IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements and Spontaneous Returns in North-West Syria, January 2019
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IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements and Spontaneous Returns in north-west Syria, January 2019 Summary of Findings About ISMI & This Factsheet Communities assessed: 582 In January, assessed communities in north-west Syria witnessed a total of The IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) is an initiative of the Camp Coordination and Camp Management (CCCM) Cluster, implemented by REACH 1 2 42,863 IDP arrivals, more than two thirds (71%) of whom arrived to the Total IDP arrivals: 42,863 (43%) northern Aleppo region and 29% of whom arrived to Idleb and surrounding and supported by cluster members. Total IDP departures:3 35,298 (117%) areas. As seen in December, hostilities between Government of Syria- Following a baseline assessment conducted at the end of 2016, weekly, bi- allied forces and armed opposition groups (AOGs), as well as inter- weekly and now monthly data collection cycles were initiated. This factsheet Total spontaneous returns (SRs):4 7,632 (2%) AOG violence continued to be driving forces behind displacements in the presents an overview of reported inward and outward movements of IDPs from north-west5, including an increase in aerial bombardments on Ma’arrat 1 to 31 January 2019. Such displacements were reported in 582 communities Total IDP arrivals, IDP departures and Spontaneous Returns by region: An Nu’man6 and Daret Azza7 sub-districts. in sub-districts monitored by ISMI. The coverage map in this section shows the sub-districts that were monitored for the most recent round of data collection, 24,906 30,460 Idleb and surrounding areas witnessed 24,906 IDP departures, more as well as the communities reporting movements. ISMI monitoring coverage than half (52%) of which were primary departures. Many IDPs reportedly varies over time depending on access. Displacements are identified through intended to move to Sarmada (1,494), Atma (1,569) and Qah (1,084) an extensive key informant (KI) network, either from alerts initiated by KIs or from follow-up by enumerators. At least two KIs are interviewed in each communities in Dana sub-district, likely due to their perceived stability within assessed community, and collected information is further triangulated through 12,403 the region. other sources, including CCCM member data and humanitarian updates. This 10,392 In parallel, the northern Aleppo region witnessed 3,686 SRs. Overall, approach allows for regular updates on IDP movements at the community level across sub-districts monitored by ISMI in north-west Syria. 3,946 almost all (90%) of SRs reportedly returned to solid or finished houses. More 3,686 than a third of these returned to Ma’btali (998) and Raju (502) sub-districts. The data used for this product was collected, triangulated and verified based 3 IDP departure figures reflect aggregated departures of both IDP and resident/pre-conflict populations. on submissions from ISMI’s network and select CCCM cluster members Idleb and surrounding areas Northern Aleppo region 4 Regular monitoring of spontaneous returns under ISMI monthly assessments was re-introduced from following the ISMI methodology. Due to differences in methodology and December 2018. 50+ IDP arrivals100 16 + IDP departures Spontaneous returns 5 UN News, ‘UN rights chief ‘alarmed’ by upsurge in attacks against civilians in Syria’s Idlib’, 19 February coverage, figures presented in this output may differ from official CCCM ■ ■ 100+■ 3412+ 2019. Cluster or UNHCR data. All data is for humanitarian use only. 6 1 The Washington Times, ‘Government shelling kills 10 in rebel holdout in Syria’, 29 January 2019. Some figures reported may be repeated displacements. 7 2 CCCM/REACH, ISMI Monthly Displacement Summary, December 2018 Al Jazeera, ‘HTS offensive could draw in Syria and Turkey’, 9 January 2019. Coverage, January 2019 !!! ! !! !!!!!!!!!! !!!!! !!!!!!!!! !!!!! ! ! !!! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !! ! !!! !!!!! ! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !! !!!!!!!!!!!!! !! !!!!!! !!!!!! !! ! !! !! !!!! ! ! !! !!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!! ! ! !!! !! !!! ! !!! !!!!!!! !! !!! !!!! ! !! !!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!! ! ! !!! ! !!! !!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!! ! !!!! ! ! !!! !!!!! ! !!!! ! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !! !!!! IDP arrivals to sub-districts monitored by ISMI, January 2019 ! !!!!!!!!! ! !!! ! Percentage of total IDP Administrative !! !!!!!!! ! !! !! Al-Hasakeh !!!!!!!! ! !! ! !!!!!! !!!!!! !! ! ! !!!! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! !! arrivals by sub-district boundaries !! !! ! ! !!! !! ! ! !! !!! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! Aleppo !!! ! ! Ü ! !! ! Bulbul ! (1/1/19 - 31/1/19) !! !! !! !! Jarablus ! ! ! ! !! !! !! