IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements and Spontaneous Returns in north-west Syria, January 2019
Summary of Findings About ISMI & This Factsheet Communities assessed: 582 In January, assessed communities in north-west Syria witnessed a total of The IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) is an initiative of the Camp Coordination and Camp Management (CCCM) Cluster, implemented by REACH 1 2 42,863 IDP arrivals, more than two thirds (71%) of whom arrived to the Total IDP arrivals: 42,863 (43%) northern Aleppo region and 29% of whom arrived to Idleb and surrounding and supported by cluster members. Total IDP departures:3 35,298 (117%) areas. As seen in December, hostilities between Government of Syria- Following a baseline assessment conducted at the end of 2016, weekly, bi- allied forces and armed opposition groups (AOGs), as well as inter- weekly and now monthly data collection cycles were initiated. This factsheet Total spontaneous returns (SRs):4 7,632 (2%) AOG violence continued to be driving forces behind displacements in the presents an overview of reported inward and outward movements of IDPs from north-west5, including an increase in aerial bombardments on Ma’arrat 1 to 31 January 2019. Such displacements were reported in 582 communities Total IDP arrivals, IDP departures and Spontaneous Returns by region: An Nu’man6 and Daret Azza7 sub-districts. in sub-districts monitored by ISMI. The coverage map in this section shows the sub-districts that were monitored for the most recent round of data collection, 24,906 30,460 Idleb and surrounding areas witnessed 24,906 IDP departures, more as well as the communities reporting movements. ISMI monitoring coverage than half (52%) of which were primary departures. Many IDPs reportedly varies over time depending on access. Displacements are identified through intended to move to Sarmada (1,494), Atma (1,569) and Qah (1,084) an extensive key informant (KI) network, either from alerts initiated by KIs or from follow-up by enumerators. At least two KIs are interviewed in each communities in Dana sub-district, likely due to their perceived stability within assessed community, and collected information is further triangulated through 12,403 the region. other sources, including CCCM member data and humanitarian updates. This 10,392 In parallel, the northern Aleppo region witnessed 3,686 SRs. Overall, approach allows for regular updates on IDP movements at the community level across sub-districts monitored by ISMI in north-west Syria. 3,946 almost all (90%) of SRs reportedly returned to solid or finished houses. More 3,686 than a third of these returned to Ma’btali (998) and Raju (502) sub-districts. The data used for this product was collected, triangulated and verified based 3 IDP departure figures reflect aggregated departures of both IDP and resident/pre-conflict populations. on submissions from ISMI’s network and select CCCM cluster members Idleb and surrounding areas Northern Aleppo region 4 Regular monitoring of spontaneous returns under ISMI monthly assessments was re-introduced from following the ISMI methodology. Due to differences in methodology and December 2018. 50+ IDP arrivals100 16 + IDP departures Spontaneous returns 5 UN News, ‘UN rights chief ‘alarmed’ by upsurge in attacks against civilians in Syria’s Idlib’, 19 February coverage, figures presented in this output may differ from official CCCM ■ ■ 100+■ 3412+ 2019. Cluster or UNHCR data. All data is for humanitarian use only. 6 1 The Washington Times, ‘Government shelling kills 10 in rebel holdout in Syria’, 29 January 2019. Some figures reported may be repeated displacements. 7 2 CCCM/REACH, ISMI Monthly Displacement Summary, December 2018 Al Jazeera, ‘HTS offensive could draw in Syria and Turkey’, 9 January 2019. Coverage, January 2019
