2017 National Hurricane Operations Plan, with Change 1
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Hurricane Matthew Disaster Recovery and Resilience Initiative ______
HURRICANE MATTHEW DISASTER RECOVERY AND RESILIENCE INITIATIVE ______________ A project of the North Carolina Policy Collaboratory Gavin Smith, PhD, AICP Project Director _________________ September 11, 2017 Progress Report Hurricane Matthew Disaster Recovery and Resilience Initiative Table of Contents Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 2 A. Background ......................................................................................................................................... 2 B. Objectives ........................................................................................................................................... 2 C. Activities ............................................................................................................................................. 2 D. Organizational Structure .................................................................................................................... 4 Leveraging State and Federal Resources ..................................................................................................... 7 Executive Summaries of Project Reports .................................................................................................... 8 A. Home Place ......................................................................................................................................... 8 B. Affordable Housing .......................................................................................................................... -
Conference Poster Production
65th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference Miami, Florida February 28 - March 3, 2011 Hurricane Earl:September 2, 2010 Ocean and Atmospheric Influences on Tropical Cyclone Predictions: Challenges and Recent Progress S E S S Session 2 I The 2010 Tropical Cyclone Season in Review O N 2 The 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Extremely Active but no U.S. Hurricane Landfalls Eric Blake and John L. Beven II ([email protected]) NOAA/NWS/National Hurricane Center The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season was quite active, with 19 named storms, 12 of which became hurricanes and 5 of which reached major hurricane intensity. These totals are well above the long-term normals of about 11 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. Although the 2010 season was considerably busier than normal, no hurricanes struck the United States. This was the most active season on record in the Atlantic that did not have a U.S. landfalling hurricane, and was also the second year in a row without a hurricane striking the U.S. coastline. A persistent trough along the east coast of the United States steered many of the hurricanes out to sea, while ridging over the central United States kept any hurricanes over the western part of the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico farther south over Central America and Mexico. The most significant U.S. impacts occurred with Tropical Storm Hermine, which brought hurricane-force wind gusts to south Texas along with extremely heavy rain, six fatalities, and about $240 million dollars of damage. Hurricane Earl was responsible for four deaths along the east coast of the United States due to very large swells, although the center of the hurricane stayed offshore. -
Texas Hurricane History
Texas Hurricane History David Roth National Weather Service Camp Springs, MD Table of Contents Preface 3 Climatology of Texas Tropical Cyclones 4 List of Texas Hurricanes 8 Tropical Cyclone Records in Texas 11 Hurricanes of the Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries 12 Hurricanes of the Eighteenth and Early Nineteenth Centuries 13 Hurricanes of the Late Nineteenth Century 16 The First Indianola Hurricane - 1875 21 Last Indianola Hurricane (1886)- The Storm That Doomed Texas’ Major Port 24 The Great Galveston Hurricane (1900) 29 Hurricanes of the Early Twentieth Century 31 Corpus Christi’s Devastating Hurricane (1919) 38 San Antonio’s Great Flood – 1921 39 Hurricanes of the Late Twentieth Century 48 Hurricanes of the Early Twenty-First Century 68 Acknowledgments 74 Bibliography 75 Preface Every year, about one hundred tropical disturbances roam the open Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico. About fifteen of these become tropical depressions, areas of low pressure with closed wind patterns. Of the fifteen, ten become tropical storms, and six become hurricanes. Every five years, one of the hurricanes will become reach category five status, normally in the western Atlantic or western Caribbean. About every fifty years, one of these extremely intense hurricanes will strike the United States, with disastrous consequences. Texas has seen its share of hurricane activity over the many years it has been inhabited. Nearly five hundred years ago, unlucky Spanish explorers learned firsthand what storms along the coast of the Lone Star State were capable of. Despite these setbacks, Spaniards set down roots across Mexico and Texas and started colonies. Galleons filled with gold and other treasures sank to the bottom of the Gulf, off such locations as Padre and Galveston Islands. -
Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane Ivan
Tropical Cyclone Report Hurricane Ivan 2-24 September 2004 Stacy R. Stewart National Hurricane Center 16 December 2004 Updated 27 May 2005 to revise damage estimate Updated 11 August 2011 to revise damage estimate Ivan was a classical, long-lived Cape Verde hurricane that reached Category 5 strength three times on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale (SSHS). It was also the strongest hurricane on record that far south east of the Lesser Antilles. Ivan caused considerable damage and loss of life as it passed through the Caribbean Sea. a. Synoptic History Ivan developed from a large tropical wave that moved off the west coast of Africa on 31 August. Although the wave was accompanied by a surface pressure system and an impressive upper-level outflow pattern, associated convection was limited and not well organized. However, by early on 1 September, convective banding began to develop around the low-level center and Dvorak satellite classifications were initiated later that day. Favorable upper-level outflow and low shear environment was conducive for the formation of vigorous deep convection to develop and persist near the center, and it is estimated that a tropical depression formed around 1800 UTC 2 September. Figure 1 depicts the “best track” of the tropical cyclone’s path. The wind and pressure histories are shown in Figs. 2a and 3a, respectively. Table 1 is a listing of the best track positions and intensities. Despite a relatively low latitude (9.7o N), development continued and it is estimated that the cyclone became Tropical Storm Ivan just 12 h later at 0600 UTC 3 September. -
Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific Ab Sins Nicholas S
Louisiana State University LSU Digital Commons LSU Master's Theses Graduate School March 2019 Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific aB sins Nicholas S. Grondin Louisiana State University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses Part of the Climate Commons, Meteorology Commons, and the Physical and Environmental Geography Commons Recommended Citation Grondin, Nicholas S., "Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific asinB s" (2019). LSU Master's Theses. 4864. https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses/4864 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at LSU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in LSU Master's Theses by an authorized graduate school editor of LSU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. CLIMATOLOGY, VARIABILITY, AND RETURN PERIODS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE STRIKES IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC BASINS A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Louisiana State University and Agricultural and Mechanical College in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in The Department of Geography and Anthropology by Nicholas S. Grondin B.S. Meteorology, University of South Alabama, 2016 May 2019 Dedication This thesis is dedicated to my family, especially mom, Mim and Pop, for their love and encouragement every step of the way. This thesis is dedicated to my friends and fraternity brothers, especially Dillon, Sarah, Clay, and Courtney, for their friendship and support. This thesis is dedicated to all of my teachers and college professors, especially Mrs. -
10R.3 the Tornado Outbreak Across the North Florida Panhandle in Association with Hurricane Ivan
10R.3 The Tornado Outbreak across the North Florida Panhandle in association with Hurricane Ivan Andrew I. Watson* Michael A. Jamski T.J. Turnage NOAA/National Weather Service Tallahassee, Florida Joshua R.Bowen Meteorology Department Florida State University Tallahassee, Florida Jason C. Kelley WJHG-TV Panama City, Florida 1. INTRODUCTION their mobile homes were destroyed near Blountstown, Florida. Hurricane Ivan made landfall early on the morning of 16 September 2004, just west of Overall, there were 24 tornadoes reported Gulf Shores, Alabama as a category 3 across the National Weather Service (NWS) hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Tallahassee forecast area. The office issued Scale. Approximately 117 tornadoes were 130 tornado warnings from the afternoon of 15 reported associated with Ivan across the September until just after daybreak on 16 southeast United States. Eight people were September. killed and 17 were injured by tornadoes (Storm Data 2004; Stewart 2004). The most The paper examines the convective cells significant tornadoes occurred as hurricane within the rain bands of hurricane Ivan, which Ivan approached the Florida Gulf coast on the produced these tornadoes across the Florida afternoon and evening of 15 September. Panhandle, Big Bend, and southwest Georgia. The structure of the tornadic and non-tornadic The intense outer rain bands of Ivan supercells is examined for clues on how to produced numerous supercells over portions better warn for these types of storms. This of the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, southwest study will focus on the short-term predictability Georgia, and Gulf coastal waters. In turn, of these dangerous storms, and will these supercells spawned dozens of investigate the problem of how to reduce the tornadoes. -