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! Ar-Raqqa Raju ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !!! ! !! ! (2,968) Ghandorah !!! ! !! !! !!!! ! !! (3,102) ! !!!!! ! !!! ! ! Sharan 0.1% - 0.5% !!!!! ! !! ! !! !! ! (3,143) Governorate ! ! Idle! b! ! Suran - ! ! ! ! (2,089) ! !!!!! ! !!! !! ! ! !! ! ! (3,016) ! ! ! ! Aleppo 0.6% - 1.5% Lattakia !! ! ! Azaz Ar-Raee !! ! 1,071 ! ! Deir-ez-Zor Sheikh Mabtali !! (57) ! TTUURRKKEEYY (2,651) (232) (289) IDPs 1.6% - 5.0% El-Hadid Aghtrin Sub-district Hama (1,118) Menbij 5.1% - 11.3% Afrin Mare (165) Tartous Al Bab Jandairis (4,156) (57) Major displacements (4,840) (2,577) Most common sub-districts Qourqeena of departure ( >1,500 IDP ( >1,000 IDPs ) Homs Harim 1,340 (143) IDPs arrivals from sub-district) (109) Dana Salqin Daret Azza Outward External (2,686) (143) (268) displacement Darkosh Maaret Inward & outward Damascus Rural Damascus Tamsrin Janudiyeh (320) Armanaz displacement Internal (673) (92) (241) Quneitra Badama Idleb Sarmin Dar'a Zarbah ALEPPO As-Sweida (1,302) (348) (46) IDLEB (98) Jisr-Ash-Shugur Ariha Saraqab 1,261 (160) Mhambal (234) ! IDPs (262) Sub-districts monitored by ISMI Sub-districts not monitored Assessed communities (269) Ehsem 1,933 Maarrat AR-RAQQA Ziyara (382) IDPs An Numan (86) (3,222) Sanjar Kafr Nobol Heish LATTAKIA (52) (177) (656) Madiq CCCM CLUSTER Castle Khan Shaykun (154) (280) Feedback: CCCM Cluster Northern Syria Email: [email protected] HAMA Km 0 25 50 100 Info: www.globalcccmcluster.org, www.humanitarianresponse.info 1 IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements and Spontaneous Returns in north-west Syria, January 2019 IDLEB & SURROUNDING AREAS8 IDP arrivals to assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding areas9 Total IDP arrivals displacements, many of whom left their communities ( 1/1/19 - 31/1/19 ) Key Figures !( 6 - 100 !( 201 - 500 of origin in neighbouring Kafr Zeita (2,362) and !( Atma !( Deir Hassan !( 101 - 200 !( 501 - 1,545 Heish (1,710) sub-districts. Communities assessed: 191 ² Qah - Darhashan Major IDP arrivals (>420 IDPs) !( !(" !( Top intended destination sub-districts (# IDPs): !( !( 100+72+51+32+29 !( !( Sarmada !( !( Total IDP arrivals: 12,403 (36%) !( !(!( !( * Major departure communities Dana 5,463 !( !( !( !( !( !(!( !( !( Afrin 1,802 Sub-districts with100+83+40+21+20 most arrivals (# IDPs): !( Ma’arrat An Nu’man 743 !( Ma’arrat An Nu’man 3,222 !(IDLEB !( Badama 702 Dana 2,686 !( !( !( !( Hesih 555 !( !( !( Badama 1,302 !(!( !( ALEPPO Kherbet Eljoz !( !( !( Maaret Tamsrin 673 !( !( !( !( Many IDPs reportedly intended to move to Sarmada !(" !( !( !( Heish 656 !( (1,494), Atma (1,569) and Qah (1,084) communities " !( !( !( !( !( Baksariya* !( in Dana sub-district, likely due to their perceived !( !( !( !( !( !( !( Total IDP departures: 24,906 (156%) !( !( !( !( stability within the region. !( !( !( !( !( !( !( Sub-districts with100+96+78+34+29 most departures (# IDPs): !( !( !( !( !( !( Maar Shurin !( !( !( !( !( Ghadqa Spontaneous Returns Haritan 5,063 !( " !( LATTAKIA !(" !( Heish 4,845 !( Ma'arrat !(" Between 1 and 31 January, 3,946 SRs were reported Kafr Zeita 3,957 !( An!( Nu'man " !( in assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding !( Jarjnaz* Suran 1,744 areas, over half of whom returned to Ma’arrat An !( !( " Kafr Nobol 1,444 !( !( Nu’man (2,326) sub-district. Almost all (87%) SRs !( Tah* !( to Ma’arrat An Nu’man sub-district returned to their !(" Total SRs: 3,946 (8%) !( !( Khan Shaykun* former homes. Many of these SRs were likely short- Kms HAMA term displacements following insecurity and aerial Sub-districts with most spontaneous returns: 0 25 50 100+22+16+7+6 bombardments in the sub-district. Ma’arrat An Nu’man 2,326 Most common push factors of IDP arrivals:10 Jisr-Ash-Shugur 519 Top 3 shelter types of SRs: IDP Arrivals 1st 2nd 3rd Kafr Nobol 382 (1) Solid/finished house 1,698 SRs More than half (58%) of the 12,403 total IDP Escalation of aerial bombardment 29 16 5 Madiq Castle 171 arrivals reported in the region in January were to Loss of income 14 19 13 (2) Solid/finished apartment 1,042 SRs Tamanaah 143 assessed locations in Ma’arrat An Nu’man (3,222), Escalation of ground-based conflict 34 6 0 (3) Unfinished/damaged building 777 SRs Dana (2,686) and Badama (1,302) sub-districts. Reduced access to humanitarian assistance 13 13 13 The majority (86%) of IDP arrivals reported other Anticipation of future conflict escalation 3 17 16 KIs reported a desire to return home, improved Overview safety and security, as well as increased access Following a sharp increase in IDP departures in communities within the region to be their last place of departure. Escalation of aerial bombardment, loss of income to shelter as the main pull factors for SRs to return January, several areas of opposition-held Idleb, to their community of origin. western Aleppo and northern Hama governorates Last sub-district of departure of arrivals (# IDPs): and escalation of ground-based conflict were 100+42+39+33+24