Circumstances of the National Plan for Hydrogenization of Road Transport in Poland
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INSTYTUT TRANSPORTU SAMOCHODOWEGO Circumstances of the national plan for hydrogenization of road transport in Poland Report prepared as part of the HIT-2-Corridors project /Synthesis/ Scientific work financed from the funds for education Co-financed by the European Union in the 2015 allocated for the implementation Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) of the international project co-financed by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education Warsaw, November 2015 Circumstances of the national plan for hydrogenization of road transport in Poland The report prepared for the purposes of the project HIT-2-Corridors realized as a part of the international consortium November 2015 Project title: HIT-2-Corridors Project number: 2013-EU-92077-S Report title: „Circumstances of the national plan for hydrogenization of road transport in Poland” Report prepared as part of the HIT-2-Corridors project implemented by an international consortium Project co-financed by the European Union's funds in terms of Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) Scientific work financed from the funds for education in the 2015 allocated for the implementation of the international project co-financed by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education ITS Work No. 5502/ITS; Warsaw, November 2015 Copyright by Motor Transport Institute, Warsaw 2015 Copying, dissemination, reproduction and publication in any form (including electronic) for commercial and private purposes, without the consent of the Motor Transport Institute, is prohibited. 2 Co-financed by the European Union Scientific work financed from the funds for education in the 2015 Trans-European Transport Network allocated for the implementation of the international project (TEN-T) co-financed by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education Circumstances of the national plan for hydrogenization of road transport in Poland The report prepared for the purposes of the project HIT-2-Corridors realized as a part of the international consortium November 2015 Project Partners Sweco International AB (SE) AGA Gas AB (SE) Woikoski Oy (FI) (coordinator) Riga Municipality (LV) Ministry of Infrastructure HyER (Hydrogen Fuel Cells and and the Environment (NL) Electro-mobility in European Regions) (BE) Hydrogen Sweden (SE) Motor Transport Institute WaterstofNet (BE) (PL) 3 Co-financed by the European Union Scientific work financed from the funds for education in the 2015 Trans-European Transport Network allocated for the implementation of the international project (TEN-T) co-financed by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education Circumstances of the national plan for hydrogenization of road transport in Poland The report prepared for the purposes of the project HIT-2-Corridors realized as a part of the international consortium November 2015 Members of the team: Substantive concept, supervision and editorial work: Gis Wojciech Menes Edward Waśkiewicz Jerzy Expert personnel: Ślęzak Marcin Gis Wojciech Menes Edward Waśkiewicz Jerzy Kijeński Jacek Kordel Zdzisław Żółtowski Andrzej Support personnel: Balke Iwona Balke Marcin Damm Andrzej Hitczenko Dorota Jarosiński Wojciech Karpiński Robert Krupiński Mikołaj Krysiuk Cezary Menes Maciej Pawlak Piotr Skarbek-Żabkin Anna Sowiński Adam Szczepański Bartosz Waśkiewicz Przemysław Wilk Krystian Wiśniowski Piotr Zakrzewski Bartosz Zysińska Małgorzata Auxiliary personnel: Drecki Tomasz Grudzień Monika Matuszewska Małgorzata Mazurkiewicz Dominika 4 Co-financed by the European Union Scientific work financed from the funds for education in the 2015 Trans-European Transport Network allocated for the implementation of the international project (TEN-T) co-financed by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education Circumstances of the national plan for hydrogenization of road transport in Poland The report prepared for the purposes of the project HIT-2-Corridors realized as a part of the international consortium November 2015 Contents of the report - Status and trends in the development of mobility in Poland compared to other EU countries. - Status of the passenger cars fleet in Poland and the directions of its development, including those with unconventional energy carriers. - Political, ecological, economic and legal aspects of the implementation of innovative vehicles propulsion technologies, including hydrogen technology. - Programs of hydrogen technology development in the road transport, in the world. - Status and trends of the road network changes in Poland, with particular emphasis on the Polish sections of the TEN-T network. - Production technologies and hydrogen production in Poland. - Preliminary indications of the future hydrogen refuelling stations locations in Poland. - Assumptions for