INSURANCE IN THE ZETTABYTE ERA: UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF IOT, BIG DATA AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Dean Hamilton SVP, IoT Products / CTO Persistent Systems
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Are insurers prepared for disruptive information technologies?
IOT BIG DATA AI / ML
“For P&C insurers, it is not the rapidly changing environment that poses the biggest threat – it’s acting on future challenges with strategies linked to the past.”
Source: The Internet of Things: Opportunity for Insurers – A.T. Kearney Inc., 2014
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Disruption and the Information Age
Gordon Moore Intel Cofounder
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. “Moore’s law” affects more than computational performance
Nielsen’s Law of Internet Bandwidth
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Disruptive software is also driving digital transformation
Containerized Microservices IoT Protocol Standards
Hadoop Distributed File Systems
Stream Processing Cloud Computing
Intelligent Agents
Virtual and Mixed Reality Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning 5 © 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. The result: Every area of life can now be instrumented
Retailers
People Manufactures
Homes Hospitals SENSOR DATA Vehicles Communities
Energy providers Financial institutions
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. The zettabyte revolution: Enormous potential and daunting challenges
1 ZB = 1021 Bytes 1 ZB = 1012 GB
“In 2016 the annual run rate for global IP traffic was 1.2 ZB per year”
Source: Cisco Systems, 2017 report
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. These three technologies hold the keys to success in the Zettabyte Era
IOT BIG DATA AI / ML
Master these and your business will not be disrupted!
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. A BRIEF TECHNOLOGY PRIMER
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Internet-based protocols and services that WHAT IS THE “INTERNET OF THINGS” (IOT)? allow sensor-enabled connected devices (“things”) to communicate efficiently
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. How many IOT devices? Growing from 31B by 2020 to 74B in 2025
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. What is Big Data? “Big data is data sets that are so voluminous and complex that traditional data processing application software are inadequate to deal with them.”
Source: Wikipedia, 2018
Big Data Sources: Social Media The 3 “Vs” of Big Data
IoT Digital Sensor Audio
Big Data VELOCITY
Digital Digital Video VARIETY Photography VOLUME 12
© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. How much “Big Data”? Growing from 31B by 2020 to 74B in 2025
• More data in the last two years than entire prior human history
• 1.7 MB of new information per person on earth created every second
• 300 hours of video uploaded to YouTube per minute
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. A complex and fluid Big Data technology landscape
TECHNOLOGIES FOR:
• Capturing • Storing • Searching/Querying • Analyzing • Visualizing • Sharing
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. What is artificial intelligence?
Neuromorphic computing
Cognitive cyber Autonomous systems security
Robotic personal Machine learning assistants The appearance of
Autonomous surgical Deep learning intelligence robotics demonstrated by machine algorithms Next gen cloud Neutral networks robotics that can learn, infer, predict and
Thought controlled Pattern recognition problem solve. gaming
Real time universal Natural language translation processing
Virtual companions Chat bots
Real time emotion analytics 15
© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Why is AI important?
AI can effectively identify patterns AI can respond to high velocity data in high volume/variety data that much quicker than humans to predict human analysis would miss. and prevent adverse outcomes.
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Types of advanced analytics questions… …where AI/ML can make a difference
What should I do about it?
When will it happen again? Prescriptive Why did it happen? Predictive What happened? Diagnostic Descriptive AI/ML Differentiation
Analytics Continuum
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Supervised VS. Unsupervised Machine Learning
Supervised learning Unsupervised learning
Algorithms Algorithms learn from just identify X X training 2 2 and classify dataset similarities – labels good no right or and bad wrong
results X1 X1 answers
Many common problems need both approaches (called ”semi-supervised” learning)
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. AI is an “umbrella term” with “cognitive computing” representing a branch of the technology focused on a specific goal – improving human-machine interaction (natural language processing, machine vision, digital assistants, etc. )
COGNITIVE COMPUTING vs. AI • Traditional AI analyzes data in order to make or recommend a A subtle but important difference distinct decision
• Cognitive computing is more concerned with helping humans interact with and obtain a clear understanding of data - so that they can make decisions
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. INSURANCE IN THE ZETTABYTE ERA: HOW IS THE INDUSTRY CHANGING? WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES?
