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Pobeda Airline: Group’S Low Cost Carrier

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Pobeda Airline: Group’S Low Cost Carrier AEROFLOT GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION May 2017 Disclaimer 232 Chart Colours 235 240 This document has been prepared by PJSC “Aeroflot” (the “Company”). By attending the meeting where the presentation is made, or by reading the 182 presentation slides, you agree to the following. 196 204 This document does not constitute or form part of any advertisement of securities, any offer or invitation to sell or issue or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of the Company in any jurisdiction, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form 135 157 the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. 179 No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this document or on assumptions made as to its completeness. 0 No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by the Company, its subsidiaries or any of their respective advisers, officers, employees or 112 agents, as to the accuracy of the information or opinions or for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its 192 contents. 59 This document may include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include matters that are not historical facts or statements 100 regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial 135 condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies, and the market in which the Company operates. By their nature, forwarding-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you 0 that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that the Company’s actual results of operations, financial condition and 176 80 liquidity and the development of the market in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward- looking statements contained in this document. The Company does not undertake any obligation to review or confirm expectations or estimates or to 22 update any forward-looking statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that arise after the date of this presentation. 44 66 1 40 120 0 Message text 128 0 255 Highlight 0 0 2 Table line colour 178 178 178 12M 2016 Highlights 232 Chart Colours 235 240 Aeroflot Group 182 • Aeroflot Group carried 43.4 mln passengers in 2016 compared to 2015 (up by 4.0 mln or 196 204 +10.3%) • Passenger load factor increased 3.2 p.p. to 81.5% 135 157 • Strong 2016 financials results: 179 - Total revenue of 495.9 bn RUB (up 19.4% y-o-y) 0 - EBITDAR and EBITDA margins of 27.7% and 15.7% 112 192 - Strong operating and free cash flow generation - Net income of 38.8 billion RUB 59 100 - Deleveraging from 3.4x Net Debt/EBITDA as at 31-Dec-2015 to 1.4x as at 31-Dec-2016 due to 135 debt repayment ahead of schedule and positive lease revaluation Macro and Aviation Market 0 176 • Overall Russian aviation market continued to decline by 4.1% y-o-y in 2016, as a result of a 80 challenging economic environment. 22 • Domestic traffic growth of 7.3% y-o-y driven by additional demand stemming from low-cost 44 66 segment and to a lesser extent refocusing from international destinations. • Traffic to international destinations declined by 15.1% y-o-y as a result of continuing pressure 1 on consumer confidence. 40 120 • Foreign and domestic carriers capacity reduction started to reverse in 4Q on the back of stabilizing macro; future capacity expansion is expected to be strongly correlated with demand. 0 Message text 128 0 255 Highlight 0 0 3 Table line colour 178 178 178 232 Chart Colours 235 240 182 196 204 135 157 179 MARKET UPDATE 0 112 192 59 100 135 0 176 80 22 44 66 1 40 120 0 Message text 128 0 255 Highlight 0 0 4 Table line colour 178 178 178 Air Transportation Market in 2014-2016: Adapting to a New Normal 232 Chart Colours 235 240 Total Market Domestic International 182 196 7.8% 18.0% 204 (4.1)% (4.1)% 13.6% 1.8% 7.3% (16.6)% (15.1)% 111.8 135 107.2 102.8 157 PAX 56.4 65.5 179 46.3 52.6 54.7 46.4 evolution 0 112 192 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 59 PAX (mn) growth/(decline) PAX (mn) growth/(decline) PAX (mn) growth/(decline) 100 135 6.3% 12.0% 11.3% 3.8% (6.9)% (6.4)% (11.1)% 0 1.2% (15.4)% 367.1 176 341.8 319.8 80 250.9 ASK 212.4 188.8 129.4 131.0 22 evolution 116.3 44 66 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 1 40 ASK (bn) growth/(decline) ASK (bn) growth/(decline) ASK (bn) growth/(decline) 120 Source: TCH, SRS, Company estimates 0 Note: Incl. foreign carriers’ traffic and capacity (capacity based on SRS numbers). Message text 128 0 • Declining passenger traffic of the industry was accompanied by a larger decrease of capacity amid softness of 255 international market segment and continued growth in domestic segment of the market. Highlight 0 0 5 Table line colour 178 178 178 Competitive Dynamics 232 Chart Colours 235 240 Passenger Traffic: Market vs Aeroflot Group Change in Airlines’ Passenger Numbers Russian Air Transportation Market (million PAX) International