Extension of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Eastern and Central North Pacific
NPS ARCHIVE 1997.12 BOOTHE, M. NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS EXTENSION OF THE SYTEMATIC APPROACH TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTING IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC by Mark A. Boothe December, 1997 Thesis Co-Advisors: Russell L.Elsberry Lester E. Carr III Thesis B71245 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. DUDLEY KNOX LIBRARY NAVAl OSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA 93943-5101 REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching casting data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, I'aperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1 . AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED December 1997. Master's Thesis TITLE AND SUBTITLE EXTENSION OF THE SYSTEMATIC 5. FUNDING NUMBERS APPROACH TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTING IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 6. AUTHOR(S) Mark A. Boothe 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDR£SS(ES) PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION Monterey CA 93943-5000 REPORT NUMBER 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESSEES) 10. SPONSORING/MONTTORIN G AGENCY REPORT NUMBER 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. -
Hurricane & Tropical Storm
5.8 HURRICANE & TROPICAL STORM SECTION 5.8 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 5.8.1 HAZARD DESCRIPTION A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (NOAA, 2013). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. The average wind speeds for tropical storms and hurricanes are listed below: . A tropical depression has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less . A tropical storm has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph . A hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 74 mph or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. A major hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 111 mph or higher (NOAA, 2013). Over a two-year period, the United States coastline is struck by an average of three hurricanes, one of which is classified as a major hurricane. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions may pose a threat to life and property. These storms bring heavy rain, storm surge and flooding (NOAA, 2013). The cooler waters off the coast of New Jersey can serve to diminish the energy of storms that have traveled up the eastern seaboard. -
Historic Rainfall and Record-Breaking Flooding from Hurricane Florence in the Pee Dee Watershed
Journal of South Carolina Water Resources, Volume 6, Issue 1, Pages 28–35, 2019 Historic Rainfall and Record-Breaking Flooding from Hurricane Florence in the Pee Dee Watershed MELISSA GRIFFIN1, MARK MALSICK1, HOPE MIZZELL1, AND LEAH MOORE1 AUTHORS: 1SC State Climatology Office, SC Department of Natural Resources, 1000 Assembly Street Columbia, SC 29201 . KEYWORDS: Florence, flooding, average return intervals, rainfall, ARI . With the advancements of software packages and data visualization, much of the analysis and information on the impact and historical perspective of the rainfall from Tropical Storm Florence included in our online ERSI Story Map is not viable to translate into the print format standards required by many publications. However, with the newly enacted Journal of South Carolina Resources policy, our article creates a precedent in how the Journal will address submittals that include subject matter available on the internet, by permanently archiving the information, and applying a structured peer-review process to the content. Abstract. For the third time in four years, record-breaking flooding occurred in South Carolina. Hurricane Florence, which made landfall near Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina, on September 14, 2018, moved slowly across South Carolina from September 14–17, 2018. Over those four days, heavy rain fell over portions of the Pee Dee Watershed and eastern North Carolina, with over 30 inches of rain measured by an observer in Swansboro, North Carolina. Most of the excessive rainfall was confined to the Pee Dee region, with reported totals of over 24 inches in Horry County, while closer to the Savannah River Valley observers measured less than an inch of rain. -
Supplement of Storm Xaver Over Europe in December 2013: Overview of Energy Impacts and North Sea Events