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. • Real-time driving behavior data are creating behavioral/usage- based products • Collision Avoidance Systems (CAS) and Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) reduce risk AUTO INSURANCE • Semi-autonomous vehicles have the potential to reduce driving competency • Fully-autonomous vehicles will shift liability away from the driver to the manufacturers and municipalities • Challenge: Auto insurers will need to become experts in assessing software-related risks
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. • IoT sensors reduce risk, loss and associated payouts
o Connected fire/smoke detectors that alert the fire department can cut payouts by as much as $35,000 (according to Business Insider Intelligence) o Security cameras and motion sensors can HOME INSURANCE significantly reduce chances of a burglary (according to Safeguard the world) o Water leakage sensors can identify a problem before it causes major damage
• Challenge: Insurers have a vested interest in testing and promoting products that work • Challenge: Poor user experiences are turning off consumers
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. • Wearables can provide a more accurate view of a person’s biological age and overall health
o Individuals who share health data can benefit from advantageous premium adjustments o Proactive individualized lifestyle suggestion can reduce risk LIFE & HEALTH INSURANCE o AI-based health monitoring can predict problems before they happen
• Tele-health systems will reduce the cost of care • Drug compliance sensors can improve healthcare outcomes • Challenge: Insurers will need to be able to generate timely insight from streaming health data
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. • Workplace IoT data is invaluable o Wearables can reduce the risk of workplace injury or incapacitation o Equipment condition monitoring algorithms can improve worker safety WORKER’S COMPENSATION o Environmental monitoring sensors can ensure INSURANCE regulatory compliance o Data from all of the above can be used to adjust premiums • Challenge: How to get businesses to allow you to harness this data
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. CONNECTING INSURERS TO IOT DATA: TWO ZETTABYTE ERA USE CASES
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Connecting to the customer
IOT TELEMETRY
INSURER INSIGHTS / ALERTS IoT CLOUD
BEHAVIORAL DISCOUNTS AI CUSTOMER INSURANCE
UNDERWRITING USAGE-BASED POLICIES
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. USE CASE: SMART MINING
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Smart Mining
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Smart Mining Services Today
Mine Operator Report for Last 10 Events APIs
Field Support Service APIs
Predictive Alerting Service
Vehicles Telematics Service APIs
Devices / Sensors
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Smart Mining Evolution: Insurance-related telemetry
Earth Moving Vehicles: Conveyors and Crushers: Workers:
• GPS, WiFi Location • Engine condition • Wearable providing • Engine condition monitor monitoring accurate location, heart • Hydraulic sensors • Conveyor load monitor rate, temperature • Tilt sensors and accelerometer
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Smart Mining: Insurance Partner Algorithms
IOT TELEMETRY • Unsafe location geo-fencing with alerts INSURER • Lockout of non-credentialed INSIGHTS / ALERTS IoT CLOUD equipment operators • Equipment misuse monitoring (speed, BEHAVIORAL DISCOUNTS tilt, location, operator hours)
• Operator health monitoring with MINE AI safety alerts OPERATOR • Predictive equipment maintenance alerts
UNDERWRITING USAGE-BASED POLICIES
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. USE CASE: SMART COMMUNITY (HOMEOWNER’S ASSOCIATION)
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Smart Communities
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Copyright © 2017 Accelerite. Smart Communities Today: Maintenance Insight for HOAs
Contractor Portal
