Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets RESEARCH ARTICLE Thermal stability of ice on Ceres with rough topography 10.1002/2015JE004887 P.O. Hayne1,2 and O. Aharonson2,3 Key Points: • Water ice is stable over 10,000 square 1Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, USA, 2Division of Geological and kilometers on Ceres’ surface for Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, USA, 3Helen Kimmel Center for Planetary billion-year timescales • Cohesive blocks of ice may have Science, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot, Israel lifetimes of > 10,000 years at low latitudes on Ceres • Seasonal sublimation of ground ice Abstract The dwarf planet Ceres may have an ice-rich crust, and subsurface ice exposed by impacts could explain water vapor observed or endogenic activity would be subject to sublimation. We model surface and subsurface temperatures at Ceres on Ceres to assess lifetimes of water ice and other volatiles. Topographic shadowing allows a small but nonnegligible fraction (∼0.4%) of Ceres’ surface to be perennially below the ∼110 K criterion for 1 Gyr of Correspondence to: stability. These areas are found above 60∘ latitude. Other molecules (CH OH, NH ,SO , and CO )maybe P. O. H a y n e, 3 3 2 2
[email protected] cold trapped in smaller abundances. A model for the transport, gravitational escape, and photoionization of > H2O molecules suggests net accumulation in the cold traps. Buried ice is stable within a meter for 1 Gyr at latitudes higher than ∼50∘. An illuminated polar cap of water ice would be stable within a few degrees Citation: > ∘ Hayne, P.