Second Quarter 2004 Grupo Elektra (ELEKTRA) Marcela Martínez Suárez
[email protected] (52-55) 5169-9384 August 5, 2004 SELL ELEKTRA * / EKT Grupo Elektra Prepays 2008 Senior Notes – Strong Price: Mx / ADR Ps 68.25 US$ 22.98 Performance at All Divisions Price Target Ps 71.00 Risk Level High • Elektra is now consolidating the Bank's results. Our comments are based on figures presented by Grupo 52 Week Range: Ps 77.20 to Ps 31.65 Elektra. During 2Q04, sales were up 20.5%, as a result of Shares Outstanding: 236.7 million strong performance at the Bank and the retail division. Market Capitalization: US$ 1.41 billion New personnel hired resulted in an 0.8-pp contraction in Enterprise Value: US$ 2.04 billion operating margin. Operating profit and EBITDA, Avg. Daily Trading Value US$ 1.4 million however, were up 12.5% and 11%, respectively. Retail Ps/share US$/ADR store formats are posting strong results, and the "Nobody 2Q EPS 1.39 0.49 Undersells Elektra" slogan has attracted more consumers. T12 EPS 6.19 2.16 The group's valuation, as measured by the EV/EBITDA T12 EBITDA 15.55 5.42 multiple, is at 6.35x, and should drop to 5.8x by year-end T12 Net Cash Earnings 11.93 4.16 2004. Our price target of Ps 71 represents a 5.54% Book Value 28.86 10.06 nominal yield, including a Ps 1.033 dividend. The above, T12 2004e coupled with the fact that Elektra is a high-risk stock, P/E 11.02x leads us to recommend Elektra as a SELL.