• Lighting • Pools • Irrigation • Vehicle Charging Stations Reserve Fund Auditor Verification Reports Smart Community Cloud Devices / Sensors
Community Resident Homeowners Portal Associations
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Smart Communities Evolution: Insurance-related telemetry
Safety Sensors Security Sensors Environmental Sensors
• Ambient light (for • Security cameras • Storm drain / gully walkways, parking lots) • Security patrol monitor • Pool chemistry location tracking • Air quality monitor • After-hours pool/spa motion detectors • Vehicle speed monitor
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Smart community (HOA): Insurance Partner Algorithms
• Dynamically adjust lighting for resident IOT TELEMETRY safety • Motion-based video capture INSURER throughout community • Capture and track vehicle license INSIGHTS / ALERTS IoT CLOUD plates • Alert security patrol to unsafe driver BEHAVIORAL DISCOUNTS activity (speeding) HOA • Automatically close pool if chemicals AI are at unsafe levels COMMUNITY • Alert security of after hours pool activity • Ensure security patrols provide consistent area coverage UNDERWRITING • Alert maintenance staff to blocked USAGE-BASED POLICIES storm drains
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. ZETTABYTE ERA INSURANCE TRANSFORMATION: THE SHIFT FROM BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE TO OPERATIONAL INTELLIGENCE TECHNOLOGIES
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. What is the difference between BI and OI
BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE OPERATIONAL INTELLIGENCE
• Helps you to analyze what has • Helps you to analyze what is happened in the past happening NOW and what may • Batch processing (daily, weekly, happen in the NEAR FUTURE monthly, etc.) is sufficient • Real-time streaming analytics is the key
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Operational Intelligence (OI) technology landscape
ESTABLISHED BIG DATA TECHNOLOGIES
• Hadoop Distributed File System (HDFS) • Data Processing (Apache Spark) • Stream Ingestion (Apache Kafka)
DATA SCIENCE TOOLKITS What should I do about it? • Open Source Web Services (IBM Watson, Google Tensor Flow, Apple Core ML, Amazon Polly, etc.) • Python, R, Java, C++ When will it happen again? • PredictionIo, Eclipse DeepLearning4j, Apache Mahout Prescriptive • Jupyter Notebooks Why did it happen? Predictive EMERGENT TECHNOLOGIES What happened? Diagnostic • Self-Service ML Model Management • Self-Service Event Orchestration Descriptive • Self-Service Dashboard Creation AI/ML Differentiation
Analytics Continuum 39
© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. To scale your operational intelligence in your organization
Data Domain
Data Use Case Ingestion
Statistics Big Data Programming Data Algorithms Visualization Mining
Mathematics ML Python Algorithms Predictive Analytics Java Perfect Data Scientist! …you need a
ML Libraries Data Perfect Data Scientist Interpretation
Enterprise OI Ops. with these skills.. Data Stack Customer Empathy
https://yanirseroussi.com/2016/08/04/is-data-scientist-a-useless-job-title/ 40
© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Divide and conquer with a new persona: ‘OI Data Analyst’
Data Domain Data Ingestion Use Cases Statistics Programming Data OI Operations Visualization ML Quality Linear Algorithms Python Predictive Regression & Analytics Modeling Java Data Mining Mathematics Inferential Data Statistics Structures
Hypothesis ML Libraries Testing Big Data Business Enterprise Algorithms Context Data Stack
Customer Data Empathy Interpretation
Data Scientist OI Data Analyst/Engineer
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Operational Insights Monetization – An exciting new area
Design Prototype Test INNOVATE
Streaming Insights Insight Logistics Data Factory PRODUCE
YOUR INSIGHTS OFFERINGS Order Marketing Billing Taking MONETIZE
YOUR INSIGHTS PLATFORM 42
© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. IT operational security technologies will need a major upgrade
Identity Mgmt. Security Data Vulnerability & Process Governance Awareness Authentication Mgmt.
