Berkeley, California Charles Schultze Slaying the Dragon of Debt: Fiscal Politics and Policy from the 1970s to the Present A project of the Walter Shorenstein Program in Politics, Policy and Values Interviews conducted by Martin Meeker in 2010 Copyright © 2011 by The Regents of the University of California ii Since 1954 the Regional Oral History Office has been interviewing leading participants in or well-placed witnesses to major events in the development of Northern California, the West, and the nation. Oral History is a method of collecting historical information through tape-recorded interviews between a narrator with firsthand knowledge of historically significant events and a well-informed interviewer, with the goal of preserving substantive additions to the historical record. The tape recording is transcribed, lightly edited for continuity and clarity, and reviewed by the interviewee. The corrected manuscript is bound with photographs and illustrative materials and placed in The Bancroft Library at the University of California, Berkeley, and in other research collections for scholarly use. Because it is primary material, oral history is not intended to present the final, verified, or complete narrative of events. It is a spoken account, offered by the interviewee in response to questioning, and as such it is reflective, partisan, deeply involved, and irreplaceable. ********************************* All uses of this manuscript are covered by a legal agreement between The Regents of the University of California and Charles Schultze, dated January 19, 2011. The manuscript is thereby made available for research purposes. All literary rights in the manuscript, including the right to publish, are reserved to The Bancroft Library of the University of California, Berkeley. -
Henry Aaron, Brookings Insitution Gilbert Metcalf, Tufts University
An Open Statement Opposing Proposals for a Gas Tax Holiday In recent weeks, there have been proposals in Congress and by some presidential candidates to suspend the gas tax for the summer. As economists who study issues of energy policy, taxation, public finance, and budgeting, we write to indicate our opposition to this policy. Put simply, suspending the federal tax on gasoline this summer is a bad idea and we oppose it. There are several reasons for this opposition. First, research shows that waiving the gas tax would generate major profits for oil companies rather than significantly lowering prices for consumers. Second, it would encourage people to keep buying costly imported oil and do nothing to encourage conservation. Third, a tax holiday would provide very little relief to families feeling squeezed. Fourth, the gas tax suspension would threaten to increase the already record deficit in the coming year and reduce the amount of money going into the highway trust fund that maintains our infrastructure. Signers of this letter are Democrats, Republicans and Independents. This is not a partisan issue. It is a matter of good public policy. Henry Aaron, Brookings Insitution Gilbert Metcalf, Tufts University Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University (Nobel Prize in Economics, 2001) James Heckman, University of Chicago (Nobel Prize in Economics, 2000) Daniel Kahneman, Princeton University (Nobel Prize in Economics, 2002) Charles Schultze, Brookings Institution (President of the American Economic Association, 1984, Chairman Council of Economic Advisers 1977-1981, Director, Bureau of the Budget, 1965-1967) Alice Rivlin, Brookings Institution (President of the American Economic Association, 1986, Director of O.M.B. -
Fed Leadership Transition Looms
Issue: The Federal Reserve Short Article: Fed Leadership Transition Looms By: Victoria Finkle Pub. Date: April 10, 2017 Access Date: September 28, 2021 DOI: 10.1177/237455680311.n5 Source URL: http://businessresearcher.sagepub.com/sbr-1863-102582-2776875/20170410/short-article-fed-leadership-transition-looms ©2021 SAGE Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved. ©2021 SAGE Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved. “Uneasy politician” Yellen likely to be replaced Executive Summary President Trump will have the opportunity to reshape the leadership of the U.S. Federal Reserve by naming a new chair and appointing several members to the central bank’s governing board. A key takeaway: The departure of Governor Daniel Tarullo will allow the president to name a vice chairman for supervision, the official in charge of bank regulation at the Fed. Full Article Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen discusses the central bank’s decision to raise its benchmark interest rate at a news conference in March. