October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate, in your Congressional district?
46% 47% 45% 43% 47% 43% 42% 42% 42% 41% 41%
16% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11%
1/16/2014 3/20/2014 8/28/2014 4/20/2016 9/1/2016 10/13/2016
Republican Undecided Democratic
Q1 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
70% 69% 66% 66% 64% 65% 63%
30% 28% 26% 26% 27% 21% 21%
11% 10% 8% 9% 8% 7% 6% 3/20/2014 8/28/2014 12/11/2014 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/2016 10/13/2016
Right direction Unsure Wrong track
Q2 April 17-20, 2016/ N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
72% 75% 73% 70% 69% 67% 67% 65%66%66% 64% 63% 63% 62% 62% 61% 60% 59% 59% 59% 64% 57% 57% 55% 56%55% 56% 54% 54% 59% 54% 52% 51%
40% 41% 34% 40% 39% 38% 38% 39% 37% 37% 28% 36% 34% 28% 32% 32% 33% 26% 31% 31% 32% 29% 30% 28% 27% 21%21% 26% 24%
6/1/04 8/1/0 10/1/04 3/1/05 10 2 9/1/ 7/1/09 12/1/09 4 8/1/10 9 10/21/105/12/ 9/ 2/12/125/ 8 9/20/129 11/5/1212 1/16/143/ 8 5/7/15 4/ 9/ / / / 11/ / / 1 1 / 1 1 / 1/ 8/ 21/10 1 1 12/12 2 0/ / 0/ 1 2 2/ 2 1 0 1/ /1 1 /1 7/ 18 6/ 31 4/ 8/ 11 0/ /1 /13 0 0 1 1/1 4 0 6 6 0 1 1 2 12 /1 1 / 1 14 16 6 5 1 2 13 4 /1 /16 1 2 4
Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure Q2 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?
53% 53% 51% 50% 49% 50% 51%
46% 47% 44% 44% 43% 45% 44%
5% 7% 6% 3% 4% 3% 3%
3/20/2014 8/28/2014 12/11/2014 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/2016 10/13/2016
Approve Unsure Disapprove Q3 April 17-20, 2016/ N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?
54% 51% 53% 53% 52%50% 52% 50% 52% 50% 53% 48% 49% 50% 49% 49% 49% 51% 49% 50%51%
49% 48%48%48% 49%48% 47% 44% 46%47% 45% 45% 45% 45% 44% 46% 45% 44% 44% 43% 41%
4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 5% 5% 7% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 6% 4% 3%3%
10/20/10 9/1/11 2/22/12 8/8/12 9/27/12 11/5/12 10/31/13 3/20/14 12/14/14 4/20/2016 10/13/2016
Approve Unsure Disapprove Q3 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
What do think is the most important issue that the next President should be focused on? Would you say it is… 14% 10% Jobs 11% 10% 23% 19% The economy 21% 23% 10% 8% Health care 8% 10% 8% 5% Illegal immigration 7% 5% 5/7/2015 12% 11% 4/20/2016 Foreign threats 9% 13% 9/1/2016 4% 6% Social Security 5% 10/13/2016 4% 3% 3% Taxes 1% 1% 8% 5% The deficit 4% 4% 14% Dysfunction in government* 18% 14%
* Not a category in 5/7/2015 survey Q4 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so.
Hillary Clinton 45% 53% 1%
Tim Kaine 37% 33% 14% 16%
Donald Trump 36% 61% 2%
Mike Pence 44% 31% 10% 15%
Bill Clinton 48% 47% 4%1%
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q5-9 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Hillary Clinton
56% 55% 53% 48% 45% 47% 42% 43%
4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/2016 10/13/2016
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of
Q5 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Tim Kaine
9/1/2016 30% 22% 19% 30%
10/13/2016 37% 33% 14% 16%
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q6 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Donald Trump
4/20/2016 32% 65% 3%
9/1/2016 38% 58% 3%
10/13/2016 36% 61% 2%
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q7 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Mike Pence
9/1/2016 34% 27% 14% 25%
10/13/2016 44% 31% 10% 15%
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q8 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Bill Clinton
4/20/2016 54% 41% 4%1%
9/1/2016 51% 44% 5%
10/13/2016 48% 47% 4%1%
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q9 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. If the general election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote… Donald Trump, the Republican, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Gary Johnson, Libertarian, OR Jill Stein, Green Party?