• Data lake and data • Continuous vulnerability • Identity proofing • Security process modeling, warehouse operations and assessment • Continuous risk=based testing, operations and security policies • Highly responsive threat authentication monitoring • Data architecture and management • Highly responsive threat quality management management • Guaranteed trust for • Non-repudiatable customer operational insights consent
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. ZETTABYTE ERA INSURANCE TRANSFORMATION: WILL PEOPLE OR MACHINES RUN THE SHOW?
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. We are a long way from an autonomous insurance underwriting AI
WHY? THE GOOD NEWS • Companies won’t trust an AI with unsupervised decision making • Regulators require transparency into decision making • Machine learning algorithms (like deep learning) can be highly opaque
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. AI/ML “Intelligent Assistants” will complement human decision making
OI ASISSTANT ALGORITHMS WILL: • Help customers reduce risk and loss • Provide input scores for dynamic pricing MORE GOOD NEWS: adjustments How will AI/ML algorithms be • Identify patterns associated with fraud used? BI ASSISTANT (COGNITIVE COMPUTING) ALGORITHMS WILL: • Identify patterns and trends could be missed • Predict potential outcomes • Advise on pricing strategies to achieve business goals
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Even more good news: Actuaries make excellent AI/ML data scientists/ analysts INSURANCE DATA SCIENTIST
ADD PROGRAMMING SKILLS ACTUARY STRENGTH: • Mathematics • Statistical analysis TWO TRACKS • Financial theory • Understanding of domain ADD BIG-DATA PROCESSING SKILLS
INSURANCE DATA ANALYST/ENGINEER
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. As AI algorithms for reducing operational risk become more accessible, more companies may self-insure
• Traditional risks will be more easily NOW THE BAD NEWS: managed directly by the customer (Which is not really bad news) • But customers will now need operational self-insurance help • New / less manageable risks will emerge – creating new insurance opportunities
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. ZETTABYTE ERA INSURANCE TRANSFORMATION: RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE FUTURE
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. How to prepare for disruption?
The only certainty is that the rate of disruptive innovation will continue to increase. The 3 “Vs” of Digital Transformation
Develop a mindset focused on three things: VARIETY: Experimentation is the key to success. Be bold! VELOCITY: Move fast. Fail fast. VELOCITY
VOLUME: VARIETY Be prepared to scale out. VOLUME
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. • Deploy a streaming data ingestion platform (for IoT and non-IoT data) • Implement a data lake and big-data Transforming the business: processing infrastructure (on private or Upgrade IT Data Infrastructure public cloud) • Deploy high performance, big-data self- service analytics tool (for OI data analysts)
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. • Deploy identity proofing and continuous risk- based authentication technologies Transforming the business: • Upgrade vulnerability awareness and threat Upgrade IT Security management technologies • Employ Robotic Security Process Monitoring (RSPM) technology
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. • Build an insurance data science organization - with augmented programming skills and tools • Build an OI data analyst organization – with Transforming the business: tools designed to leverage AI/ML models and Upgrade Workforce Skills and Tools produce timely insight to stakeholders and customers • Empower traditional teams to consume advanced analytic insight in a self-service manner
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Transforming the business: • Deploy and insights monetization platform Create and Insights-as-a- • Develop a data/insight partner ecosystem Service Product Business • Develop and insights innovation process
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. The only thing better than being covered for a loss is avoiding the loss entirely! For example: Offer enterprise customers risk reduction insight-as-a-service • Help your customer manage operational Transforming the business: risk continuously Offer innovative new products • Connect to customer devices and to grow the business datasets and provide timely insight to prevent loss • Offer insurance rebate incentives for risk reduction • These services will offset revenue losses from price erosion in traditional areas
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. Final Recommendations
Preparing for the “Zettabyte Era” is a digital transformation journey – not a destination
• Choose an experienced technology partner
• Look for early wins / opportunities
• Use an iterative implementation process – “Rome wasn’t built in a day”
• Don’t just transform technology. Transform culture!
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. QUESTIONS
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved. THANK YOU
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© 2018 Accelerite. All Rights Reserved.