the development of hydrogen-powered vehicle fleet in Poland by the 2050. - Expert forecast of the demand for hydrogen by the road transport in Poland by the 2050. - The ecological effects of the use of hydrogen fuel in the road transport in Poland by the 2050. - Assumptions of the support policy for the development of hydrogen propulsion in Poland. Status of the hydrogen technology development in Europe - After years of research and experiments hydrogen propulsion technology begins to enter the market. The current (2015), pre-commercial phase, involves the construction in Europe, of about 200 - 300 hydrogen refuelling stations located primarily in large urban agglomerations and along the TEN-T network. It is to handle about 5,000 passenger cars and 500 buses equipped with fuel cells. The early commercial phase of hydrogen propulsion technology should appear in Europe around 2020 and 5 Co-financed by the European Union Scientific work financed from the funds for education in the 2015 Trans-European Transport Network allocated for the implementation of the international project (TEN-T) co-financed by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education Circumstances of the national plan for hydrogenization of road transport in Poland The report prepared for the purposes of the project HIT-2-Corridors realized as a part of the international consortium November 2015 ensure the creation of a hydrogen infrastructure including approximately 2,000 hydrogen filling stations / min 1000 / along the strategic transport routes, serving 500 thousand passenger cars and 1,000 buses equipped with fuel cells. The commercial development phase of the hydrogen power technology should begin at the end of the third decade of the twenty-first century. - In Europe, the most advanced program of the transport hydrogenization, with a budget of 1.4 billion Euro has Germany. The program entitled -"National Innovation Programme Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technology" is coordinated by the Nationale Organisation Wasserstoff – und Brennstoftzellentechnologie (NOW GmbH). The main barriers to the development of hydrogen technology in the road transport - The high price of electric vehicle with fuel cells powered by hydrogen (by the 2020 the price of the car with fuel cells, however, should catch up with the price of a hybrid vehicle (PHEV - diesel). - The need for high expenditures for the development of hydrogen distribution infrastructure network. - Lack of profitability of the hydrogen refuelling stations in the early years of implementation of hydrogen technology. Factors contributing to the development of hydrogen technology in the road transport - The environmental benefits: reducing emissions of greenhouse gases and other pollutants from the cars fleet, as a result of replacing cars with engines running on fuels derived from crude oil, by electric vehicles with fuel cells powered by hydrogen obtained e.g. by water electrolysis, using electricity from renewable energy sources (RES). For example, as a result of the scenario adopted by experts for the hydrogen technology development in transport in Poland, in 2050, one can expect the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions by at least 4314 Gg, methane by about 426 Mg, nitrous oxide 6 Co-financed by the European Union Scientific work financed from the funds for education in the 2015 Trans-European Transport Network allocated for the implementation of the international project (TEN-T) co-financed by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education Circumstances of the national plan for hydrogenization of road transport in Poland The report prepared for the purposes of the project HIT-2-Corridors realized as a part of the international consortium November 2015 by 182 Mg, carbon monoxide 109.7 Gg, nitrogen oxides by 15.2 Gg, non-methane volatile organic compounds by 6.1 Gg, total particulate matter by 33.6 Mg. - Increase of the energy security of the country: With the adopted scenario of the hydrogen technology development in the road transport in Poland, in 2050 the reduction of the energy consumption from imported crude-oil derived fuels, would be approximately 61300 TJ (1400 Gg).The possibility of storing temporary surplus energy produced in the form of hydrogen. Factors contributing to a possible interest in the development of hydrogen technology in the road transport in Poland - The current and planned dynamic development of hydrogen refuelling infrastructure in the Poland’s neighbouring countries (Germany, Baltic Sea region countries). - The legitimacy of the development of hydrogen refuelling infrastructure in Poland to ensure the continuity of movement of hydrogen cars across the EU, firstly along the TEN-T network. Preliminary indications for the hydrogen refuelling stations locations in Poland - The places where it is proposed to (with the adopted criteria) construct hydrogen refuelling