46% 47% 43% 42% 40%39%
10% 11% 8% 3% 2%5% 4% Trump Clinton Johnson Stein Undecided 4/20/2016 9/1/2016 10/13/2016
Johnson and Stein not asked on 4/20/2016 survey Q10 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
If, for some reason, the candidate that you just mentioned was not available on your ballot, which of the other candidates would be your next choice? Would it be…Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton? (If “Johnson” or “Stein” in Q10, Asked of N=98 Respondents, or 9.8% of Sample)
37% 34%
26% 23% 23% 24%
11% 9% 8% 6%
Trump Clinton Other Would not vote Unsure 9/1/2016 10/13/2016
Q10-1 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Would you say that your support for Donald Trump is more: A vote for Donald Trump, or A vote against Hillary Clinton? (If “Trump” in Q10, Asked of N=394 Respondents, or 39.4% of Sample)
54% 50% 43% 43%
2% 4% 1% 3% For Trump Against Clinton Other Unsure 9/1/2016 10/13/2016
Q10-2 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Would you say that your support for Hillary Clinton is more: A vote for Hillary Clinton, or A vote against Donald Trump? (If “Clinton” in Q10, Asked of N=466 Respondents, or 46.5% of Sample)
65% 60%
37% 29%
2% 2%3% 2% For Clinton Against Trump Other Unsure 9/1/2016 10/13/2016
Q10-3 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
And, no matter how you think you might vote… Which candidate for President – Donald Trump, OR Hillary Clinton, do you think is going to win the election?
62%
27%
11% 1% Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Other Unsure
Q11 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Split Sample A 1% The economy 2% 55% 38% 3%
1% Taxes 52% 42% 4% 2%
Health care 45% 50% 2% 3%
1% 2% Jobs 50% 44% 4%
2% Foreign affairs 52% 44% 1% 2%
Fighting for the middle 5% 44% 49% 2% class Caring about people like 42% 47% 2%7% 2% you
GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure
Q12A-18A October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Split Sample A The economy
1% 1% 4/20/2016 53% 42% 3%
9/1/2016 53% 42% 4%2%
1%2% 10/13/2016 55% 38% 3%
GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure
Q12A October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Split Sample A Taxes
2% 2% 4/20/2016 51% 42% 3%
9/1/2016 49% 45% 4% 2%
10/13/2016 52% 42% 1% 2% 4%
GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure
Q13A October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Split Sample A Health care
1% 2% 4/20/2016 43% 51% 3%
9/1/2016 43% 51% 3% 2%
10/13/2016 45% 50% 2% 3%
GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure
Q14A October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Split Sample A Jobs
2% 2% 4/20/2016 51% 43% 2%
1% 9/1/2016 50% 43% 4% 2%
10/13/2016 50% 44% 1% 2% 4%
GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure
Q15A October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Split Sample A Foreign affairs
2% 3% 4/20/2016 48% 44% 3%
1% 9/1/2016 49% 44% 3% 3%
10/13/2016 52% 44% 1% 2% 2%
GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure
Q16A October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Split Sample A Fighting for the middle class
1% 2% 4/20/2016 37% 55% 5%
9/1/2016 43% 50% 5% 2%
2% 10/13/2016 44% 49% 5%
GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure
Q17A October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Split Sample A Caring about people like you
3% 1% 4/20/2016 43% 47% 5%
9/1/2016 43% 47% 7% 2%
2% 10/13/2016 42% 47% 2%7%
GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure
Q18A October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Split Sample B 1% 2% The economy 46% 49% 3%
Taxes 41% 53% 3%3%
Health care 37% 58% 1% 4%
Jobs 46% 50% 3%1%
4% Foreign affairs 33% 60% 3%
Fighting for the 37% 56% 5% 2% middle class
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q12B-17B October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Split Sample B The economy
1% 4/20/2016 46% 47% 5% 2%
9/1/2016 46% 51% 1%1%
10/13/2016 46% 49% 1% 2% 3%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q12B October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Split Sample B Taxes
1% 4/20/2016 47% 46% 4% 2%
9/1/2016 47% 49% 3%1%
10/13/2016 41% 53% 3% 3%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q13B October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Split Sample B Health care