!!! ! !! !!!!!!!!!! !!!!! !!!!!!!!! !!!!! ! ! !!! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !! ! !!! !!!!! ! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !! !!!!!!!!!!!!! !! !!!!!! !!!!!! !! ! !! !! !!!! ! ! !! !!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!! ! ! !!! !! !!! ! !!! !!!!!!! !! !!! !!!! ! !! !!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!! ! ! !!! ! !!! !!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!! ! !!!! ! ! !!! !!!!! ! !!!! ! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !! !!!! IDP arrivals to sub-districts monitored by ISMI, January 2019 ! !!!!!!!!! ! !!! ! Percentage of total IDP Administrative !! !!!!!!! ! !! !! Al-Hasa eh !!!!!!!! ! !! ! !!!!!! !!!!!! !! ! ! !!!! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! !! arrivals by sub-district boundaries !! !! ! ! !!! !! ! ! !! !!! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! Aleppo !!! ! ! Ü ! !! ! Bulbul ! (1 1 19 - 31 1 19) !! !! !! !! Jarablus ! ! ! ! !! !! !! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! Ar-Ra a Raju ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !!! ! !! ! (2,968) Ghandorah !!! ! !! !! !!!! ! !! (3,102) ! !!!!! ! !!! ! ! Sharan 0.1% - 0.5% !!!!! ! !! ! !! !! ! (3,143) Governorate ! ! Idle! b! ! Suran - ! ! ! ! (2,089) ! !!!!! ! !!! !! ! ! !! ! ! (3,016) ! ! ! ! Aleppo 0.6% - 1.5% Latta ia !! ! ! Azaz Ar-Raee !! ! 1,071 ! ! Deir-ez-Zor Sheikh Mabtali !! (57) ! TTUURRKKEE (2,651) (232) (289) IDPs 1.6% - 5.0% El-Hadid Aghtrin Sub-district Hama (1,118) Menbij 5.1% - 11.3% Afrin Mare (165) Tartous Al Bab Jandairis (4,156) (57) Major displacements (4,840) (2,577) Most common sub-districts ourqeena of departure ( 1,500 IDP ( 1,000 IDPs ) Homs Harim 1,340 (143) IDPs arrivals from sub-district) (109) Dana Salqin Daret Azza Outward External (2,686) (143) (268) displacement Darkosh Maaret Inward & outward Damascus Rural Damascus Tamsrin Janudiyeh (320) Armanaz displacement Internal (673) (92) (241) Quneitra Badama Idleb Sarmin Dar a Zarbah ALEPPO As-Sweida (1,302) (348) (46) IDLEB (98) Jisr-Ash-Shugur Ariha Saraqab 1,261 (160) Mhambal (234) ! IDPs (262) Sub-districts monitored by ISMI Sub-districts not monitored Assessed communities (269) Ehsem 1,933 Maarrat AR-RAQQA Ziyara (382) IDPs An Numan (86) (3,222) Sanjar Kafr Nobol Heish LATTAKIA (52) (177) (656) Madiq CCCM CLUSTER Castle Khan Shaykun (154) (280) Feedback: CCCM Cluster Northern Syria Email: [email protected] HAMA Km 0 25 50 100 Info: www.globalcccmcluster.org, www.humanitarianresponse.info 1 IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements and Spontaneous Returns in north-west Syria, January 2019
IDLEB & SURROUNDING AREAS8
IDP arrivals to assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding areas9 Total IDP arrivals displacements, many of whom left their communities ( 1 1 19 - 31 1 19 ) Key Figures !( 6 - 100 !( 201 - 500 of origin in neighbouring Kafr Zeita (2,362) and !( Atma !( Deir Hassan !( 101 - 200 !( 501 - 1,545 Heish (1,710) sub-districts. Communities assessed: 191 ² Qah - Darhashan Major IDP arrivals ( 420 IDPs) !( !(" !( Top intended destination sub-districts (# IDPs): !( !( 100+72+51+32+29 !( !( Sarmada !( !( Total IDP arrivals: 12,403 (36%) !( !(!( !( Major departure communities Dana 5,463 !( !( !( !( !( !(!( !( !( Afrin 1,802