Supplement of Adv. Geosci., 54, 137–147, 2020 https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-54-137-2020-supplement © Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Supplement of Storm Xaver over Europe in December 2013: Overview of energy impacts and North Sea events Anthony James Kettle Correspondence to: Anthony James Kettle ([email protected]) The copyright of individual parts of the supplement might differ from the CC BY 4.0 License. SECTION I. Supplement figures Figure S1. Wind speed (10 minute average, adjusted to 10 m height) and wind direction on 5 Dec. 2013 at 18:00 GMT for selected station records in the National Climate Data Center (NCDC) database. Figure S2. Maximum significant wave height for the 5–6 Dec. 2013. The data has been compiled from CEFAS-Wavenet (wavenet.cefas.co.uk) for the UK sector, from time series diagrams from the website of the Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrolographie (BSH) for German sites, from time series data from Denmark's Kystdirektoratet website (https://kyst.dk/soeterritoriet/maalinger-og-data/), from RWS (2014) for three Netherlands stations, and from time series diagrams from the MIROS monthly data reports for the Norwegian platforms of Draugen, Ekofisk, Gullfaks, Heidrun, Norne, Ormen Lange, Sleipner, and Troll. Figure S3. Thematic map of energy impacts by Storm Xaver on 5–6 Dec. 2013. The platform identifiers are: BU Buchan Alpha, EK Ekofisk, VA? Valhall, The wind turbine accident letter identifiers are: B blade damage, L lightning strike, T tower collapse, X? 'exploded'. The numbers are the number of customers (households and businesses) without power at some point during the storm. -
The Extremely Active 1995 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Environmental Conditions and Veri®Cation of Seasonal Forecasts
1174 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 126 The Extremely Active 1995 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Environmental Conditions and Veri®cation of Seasonal Forecasts CHRISTOPHER W. L ANDSEA NOAA Climate and Global Change Fellowship, NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida GERALD D. BELL NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Climate Prediction Center, Washington, D.C. WILLIAM M. GRAY Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado STANLEY B. GOLDENBERG NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 3 September 1996, in ®nal form 18 March 1997) ABSTRACT The 1995 Atlantic hurricane season was a year of near-record hurricane activity with a total of 19 named storms (average is 9.3 for the base period 1950±90) and 11 hurricanes (average is 5.8), which persisted for a total of 121 named storm days (average is 46.6) and 60 hurricane days (average is 23.9), respectively. There were ®ve intense (or major) Saf®r±Simpson category 3, 4, or 5 hurricanes (average is 2.3 intense hurricanes) with 11.75 intense hurricane days (average is 4.7). The net tropical cyclone activity, based upon the combined values of named storms, hurricanes, intense hurricanes, and their days present, was 229% of the average. Additionally, 1995 saw the return of hurricane activity to the deep tropical latitudes: seven hurricanes developed south of 258N (excluding all of the Gulf of Mexico) compared with just one during all of 1991±94. Interestingly, all seven storms that formed south of 208N in August and September recurved to the northeast without making landfall in the United States. -
The European Forecaster September 2018 (Full Version Pdf)
The European Forecaster Newsletter of the WGCEF N° 23 September 2018 C ontents 3 Introduction Minutes of the 23rd Annual Meeting of the Working Group on Co-operation 4 Between European Forecasters (WGCEF) Sting Jets and other processes leading to high wind gusts: 10 wind-storms “Zeus” and “Joachim” compared 16 Forecasting Freezing Rain in the UK – March 1st and 2nd 2018 24 The Extreme Wildfire, 17-19 July 2017 in Split 30 Changing the Way we Warn for Weather Storm naming: the First Season of Naming by the South-west Group: 33 Spain-Portugal-France 38 Can we forecast the sudden dust storms impacting Israel's southernmost city? 45 The 31st Nordic Meteorological Meeting 46 Representatives of the WGCEF Cover: Ana was the first storm named by the Southwest Group (Spain, Portugal, France) during winter 2017-2018. It affected three countries with great impacts. Printed by Meteo France Editors Stephanie Jameson and Will Lang, Met Office Layout Kirsi Hindstrom- Basic Weather Services Published by Météo-France Crédit Météo-France COM/CGN/PPN - Trappes I ntroduction Dear Readers and Colleagues, It’s a great pleasure to introduce the 23rd edition of our newsletter ‘The European Forecaster’. The publica- tion is only possible due to the great work and generosity of Meteo-France, thus we want to express our warmest gratitude to Mr. Bernard Roulet and his colleagues. We kindly thank all the authors for submitting articles, particularly as they all work in operational forecasting roles and thus have only limited time for writing an article. Many thanks go to Mrs.