4% 4/20/2016 40% 53% 4%
9/1/2016 42% 54% 3%2%
10/13/2016 37% 58% 4% 1%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q14B October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Split Sample B Jobs
4/20/2016 47% 46% 5% 2%
9/1/2016 47% 49% 2%3%
10/13/2016 46% 50% 3%1%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q15B October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Split Sample B Foreign affairs
4/20/2016 33% 60% 5% 2%
1% 9/1/2016 40% 55% 2%3%
10/13/2016 33% 60% 4% 3%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q16B October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, thinking about issues facing this country… I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Split Sample B Fighting for the middle class
1% 4/20/2016 34% 56% 7% 2%
9/1/2016 40% 54% 4%1%
10/13/2016 37% 56% 5% 2%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q17B October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Thinking specifically about the personal qualities of the candidates running for President… I am going to read you a list of personal qualities. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue.
3% Strong leader 1% 44% 48% 4% 1% Cares about people like you 35% 51% 12% 1%
Represents your values 35% 49% 1% 15% 1%
1% Is honest and trustworthy 33% 38% 26% 3% 6% Says what they believe 58% 33% 4% 1% Has the temperament 28% 60% 1% 9% 1% needed to serve Is healthy enough to be 44% 40% 9% 4% 3% effective
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q18-24 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Thinking specifically about the personal qualities of the candidates running for President… I am going to read you a list of personal qualities. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Strong leader
3% 9/1/2016 2% 46% 45% 5%
3% 10/13/2016 44% 48% 4%1%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q18 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
Thinking specifically about the personal qualities of the candidates running for President… I am going to read you a list of personal qualities. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Cares about people like you
9/1/2016 2% 38% 48% 12%
1% 10/13/2016 35% 51% 12% 1%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q19 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Thinking specifically about the personal qualities of the candidates running for President… I am going to read you a list of personal qualities. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Represents your values
9/1/2016 3% 39% 47% 11%
1% 10/13/2016 35% 49% 15% 1%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q20 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Thinking specifically about the personal qualities of the candidates running for President… I am going to read you a list of personal qualities. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Is honest and trustworthy
9/1/2016 2% 39% 35% 23%
1% 10/13/2016 33% 38% 26% 3%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q22 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Thinking specifically about the personal qualities of the candidates running for President… I am going to read you a list of personal qualities. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Says what they believe
4% 9/1/2016 1% 59% 30% 6%
4% 10/13/2016 58% 33% 6% 1%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q22 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Thinking specifically about the personal qualities of the candidates running for President… I am going to read you a list of personal qualities. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Has the temperament needed to serve
1% 9/1/2016 2% 31% 57% 10%
1% 10/13/2016 28% 60% 9% 1%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q23 October 8-13, 2016 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Thinking specifically about the personal qualities of the candidates running for President… I am going to read you a list of personal qualities. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality - Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton to deal with this issue. Is healthy enough to be effective
9% 9/1/2016 4% 41% 43% 3%
9% 10/13/2016 44% 40% 4% 3%
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Both Neither Unsure
Q24