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images) The Federal Reserve is bracing for a significant transformation of its top brass over the next few years. The biggest change will be at the helm: the likely replacement of Janet Yellen as Fed chair. President Trump has indicated that he will name someone else to fill the job when Yellen’s term expires next February. “She is not a Republican. When her time is up, I would most likely replace her because of the fact that I think it would be appropriate,” he said in May 2016, during the campaign. 1 Ending Yellen’s tenure after just one term would be a departure from how the White House has operated in recent decades: President Barack Obama reappointed Ben S. -
The Buttonwood Gathering New York, October 25 - 26, 2010 the Graduate Center/City University of New York
The Buttonwood Gathering New York, October 25 - 26, 2010 The Graduate Center/City University of New York About the event At last year’s Buttonwood Gathering, National Economic Council Director Larry Summers called on banks to accept the responsibility of greater regulation as a service to their country. Have they taken his words to heart? As the news continues to tell of a weak and jobless recovery, are banks and other financial institutions living up to their responsibilities? Once again in 2010, The Buttonwood Gathering will draw together leading policymakers, banking executives and regulators to discuss restoring trust in the financial system and evaluate our place on the road to recovery. Chair person John Micklethwait, Editor-in-Chief, The Economist The Bagehot lecture Mervyn King, Governor, Bank of England Confirmed speakers Mark Almeida, President, Moody’s Analytics Clifford Asness, Managing & Founding Principal, AQR Capital Management Zanny Minton Beddoes, Economics Editor, The Economist Matthew Bishop, American Business Editor, New York Bureau Chief, The Economist Joshua Bolten, Visiting Professor, Princeton University Joyce Chang, Managing Director and Global Head of Emerging Markets Strategy and Credit Research, JPMorgan James Chanos, Founder and Managing Partner, Kynikos Associates Ed Clark, President and Chief Executive Officer, TD Bank Financial Group Philip Coggan, Capital Markets Editor and Buttonwood Columnist, The Economist Sean Dobson, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Amherst Securities Group Former Senator Pete -
Health Care Reform: Healthwill We Care Ever Reform: Willget Weit Right? Ever Get It
The Thomas Willis Lambeth Lecture Health Care Reform: HealthWill We Care Ever Reform: WillGet WeIt Right? Ever Get It ALICE M. RIVLIN Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution Right?Visiting Professor, Georgetown University September 27, 2012 THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA AT CHAPEL HILL HEALTH CARE REFORM: WILL WE EVER GET IT RIGHT? The Thomas Willis Lambeth Lecture in Public Policy is sponsored and published in association with the Department of Public Policy, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill CB# 3435 Abernethy Hall © Alice M. Rivlin 2012. Chapel Hill, North Carolina 27599-3435. All rights reserved. Lecture and publication costs are supported by the generous gift of an anonymous donor. ALICE M. RIVLIN Health Care Reform: Will We Ever Get It Right? HEALTH CARE REFORM: WILL WE EVER GET IT RIGHT? am honored to have been asked to replace the late Elinor Ostrom, who had agreed to give this lecture before her death in June of this year. Elinor I was an original thinker – a constructive maverick who made important contributions to economics from outside the mainstream of the discipline. She was a prolific researcher, who inspired a generation of development economists around the world. She focused on how real people in many parts of the developing world set up their own rules for sustainable management of the common resources on which their lives depend. Many of us were delighted when her contributions were recognized with a Nobel Prize in Economics. In our different ways, Elinor Ostrom and I have both worked at the intersection of economics and political science. -
Nomination of Janet L. Yellen