Sub-districts with100+83+40+21+20 most arrivals (# IDPs): !( Ma’arrat An Nu’man 743 !( Ma’arrat An Nu’man 3,222 !(IDLEB !( Badama 702 Dana 2,686 !( !( !( !( Hesih 555 !( !( !( Badama 1,302 !(!( !( ALEPPO Kherbet Eljoz !( !( !( Maaret Tamsrin 673 !( !( !( !( Many IDPs reportedly intended to move to Sarmada !(" !( !( !( Heish 656 !( (1,494), Atma (1,569) and Qah (1,084) communities " !( !( !( !( !( Ba sariya !( in Dana sub-district, likely due to their perceived !( !( !( !( !( !( !( Total IDP departures: 24,906 (156%) !( !( !( !( stability within the region. !( !( !( !( !( !( !(
Sub-districts with100+96+78+34+29 most departures (# IDPs): !( !( !( !( !( !( Maar Shurin !( !( !( !( !( Ghad a Spontaneous Returns Haritan 5,063 !( " !( LATTAKIA !(" !( Heish 4,845 !( Ma arrat !(" Between 1 and 31 January, 3,946 SRs were reported Kafr Zeita 3,957 !( An!( Nu man " !( in assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding !( Jarjnaz Suran 1,744 areas, over half of whom returned to Ma’arrat An !( !( " Kafr Nobol 1,444 !( !( Nu’man (2,326) sub-district. Almost all (87%) SRs !( Tah !( to Ma’arrat An Nu’man sub-district returned to their !(" Total SRs: 3,946 (8%) !( !( Khan Shay un former homes. Many of these SRs were likely short- Kms HAMA term displacements following insecurity and aerial Sub-districts with most spontaneous returns: 0 25 50 100+22+16+7+6 bombardments in the sub-district. Ma’arrat An Nu’man 2,326 Most common push factors of IDP arrivals:10 Jisr-Ash-Shugur 519 Top 3 shelter types of SRs: IDP Arrivals 1st 2nd 3rd Kafr Nobol 382 (1) Solid/finished house 1,698 SRs More than half (58%) of the 12,403 total IDP Escalation of aerial bombardment 29 16 5 Madiq Castle 171 arrivals reported in the region in January were to Loss of income 14 19 13 (2) Solid/finished apartment 1,042 SRs Tamanaah 143 assessed locations in Ma’arrat An Nu’man (3,222), Escalation of ground-based conflict 34 6 0 (3) Unfinished/damaged building 777 SRs Dana (2,686) and Badama (1,302) sub-districts. Reduced access to humanitarian assistance 13 13 13 The majority (86%) of IDP arrivals reported other Anticipation of future conflict escalation 3 17 16 KIs reported a desire to return home, improved Overview safety and security, as well as increased access Following a sharp increase in IDP departures in communities within the region to be their last place of departure. Escalation of aerial bombardment, loss of income to shelter as the main pull factors for SRs to return January, several areas of opposition-held Idleb, to their community of origin. western Aleppo and northern Hama governorates Last sub-district of departure of arrivals (# IDPs): and escalation of ground-based conflict were 100+42+39+33+24 commonly reported by Key Informants (KIs) as push Most common pull factors of SRs:10 continued to witness large displacement waves, Ma’arrat An Nu’man 3,633 with a total of 12,403 IDP arrivals and 24,906 IDP factors for IDP arrivals. Meanwhile, KIs reported 1st 2nd 3rd Badama 1,536 safety and security, access to humanitarian departures reported. More than half (52%) of the Heish 1,417 Desire to return home/sense of belonging 4 1 12 total IDP departures were primary displacements, Kafr Zeita 1,212 assistance, as well as family ties or relationships Improved safety and security situation 11 3 3 many of whom were residents leaving their homes Afrin 855 with the host community as the most common pull Increased access to shelter 2 9 0 in Kafr Zeita (2,362) and Heish (1,710) sub-districts. factors for IDPs. Family reunifcation 4 3 0 Many (60%) IDPs arriving to Ma’arrat An Nu’man Access to income/employment opportunities 8 1 2 Idleb and surrounding areas witnessed an increase were internal sub-district movements, likely due to IDP Departures 8 Idleb governorate’s surrounding areas include communities in Atareb, Daret Azza, Haritan, Jebel Saman and Zarbah sub-districts in western Aleppo gov- in inter-AOG fighting, as well as hostility between aerial bombardments