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Betting-School.Com Cheltenham Festival 2010 Cheltenham Festival 2010 BETTING SCHOOL INSIDERS NEWS REPORT Welcome to the Betting School Insiders Club guide to Cheltenham 2010. As ever the time flies by and the talking will soon be over, yes, the annual highlight of the National Hunt Season will soon be upon us and 26 of the most hotly contested races will be run at the 2010 Cheltenham Festival. The aim of this guide will be to build a profile of each of these races based on strong historical trends to enable you to narrow the field down to a shortlist of lively contenders. We hope you find it useful and that you have an enjoyable and profitable festival. Darren & Steve PS Please visit us at www.betting-school.com or follow us on Twitter @bettingschool Blue Delta Marketing Ltd, Registered Office: Valentine Cottage, Bittering Street, Dereham, Norfolk, NR20 4EP. Registered in England No. 5566627 VAT No. GB 881 354707 All content is copyright 2009 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd and may not be reproduced in any way without prior written consent Contents Contents ............................................................................................................................... 2 1.30 Supreme Novices Hurdle ......................................................................................... 3 2.05 Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase ................................................................................ 3 2.40 William Hill Trophy Handicap Chase ..................................................................... 4 3.20 Champion Hurdle ..................................................................................................... 4 4.00 Cross Country Chase ................................................................................................ 5 4.40 David Nicholson Mares Hurdle ............................................................................... 5 DAY TWO (WEDNESDAY 17th MARCH) ...................................................................... 6 1.30 National Hunt Chase ................................................................................................ 6 2.05 Neptune Investment Novices Hurdle ....................................................................... 6 2.40 Royal & Sun Alliance Chase ................................................................................... 7 3.20 Queen Mother Champion Chase .............................................................................. 7 4.00 Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle ..................................................................................... 8 4.40 Fred Winter Novice’s Handicap Hurdle .................................................................. 8 5.15 Weatherby’s Champion Bumper .............................................................................. 9 DAY THREE (THURSDAY 18th MARCH) .................................................................... 10 1.30 Jewson Novices Handicap Chase ........................................................................... 10 2.05 Pertemps Final handicap Hurdle ............................................................................ 10 2.40 Ryanair Chase ........................................................................................................ 11 3.20 Ladbrokes World Hurdle ....................................................................................... 11 4.00 Byrne Group Plate Handicap Chase ....................................................................... 12 4.40 Kim Muir Cup Handicap Chase ............................................................................. 12 DAY FOUR (FRIDAY 19th MARCH) ............................................................................. 13 1.30 JCB Triumph Hurdle .............................................................................................. 13 2.05 County Hurdle ........................................................................................................ 13 2.40 Albert Bartlett Novice’s Hurdle ............................................................................. 14 3.20 Cheltenham Gold Cup ............................................................................................ 14 4.00 Christies Foxhunter Chase ..................................................................................... 15 4.40 Martin Pike Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle ............................................... 15 5.15 Grand Annual Chase .............................................................................................. 16 Editor -Darren Power Contributors - Steve Carter Blue Delta Marketing Ltd. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form by any means, electronic, mechanical or otherwise, without the written permission of Blue Delta Marketing Ltd. The views and opinions expressed in the Betting School Insiders News Report are not necessarily those of the publisher or the editor. Every effort is made to ensure the accuracy of all editorial material, however we disclaim all liability for any errors or omissions found in this publication. Blue Delta Marketing in no way encourages reckless gambling and it is recommended that readers who engage in gambling do so responsibly and set financial limits. Anyone concerned about problem gambling can contact GamCare on 0845 6000 133 or gamcare.org.uk for further information. --------------------------------------------------------- - 2 -------------------------------------------------------- Betting School Insiders News Report Month Year All content is ©copyright 2009 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd and may not be reproduced in any way without prior written consent DAY ONE (TUESDAY 16th MARCH) 1.30 Supreme Novices Hurdle Run over a distance of 2 miles 100 yards and open to novices aged 4 years or older. Trends This race always attracts a large field and past experience of racing in large fields is a definite advantage. Irish trained runners have won 7 of the last 10 runnings and the forecasted odds on favourite Dunguib hails from those shores. - 12 of the last 13 winners won last time out. - ONLY 6 favourites have won in the last 30 runnings and none in the last 5 years. - 9 of the last 10 winners ran in the previous 45 days. Conclusions: - Dunguib has outstanding claims and as a result has scared off a lot of the potential opponents, however, given his likely price and the record of favourites in this ultra competitive race the value may lie in taking him on. Of those that have claims are Henry King, Blackstairmountain, Morning Supreme and Get Me Out Of Here. 2.05 Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase Run over 2 miles and open to horses aged 5 years and older. TrendsThe Arkle often goes to a strongly fancied contender and the top end of the market is a good guide with the biggest price winner since 2000 being Well Chief at 9/1. - French bred horses have won 7 of the last 15 outings. - 21 of the last 23 winners had finished 1st or 2nd last time out. - ONLY 2 winning favourites since 1992. - 9 of the last 10 winners were rated 142+ over hurdles. Conclusions: - Captain Cee Bee is the current forecast favourite and is a past winner at the festival when taking the 2008 Supreme Novices Hurdle. Injuries have kept him to only 4 runs since and he has impressed on the last two starts over the bigger obstacles. He looks sure to have strong claims especially if the going rides on the good side of soft. Others likely to figure are Sports Line, Kangaroo Court and Riverside Theatre. --------------------------------------------------------- - 3 -------------------------------------------------------- Betting School Insiders News Report Month Year All content is ©copyright 2009 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd and may not be reproduced in any way without prior written consent 2.40 William Hill Trophy Handicap Chase Run over 3 miles and 110 yards and an ultra competitive handicap chase. Trends Often features a large field and is won by an improving animal which is well handicapped as a result. Proven stamina is a key factor and the race is generally ran at a fast pace. - ONLY 2 winning favourites in the last 30 runnings. - Last 10 winners carried less than 11 stone. - Younger horses (10 years or less) have dominated in recent times. Conclusions: - At this stage it is difficult to highlight potential selections as plans have not been finalised with many of the leading fancies holding multiple entries at The Festival. Once the line up is known concentrate your study on recent solid (winning) form from a younger and likely improving horse and you should get a good run for your money. 3.20 Champion Hurdle The highlight of Day One and the most valued hurdle race to win all season. Past course form and the stamina to stay further that the race distance of 2 miles 110 yards have proved to be a winning formula in past runnings. Trends - 22 of the last 26 winners won last time out. - 6-8 year olds have dominated. - The market is a strong guide with 17 of the last 19 winners starting in the first 6 in the betting. Conclusions: - With mixed messages being gleaned from the recent form of the main contenders, this years race has an open feel to it. The current second favourite is Dunguib who we have already discussed to be likely to run in the earlier novice’s race. The 3rd favourite Solwhit has met with a setback and is 50:50 to make the line up. If the going rides good then 2007 winner Sublimity could be in the shake-up (currently a doubtful runner). Others include the current favourite Go Native, Khyber Kim and Medermit.
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