S. HRG. 113–125 NOMINATION OF JANET L. YELLEN HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING, AND URBAN AFFAIRS UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED THIRTEENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION ON NOMINATION OF JANET L. YELLEN, OF CALIFORNIA, TO BE CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM NOVEMBER 14, 2013 Printed for the use of the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs ( Available at: http://www.fdsys.gov/ U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 85–910 PDF WASHINGTON : 2014 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 VerDate Nov 24 2008 14:24 Jan 30, 2014 Jkt 046629 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 5011 Sfmt 5011 L:\HEARINGS 2013\11-14 NOMINATION OF YELLEN\HEARING\111413.TXT JASON COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING, AND URBAN AFFAIRS TIM JOHNSON, South Dakota, Chairman JACK REED, Rhode Island MIKE CRAPO, Idaho CHARLES E. SCHUMER, New York RICHARD C. SHELBY, Alabama ROBERT MENENDEZ, New Jersey BOB CORKER, Tennessee SHERROD BROWN, Ohio DAVID VITTER, Louisiana JON TESTER, Montana MIKE JOHANNS, Nebraska MARK R. WARNER, Virginia PATRICK J. TOOMEY, Pennsylvania JEFF MERKLEY, Oregon MARK KIRK, Illinois KAY HAGAN, North Carolina JERRY MORAN, Kansas JOE MANCHIN III, West Virginia TOM COBURN, Oklahoma ELIZABETH WARREN, Massachusetts DEAN HELLER, Nevada HEIDI HEITKAMP, North Dakota CHARLES YI, Staff Director GREGG RICHARD, Republican Staff Director LAURA SWANSON, Deputy -
106–928 District of Columbia Appropriations for Fiscal Year 2001
S. HRG. 106–928 DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA APPROPRIATIONS FOR FISCAL YEAR 2001 HEARING BEFORE A SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED SIXTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION ON H.R. 4942 and 5633/S. 3041 AN ACT MAKING APPROPRIATIONS FOR THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND OTHER ACTIVITIES CHARGEABLE IN WHOLE OR IN PART AGAINST THE REVENUES OF SAID DISTRICT FOR THE FISCAL YEAR ENDING SEPTEMBER 30, 2001, AND FOR OTHER PURPOSES Council of the District of Columbia Financial Responsibility and Management Assistance Authority Office of the Mayor Printed for the use of the Committee on Appropriations ( Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.access.gpo.gov/congress/senate U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 62–772 cc WASHINGTON : 2001 For sale by the U.S. Government Printing Office Superintendent of Documents, Congressional Sales Office, Washington, DC 20402 COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS TED STEVENS, Alaska, Chairman THAD COCHRAN, Mississippi ROBERT C. BYRD, West Virginia ARLEN SPECTER, Pennsylvania DANIEL K. INOUYE, Hawaii PETE V. DOMENICI, New Mexico ERNEST F. HOLLINGS, South Carolina CHRISTOPHER S. BOND, Missouri PATRICK J. LEAHY, Vermont SLADE GORTON, Washington FRANK R. LAUTENBERG, New Jersey MITCH MCCONNELL, Kentucky TOM HARKIN, Iowa CONRAD BURNS, Montana BARBARA A. MIKULSKI, Maryland RICHARD C. SHELBY, Alabama HARRY REID, Nevada JUDD GREGG, New Hampshire HERB KOHL, Wisconsin ROBERT F. BENNETT, Utah PATTY MURRAY, Washington BEN NIGHTHORSE CAMPBELL, Colorado BYRON L. DORGAN, North Dakota LARRY CRAIG, Idaho DIANNE FEINSTEIN, California KAY BAILEY HUTCHISON, Texas RICHARD J. DURBIN, Illinois JON KYL, Arizona STEVEN J. CORTESE, Staff Director LISA SUTHERLAND, Deputy Staff Director JAMES H. -
Monetary Policy and the State of the Economy Hearing
MONETARY POLICY AND THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON FINANCIAL SERVICES U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED FOURTEENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION FEBRUARY 25, 2015 Printed for the use of the Committee on Financial Services Serial No. 114–4 ( U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 95–048 PDF WASHINGTON : 2015 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 VerDate Nov 24 2008 13:02 Aug 19, 2015 Jkt 095048 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 5011 Sfmt 5011 K:\DOCS\95048.TXT TERRI HOUSE COMMITTEE ON FINANCIAL SERVICES JEB HENSARLING, Texas, Chairman PATRICK T. MCHENRY, North Carolina, MAXINE WATERS, California, Ranking Vice Chairman Member PETER T. KING, New York CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York EDWARD R. ROYCE, California NYDIA M. VELA´ ZQUEZ, New York FRANK D. LUCAS, Oklahoma BRAD SHERMAN, California SCOTT GARRETT, New Jersey GREGORY W. MEEKS, New York RANDY NEUGEBAUER, Texas MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts STEVAN PEARCE, New Mexico RUBE´ N HINOJOSA, Texas BILL POSEY, Florida WM. LACY CLAY, Missouri MICHAEL G. FITZPATRICK, Pennsylvania STEPHEN F. LYNCH, Massachusetts LYNN A. WESTMORELAND, Georgia DAVID SCOTT, Georgia BLAINE LUETKEMEYER, Missouri AL GREEN, Texas BILL HUIZENGA, Michigan EMANUEL CLEAVER, Missouri SEAN P. DUFFY, Wisconsin GWEN MOORE, Wisconsin ROBERT HURT, Virginia KEITH ELLISON, Minnesota STEVE STIVERS, Ohio ED PERLMUTTER, Colorado STEPHEN LEE FINCHER, Tennessee JAMES A. HIMES, Connecticut MARLIN A. STUTZMAN, Indiana JOHN C. CARNEY, JR., Delaware MICK MULVANEY, South Carolina TERRI A.