in the area towards the end of In parallel, 24,906 total IDP departures were ernorate, as well as in Kafr Zeita, Madiq Castle, Suran and Ziyara sub-districts AOGs and GoS-allied forces throughout the month, the month. On a community level, many IDPs arrived in northern Hama. These sub-districts have been added to the larger Idleb and reported from assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding areas region as populations in these sub-districts demonstrate including aerial bombardments on Ma’arrat An from Jarjnaz (1,933), many of whom arrived to Maar surrounding areas between 1 and 31 January similar movement patterns and are served by the same cross-border responses. 6 9 Community markers also account for camps, informal settlements and other Nu’man sub-district and its surrounding communities. Shurin (724) and Ma’arrat An Nu’man (644). following an intensification in clashes within the IDP sites when they are in close proximity to a community. region. More than half (52%) of these were primary 10 Number of accessible communities in which the most common push and/or pull factors for IDP arrivals/departures or SRs were reported by KIs. 2 IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements and Spontaneous Returns in north-west Syria, January 2019
NORTHERN ALEPPO11 IDP arrivals to assessed communities in the northern Aleppo region9 IDP Departures Key Figures Jarablus !( !(!( !(" ² !( !( !( !( Almost half (47%) of 10,392 total IDP departures !(!(!(!( !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( !(!( !( !(!( !( Communities assessed: 391 !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( were from assessed communities in Al Bab !( !( !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !(!(!( !( !(!(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( (1,836), Sharan (1,583) and Ghandorah (1,451) !( !( !(!(!(!(!(!( !(!(!(!( !( !( !( !( !( !(!(!(!( !( !(!( !( !( !( !(!( !( Total IDP arrivals: 30,460 (183%) !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( sub-districts. The majority (91%) of IDPs leaving !( !( !(!( !( !( !(!( !( !( !( !( !(!( !(!(!( !(!( !(!( !( !( !(!( !(!( !( !( !( !( !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( assessed communities in the northern Aleppo region !( !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( Sub-districts with100+86+65+64+62 most arrivals (# IDPs): !(!( !( !( !( !( !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !(!( !( !(!( !( !( !(!( !( !( !( !( were secondary displacements. !( !(!(!(!(!(!( !( !( !( !( !( Jandairis 4,840 !( !( !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( " !( !( !( " !( !( !( !( !( !(!( !( !( !(!( !( !( Afrin 4,156 !( !( !( !( !( !( !( !( Menbij Top intended destination sub-districts (# IDPs): !( !( !(!(!(!( !( Afrin 100+92+68+63+51 Koran !( !(!(!(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( Raju 3,143 !( !( !( !(!( !( !( !( !( !( !( Jandris !(!( !( !(!(!( !( !( !( !( Al Bab 555 !( !( !(!( !( !( !( Jarablus 3,102 !( !(!( !( !( !( !(!( !( !(!( !(" Afrin 510 !( !( !( !(!( !( !( Sharan 3,016 !( !(!(!( !( !( !( !(!( Al Bab Menbij 376 Jandairis Daret Azza 348 Total IDP departures: 10,392 (59%) Jarablus 285
