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Analysis of Environmental Effects from the Diavik Diamond Mine on Wildlife in the Lac De Gras Region

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Analysis of Environmental Effects from the Diavik Diamond Mine on Wildlife in the Lac De Gras Region 20 March 2017 REPORT ON Analysis of Environmental Effects from the Diavik Diamond Mine on Wildlife in the Lac de Gras Region Submitted to: Diavik Diamond Mines (2012) Inc. PO Box 2498 300 - 5201 50th Avenue Yellowknife, NT X1A 2P8, Canada Attention: Mr. David Wells Golder Reference Number: 1648005-1582-R-Rev0-19000 Diavik PO Number: D03598 Work Plan Number: WP525 Rev0 REPORT Distribution: 1 Electronic Copy - Diavik Diamond Mines (2012) Inc. 1 Hard Copy - Golder Associates Ltd. ANALYSIS OF ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS FROM THE DIAVIK DIAMOND MINE ON WILDLIFE IN THE LAC DE GRAS REGION Table of Contents 1.0 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Background .............................................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Assumptions and Modelling Approach ...................................................................................................... 2 2.0 CARIBOU .............................................................................................................................................................. 4 2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 4 2.1.1 Caribou Density .................................................................................................................................. 4 2.1.2 Methods .............................................................................................................................................. 5 2.1.3 Results ................................................................................................................................................ 6 2.1.4 Satellite- and GPS-collared Caribou ................................................................................................... 9 2.1.5 Methods .............................................................................................................................................. 9 2.1.6 Results ................................................................................................................................................ 9 2.2 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................ 11 3.0 MINE ACTIVITY INDICES ................................................................................................................................... 12 3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 12 3.2 Methods .................................................................................................................................................. 12 3.3 Results .................................................................................................................................................... 12 3.4 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................ 14 4.0 WOLVERINE ....................................................................................................................................................... 15 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 15 4.2 Methods .................................................................................................................................................. 16 4.3 Results .................................................................................................................................................... 22 4.4 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................ 29 5.0 CLOSURE ............................................................................................................................................................ 30 REFERENCES .............................................................................................................................................................. 31 20 March 2017 Golder Reference No. 1648005-1582-R-Rev0-19000 i ANALYSIS OF ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS FROM THE DIAVIK DIAMOND MINE ON WILDLIFE IN THE LAC DE GRAS REGION TABLES Table 2.1-1: Aerial Caribou Survey Frequencies and Study Areas for the EKATI and Diavik Areas, 1998 to 2009 ........ 5 Table 2.1-2: Number of Satellite- and GPS-Collared Bathurst Caribou Cows that Traveled West or East of Lac de Gras during the Northern and Southern Migration, 1996 to 2016 ................................................................. 10 Table 4.2-1: Survey Periods for Wolverine Snow Tracks, 2003 to 2013 ....................................................................... 19 Table 4.3-1: Summary of Wolverine Track Density Indices and Weather, 2003 to 2013 .............................................. 23 Table 4.3-2: Models for the Probability of Wolverine Track Occurrence from Mixed-Model Logistic Regression Analysis ........................................................................................................................................................ 27 Table 4.3-3: Logistic Regression Coefficients () of Variables in the Top Candidate Model of Wolverine Snow Track Occurrence (Top Candidate Model = Year [continuous] + Transect Length + Snow) .................................. 28 FIGURES Figure 2.1-1: Relationship between the Nearest Distance to the Mine (km) and Density of Caribou per km2 ................. 6 Figure 2.1-2: Mean Caribou Density in the Study Area, 1998 to 2001 ............................................................................ 7 Figure 2.1-3: Mean Caribou Density in the Study Area, 2009 to 2012 ............................................................................ 8 Figure 3.3-1: Correlation between Monthly Number of Full-Time Equivalents (FTEs) and Monthly Number of Flights . 13 Figure 3.3-2: Correlation between Monthly Number of Full-Time Equivalents (FTEs) and Monthly Number of Blasts .. 13 Figure 3.3-3: Correlation between Monthly Number of Full-Time Equivalents (FTEs) and Monthly Number of Blasts .. 14 Figure 4.2-1: Location of Wolverine Snow Track Transects, 2003 to 2006 ................................................................... 17 Figure 4.2-2: Location of Wolverine Snow Track Transects, 2008 to 2016 ................................................................... 18 Figure 4.2-3: The Distribution of Distances Moved by Radio-marked Wolverine in the North Slave Region during a One to Five Day Interval in March to April, 1996 to 1999 ............................................................................. 20 Figure 4.2-4: Third-order Polynomial Fit to Calving-ground Estimates of Bathurst Herd Size, 1986 to 2015 ................ 22 Figure 43-1: Correlation between Interpolated Annual Estimates of Bathurst Caribou Herd Size and Wolverine Track Density Index in the Diavik Regional Study Area ......................................................................................... 24 Figure 4.3-2: Correlation between Interpolated Annual Estimates of Bathurst Caribou Herd Size and Probability of Wolverine Track Occurrence in the Diavik Regional Study Area .................................................................. 24 Figure 4.3-3: Correlation between Number of Workers at Diavik Mine and Wolverine Track Density Index in the Diavik Regional Study Area .................................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 4.3-4: Correlation between Number of Workers at Diavik Mine and Probability of Wolverine Track Occurrence in the Diavik Regional Study Area ................................................................................................................ 25 Figure 4.3-5: Correlation between Tons of Waste Rock and Wolverine Track Density Index in the Diavik Regional Study Area ................................................................................................................................................... 26 Figure 4.3-6: Correlation between Tons of Waste Rock and Probability of Wolverine Track Occurrence in the Diavik Regional Study Area .................................................................................................................................... 26 Figure 4.3-7: Probability Predictions (± 95% CI) of Wolverine Snow Track Occurrence from the Top Ranked Model .. 28 20 March 2017 Golder Reference No. 1648005-1582-R-Rev0-19000 ii ANALYSIS OF ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS FROM THE DIAVIK DIAMOND MINE ON WILDLIFE IN THE LAC DE GRAS REGION APPENDICES APPENDIX A Average Number of Employees per Month at the Diavik Diamond Mine (2000 to 2016) APPENDIX B Average Number of Flights per Month at the Diavik Diamond Mine (2003 to 2016) APPENDIX C Average Number of Blasts per Month at the Diavik Diamond Mine (2007 to 2013, 2015, and 2016) APPENDIX D Total Waste Rock Hauled (×1000 tonnes) per Month at the Diavik Diamond Mine (2003 to 2016) 20 March 2017 Golder Reference No. 1648005-1582-R-Rev0-19000 iii ANALYSIS OF ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS FROM THE DIAVIK DIAMOND MINE ON WILDLIFE
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