Routes mn PAX, 12M 2016 Increase/decrease in PAX million 182 inc. PAX of Russian and Foreign Carriers and int. transit PAX Domestic Routes 196 204 (4.1%) 10.6% +4.0 107.2 102.8 43.4 135 24.1 0.7 157 21.8 +2.5 (0.9) 179 (15.1)% (0.6) +1.0 54.7 46.4 7.4% 11.1 10.4 18.6 13.1 14.2 0 7.0 6.5 7.3% 13.6% 112 52.6 56.4 13.0 192 11.4 Aeroflot S7 Group UTair Group1 Ural Airlines Foreign Others 59 2015 2016 4Q 2015 4Q 2016 Group Carriers Source: TCH, Rosaviatsia, Company estimates 100 Aeroflot Group (million PAX) 1 In 2016 UTair Group included UTair, Utair-Cargo and Turuhan 135 10.3% 13.6% Increasing Market Share1 (PAX) 0 43.4 176 39.4 10.6 12M 2015 12M 2016 9.3 16.7% 18.0% 80 14.1% 18.3 24.2% 16.0 4.7 3.8 36.7% 42.3% 22 14.1% +5.6 p.p. 13.9% 44 7.6% 6.5% 66 23.4 25.2 5.6 6.0 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 10.5% 6.8% 9.9% 1 12.8% 40 2015 2016 4Q 2015 4Q 2016 120 Market Dynamics Net of Aeroflot Group “Clean” Market Share of Aeroflot Group (Net of Intl.-Intl. Transit Traffic) (12.5)% Total Market 8.4% 34.5% Aeroflot Group 40.0% 0 (27.2)% International (2.2)% Message text 128 0 7.0% Domestic 20.4% Foreign Airlines Other Russian Airlines Source: TCH, Company estimates 255 Note: Incl. foreign carriers’ traffic. Highlight 0 0 • Aeroflot Group succeeded to convert market instability and competitors’ weakness into an advantage and continued outperforming Russian market in 2016 growing PAX by 10.3% with acceleration on both domestic and international routes. 6 Table line colour 178 178 178 4Q 2016: First Signs of Market Revival 232 Chart Colours 235 240 Passenger Traffic (Russian and Foreign Carriers) Capacity (Russian and Foreign Carriers) Change in 2016 PAX traffic y-o-y, % Change in 2016 ASK y-o-y, % 182 196 (3.9)% (11.6)% (7.2)% 10.6% 9.3 % 204 12.5 % 13.6 % 7.4 % 4.3 % 135 2.9 % 157 179 (1.5)% (4.5)% 0 (4.8)% 112 192 (16.8)% (10.0)% (10.0)% (19.2)% (12.5)% (13.2)% 59 (25.8)% 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 100 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Foreign Carriers Russian Carriers 135 International Domestic Total market Source: SRS for foreign carriers, Rosaviatsia for domestic carriers, Company calculations Source: TCH, Company calculations ASK is calculated based on published RPK and PLF data 0 176 Capacity (Russian Carriers) Passenger Load Factor (Russian Carriers) 80 Change in 2016 ASK y-o-y, % Change in 2016 PLF y-o-y, percentage points 9.3 % 9.4 % 4.8 22 3.9 3.4 44 2.4 % 66 2.6 2.0 (3.0)% (2.0)% 1 0.4 0.1 40 120 (17.2)% 0 (18.9)% (2.1) Message text 128 (21.7)% 0 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q International Domestic International Domestic Source: Rosaviatsia, Company calculations Source: Rosaviatsia, Company calculations 255 ASK is calculated based on published RPK and PLF data Quarterly PLF is calculated based on published RPK and PLF data Highlight 0 0 • In the 4Q 2016 market started to demonstrate first signs of revival with capacity dynamics returning into positive territory for domestic carriers and higher passenger traffic in both international and domestic segments supporting 7 Table line colour 178 growth in PLF 178 178 AEROFLOT GROUP OVERVIEW Updated Multi-Brand Strategy 232 Chart Colours 235 240 2015 OFFERING: 182 POSITIONING PREMIUM PRODUCT MID-PRICE REGIONAL PRODUCT CHARTER PRODUCT PRODUCT FOR FAR EASTRegional LOW product-COST forPRODUCT Far East 196 204 2016 OFFERING: 135 157 POSITIONING PREMIUM PRODUCT MID-PRICE REGIONAL / CHARTER PRODUCT PRODUCT FOR FAR EAST LOW-COST PRODUCT 179 3.2% 9.9% Contribution to 29.0 66.7% 8.8 1.4 4.3 0 PAX, 12M 2016 20.3% 112 192 +11.0% (2.8)% +22.4% +38.7% 59 9.1 1.4 29.0 4.3 100 PAX growth, y-o-y 26.1 8.8 1.1 3.1 135 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 0 176 Flagship carrier Focus on domestic regional flights The Far East airline flying on Short and mid-haul flights Premium product Interregional flights short- and mid-haul direct Mostly domestic segment, 80 Business model High income and middle Selected international routes, mostly out of VKO airport in international and domestic selected international routes class Moscow routes Point-to-point carriage Hub and spoke model Natural connectivity in VKO and LED Regional flights to remote cities 22 in the Far East 44 Moscow: Sheremetyevo Moscow: Vnukovo Vladivoskok Moscow: Vnukovo 66 Saint-Petersburg: Pulkovo Khabarovsk Focus airport Regions: Orenburg, Rostov-on-Don Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk 1 Business (comfort Business (value and price-sensitive) Business (value and price- Traveler (price-sensitive) 40 Target group Traveler (comfort) Practical (value) sensitive) People not traveling by air 120 Vacationer (comfort) Vacationer (value) Practical (value) Charter CAGR: +5.9% CAGR: +2.7% CAGR: +9.7% 0 Potential Message text 128 market 11.3 7.2 6.2 0 (unique 8.5 6.3 3.9 passengers) 2016 2021 255 2016 2021 2016 2021 Highlight 0 0 • Simplified multi-brand product offering to capture customers in every market segment: from premium to low-cost.
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