Sub-districts with100+87+79+64+56 most departures (# IDPs): Al Bab 1,836 AR-RAQQA KIs reported that 200 IDPs leaving Al Bab sub-district Sharan 1,583 reportedly intended to move to other communities Ghandorah 1,451 IDLEB Total IDP arrivals within the sub-district, many of whom left Duyuf Al Afrin 1,168 ( 1 1 19 - 31 1 19 ) Sharqia camp and intended to move to Al Bab (46), !( 11 - 100 !( 201 - 600 Bazagha (40) and Kufair (29) communities. Raju 1,142 " ALEPPO !( 101 - 200 !( 601 - 1 659 Idleb Major IDP arrivals ( 290 IDPs) Total SRs: 3,686 (3%) Spontaneous Returns Kms Sub-districts with most spontaneous returns: 0 25 50 Major departure communities Between 1 and 31 January, assessed communities 100+50+50+38+30 Ma’btali 998 in the region witnessed 3,686 SRs, more than a third of whom returned to Ma’btali (998) and Raju (502) Raju 502 IDP Arrivals bombardments in the area at the start of January Afrin 497 as reported by KIs. Many IDPs from Daret Azza sub-districts. More than two thirds of SRs to Ma’btali Assessed communities in the northern Aleppo region sub-district reportedly arrived to Jandairis (1,340) sub-district reportedly arrived from Menbij (354) and Sheikh El-Hadid 382 witnessed a total of 30,460 IDP arrivals, more than a Bulbul 297 sub-district, most notably to Jandairis (570) city and Ain Al Arab (316) districts in Aleppo governorate. third of whom to Jandairis (4,840), Afrin (4,156) and Koran Jandris (342) community. The majority (83%) of SRs to Ma’btali sub-district Raju (3,143) sub-districts. 10 returned to their former homes. Overall, almost all Overview Most common push factors of IDP arrivals: (90%) SRs reportedly returned to solid or finished The northern Aleppo region witnessed 30,460 IDP In line with patterns seen in December 2018, most 1st 2nd 3rd houses and apartments. arrivals and 10,392 IDP departures marking a IDPs (75%) arrived from outside of the northern Loss of income 92 66 39 183% and 59% increase respectively, compared Aleppo region from elsewhere in Syria. More than Anticipation of future conflict escalation 69 42 26 Top 3 shelter types of SRs: to December. Many IDPs reportedly arrived from one third (35%) of IDPs reportedly arrived from Idleb Reduced access to humanitarian assistance 23 65 32 (1) Solid/finished house 3,107SRs Reduced access to shelter 12 43 63 Daret Azza (6,603) sub-district following clashes and surrounding areas. (2) Solid/finished apartment 343 SRs and aerial bombardments in the area at the start of Escalation of ground-based conflict 72 21 4 7 Last sub-district of departure of arrivals (# IDPs): (3) Not sure 365 SRs January. Unlike patterns witnessed in neighbouring 100+44+30+24+24 KIs reported a loss of income as the most Idleb and surrounding areas, the majority (91%) of Daret Azza 6,603 commonly reported push factor for IDPs arriving KIs reported safety and security, family IDP departures were secondary rather than primary Afrin 2,910 in January. Meanwhile, KIs reported safety and reunification, as well as a desire to return home departures. Al Bab 1,948 security as the first most common pull factor for as the main pull factors for SRs to return to their Menbij 1,582 IDPs arriving to communities in the northern Aleppo community of origin. Jandairis 1,555 In January, assessed communities in the northern region, especially to Afrin, Bulbul, Sharan. 11 Figures for the northern Aleppo region include accessible communities Aleppo region witnessed 3,686 SRs. KIs reported in the following sub-districts: Afrin, Aghtrin, Al Bab, Ar-Ra’ee, A’zaz, Bulbul, 12 Ghandorah, Jandairis, Jarablus, Ma’btali, Mare’, Raju, Sharan, Sheikh El-Hadid safety and security, family reunification, as well Most IDPs reportedly moved from Daret Azza (6,603) Vulnerable groups among IDP arrivals: and Suran. and Afrin (2,910) sub-districts to other communities 12 Vulnerable groups: ^Female-headed households/Women travelling alone as a desire to return home as the main pull factors ^ Z [ ` d Z Child-headed households [Orphans `Elderly-headed households/ for SRs to return to their community of origin. within the northern Aleppo region following aerial Elderly travelling alone dDisabled-headed households/Individuals with disabilities travelling alone. 3